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1.
    
The fitting of Lévy processes is an important field of interest in both option pricing and risk management. In literature, a large number of fitting methods requiring adequate initial values at the start of the optimization procedure exists. A so-called simplified method of moments (SMoM) generates by assuming a symmetric distribution these initial values for the Variance Gamma process, whereby the idea behind can be easily transferred to the Normal Inverse Gaussian process. However, the characteristics of the Generalized Hyperbolic process prevent such an easy adaption. Therefore, we provide by applying a Taylor series approximation for the modified Bessel function of the third kind, a Tschirnhaus transformation and a symmetric distribution assumption, a SMOM for the Generalized Hyperbolic distribution. Our simulation study compares the results of our SMoM with the results of the maximum likelihood estimation. The results show that our proposed approach is an appropriate and useful way for estimating Generalized Hyperbolic process parameters and significantly reduces estimation time.  相似文献   

2.
    
We propose a variational mode decomposition approach to estimate the variance function in a nonparametric heteroscedastic fixed design regression model. A data-driven estimator is constructed by applying variational mode decomposition technique to the difference-based initial estimates. The numerical results show that the proposed estimator performs better than the existing variance estimation procedures in the mean square sense.  相似文献   

3.
    
In this article we study inferences for a class of linear models under heteroscedasticity. Using the generalized inference approach, we obtain the generalized p-values of two-sided hypotheses for the multi-dimensional location parameters and one-sided hypotheses for the scale parameters, respectively. Some frequentist properties in small-sample cases and large-sample cases are proven.  相似文献   

4.
    
Testing equality of regression coefficients in several regression models is a common problem encountered in many applied fields. This article presents a parametric bootstrap (PB) approach and compares its performance to that of another simulation-based approach, namely, the generalized variable approach. Simulation studies indicate that the PB approach controls the Type I error rates satisfactorily regardless of the number of regression models and sample sizes whereas the generalized variable approach tends to be very liberal as the number of regression models goes up. The proposed PB approach is illustrated using a data set from stability study.  相似文献   

5.
    
The generalized Pareto distribution (GPD) has been widely used to model exceedances over a threshold. This article generalizes the method of generalized probability weighted moments, and applies this method to estimate the parameters of GPD. The estimator is computationally easy. Some asymptotic results of this method are provided. Two simulations are carried out to investigate the behavior of this method and to compare them with other methods suggested in the literature. The simulation results show that the performance of the proposed method is better than some other methods. Finally, this method is applied to analyze a real-life data.  相似文献   

6.
7.
ABSTRACT

In this article, we propose an approach for incorporating continuous and discrete original outcome distributions into the usual exponential family regression models. The new approach is an extension of the works of Suissa (1991 Suissa, S. (1991). Binary methods for continuous outcomes: A parametric alternative. J. Clin. Epidemiol. 44:241248.[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) and Suissa and Blais (1995 Suissa, S., Blais, L. (1995). Binary regression with continuous outcomes. Stat. Med. 14:247255.[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]), which present methods to estimate the risk of an event defined in a sample subspace of an original continuous outcome variable. Simulation studies are presented in order to illustrate the performance of the developed methodology. Real data sets are analyzed by using the proposed models.  相似文献   

8.
    
In this article, a new class of variance function estimators is proposed in the setting of heteroscedastic nonparametric regression models. To obtain a variance function estimator, the main proposal is to smooth the product of the response variable and residuals as opposed to the squared residuals. The asymptotic properties of the proposed methodology are investigated in order to compare its asymptotic behavior with that of the existing methods. The finite sample performance of the proposed estimator is studied through simulation studies. The effect of the curvature of the mean function on its finite sample behavior is also discussed.  相似文献   

9.
Between–within models are generalized linear mixed models (GLMMs) for clustered data that incorporate a random intercept together with fixed effects for within-cluster and between-cluster covariates; the between-cluster covariates represent the cluster means of the within-cluster covariates. One popular use of these models is to adjust for confounding of the effect of within-cluster covariates due to unmeasured between-cluster covariates. Previous research has shown via simulations that using this approach can yield inconsistent estimators. We present theory and simulations as evidence that a primary cause of the inconsistency is heteroscedasticity of the linearized version of the GLMM used for estimation.  相似文献   

10.
    
This article provides an empirical investigation of the risk-neutral variance process and the market price of variance risk implied in the foreign-currency options market. There are three principal contributions. First, the parameters of Heston's mean-reverting square-root stochastic volatility model are estimated using dollar/mark option prices from 1987 to 1992. Second, it is shown that these implied parameters can be combined with historical moments of the dollar/mark exchange rate to deduce an estimate of the market price of variance risk. These estimates are found to be nonzero, time varying, and of sufficient magnitude to imply that the compensation for variance risk is a significant component of the risk premia in the currency market. Finally, the out-of-sample test suggests that the historical variance and the Hull and White implied variance contain no more information than that imbedded in the Heston implied variance.  相似文献   

11.
    
This article is aimed at reviewing a novel Bayesian approach to handle inference and estimation in the class of generalized nonlinear models. These models include some of the main techniques of statistical methodology, namely generalized linear models and parametric nonlinear regression. In addition, this proposal extends to methods for the systematic treatment of variation that is not explicitly predicted within the model, through the inclusion of random effects, and takes into account the modeling of dispersion parameters in the class of two-parameter exponential family. The methodology is based on the implementation of a two-stage algorithm that induces a hybrid approach based on numerical methods for approximating the likelihood to a normal density using a Taylor linearization around the values of current parameters in an MCMC routine.  相似文献   

12.
Heteroscedasticity testing has a long history and is still an important matter in the linear model. There exist many types of tests, but they are limited in use to their own specific cases and sensitive to normality. Here, we propose a dimension test approach to heteroscedasticity. The proposed test overcomes the shortcomings of the existing methods, so that it is robust to normality and is unified in sense that it is applicable in the linear model with multi-dimensional response. Numerical studies confirm that the proposed test is favorable over the existing tests with moderate sample sizes, and real data analysis is presented.  相似文献   

13.
This article examines confidence intervals for the single coefficient of variation and the difference of coefficients of variation in the two-parameter exponential distributions, using the method of variance of estimates recovery (MOVER), the generalized confidence interval (GCI), and the asymptotic confidence interval (ACI). In simulation, the results indicate that coverage probabilities of the GCI maintain the nominal level in general. The MOVER performs well in terms of coverage probability when data only consist of positive values, but it has wider expected length. The coverage probabilities of the ACI satisfy the target for large sample sizes. We also illustrate our confidence intervals using a real-world example in the area of medical science.  相似文献   

14.
In the framework of the Engle-type (G)ARCH models, I demonstrate that there is a family of symmetric and asymmetric density functions for which the asymptotic efficiency of the semiparametric estimator is equal to the asymptotic efficiency of the maximum likelihood estimator. This family of densities is bimodal (except for the normal). I also chracterize the solution to the problem of minimizing the mean squared distance between the parametric score and the semiparametric score in order to search for unimodal densities for which the semiparametric estimator is likely to perform well. The LaPlace density function emerges as one of these cases.  相似文献   

15.
Many estimation procedures have been proposed for estimating variance components in unbalanced factorial models. A large proportion of these are based on the solution to a system of linear equations obtained from a set of quadratic forms and their expected value. This paper will present a numerical study of the small sample variance of eight variance component estimators of this type. The variances will be compared to the Bhattacharyya lower bound for unbiased estimators.  相似文献   

16.
We propose to use a general mixing distribution in modeling the heterogeneity of the fecundability of couples. We introduce a sequence of parameters called canonical moments, which is in one to one correspondence with the moments, to characterize the mixing distribution. By using the bootstrap method, we can estimate the standard errors of our estimates. Our method modifies the usual moment estimates so that the resulting mixing distribution is always supported on [0, 1]. Moreover, the downward bias of the moment estimate of the number of support points would be reduced. Our approach can be used for censored data. The application of our technique in finding the sterile subpopulation is also discussed. The theory is illustrated with several data examples and simulations.  相似文献   

17.
    
Based on progressive Type-I hybrid censored data, statistical analysis in constant-stress accelerated life test (CS-ALT) for generalized exponential (GE) distribution is discussed. The maximum likelihood estimates (MLEs) of the parameters and the reliability function are obtained with EM algorithm, as well as the observed Fisher information matrix, the asymptotic variance-covariance matrix of the MLEs, and the asymptotic unbiased estimate (AUE) of the scale parameter. Confidence intervals (CIs) for the parameters are derived using asymptotic normality of MLEs and percentile bootstrap (Boot-p) method. Finally, the point estimates and interval estimates of the parameters are compared separately through the Monte-Carlo method.  相似文献   

18.
    
Understanding multivariate variability is a difficult task because there is no single measure that can be properly used. This article presents a new measure that features good properties. If this measure is simultaneously used with generalized variance, it will give a better understanding of multivariate variability. It can also efficiently be used for large data sets with high dimensions. Furthermore, when it is used for constructing a Shewhart-type chart to monitor multivariate variability, the resulting chart has a much better out-of-control ARL than the generalized variance chart. An example illustrates its advantage.  相似文献   

19.
    
New robust estimates for variance components are introduced. Two simple models are considered: the balanced one-way classification model with a random factor and the balanced mixed model with one random factor and one fixed factor. However, the method of estimation proposed can be extended to more complex models. The new method of estimation we propose is based on the relationship between the variance components and the coefficients of the least-mean-squared-error predictor between two observations of the same group. This relationship enables us to transform the problem of estimating the variance components into the problem of estimating the coefficients of a simple linear regression model. The variance-component estimators derived from the least-squares regression estimates are shown to coincide with the maximum-likelihood estimates. Robust estimates of the variance components can be obtained by replacing the least-squares estimates by robust regression estimates. In particular, a Monte Carlo study shows that for outlier-contaminated normal samples, the estimates of variance components derived from GM regression estimates and the derived test outperform other robust procedures.  相似文献   

20.
    
This article evaluates the performance of two estimators namely, the Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) and Whittle's Estimator (WE), through a simulation study for the Generalised Autoregressive (GAR) model.

As expected, it is found that for the parameters α and σ2, the MLE and WE have a better performance than Method of Moments (MOM) estimator. For the parameter δ, MOM sometimes appears to have a slightly better performance than MLE and WE, possibly due to truncation approximations associated with the hypergeometric functions for calculating the autocorrelation function. However, the MLE and WE can be used in practice without loss of efficiency.  相似文献   

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