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1.
ABSTRACT

This paper reviews and extends the literature on the finite sample behavior of tests for sample selection bias. Monte Carlo results show that, when the “multicollinearity problem” identified by Nawata (1993 Nawata , K. ( 1993 ). A note on the estimation of models with sample-selection biases . Economics Letters 42 : 1524 . [CSA] [CROSSREF] [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) is severe, (i) the t-test based on the Heckman–Greene variance estimator can be unreliable, (ii) the Likelihood Ratio test remains powerful, and (iii) nonnormality can be interpreted as severe sample selection bias by Maximum Likelihood methods, leading to negative Wald statistics. We also confirm previous findings (Leung and Yu, 1996 Leung , S. F. , Yu , S. ( 1996 ). On the choice between sample selection and two-part models . Journal of Econometrics 72 : 197229 . [CSA] [CROSSREF] [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) that the standard regression-based t-test (Heckman, 1979 Heckman , J. J. ( 1979 ). Sample selection bias as a specification error . Econometrica 47 : 153161 . [CSA] [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) and the asymptotically efficient Lagrange Multiplier test (Melino, 1982 Melino , A. ( 1982 ). Testing for sample selection bias . Review of Economic Studies 49 : 151153 . [CSA] [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]), are robust to nonnormality but have very little power.  相似文献   

2.
In reliability theory or survival analysis, selecting the largest mean among many exponential distributions is an important issue. Such a problem can also be viewed as a model selection problem via the Bayesian approach. It is well known that Bayes factors under proper priors have been very successful in Bayesian model selection or testing problems. However, Bayes factors are typically invalid with respect to improper noninformative priors. Objective Bayesian criteria are thus desired. In this work, we consider to use the expected posterior priors originally proposed by Pérez and Berger (2002 Pérez , J. M. , Berger , J. ( 2002 ). Expected posterior prior distributions for model selection . Biometrika 89 : 491512 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) to select the largest exponential mean. Specific expected posterior priors are derived in recursive formulas. Some simulation results are also given to illustrate the method.  相似文献   

3.
Srivastava (1984 Srivastava , M. S. ( 1984 ). A measure of skewness and kurtosis and a graphical method for assessing multivariate normality . Statist. Probab. Lett. 2 ( 5 ): 263267 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) defined a measure of multivariate kurtosis and derived its asymptotic distribution for samples from a multivariate normal population. Some new results are obtained by generalizing Srivastava's theorem to an asymptotic expansion up to higher order. Finally, two numerical examples are presented.  相似文献   

4.
Under Stein's loss, a class of improved estimators for the scale parameter of a mixture of exponential distribution with unknown location is constructed. The method is analogous to Maruyama's (1998 Maruyama , Y. ( 1998 ). Minimax estimators of a normal variance . Metrika 48 : 209214 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) construction for the variance of a normal distribution and also an extension of the result produced in Petropoulos and Kourouklis (2002 Petropoulos , C. , Kourouklis , S. ( 2002 ). A class of improved estimators for the scale parameter of an exponential distribution with unknown location . Commun. Statist. Theor. Meth. 31 : 325335 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]). Also, robustness properties are considered.  相似文献   

5.
《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2012,41(16-17):3198-3210
The randomized response (RR) technique with two decks of cards proposed by Odumade and Singh (2009 Odumade , O. , Singh , S. ( 2009 ). Efficient use of two deck of cards in randomized response sampling . Commun. Statist. Theor. Meth. 38 : 439446 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) can always be made more efficient than the RR techniques proposed by Warner (1965 Warner , S. L. ( 1965 ). Randomize response: A survey technique for eliminating evasive answer bias . J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 60 : 6369 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]), Mangat and Singh (1990 Mangat , N. S. , Singh , R. ( 1990 ). An alternative randomized response procedure . Biometrika 77 : 349442 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]), and Mangat (1994 Mangat , N. S. ( 1994 ). An improved randomized response strategy . J. Roy. Statist. Soc. B 56 : 9395 . [Google Scholar]) by adjusting the proportion of cards in the decks. The proposed method of Odumade and Singh (2009 Odumade , O. , Singh , S. ( 2009 ). Efficient use of two deck of cards in randomized response sampling . Commun. Statist. Theor. Meth. 38 : 439446 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) is limited to simple random sampling with replacement (SRSWR) sampling only. In this article, generalization of Odumade and Singh strategy is provided for complex survey designs and a wider class of estimators. The results of Odumade and Singh (2009 Odumade , O. , Singh , S. ( 2009 ). Efficient use of two deck of cards in randomized response sampling . Commun. Statist. Theor. Meth. 38 : 439446 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) can be derived from the proposed method as a special case.  相似文献   

6.
The role of uniformity measured by the symmetric L 2-discrepancy given in Hickernell (1998 Hickernell , F. J. (1998). A generalized discrepancy and quadrature error bound. Math. Computat. 67:299322.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) has been studied in fractional factorial designs. The issue of lower bounds on the symmetric L 2-discrepancy is crucial in the construction of uniform designs. This article reports some new lower bounds on the symmetric L 2-discrepancy for symmetric fractional factorials and for a set of asymmetric fractional factorials. It is valuable to use these lower bounds to measure uniformity of given designs.  相似文献   

7.
We extend the approach of Walker (2003 Walker , S. ( 2003 ). On sufficient conditions for Bayesian consistency . Biometrika 90 ( 2 ): 482488 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]); (2004 Walker , S. ( 2004 ). New approaches to Bayesian consistency . Ann. Statist. 32 ( 5 ): 20282043 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) to the case of misspecified models. A sufficient condition for establishing rates of convergence is given based on a key identity involving martingales, which does not require construction of tests. We also show roughly that the result obtained by using tests can also be obtained by our approach, which demonstrates the potential wider applicability of this method.  相似文献   

8.
ABSTRACT

With an increasing number of replication studies performed in psychological science, the question of how to evaluate the outcome of a replication attempt deserves careful consideration. Bayesian approaches allow to incorporate uncertainty and prior information into the analysis of the replication attempt by their design. The Replication Bayes factor, introduced by Verhagen and Wagenmakers (2014 Verhagen, J., and Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2014), “Bayesian Tests to Quantify the Result of a Replication Attempt,” Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 143, 14571475. DOI: 10.1037/a0036731.[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]), provides quantitative, relative evidence in favor or against a successful replication. In previous work by Verhagen and Wagenmakers (2014 Verhagen, J., and Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2014), “Bayesian Tests to Quantify the Result of a Replication Attempt,” Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 143, 14571475. DOI: 10.1037/a0036731.[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]), it was limited to the case of t-tests. In this article, the Replication Bayes factor is extended to F-tests in multigroup, fixed-effect ANOVA designs. Simulations and examples are presented to facilitate the understanding and to demonstrate the usefulness of this approach. Finally, the Replication Bayes factor is compared to other Bayesian and frequentist approaches and discussed in the context of replication attempts. R code to calculate Replication Bayes factors and to reproduce the examples in the article is available at https://osf.io/jv39h/.  相似文献   

9.
Griliches and Hausman 5 Griliches, Z. and Hausman, J. A. 1986. Errors in variables in panel data. J. Econometrics, 32: 93118. [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar] and Wansbeek 11 Wansbeek, T. J. 2001. GMM estimation in panel data models with measurement error. J. Econometrics, 104: 259268. [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar] proposed using the generalized method of moments (GMM) to obtain consistent estimators in linear regression models for longitudinal data with measurement error in one covariate, without requiring additional validation or replicate data. For usefulness of this methodology, we must extend it to the more realistic situation where more than one covariate are measured with error. Such an extension is not straightforward, since measurement errors across different covariates may be correlated. By a careful construction of the measurement error correlation structure, we are able to extend Wansbeek's GMM and show that the extended Griliches and Hausman's GMM is equivalent to the extended Wansbeek's GMM. For illustration, we apply the extended GMM to data from two medical studies, and compare it with the naive method and the method assuming only one covariate having measurement error.  相似文献   

10.
This article is related with the probabilistic and statistical properties of an parametric extension of the so-called epsilon-skew-normal (ESN) distribution introduced by Mudholkar and Hutson (2000 Mudholkar , G. S. , Hutson , A. D. ( 2000 ). The epsilon-skew-normal distribution for analyzing near-normal data . J. Statist. Plann. Infer. 83 : 291309 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]), which considers an additional shape parameter in order to increase the flexibility of the ESN distribution. Also, this article concerns likelihood inference about the parameters of the new class. In particular, the information matrix of the maximum likelihood estimators is obtained, showing that it is non singular in the special normal case. Finally, the statistical methods are illustrated with two examples based on real datasets.  相似文献   

11.
We consider a new generalization of the skew-normal distribution introduced by Azzalini (1985 Azzalini , A. ( 1985 ). A class of distributions which includes the normal ones . Scand. J. Statis. 12 ( 2 ): 171178 .[Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]). We denote this distribution Beta skew-normal (BSN) since it is a special case of the Beta generated distribution (Jones, 2004 Jones , M. C. ( 2004 ). Families of distributions of order statistics . Test 13 ( 1 ): 143 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]). Some properties of the BSN are studied. We pay attention to some generalizations of the skew-normal distribution (Bahrami et al., 2009 Bahrami , W. , Agahi , H. , Rangin , H. ( 2009 ). A two-parameter Balakrishnan skew-normal distribution . J. Statist. Res. Iran 6 : 231242 . [Google Scholar]; Sharafi and Behboodian, 2008 Sharafi , M. , Behboodian , J. ( 2008 ). The Balakrishnan skew-normal density . Statist. Pap. 49 : 769778 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]; Yadegari et al., 2008 Yadegari , I. , Gerami , A. , Khaledi , M. J. ( 2008 ). A generalization of the Balakrishnan skew-normal distribution . Statist. Probab. Lett. 78 : 11651167 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) and to their relations with the BSN.  相似文献   

12.
ABSTRACT

The systematic sampling (SYS) design (Madow and Madow, 1944 Madow , L. H. , Madow , W. G. ( 1944 ). On the theory of systematic sampling . Ann. Math. Statist. 15 : 124 .[Crossref] [Google Scholar]) is widely used by statistical offices due to its simplicity and efficiency (e.g., Iachan, 1982 Iachan , R. ( 1982 ). Systematic sampling a critical review . Int. Statist. Rev. 50 : 293303 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]). But it suffers from a serious defect, namely, that it is impossible to unbiasedly estimate the sampling variance (Iachan, 1982 Iachan , R. ( 1982 ). Systematic sampling a critical review . Int. Statist. Rev. 50 : 293303 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) and usual variance estimators (Yates and Grundy, 1953 Yates , F. , Grundy , P. M. ( 1953 ). Selection without replacement from within strata with probability proportional to size . J. Roy. Statist. Soc. Series B 1 : 253261 . [Google Scholar]) are inadequate and can overestimate the variance significantly (Särndal et al., 1992 Särndal , C. E. , Swenson , B. , Wretman , J. H. ( 1992 ). Model Assisted Survey Sampling . New York : Springer-Verlag , Ch. 3 .[Crossref] [Google Scholar]). We propose a novel variance estimator which is less biased and that can be implemented with any given population order. We will justify this estimator theoretically and with a Monte Carlo simulation study.  相似文献   

13.
ABSTRACT

We consider the change point problem in a general class of distributions, and derive a test statistic T n which reduces to the statistic obtained by Kander and Zacks (1966 Kander , Z. , Zacks , S. ( 1966 ). Test procedure for possible changes in parameter of statistical distributions occurring at unknown time points. Ann. Math. Statist. 37 : 11961210 . [CSA] [Crossref] [Google Scholar]) for the exponential family. Properties of the test, including its asymptotic distribution, are discussed.  相似文献   

14.
Extending the results in Sargan (1976 Sargan , J. D. ( 1976 ). Econometric estimators and the Edgeworth approximation . Econometrica 44 : 421448 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) and Tanaka (1984 Tanaka , K. ( 1984 ). An asymptotic expansion associated with the maximum likelihood estimators in ARMA models . J. Roy. Statist. Soc. B 46 : 5867 . [Google Scholar]), we derive the asymptotic expansions of the distribution, the bias and the mean squared error of the MM and QML estimators of the first-order autocorrelation and the MA parameter for the MA(1) model. It turns out that the asymptotic properties of the estimators depend on whether the mean of the process is known or estimated. A comparison of the moment expansions, either in terms of bias or MSE, reveals that there is not uniform superiority of neither of the estimators, when the mean of the process is estimated. This is also confirmed by simulations. In the zero-mean case, and on theoretical grounds, the QMLEs are superior to the MM ones in both bias and MSE terms. We also discuss how the approximations are affected by moderate deviations from the unit root case. The results presented here are important for bias correction and increasing the efficiency of the estimators.  相似文献   

15.
We develop a series of Bayesian statistical models for estimating survival of a neotropic didelphid marsupial, the Brazilian gracile mouse opossum (Gracilinanus microtarsus). These models are based on the Cormack–Jolly–Seber model (Cormack, 1964 Cormack , R. M. ( 1964 ). Estimates of survival from the sighting of marked animals . Biometrika 51 : 429438 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]; Jolly 1965 Jolly , G. M. ( 1965 ). Explicit estimates from capture-recapture data with both death and immigration stochastic model . Biometrika 52 : 225247 .[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]; Seber 1965 Seber , G. A. F. ( 1965 ). A note on the multiple recapture census . Biometrika 52 : 249259 .[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) with both survival and recapture rates expressed as a function of covariates using a logit link. The proposed models allow taking into account heterogeneity in capture probability caused by the existence of different groups of individuals in the population. The models were applied to two cohorts (Cohort, 2000, 2001) with the first one including 14 and the second one 15 sampling occasions. The best models for each of the cohorts indicate that G. microtarsus is best described as partially semelparous, a condition in which mortality after the first mating is high but graded over time, with a fraction of males surviving for a second breeding season (Boonstra, 2005 Boonstra , R. ( 2005 ). Equipped for life: the adaptive role of the stress axis in male mammals . Journal of Mammalogy 86 : 236247 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]).  相似文献   

16.
In Bayesian Inference it is often desirable to have a posterior density reflecting mainly the information from sample data. To achieve this purpose it is important to employ prior densities which add little information to the sample. We have in the literature many such prior densities, for example, Jeffreys (1967 Jeffreys , H. ( 1967 ). Theory of Probability , 3rd rev. ed. . London : Oxford University Press . [Google Scholar]), Lindley (1956 Lindley , D. V. ( 1956 ). On a measure of the information provided by an experiment . Ann. Mathemat. Statist. 27 : 9861005 .[Crossref] [Google Scholar]); (1961 Lindley , D. V. ( 1961 ). The use of prior probability distributions in statistical inference and decisions . In: Neyman , J. , ed. Proceedings of the Fourth Berkeley Symposium on Mathematical Statistics and Probability . Vol. 1. Berkeley : University of California Press , pp. 453468 . [Google Scholar]), Hartigan (1964 Hartigan , J. ( 1964 ). Invariant priors distributions . Ann. Mathemat. Statist. 35 : 836845 .[Crossref] [Google Scholar]), Bernardo (1979 Bernardo , J. M. ( 1979 ). Reference posterior distributions for Bayesian inference . J. Roy. Statist. Soc. 41 ( 2 ): 113147 . [Google Scholar]), Zellner (1984 Zellner , A. ( 1984 ). Maximal Data Information Prior Distributions, Basic Issues in Econometrics . Chicago : University of Chicago Press . [Google Scholar]), Tibshirani (1989 Tibshirani , R. ( 1989 ). Noninformative priors for one parameters of many . Biometrika 76 : 604608 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]), etc. In the present article, we compare the posterior densities of the reliability function by using Jeffreys, the maximal data information (Zellner, 1984 Zellner , A. ( 1984 ). Maximal Data Information Prior Distributions, Basic Issues in Econometrics . Chicago : University of Chicago Press . [Google Scholar]), Tibshirani's, and reference priors for the reliability function R(t) in a Weibull distribution.  相似文献   

17.
In this article, we propose a new nonparametric test for detecting umbrella alternatives. It is designed to improve the power of Pan (1996 Pan , G. ( 1996 ). Distribution-free tests for umbrella alternatives . Communications in Statistics—Theory and Methods 25 ( 12 ): 31853194 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar])'s test, which is based on the breakdown of umbrella alternatives into a union of simple-ordered alternatives. Distribution-free tests are proposed in the case where the peak of the umbrella is unknown. Some actual data examples and the results of a Monte Carlo power study are also discussed.  相似文献   

18.
In this article, we find designs insensitive to the presence of an outlier in a diallel cross design setup for estimating a complete set of orthonormal contrasts among the effects of the general combining abilities of a set of parental lines. The criterion of robustness, suggested by Mandal (1989 Mandal , N. K. ( 1989 ). On robust designs . Cal. Stat. Assoc. Bull. 38 : 115119 . [Google Scholar]) in block design setup and used by Biswas (2012 Biswas , A. ( 2012 ). Block designs robust against the presence of an aberration in a treatment-control setup . Commun. Statist. Theor. Meth. 41 : 920933 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) in treatment-control setup, is adapted here. Complete diallel cross designs, suggested by Gupta and Kageyama (1994 Gupta , S. , Kageyama , S. ( 1994 ). Optimal complete diallel crosses . Biometrika 81 : 420424 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]), and partial diallel cross designs, suggested by Gupta et al. (1995 Gupta , S. , Das , A. , Kageyama , S. ( 1995 ). Single replicate orthogonal block designs for circulant partial diallel crosses . Commun. Statist. A 24 : 26012607 .[Taylor & Francis Online] [Google Scholar]) and Mukerjee (1997 Mukerjee , R. ( 1997 ). Optimal partial diallel crosses . Biometrika 84 : 939948 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]), are found to be robust under certain conditions.  相似文献   

19.
A proposed method based on frailty models is used to identify longitudinal biomarkers or surrogates for a multivariate survival. This method is an extention of earlier models by Wulfsohn and Tsiatis (1997 Wulfsohn , M. S. , Tsiatis , A. A. ( 1997 ). A joint model for survival and longitudinal data measured with error . Biometrics 53 ( 1 ): 330339 .[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) and Song et al. (2002 Song , X. , Davidian , M. , Tsiatis , A. A. ( 2002 ). A Semiparametric likelihood approach to joint modeling of longitudinal and time-to-event data . Biometrics 58 ( 4 ): 742753 .[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]). In this article, similar to Henderson et al. (2002 Henderson , R. , Diggle , P. J. , Dobson , A. ( 2002 ). Identification and efficacy of longitudinal markers for survival . Biostatistics 3 ( 1 ): 3350 .[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]), a joint likelihood function combines the likelihood functions of the longitudinal biomarkers and the multivariate survival times. We use simulations to explore how the number of individuals, the number of time points per individual and the functional form of the random effects from the longitudianl biomarkers influence the power to detect the association of a longitudinal biomarker and the multivariate survival time. The proposed method is illustrate by using the gastric cancer data.  相似文献   

20.
This article presents results concerning the performance of both single equation and system panel cointegration tests and estimators. The study considers the tests developed in Pedroni (1999 Pedroni , P. ( 1999 ). Critical values for cointegration tests in heterogeneous panels with multiple regressors . Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 61 : 653670 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar], 2004 Pedroni , P. ( 2004 ). Panel cointegration. Asymptotic and finite sample properties of pooled time series tests with an application to the PPP hypothesis . Econometric Theory 20 : 597625 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]), Westerlund (2005 Westerlund , J. ( 2005 ). New simple tests for panel cointegration . Econometric Reviews 24 : 297316 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]), Larsson et al. (2001 Larsson , R. , Lyhagen , J. , Löthgren , M. ( 2001 ). Likelihood-based cointegration tests in heterogeneous panels . Econometrics Journal 4 : 109142 .[Crossref] [Google Scholar]), and Breitung (2005 Breitung , J. ( 2005 ). A parametric approach to the estimation of cointegration vectors in panel data . Econometric Reviews 24 : 151173 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) and the estimators developed in Phillips and Moon (1999 Phillips , P. C. B. , Moon , H. R. ( 1999 ). Linear regression limit theory for nonstationary panel data . Econometrica 67 : 10571111 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]), Pedroni (2000 Pedroni , P. ( 2000 ). Fully modified OLS for heterogeneous cointegrated panels . In: Baltagi , B. H. , ed. Nonstationary Panels, Panel Cointegration, and Dynamic Panels . Amsterdam : Elsevier , pp. 93130 .[Crossref] [Google Scholar]), Kao and Chiang (2000 Kao , C. , Chiang , M.-H. ( 2000 ). On the estimation and inference of a cointegrated regression in panel data . In: Baltagi , B. H. , ed. Nonstationary Panels, Panel Cointegration, and Dynamic Panels . Amsterdam : Elsevier , pp. 179222 .[Crossref] [Google Scholar]), Mark and Sul (2003 Mark , N. C. , Sul , D. ( 2003 ). Cointegration vector estimation by panel dynamic OLS and long-run money demand . Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 65 : 655680 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]), Pedroni (2001 Pedroni , P. ( 2001 ). Purchasing power parity tests in cointegrated panels . Review of Economics and Statistics 83 : 13711375 . [Google Scholar]), and Breitung (2005 Breitung , J. ( 2005 ). A parametric approach to the estimation of cointegration vectors in panel data . Econometric Reviews 24 : 151173 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]). We study the impact of stable autoregressive roots approaching the unit circle, of I(2) components, of short-run cross-sectional correlation and of cross-unit cointegration on the performance of the tests and estimators. The data are simulated from three-dimensional individual specific VAR systems with cointegrating ranks varying from zero to two for fourteen different panel dimensions. The usual specifications of deterministic components are considered.  相似文献   

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