On a minimum distance estimate of the period in functional autoregressive processes

We consider a continuous time random process with functional autoregressive representation. We state statistical results on a mean functional estimator determining a minimum distance estimator of the period giving consistency and a limit law stated in Mourid and Benyelles [13 Mourid, T. and Benyelles, W. 2002. Estimation de la p ériode de la représentation autorégressive d'un processus à temps continu. : 89–101. Annales de l'I.S.U.P, Volume XXXXVI-Fascicule 1–2 [Google Scholar]]. Then we discuss their performance on numerical simulations and on real data analyzing the cycle of a climatic phenomena.     

The modulus of continuity theorem for G-Brownian motion

In this paper, our aim is to obtain the modulus of continuity theorem for G-Brownian motion. It turns out that our theorem is a natural extension of the classical result obtained by Lévy (1937 Lévy, P. (1937). Théorie de laddition des variables aléatories indépendantes. Paris: Gauthier-Villars. [Google Scholar]).     

An efficient integrated nonparametric entropy estimator of serial dependence

ABSTRACT

We propose an efficient numerical integration-based nonparametric entropy estimator for serial dependence and show that the new entropy estimator has a smaller asymptotic variance than Hong and White’s (2005 Hong, Y., White, H. (2005). Asymptotic distribution theory for nonparametric entropy measures of serial dependence. Econometrica 73:837–901.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) sample average-based estimator. This delivers an asymptotically more efficient test for serial dependence. In particular, the uniform kernel gives the smallest asymptotic variance for the numerical integration-based entropy estimator over a class of positive kernel functions. Moreover, the naive bootstrap can be used to obtain accurate inferences for our test, whereas it is not applicable to Hong and White’s (2005 Hong, Y., White, H. (2005). Asymptotic distribution theory for nonparametric entropy measures of serial dependence. Econometrica 73:837–901.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) sample averaging approach. A simulation study confirms the merits of our approach.     

Simultaneous Canonization of Linear Models

Canonical form plays a similar role in linear models to spectral decomposition in matrix analysis. Let X = (X ₁,…, X _n )′ be a random vector with expectation Aβ and the variance–covariance matrix σV, where V is positive definite and let rank(A) = r. Then there exists a nonsingular linear transformation from X to T = (T ₁,…, T _n )′, such that ET _i  = η _i , for i = 1,…, r and zero for i > r, while cov(T _i , T _j ) = δ _ij σ. This canonical form, introduced by Ko?odziejczyk (1935 Ko?odziejczyk , S. ( 1935 ). On an important class of statistical hypotheses . Biometrika 27 : 161 – 190 .[Crossref] , [Google Scholar]), was used, among others, by Scheffé (1959 Scheffé , H. ( 1959 ). Analysis of Variance . New York : Wiley . [Google Scholar]) and by Lehmann (1959, 1986 Lehmann , E. L. (1959, 1986 ). Testing Statistical Hypotheses . New York : Wiley . [Google Scholar]). This technique is extended here for arbitrary (possibly singular) V and for simultaneous canonization of two models of this type.     

Confidence Intervals for the Scale Parameter of the Power-Law Process

The power-law process (PLP) is a two-parameter model widely used for modeling repairable system reliability. Results on exact point estimation for both parameters as well as exact interval estimation for the shape parameter are well known. In this paper, we investigate the interval estimation for the scale parameter. Asymptotic confidence intervals are derived using Fisher information matrix and theoretical results by Cocozza-Thivent (1997 Cocozza-Thivent , C. ( 1997 ). Processus Stochastiques et Fiabilité des Systèmes . Berlin : Springer-Verlag . [Google Scholar]). The accuracy of the interval estimation for finite samples is studied by simulation methods.     

r-d Class Estimator Under Misspecification

Omission of some relevant explanatory variables and multicollinearity in regression models are very serious problems in applied works. There are some papers examining the multicollinearity and misspecification which is due to omission of some relevant explanatory variables, concurrently. To remedy the problem of multicollinearity, Kaç?ranlar and Sakall?o?lu (2001 Kaç?ranlar, S., Sakall?o?lu, S. (2001). Combining the Liu estimator and the principal component regression estimator. Commun. Stat. Theory Methods. 30:2699–2705.[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) proposed the r-d class estimator that includes the ordinary least squares, principal components regression, and Liu estimators as special cases. The aim of this paper is to examine the performance of the r-d class estimator in misspecificied linear models.     

D-Optimal Chemical Balance Weighing Designs with N ≡ 0 (mod 4) and 3 Objects

In this article, the problem of estimation of the individual weights of three objects using a chemical balance weighing design is considered. We use the criterion of D-optimality. We assume that the covariance matrix of errors is the matrix of first-order autoregressive process. Such problems were discussed in Li and Yang (2005 Li , C. H. , Yang , S. Y. ( 2005 ). On a conjecture in D-optimal designs with n ≡ 0 (mod 4) . Lin. Alg. Applic. 400 : 279 – 290 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) and also in Yeh and Lo Huang (2005 Yeh , H. G. , Lo Huang , M. N. ( 2005 ). On exact D-optimal designs with 2 two-level factors and n autocorrelated observations . Metrika 61 : 261 – 275 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). We present some results of D-optimal designs in certain class of designs with the design matrix X  ∈ M _n×3(±1) such that each column of matrix X has at least one 1 and one ?1.     

Alternative Approximations to Value-At-Risk: A Comparison

This article compares three value-at-risk (VaR) approximation methods suggested in the literature: Cornish and Fisher (1937 Cornish, E.A., Fisher, R.A. (1937). Moments and cumulants in the specification of distributions. Revue de l’Institut International de Statistique 5:307–320.[Crossref] , [Google Scholar]), Sillitto (1969 Sillitto, G.P. (1969). Derivation of approximants to the inverse distribution function of a continuous univariate population from the order statistics of a sample. Biometrika 56:641–650.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), and Liu (2010 Liu, W.-H. (2010). Estimation and testing of portfolio value-at-risk based on L-comoment matrices. Journal of Futures Markets 30:897–908.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). Simulation results are obtained for three families of distributions: student-t, skewed-normal, and skewed-t. We recommend the Sillitto approximation as the best method to evaluate the VaR when the financial return has an unknown, skewed, and heavy-tailed distribution.     

ASYMPTOTIC EFFICIENCY OF ANALYSIS OF RAO'S QUADRATIC ENTROPY

Since Rao introduced the Quadratic Entropy (QE) in 1982, results on mathematical and statistical properties of the QE and its applications in data analysis and population indices have been published in the literature. In this paper, we study the asymptotic efficiency of the analysis of Rao's quadratic entropy (ANOQE) which is a generalization of the classical analysis of variance (ANOVA). Based on the results of Liu and Rao [1] Liu, Z. J. and Rao, C. R. 1995. Asymptotic distribution of statistics based on quadratic entropy and bootstrapping. JSPI, 43: 1–18.  [Google Scholar]and Liu [2] Liu, Z. J. 1991. Bootstrapping one way analysis of Rao's quadratic entropy. Comm. Statist., 20: 1683–1702.  [Google Scholar]on asymptotic distribution and the bootstrap of the ANOQE, we derive the Bahadur's asymptotic efficiency of the ANOQE and compare efficiency of ANOQE tests based on different QE's.     

An objective Bayesian estimation in a two-period crossover design

Two-period crossover design is one of the commonly used designs in clinical trials. But, the estimation of treatment effect is complicated by the possible presence of carryover effect. It is known that ignoring the carryover effect when it exists can lead to poor estimates of the treatment effect. The classical approach by Grizzle (1965 Grizzle, J.E. (1965). The two-period change-over design and its use in clinical trials. Biometrics 21:467–480. See Grizzle (1974) for corrections.[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) consists of two stages. First, a preliminary test is conducted on carryover effect. If the carryover effect is significant, analysis is based only on data from period one; otherwise, analysis is based on data from both periods. A Bayesian approach with improper priors was proposed by Grieve (1985 Grieve, A.P. (1985). A Bayesian analysis of the two-period crossover design for clinical trials. Biometrics 41:979–990.[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) which uses a mixture of two models: a model with carryover effect and another without. The indeterminacy of the Bayes factor due to the arbitrary constant in the improper prior was addressed by assigning a minimally discriminatory value to the constant. In this article, we present an objective Bayesian estimation approach to the two-period crossover design which is also based on a mixture model, but using the commonly recommended Zellner–Siow g-prior. We provide simulation studies and a real data example and compare the numerical results with Grizzle (1965 Grizzle, J.E. (1965). The two-period change-over design and its use in clinical trials. Biometrics 21:467–480. See Grizzle (1974) for corrections.[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar])’s and Grieve (1985 Grieve, A.P. (1985). A Bayesian analysis of the two-period crossover design for clinical trials. Biometrics 41:979–990.[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar])’s approaches.     

Testing Parameter Constancy in Unit Root Autoregressive Models Against Multiple Continuous Structural Changes

This article considers tests for logistic smooth transition autoregressive (LSTAR) models accommodating multiple time dependent transitions between regimes when the data generating process is a random walk. The asymptotic null distributions of the tests, in contrast to the standard results in Lin and Teräsvirta (1994 Lin , C. F. J. , Teräsvirta , T. ( 1994 ). Testing the constancy of regression parameters against continuous structural change . Journal of Econometrics 62 : 211 – 228 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), are nonstandard. Monte Carlo experiments reveal that the tests have modest size distortions and satisfactory power against LSTAR models with multiple smooth breaks. The tests are applied to Swedish unemployment rates and the hysteresis hypothesis is over-turned in favour of an LSTAR model with two transitions between extreme regimes.     

Some Results on Dynamic Generalized Survival Entropy

Recently, Zografos and Nadarajah (2005 Zografos, K., Nadarajah, S. (2005). Survival exponential entropies. IEEE Trans. Inform. Theor. 51:1239–1246.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) proposed two measures of uncertainty based on the survival function, called the survival exponential entropy and the generalized survival exponential entropy. In this article, we explore properties of the generalized survival entropy and the dynamic version of it. We study conditions under which the generalized survival entropy of first order statistic can uniquely determines the parent distribution. The exponential, Pareto, and finite range distributions, which are commonly used in reliability, have been characterized using this generalized measure. Another measure of entropy is also introduced in analogy with cumulative entropy which has been proposed by Di Crescenzo and Longobardi (2009) and some properties of it are given.     

On Nonparametric Estimation of a Reliability Function

This article considers the properties of a nonparametric estimator developed for a reliability function which is used in many reliability problems. Properties such as asymptotic unbiasedness and consistency are proven for the estimator and using U-statistics, weak convergence of the estimator to a normal distribution is shown. Finally, numerical examples based on an extensive simulation study are presented to illustrate the theory and compare the estimator developed in this article with another based directly on the ratio of two empirical distributions studied in Zardasht and Asadi (2010 Zardasht , V. , Asadi , M. ( 2010 ). Evaluation of P(X _t  > Y _t ) when both X _t and Y _t are residual lifetimes of two systems . Statistica Neerlandica 64 : 460 – 481 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]).     

More on the two-parameter estimation in the restricted regression

ABSTRACT

In this paper, we introduce a new restricted two-parameter (RTP) estimator for the vector of parameters in a linear model when additional linear restrictions on the parameter vector are assumed to hold. We show that our new biased estimator is superior in the matrix mean square error criterion to the restricted ridge estimator proposed by Groß (2003 Groß, J. (2003). Restricted ridge estimation. Stat. Probab. Lett. 65:57–64.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), restricted Liu estimator introduced by Kaçiranlar et al. (1999 Kaçiranlar, S., Sakall?oglus, S., Akdeniz, F., Styan, G.P.H., Werner, H.J. (1999). A new biased estimator in linear regression and a detailed analysis of the widely-analysed dataset on Portland cement. Sankhya Ser. B., Ind. J. Stat. 61:443–459. [Google Scholar]), and RTP estimator introduced by Özkale and Kaçiranlar (2007 Özkale, M., Kaçiranlar, S. (2007). The restricted and unrestricted two-parameter estimators. Commun. Stat. Theory Methods 36:2707–2725.[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). A numerical example and a Monte Carlo simulation have been analyzed to illustrate some of the theoretical results.     

RAO'S STATISTIC FOR THE ANALYSIS OF UNIFORM ASSOCIATION IN CROSS-CLASSIFICATIONS

In this paper we introduce a new measure for the analysis of association in cross-classifications having ordered categories. Association is measured in terms of the odd-ratios in 2 × 2 subtables formed from adjacent rows and adjacent columns. We focus our attention in the uniform association model. Our measure is based in the family of divergences introduced by Burbea and Rao [1] Burbea, J. and Rao, C. R. 1982a. On the convexity of some divergence measures based on entropy functions. IEEE Transactions on Information Theory, 28: 489–495. [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]. Some well-known sets of data are reanalyzed and a simulation study is presented to analyze the behavior of the new families of test statistics introduced in this paper.     

Moments for Some Kumaraswamy Generalized Distributions

Explicit expansions for the moments of some Kumaraswamy generalized (Kw-G) distributions (Cordeiro and de Castro, 2011 Cordeiro, G.M., de Castro, M. (2011). A new family of generalized distributions. J. Statist. Computat. Simul. 81:883–898.[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) are derived using special functions. We explore the Kw-normal, Kw-gamma, Kw-beta, Kw-t, and Kw-F distributions. These expressions are given as infinite weighted linear combinations of well-known special functions for which numerical routines are readily available.     

Entropy-Based Moment Selection in the Presence of Weak Identification

Hall et al. (2007 Hall , A. R. , Inoue , A. , Jana , K. , Shin , C. (2007). Information in generalized method of moments estimation and entropy based moment selection. Journal of Econometrics 138:488–512.[Crossref] , [Google Scholar]) propose a method for moment selection based on an information criterion that is a function of the entropy of the limiting distribution of the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) estimator. They establish the consistency of the method subject to certain conditions that include the identification of the parameter vector by at least one of the moment conditions being considered. In this article, we examine the limiting behavior of this moment selection method when the parameter vector is weakly identified by all the moment conditions being considered. It is shown that the selected moment condition is random and hence not consistent in any meaningful sense. As a result, we propose a two-step procedure for moment selection in which identification is first tested using a statistic proposed by Stock and Yogo (2003 Stock , J. H. , Yogo , M. ( 2003 ). Testing for weak instruments in linear IV regression . Discussion paper, Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA . [Google Scholar]) and then only if this statistic indicates identification does the researcher proceed to the second step in which the aforementioned information criterion is used to select moments. The properties of this two-step procedure are contrasted with those of strategies based on either using all available moments or using the information criterion without the identification pre-test. The performances of these strategies are compared via an evaluation of the finite sample behavior of various methods for inference about the parameter vector. The inference methods considered are based on the Wald statistic, Anderson and Rubin's (1949 Anderson , T. W. , Rubin , H. ( 1949 ). Estimation of the parameters of a single equation in a complete system of stochastic equations . Annals of Mathematical Statistics 20 : 46 – 63 .[Crossref] , [Google Scholar]) statistic, Kleibergen (2002 Kleibergen , F. ( 2002 ). Pivotal statistics for testing structural parameters in instrumenatl variables regression . Econometrica 70 : 1781 – 1803 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) K statistic, and combinations thereof in which the choice is based on the outcome of the test for weak identification.     

Computing the Exact Fisher Information Matrix of Periodic State-Space Models

The purpose of this article is to develop algorithms for computing the exact Fisher information matrix of periodic time-varying state-space models. We first present a relatively simple recursive algorithm which computes the elements of the exact information matrix without involving numerical differentiation, since all required derivatives are analytically evaluated. The proposed algorithm extends the procedure due to Cavanaugh and Shumway (1996 Cavanaugh , J. E. , Shumway , R. H. ( 1996 ). On computing the expected Fisher information matrix for state-space model parameters . Statist. Probab. Lett. 26 : 347 – 355 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) to the periodic state-space framework. Exploiting the approach used in Klein et al. (2000 Klein , A. , Mélard , G. , Zahaf , T. ( 2000 ). Construction of the exact Fisher information matrix of Gaussian time series models by means of matrix differential rules . Linear Alg. Applic. 321 : 209 – 232 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), a second algorithm is proposed in order to obtain the exact information matrix as a whole instead of element by element. The algorithms are first developed in a general framework and then specialized to the case of a periodic Gaussian vector autoregressive moving-average (PVARMA) model.     

A New Estimator of Population Mean in Stratified Sampling

Kadilar and Cingi (2005 Kadilar , C. , Cingi , H. ( 2005 ). A new ratio estimator in stratified sampling . Comm. Statist. Theory Meth. 34 : 1 – 6 . [CSA] [Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) have suggested a new ratio estimator in stratified sampling. The efficiency of this estimator is compared with the traditional combined ratio estimator on the basis of mean square error (MSE). We propose another estimator by utilizing a simple transformation introduced by Bedi (1996 Bedi , P. K. ( 1996 ). Efficient utilization of auxiliary information at estimation stage . Biomet. J. 38 ( 8 ): 973 – 976 . [CSA] [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). The proposed estimator is found to be more efficient than the traditional combined ratio estimator as well as the Kadilar and Cingi (2005 Kadilar , C. , Cingi , H. ( 2005 ). A new ratio estimator in stratified sampling . Comm. Statist. Theory Meth. 34 : 1 – 6 . [CSA] [Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) ratio estimator.     

A Variance Estimator for Systematic Sampling from a Deliberately Ordered Population

ABSTRACT

The systematic sampling (SYS) design (Madow and Madow, 1944 Madow , L. H. , Madow , W. G. ( 1944 ). On the theory of systematic sampling . Ann. Math. Statist. 15 : 1 – 24 .[Crossref] , [Google Scholar]) is widely used by statistical offices due to its simplicity and efficiency (e.g., Iachan, 1982 Iachan , R. ( 1982 ). Systematic sampling a critical review . Int. Statist. Rev. 50 : 293 – 303 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). But it suffers from a serious defect, namely, that it is impossible to unbiasedly estimate the sampling variance (Iachan, 1982 Iachan , R. ( 1982 ). Systematic sampling a critical review . Int. Statist. Rev. 50 : 293 – 303 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) and usual variance estimators (Yates and Grundy, 1953 Yates , F. , Grundy , P. M. ( 1953 ). Selection without replacement from within strata with probability proportional to size . J. Roy. Statist. Soc. Series B 1 : 253 – 261 . [Google Scholar]) are inadequate and can overestimate the variance significantly (Särndal et al., 1992 Särndal , C. E. , Swenson , B. , Wretman , J. H. ( 1992 ). Model Assisted Survey Sampling . New York : Springer-Verlag , Ch. 3 .[Crossref] , [Google Scholar]). We propose a novel variance estimator which is less biased and that can be implemented with any given population order. We will justify this estimator theoretically and with a Monte Carlo simulation study.