Comparison among non parametric prediction intervals of order statistics

Abstract

In this article, we are interested in conducting a comparison study between different non parametric prediction intervals of order statistics from a future sample based on an observed order statistics. Typically, coverage probabilities of well-known non parametric prediction intervals may not reach the preassigned probability levels. Moreover, prediction intervals for predicting future order statistics are no longer available in some cases. For this, we propose different methods involving random indices and fractional order statistics. In each case, we find the optimal prediction intervals. Numerical computations are presented to assess the performances of the so-obtained intervals. Finally, a real-life data set is presented and analyzed for illustrative purposes.     

Prediction of order statistics and record values from two independent sequences

In this paper, we discuss the problem of predicting future order statistics based on observed record values and similarly, the prediction of future records based on observed order statistics. The coverage probabilities of these intervals are exact and are free of the parent distribution F. Finally, two data sets are used to illustrate the proposed procedures.     

Domains of attraction of asymptotic distributions of extreme generalized order statistics

Abstract

In extreme value theory for ordinary order statistics, there are many results that characterize the domains of attraction of the three extreme value distributions. In this article, we consider a subclass of generalized order statistics for which also three types of limit distributions occur. We characterize the domains of attraction of these limit distributions by means of necessary and/or sufficient conditions for an underlying distribution function to belong to the respective domain of attraction. Moreover, we compare the domains of attraction of the limit distributions for extreme generalized order statistics with the domains of attraction of the extreme value distributions.     

Simulation of Balakrishnan skew-normal order statistics

ABSTRACT

The novel Balakrishnan skew-normal distribution introduced in 2008 has received considerable interest. Here, we derive stochastic representations for simulating order statistics of the novel Balakrishnan skew-normal distribution. The resulting algorithms are more efficient than the ordinary sorting algorithm.     

Nonparametric Prediction Intervals Based on Ranked Set Samples

In this article, we develop nonparametric prediction intervals based on generalized ranked set samples using conditional as well as unconditional approaches. The predictions are developed for order statistics from a future sample as well as for order statistics from a future balanced ranked set sample. The effects of ranking errors on the coverage probabilities of these prediction intervals are also examined.     

Bayesian prediction of order statistics with fixed and random sample sizes based on k-record values from Pareto distribution

In this paper, the two-parameter Pareto distribution is considered and the problem of prediction of order statistics from a future sample and that of its geometric mean are discussed. The Bayesian approach is applied to construct predictors based on observed k-record values for the cases when the future sample size is fixed and when it is random. Several Bayesian prediction intervals are derived. Finally, the results of a simulation study and a numerical example are presented for illustrating all the inferential procedures developed here.     

Generalized order statistic processes and Pfeifer records

We introduce a uniform generalized order statistic process. It is a simple Markov process whose initial segment can be identified with a set of uniform generalized order statistics. A standard marginal transformation leads to a generalized order statistic process related to non-uniform generalized order statistics. It is then demonstrated that the nth variable in such a process has the same distribution as an nth Pfeifer record value. This process representation of Pfeifer records facilitates discussion of the possible limit laws for Pfeifer records and, in some cases, of sums thereof. Because of the close relationship between Pfeifer records and generalized order statistics, the results shed some light on the problem of determining the nature of the possible limiting distributions of the largest generalized order statistic.     

Sharp Bounds for Generalized Order Statistics via Logarithmic Moments

ABSTRACT

We present sharp bounds for expectations of generalized order statistics with random indices. The bounds are expressed in terms of logarithmic moments E X ^a (log max {1, X}) ^b of the underlying observation X. They are attainable and provide characterizations of some non trivial distributions. No restrictions are imposed on the parameters of the generalized order statistics model.     

On moments of dual generalized order statistics from Topp-Leone distribution

In this paper, we have derived exact and explicit expressions for the ratio and inverse moments of dual generalized order statistics from Topp-Leone distribution. This result includes the single and product moments of order statistics and lower records . Further, based on n dual generalized order statistics, we have deduced the expression for Maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) and Uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimator (UMVUE) for the shape parameter of Topp-Leone distribution. Finally, based on order statistics and lower records, a simulation study is being carried out to check the efficiency of these estimators.     

A new family of generalized distributions

Kumaraswamy [Generalized probability density-function for double-bounded random-processes, J. Hydrol. 462 (1980), pp. 79–88] introduced a distribution for double-bounded random processes with hydrological applications. For the first time, based on this distribution, we describe a new family of generalized distributions (denoted with the prefix ‘Kw’) to extend the normal, Weibull, gamma, Gumbel, inverse Gaussian distributions, among several well-known distributions. Some special distributions in the new family such as the Kw-normal, Kw-Weibull, Kw-gamma, Kw-Gumbel and Kw-inverse Gaussian distribution are discussed. We express the ordinary moments of any Kw generalized distribution as linear functions of probability weighted moments (PWMs) of the parent distribution. We also obtain the ordinary moments of order statistics as functions of PWMs of the baseline distribution. We use the method of maximum likelihood to fit the distributions in the new class and illustrate the potentiality of the new model with an application to real data.     

Characterizations of geometric distribution through progressively Type-II right-censored order statistics

In this paper, we consider characterizations of geometric distribution based on some properties of progressively Type-II right-censored order statistics. Specifically, we establish characterizations through conditional expectation, identical distribution, and independence of functions of progressively Type-II right-censored order statistics. Moreover, extensions of these results to generalized order statistics are also sketched. These generalize the corresponding results known for the case of ordinary order statistics.     

Joint Moment Generating Functions of Nonadjacent Dual Generalized Order Statistics from Reflected Generalized Pareto Distributions

In this article, a class of reflected generalized Pareto distributions (cf. Burkschat et al., 2003 Burkschat , M. , Cramer , E. , Kamps , U. ( 2003 ). Dual generalized order statistics . Metron LXI ( 1 ): 13 – 26 . [Google Scholar]) is considered. Recurrence relations for joint moment generating functions of higher non adjacent dual generalized order statistics based on a random sample drawn from the considered class are derived. Higher joint moments of non adjacent dual generalized order statistics (reversed ordered order statistics and lower k-records as special cases) are obtained. Recurrence relations for single and product moment generating functions and moments of higher non adjacent dual generalized order statistics are derived. Some results of higher moments of non adjacent generalized order statistics from generalized Pareto distributions (cf. Johnson et al., 1995 Johnson , N. L. , Kotz , S. , Balakrishnan , N. ( 1995 ). Continuous Univariate Distributions. , 2nd ed. Vol. 2. New York : Wiley & Sons . [Google Scholar]), are obtained by using a relation connecting higher moments of generalized order statistics and its dual.     

Bayesian estimation and prediction based on generalized Type-II hybrid censored sample

ABSTRACT

In this paper, we consider a general form for the underlying distribution and a general conjugate prior, and develop a general procedure for deriving the maximum likelihood and Bayesian estimators based on an observed generalized Type-II hybrid censored sample. The problems of predicting the future order statistics from the same sample and that from a future sample are also discussed from a Bayesian viewpoint. For the illustration of the developed results, the exponential and Pareto distributions are used as examples. Finally, two numerical examples are presented for illustrating all the inferential procedures developed here.     

Exact Non-Parametric Confidence, Prediction and Tolerance Intervals with Progressive Type-II Censoring

Abstract.  This article extends recent results [Scand. J. Statist. 28 (2001) 699] about exact non-parametric inferences based on order statistics with progressive type-II censoring. The extension lies in that non-parametric inferences are now covered where the dependence between involved order statistics cannot be circumvented. These inferences include: (a) tolerance intervals containing at least a specified proportion of the parent distribution, (b) prediction intervals containing at least a specified number of observations in a future sample, and (c) outer and/or inner confidence intervals for a quantile interval of the parent distribution. The inferences are valid for any parent distribution with continuous distribution function. The key result shows how the probability of an event involving k dependent order statistics that are observable/uncensored with progressive type-II censoring can be represented as a mixture with known weights of corresponding probabilities involving k dependent ordinary order statistics. Further applications/developments concerning exact Kolmogorov-type confidence regions are indicated.     

Recurrence relations for single and product moments of progressively Type-II censored order statistics from a generalized half-logistic distribution with application to inference

In this paper, we establish several recurrence relations for the single and product moments of progressively Type-II right-censored order statistics from a generalized half-logistic distribution. The use of these relations in a systematic recursive manner enables the computation of all the means, variances, and covariances of progressively Type-II right-censored order statistics from the generalized half-logistic distribution for all sample sizes n, effective sample sizes m, and all progressive censoring schemes (R ₁, …, R _m ). The results established here generalize the corresponding results for the usual order statistics due to Balakrishnan and Sandhu [Recurrence relations for single and product moments of order statistics from a generalized half-logistic distribution with applications to inference, J. Stat. Comput. Simul. 52 (1995), pp. 385–398.]. The moments so determined are then utilized to derive the best linear unbiased estimators of the scale and location–scale parameters of the generalized half-logistic distribution. The best linear unbiased predictors of censored failure times are discussed briefly. Finally, a numerical example is presented to illustrate the inferential method developed here.     

Conditional confidence interval estimation for the inverse weibull distribution based on censored generalized order statistics

This paper is concerned with the problem of obtaining the conditional confidence intervals for the parameters and reliability of the inverse Weibull distribution based on censored generalized order statistics, which are more general than the existing results in the literature. The coverage rate and the mean length of intervals have been obtained for different values of the shape parameter, via Monte Carlo simulation. Finally a numerical example is given to illustrate the inferential methods developed in this paper.     

A NOTE ON MOMENTS OF PROGRESSIVELY TYPE II CENSORED ORDER STATISTICS

ABSTRACT

Upper and lower bounds for moments of progressively Type II censored order statistics in terms of moments of (progressively Type II censored) order statistics are derived. In particular, this yields conditions for the existence of moments of progressively Type II censored order statistics based on an absolutely continuous distribution function.     

Non-parametric predictive inference for future order statistics

This article presents non-parametric predictive inference for future order statistics. Given the data consisting of n real-valued observations, m future observations are considered and predictive probabilities are presented for the rth-ordered future observation. In addition, joint and conditional probabilities for events involving multiple future order statistics are presented. The article further presents the use of such predictive probabilities for order statistics in statistical inference, in particular considering pairwise and multiple comparisons based on two or more independent groups of data.     

Exact Non-parametric Confidence Intervals for Quantiles with Progressive Type-II Censoring

It is shown how various exact non-parametric inferences based on order statistics in one or two random samples can be generalized to situations with progressive type-II censoring, which is a kind of evolutionary right censoring. Ordinary type-II right censoring is a special case of such progressive censoring. These inferences include confidence intervals for a given parent quantile, prediction intervals for a given order statistic of a future sample, and related two-sample inferences based on exceedance probabilities. The proposed inferences are valid for any parent distribution with continuous distribution function. The key result is that each observable uncensored order statistic that becomes available with progressive type-II censoring can be represented as a mixture with known weights of underlying ordinary order statistics. The importance of this mixture representation lies in that various properties of such observable order statistics can be deduced immediately from well-known properties of ordinary order statistics.     

Fisher information in generalized order statistics

A representation of the Fisher information in generalized order statistics in terms of the hazard rate of the underlying distribution function is derived under mild regularity conditions. This expression supplements results for complete, Type-II censored, and progressively Type-II censored data. As a byproduct, we find a hazard rate based representation for samples of k-records which apparently has not been known so far. Moreover, sufficient conditions for the validity of this representation in location and scale family settings are given. The result is illustrated by considering generalized order statistics based on logistic, Laplace, and extreme value distributions.