Analyzing Hybrid Randomized Response Data with a Binomial Selection Procedure

The operating characteristics (OCs) of an indifference-zone ranking and selection procedure are derived for randomized response binomial data. The OCs include tables and figures to facilitate tradeoffs between sample size and a stated probability of a correct selection, i.e., correctly identifying the binomial population (out of k ≥ 2) characterized by the largest probability of success. Measures of efficiency are provided to assist the analyst in selection of an appropriate randomized response design for the collection of the data. A hybrid randomized response model, which includes the Warner model and the Greenberg et al. model, is introduced to facilitate comparisons among a wider range of statistical designs than previously available. An example comparing failure rates of contraceptive methods is used to illustrate the use of these new results.     

Tuning Parameter Selection in Cox Proportional Hazards Model with a Diverging Number of Parameters

Regularized variable selection is a powerful tool for identifying the true regression model from a large number of candidates by applying penalties to the objective functions. The penalty functions typically involve a tuning parameter that controls the complexity of the selected model. The ability of the regularized variable selection methods to identify the true model critically depends on the correct choice of the tuning parameter. In this study, we develop a consistent tuning parameter selection method for regularized Cox's proportional hazards model with a diverging number of parameters. The tuning parameter is selected by minimizing the generalized information criterion. We prove that, for any penalty that possesses the oracle property, the proposed tuning parameter selection method identifies the true model with probability approaching one as sample size increases. Its finite sample performance is evaluated by simulations. Its practical use is demonstrated in The Cancer Genome Atlas breast cancer data.     

Exact Bayesian Inference and Model Selection for Stochastic Models of Epidemics Among a Community of Households

Abstract.  Much recent methodological progress in the analysis of infectious disease data has been due to Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methodology. In this paper, it is illustrated that rejection sampling can also be applied to a family of inference problems in the context of epidemic models, avoiding the issues of convergence associated with MCMC methods. Specifically, we consider models for epidemic data arising from a population divided into households. The models allow individuals to be potentially infected both from outside and from within the household. We develop methodology for selection between competing models via the computation of Bayes factors. We also demonstrate how an initial sample can be used to adjust the algorithm and improve efficiency. The data are assumed to consist of the final numbers ultimately infected within a sample of households in some community. The methods are applied to data taken from outbreaks of influenza.