Bounds on the efficiency of unbalanced ranked-set sampling

Abstract

Takahasi and Wakimoto (1968 Takahasi, K., and K. Wakimoto. 1968. On unbiased estimates of the population mean based on the sample stratified by means of ordering. Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics 20:1–31.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) derived a sharp upper bound on the efficiency of the balanced ranked-set sampling (RSS) sample mean relative to the simple random sampling (SRS) sample mean under perfect rankings. The bound depends on the set size and is achieved for uniform distributions. Here we generalize the Takahasi and Wakimoto (1968 Takahasi, K., and K. Wakimoto. 1968. On unbiased estimates of the population mean based on the sample stratified by means of ordering. Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics 20:1–31.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) result by finding a sharp upper bound in the case of unbalanced RSS. The bound depends on the particular unbalanced design, and the distributions where the bound is achieved can be highly nonuniform. The bound under perfect rankings can be exceeded under imperfect rankings.     

Calibration of Proportional Hazards and Accelerated Failure Time Models

Given a prognostic model based on one population, one may ask: Can this model be used to accurately predict disease in a different population? When the underlying rate of disease differs in the new population, the model must be calibrated. van Houwelingen (2000 van Houwelingen , H. ( 2000 ). Validation, calibration, revision and combination of prognostic survival models . Statistics in Medicine 19 : 3401 – 3415 .[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) considered this calibration problem focusing on proportional hazards models. We extend the validation by calibration to the log-logistic accelerated failure time model. We use calibration of proportional hazards models and log-logistic accelerated failure time models to examine whether a survival model based on the Framingham Heart Study can be applied to diverse studies around the world.     

Tests for Multiple Outliers in an Exponential Sample

By applying the recursion of Huffer (1988 Huffer, F. 1988. Divided differences and the joint distribution of linear combinations of spacings. Journal of Applied Probability, 25: 346–354. [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) repeatedly, we propose an algorithm for evaluating the null joint distribution of Dixon-type test statistics for testing discordancy of k upper outliers in exponential samples. By using the critical values of Dixon-type test statistics determined from the proposed algorithm and those of Cochran-type test statistics presented earlier by Lin and Balakrishnan (2009 Lin, C. T. and Balakrishnan, N. 2009. Exact computation of the null distribution of a test for multiple outliers in an exponential sample. Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 53: 3281–3290. [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), we carry out an extensive Monte Carlo study to investigate the powers and the error probabilities for the effects of masking and swamping when the number of outliers k = 2 and 3. Based on our empirical findings, we recommend Rosner’s (1975 Rosner, B. 1975. On the detection of many outliers. Technometrics, 17: 221–227. [Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) sequential test procedure based on Dixon-type test statistics for testing multiple outliers from an exponential distribution.     

A Class of Improved Estimators for the Scale Parameter of a Mixture Model of Exponential Distribution with Unknown Location

Under Stein's loss, a class of improved estimators for the scale parameter of a mixture of exponential distribution with unknown location is constructed. The method is analogous to Maruyama's (1998 Maruyama , Y. ( 1998 ). Minimax estimators of a normal variance . Metrika 48 : 209 – 214 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) construction for the variance of a normal distribution and also an extension of the result produced in Petropoulos and Kourouklis (2002 Petropoulos , C. , Kourouklis , S. ( 2002 ). A class of improved estimators for the scale parameter of an exponential distribution with unknown location . Commun. Statist. Theor. Meth. 31 : 325 – 335 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). Also, robustness properties are considered.     

Nonnested Testing for Competing Autoregressive Dynamic Models Estimated by Instrumental Variables

In this work we investigate nonnested tests for two competing univariate dynamic linear models with autoregressive disturbances, where the motivation for instrumental variable estimation is mainly due to the recognized presence of current endogenous variables in the regression function, either in one or both models. As the previous transformation of both models yields regression functions which are nonlinear in the parameters, the attractive Gauss-Newton regression (GNR) approach, firstly advocated by Davidson and Mackinnon (1981 Davidson , R. , Mackinnon , J. G. ( 1981 ). Several tests for model specification in the presence of alternative hypotheses . Econometrica 49 : 781 – 93 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), will be used to obtain the results.     

Tests of Multivariate Independence for Ordinal Data

Population and sample versions of Kendall and Spearman measures of association suitable for multivariate ordinal data are defined. The latter generalize the indices of dependence of Ruymgaart and van Zuijlen (1978 Ruymgaart , F. H. , van Zuijlen , M. C. A. ( 1978 ). Asymptotic normality of multivariate linear rank statistics in the non-i.i.d. case . Ann. Statist. 6 : 588 – 602 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), Joe (1990 Joe , H. ( 1990 ). Multivariate concordance . J. Multivariate Anal. 35 : 12 – 30 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), and Schmid and Schmidt (2007 Schmid , F. , Schmidt , R. ( 2007 ). Multivariate extensions of Spearman's rho and related statistics . Statist. Probab. Lett. 77 : 407 – 416 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) by allowing atoms in the underlying distribution. The representation of the proposed empirical measures as U-statistics enables to establish their asymptotic normality under general distributions. A special attention is given to tests of independence for multivariate ordinal data, where the power of the new methodologies are investigated under fixed and contiguous alternatives.     

Goodness-of-Fit Test and Parameter Estimation for a Proportional Odds Model of Random Censorship

Censored data arise naturally in a number of fields, particularly in problems of reliability and survival analysis. There are several types of censoring, in this article, we will confine ourselves to the right randomly censoring type. Recently, Ahmadi et al. (2010 Ahmadi , J. , Doostparast , M. , Parsian , A. ( 2010 ). Bayes estimation based on random censored data for some life time models under symmetric and asymmetric loss functions . Communcations in Statistics-Theory and Methods , 39 : 3058 – 3071 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) considered the problem of estimating unknown parameters in a general framework based on the right randomly censored data. They assumed that the survival function of the censoring time is free of the unknown parameter. This assumption is sometimes inappropriate. In such cases, a proportional odds (PO) model may be more appropriate (Lam and Leung, 2001 Lam , K. F. , Leung , T. L. ( 2001 ). Marginal likelihood estimation for proportional odds models with right censored data . Lifetime Data Analysis 7 : 39 – 54 .[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). Under this model, in this article, point and interval estimations for the unknown parameters are obtained. Since it is important to check the adequacy of models upon which inferences are based (Lawless, 2003 Lawless , J. F. (2003). Statistical Models and Methods for Lifetime Data. , 2nd ed. New York : John Wiley & Sons. [Google Scholar], p. 465), two new goodness-of-fit tests for PO model based on right randomly censored data are proposed. The proposed procedures are applied to two real data sets due to Smith (2002 Smith , P. J. ( 2002 ). Analysis of Failure and Survival Data . London : Chapman & Hall, CRC . [Google Scholar]). A Monte Carlo simulation study is conducted to carry out the behavior of the estimators obtained.     

Bayesian Inference for the Precision Matrix for Scale Mixtures of Normal Distributions

Baysian inference is considered for the precision matrix of the multivariate regression model with distribution of the random responses belonging to the multivariate scale mixtures of normal distributions. The posterior distribution and some identities involving expectations taken with respect to this posterior distribution are derived when the prior distribution of the parameters is from the conjugate family. The results are specialized to the case where the random responses have a matrix-t distribution and thus generalizing the results of Zellner (1976 Zellner , A. ( 1976 ). Bayesian and non-Bayesian analysis of the regression model with multivariate Student-t error terms . J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 71 : 400 – 405 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) and Muirhead (1986 Muirhead , R. J. ( 1986 ). A note on some Wishart expectations . Metrika 33 : 247 – 251 .[Crossref] , [Google Scholar]).     

A Note on Goodness-of-Fit Test in Latent Variable Models with Categorical Variables

Assessing the goodness-of-fit of latent variable models for categorical data becomes a problem in presence of sparse data since the classical goodness-of-fit statistics are badly approximated by the chi square distribution. A good solution to this problem is represented by statistical tests based on the residuals associated to marginal distributions of the manifest variables (Cagnone and Mignani, 2007 Cagnone , S. , Mignani , S. ( 2007 ). Assessing the goodness-of-fit of a latent variable model for ordinal data . Metron LXV : 337 – 361 . [Google Scholar]; Maydeu-Olivares and Joe, 2005 Maydeu-Olivares , A. , Joe , H. ( 2005 ). Limited- and full-information estimation and goodness-of-fit testing in 2n contingency tables: A unified framework . J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 100 ( 471 ): 1009 – 1020 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]; Reiser, 1996 Reiser , M. ( 1996 ). Analysis of residual for the multinomial item response model . Psychometrika 61 : 509 – 528 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). The quadratic form associated to the test involves the use of a generalized inverse of the covariance matrix of the sample proportions. In this article we prove that the rank of the Moore-Penrose generalized inverse is univocally determined and hence it can be used appropriately.     

Covariance Matrix Formula for Exponential Family Nonlinear Models

This article gives a matrix formula for second-order covariances of maximum likelihood estimators in exponential family nonlinear models, thus generalizing the result of Cordeiro (2004 Cordeiro , G. M. ( 2004 ). Second-order covariance matrix of maximum likelihood estimates in generalized linear models . Statist. Probab. Lett. 66 : 153 – 160 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) valid for generalized linear models with known dispersion parameter. Some simulations show that the second-order covariances for exponential family nonlinear models can be quite pronounced in small to moderate sample sizes.     

A Note on the Convergence Rate of Strong Law of Large Numbers for Positively Associated Sequences

By the inequalities established in this article, we obtain the convergence rate of strong law of large numbers for positively associated sequences. The results derived extend and improve the corresponding ones in Vronskii (1999 Vronskii , M. A. ( 1999 ). Rate of convergence in the slln for associated sequences and fields . Theory Probab. Appl. 43 ( 3 ): 449 – 462 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]).     

Some Remarks on Testing Overdispersion in Zero-Inflated Poisson and Binomial Regression Models

This note extends the score test statistics for overdispersion in Poisson and binomial regression models (Dean, 1992 Dean , C. B. ( 1992 ). Testing for overdispersion in Poisson and binomial regression models . J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 87 : 451 – 457 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) to the zero-inflated models. Some general results are obtained, and examples illustrate the application of the extended results.     

A Euclidean Likelihood Estimator for Bivariate Tail Dependence

The spectral measure plays a key role in the statistical modeling of multivariate extremes. Estimation of the spectral measure is a complex issue, given the need to obey a certain moment condition. We propose a Euclidean likelihood-based estimator for the spectral measure which is simple and explicitly defined, with its expression being free of Lagrange multipliers. Our estimator is shown to have the same limit distribution as the maximum empirical likelihood estimator of Einmahl and Segers (2009 Einmahl , J. H. J. , Segers , J. ( 2009 ). Maximum empirical likelihood estimation of the spectral measure of an extreme-value distribution . Ann. Statist. 37 ( 5B ): 2953 – 2989 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). Numerical experiments suggest an overall good performance and identical behavior to the maximum empirical likelihood estimator. We illustrate the method in an extreme temperature data analysis.     

The Performance of Panel Cointegration Methods: Results from a Large Scale Simulation Study

This article presents results concerning the performance of both single equation and system panel cointegration tests and estimators. The study considers the tests developed in Pedroni (1999 Pedroni , P. ( 1999 ). Critical values for cointegration tests in heterogeneous panels with multiple regressors . Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 61 : 653 – 670 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar], 2004 Pedroni , P. ( 2004 ). Panel cointegration. Asymptotic and finite sample properties of pooled time series tests with an application to the PPP hypothesis . Econometric Theory 20 : 597 – 625 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), Westerlund (2005 Westerlund , J. ( 2005 ). New simple tests for panel cointegration . Econometric Reviews 24 : 297 – 316 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), Larsson et al. (2001 Larsson , R. , Lyhagen , J. , Löthgren , M. ( 2001 ). Likelihood-based cointegration tests in heterogeneous panels . Econometrics Journal 4 : 109 – 142 .[Crossref] , [Google Scholar]), and Breitung (2005 Breitung , J. ( 2005 ). A parametric approach to the estimation of cointegration vectors in panel data . Econometric Reviews 24 : 151 – 173 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) and the estimators developed in Phillips and Moon (1999 Phillips , P. C. B. , Moon , H. R. ( 1999 ). Linear regression limit theory for nonstationary panel data . Econometrica 67 : 1057 – 1111 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), Pedroni (2000 Pedroni , P. ( 2000 ). Fully modified OLS for heterogeneous cointegrated panels . In: Baltagi , B. H. , ed. Nonstationary Panels, Panel Cointegration, and Dynamic Panels . Amsterdam : Elsevier , pp. 93 – 130 .[Crossref] , [Google Scholar]), Kao and Chiang (2000 Kao , C. , Chiang , M.-H. ( 2000 ). On the estimation and inference of a cointegrated regression in panel data . In: Baltagi , B. H. , ed. Nonstationary Panels, Panel Cointegration, and Dynamic Panels . Amsterdam : Elsevier , pp. 179 – 222 .[Crossref] , [Google Scholar]), Mark and Sul (2003 Mark , N. C. , Sul , D. ( 2003 ). Cointegration vector estimation by panel dynamic OLS and long-run money demand . Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 65 : 655 – 680 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), Pedroni (2001 Pedroni , P. ( 2001 ). Purchasing power parity tests in cointegrated panels . Review of Economics and Statistics 83 : 1371 – 1375 . [Google Scholar]), and Breitung (2005 Breitung , J. ( 2005 ). A parametric approach to the estimation of cointegration vectors in panel data . Econometric Reviews 24 : 151 – 173 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). We study the impact of stable autoregressive roots approaching the unit circle, of I(2) components, of short-run cross-sectional correlation and of cross-unit cointegration on the performance of the tests and estimators. The data are simulated from three-dimensional individual specific VAR systems with cointegrating ranks varying from zero to two for fourteen different panel dimensions. The usual specifications of deterministic components are considered.     

Hazards Regression for Cancer Studies

The complication in analyzing tumor data is that the tumors detected in a screening program tend to be slowly progressive tumors, which is the so-called length-biased sampling that is inherent in screening studies. Under the assumption that all subjects have the same tumor growth function, Ghosh (2008 Ghosh , D. ( 2008 ). Proportional hazards regression for cancer studies . Biometrics 64 : 141 – 148 .[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) developed estimation procedures for proportional hazards model. In this article, by modeling growth function as a function of covariates, we demonstrate that Ghosh (2008 Ghosh , D. ( 2008 ). Proportional hazards regression for cancer studies . Biometrics 64 : 141 – 148 .[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar])'s approach can be extended to the case when each subject has a specific growth function. A simulation study is conducted to demonstrate the potential usefulness of the proposed estimators for the regression parameters in the proportional and additive hazards model.     

Block–Savits Characterization and Star Ordering of Exponential Mixtures

Block and Savits (1980 Block , H. W. , Savits , T. H. ( 1980 ). Laplace transforms for classes of life distributions . Ann. Probab. 8 : 465 – 474 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) established a characterization of life distributions using the Laplace transform. In this article, we remark that one of the necessary conditions to be IFRA distribution is equivalent to the star ordering of exponential mixtures. It leads to the definition of two new classes of life distributions, called LIFR and LIFRA, and their dual classes: LDFR and LDFRA. It occurs that these classes have many useful aging properties and preserve known reliability operations. Properties of the classes are studied and relations with known classes are established.     

The Exact General Formulas for the Moments of a Ridge Regression Estimator when the Regression Error Terms Follow a Multivariate t Distribution

Huang (1999 Huang , J. C. ( 1999 ). Improving the estimation precision for a selected parameter in multiple regression analysis: an algebraic approach . Econ. Lett. 62 : 261 – 264 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) proposed a feasible ridge regression (FRR) estimator to estimate a specific regression coefficient. Assuming that the error terms follow a normal distribution, Huang (1999 Huang , J. C. ( 1999 ). Improving the estimation precision for a selected parameter in multiple regression analysis: an algebraic approach . Econ. Lett. 62 : 261 – 264 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) examined the small sample properties of the FRR estimator. In this article, assuming that the error terms follow a multivariate t distribution, we derive an exact general formula for the moments of the FRR estimator to estimate a specific regression coefficient. Using the exact general formula, we obtain exact formulas for the bias, mean squared error (MSE), skewness, and kurtosis of the FRR estimator. Since these formulas are very complex, we compare the bias, MSE, skewness, and kurtosis of the FRR estimator with those of ordinary least square (OLS) estimator by numerical evaluations. Our numerical results show that the range of MSE dominance of the FRR estimator over the OLS estimator is widen under a fat tail distributional assumption.     

On Testing Sample Selection Bias Under the Multicollinearity Problem

ABSTRACT

This paper reviews and extends the literature on the finite sample behavior of tests for sample selection bias. Monte Carlo results show that, when the “multicollinearity problem” identified by Nawata (1993 Nawata , K. ( 1993 ). A note on the estimation of models with sample-selection biases . Economics Letters 42 : 15 – 24 . [CSA] [CROSSREF] [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) is severe, (i) the t-test based on the Heckman–Greene variance estimator can be unreliable, (ii) the Likelihood Ratio test remains powerful, and (iii) nonnormality can be interpreted as severe sample selection bias by Maximum Likelihood methods, leading to negative Wald statistics. We also confirm previous findings (Leung and Yu, 1996 Leung , S. F. , Yu , S. ( 1996 ). On the choice between sample selection and two-part models . Journal of Econometrics 72 : 197 – 229 . [CSA] [CROSSREF] [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) that the standard regression-based t-test (Heckman, 1979 Heckman , J. J. ( 1979 ). Sample selection bias as a specification error . Econometrica 47 : 153 – 161 . [CSA] [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) and the asymptotically efficient Lagrange Multiplier test (Melino, 1982 Melino , A. ( 1982 ). Testing for sample selection bias . Review of Economic Studies 49 : 151 – 153 . [CSA] [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), are robust to nonnormality but have very little power.     

Relative Errors of Difference-Based Variance Estimators in Nonparametric Regression

Difference-based estimators for the error variance are popular since they do not require the estimation of the mean function. Unlike most existing difference-based estimators, new estimators proposed by Müller et al. (2003 Müller , U. , Schick , A. , Wefelmeyer , W. ( 2003 ). Estimating the error variance in nonparametric regression by a covariate-matched U-statistic . Statistics 37 : 179 – 188 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) and Tong and Wang (2005 Tong , T. , Wang , Y. ( 2005 ). Estimating residual variance in nonparametric regression using least squares . Biometrika 92 : 821 – 830 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) achieved the asymptotic optimal rate as residual-based estimators. In this article, we study the relative errors of these difference-based estimators which lead to better understanding of the differences between them and residual-based estimators. To compute the relative error of the covariate-matched U-statistic estimator proposed by Müller et al. (2003 Müller , U. , Schick , A. , Wefelmeyer , W. ( 2003 ). Estimating the error variance in nonparametric regression by a covariate-matched U-statistic . Statistics 37 : 179 – 188 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), we develop a modified version by using simpler weights. We further investigate its asymptotic property for both equidistant and random designs and show that our modified estimator is asymptotically efficient.     

Bayesian Capture-Recapture Analysis: An Application in Modeling Semelparity of a Neotropical Didelphid Marsupial

We develop a series of Bayesian statistical models for estimating survival of a neotropic didelphid marsupial, the Brazilian gracile mouse opossum (Gracilinanus microtarsus). These models are based on the Cormack–Jolly–Seber model (Cormack, 1964 Cormack , R. M. ( 1964 ). Estimates of survival from the sighting of marked animals . Biometrika 51 : 429 – 438 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]; Jolly 1965 Jolly , G. M. ( 1965 ). Explicit estimates from capture-recapture data with both death and immigration stochastic model . Biometrika 52 : 225 – 247 .[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]; Seber 1965 Seber , G. A. F. ( 1965 ). A note on the multiple recapture census . Biometrika 52 : 249 – 259 .[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) with both survival and recapture rates expressed as a function of covariates using a logit link. The proposed models allow taking into account heterogeneity in capture probability caused by the existence of different groups of individuals in the population. The models were applied to two cohorts (Cohort, 2000, 2001) with the first one including 14 and the second one 15 sampling occasions. The best models for each of the cohorts indicate that G. microtarsus is best described as partially semelparous, a condition in which mortality after the first mating is high but graded over time, with a fraction of males surviving for a second breeding season (Boonstra, 2005 Boonstra , R. ( 2005 ). Equipped for life: the adaptive role of the stress axis in male mammals . Journal of Mammalogy 86 : 236 – 247 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]).