Bayesian estimation under a mixture of the Burr type XII distribution and its reciprocal

The Bayesian estimation for the parameters of the finite mixture of the Burr type XII distribution with its reciprocal are obtained based on the type-I censored data. The Bayes estimators are computed based on squared error and Linex loss functions and using the idea of Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm. Based on the Monte Carlo simulation, Bayes estimators are compared with their corresponding maximum-likelihood estimators.     

Estimation with the generalized exponential distribution based on record values and inter-record times

The maximum likelihood and Bayesian approaches have been considered for the two-parameter generalized exponential distribution based on record values with the number of trials following the record values (inter-record times). The maximum likelihood estimates are obtained under the inverse sampling and the random sampling schemes. It is shown that the maximum likelihood estimator of the shape parameter converges in mean square to the true value when the scale parameter is known. The Bayes estimates of the parameters have been developed by using Lindley's approximation and the Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods due to the lack of explicit forms under the squared error and the linear-exponential loss functions. The confidence intervals for the parameters are constructed based on asymptotic and Bayesian methods. The Bayes and the maximum likelihood estimators are compared in terms of the estimated risk by the Monte Carlo simulations. The comparison of the estimators based on the record values and the record values with their corresponding inter-record times are performed by using Monte Carlo simulations.     

Estimation and prediction of the Kumaraswamy distribution based on record values and inter-record times

ABSTRACT

The maximum likelihood and Bayesian approaches for estimating the parameters and the prediction of future record values for the Kumaraswamy distribution has been considered when the lower record values along with the number of observations following the record values (inter-record-times) have been observed. The Bayes estimates are obtained based on a joint bivariate prior for the shape parameters. In this case, Bayes estimates of the parameters have been developed by using Lindley's approximation and the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method due to the lack of explicit forms under the squared error and the linear-exponential loss functions. The MCMC method has been also used to construct the highest posterior density credible intervals. The Bayes and the maximum likelihood estimates are compared by using the estimated risk through Monte Carlo simulations. We further consider the non-Bayesian and Bayesian prediction for future lower record values arising from the Kumaraswamy distribution based on record values with their corresponding inter-record times and only record values. The comparison of the derived predictors are carried out by using Monte Carlo simulations. Real data are analysed for an illustration of the findings.     

E-Bayesian estimation for the proportional hazard rate model based on record values

In this article, a new parameter estimation method, named E-Bayesian method, is considered to obtain the estimates of the unknown parameter and reliability function based on record values. The maximum likelihood, Bayesian, E-Bayesian, and hierarchical Bayesian estimates of the unknown parameter and reliability function are obtained when the underlying distribution belongs to the proportional hazard rate model. The Bayesian estimates are obtained based on squared error and linear-exponential loss functions. The previously obtained some relations for the E-Bayesian estimates are improved. The relationship between E-Bayesian and hierarchical Bayesian estimations are obtained under the same loss functions. The comparison of the derived estimates are carried out by using Monte Carlo simulations. Real data are analyzed for an illustration of the findings.     

Estimation and prediction of the Burr type XII distribution based on record values and inter-record times

The maximum likelihood and Bayesian approaches for parameter estimations and prediction of future record values have been considered for the two-parameter Burr Type XII distribution based on record values with the number of trials following the record values (inter-record times). Firstly, the Bayes estimates are obtained based on a joint bivariate prior for the shape parameters. In this case, the Bayes estimates of the parameters have been developed by using Lindley's approximation and the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method due to the lack of explicit forms under the squared error and the linear-exponential loss functions. The MCMC method has been also used to construct the highest posterior density credible intervals. Secondly, the Bayes estimates are obtained with respect to a discrete prior for the first shape parameter and a conjugate prior for other shape parameter. The Bayes and the maximum likelihood estimates are compared in terms of the estimated risk by the Monte Carlo simulations. We further consider the non-Bayesian and Bayesian prediction for future lower record arising from the Burr Type XII distribution based on record data. The comparison of the derived predictors is carried out by using Monte Carlo simulations. A real data are analysed for illustration purposes.     

Estimators for the Finite Mixture of Rayleigh Model Based on Progressively Censored Data

In this article, based on progressively Type-II censored samples from a heterogeneous population that can be represented by a finite mixture of two-component Rayleigh lifetime model, the problem of estimating the parameters and some lifetime parameters (reliability and hazard functions) are considered. Both Bayesian and maximum likelihood estimators are of interest. A class of natural conjugate prior densities is considered in the Bayesian setting. The Bayes estimators are obtained using both the symmetric (squared error) loss function, and the asymmetric (LINEX and General Entropy) loss functions. It has been seen that the estimators obtained can be easily evaluated for this type of censoring by using suitable numerical methods. Finally, the performance of the estimates have been compared on the basis of their simulated maximum square error via a Monte Carlo simulation study.     

E-Bayesian and hierarchical Bayesian estimations for the system reliability parameter based on asymmetric loss function

This paper explores properties of the E-Bayesian and hierarchical Bayesian estimations of the system reliability parameter. E-Bayesian estimation and hierarchical Bayesian estimation of Pascal distribution's parameter under two loss function, LINEX loss function and entropy loss function can be found. We obtained limits of that the E-Bayesian estimation and hierarchical Bayesian estimation are equal. A Monte Carlo simulation is used to compare performances of the two methods.     

Estimating E-bayesian and hierarchical bayesian of scalar parameter of gompertz distribution under type II censoring schemes based on fuzzy data

In this study, the E-Bayesian and hierarchical Bayesian of the scalar parameter of a Gompertz distribution under Type II censoring schemes were estimated based on fuzzy data under the squared error (SE) loss function and the efficiency of the proposed methods was compared with each other and with the Bayesian estimator using Monte Carlo simulation.     

The E-Bayesian and hierarchical Bayesian estimations for the proportional reversed hazard rate model based on record values

In this paper, E-Bayesian and hierarchical Bayesian estimations of the shape parameter, when the underlying distribution belongs to the proportional reversed hazard rate model, are considered. Maximum likelihood, Bayesian and E-Bayesian estimates of the unknown parameter and reliability function are obtained based on record values. The Bayesian estimates are derived based on squared error and linear–exponential loss functions. It is pointed out that some previously obtained order relations of E-Bayesian estimates are inadequate and these results are improved. The relationship between E-Bayesian and hierarchical Bayesian estimations is obtained under the same loss functions. The comparison of the derived estimates is carried out by using Monte Carlo simulations. A real data set is analysed for an illustration of the findings.     

基于逆跳MCMC的贝叶斯分位自回归模型研究

考虑到传统信息理论方法确定模型存在不足,在贝叶斯理论框架下提出了基于逆跳马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗法确定分位自回归模型阶次的方法。在时间序列服从非对称Laplace分布的条件下,设计了马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗数值计算程序,得到了不同分位数下模型参数的贝叶斯估计值。实证研究表明：基于逆跳马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗法的贝叶斯分位自回归模型能有效地揭示滞后变量对响应变量的位置、尺度和形状的影响。     

Curtailed Bayesian sampling plans for exponential distributions based on Type-II censored samples

This paper studies the problem of designing a curtailed Bayesian sampling plan (CBSP) with Type-II censored data. We first derive the Bayesian sampling plan (BSP) for exponential distributions based on Type-II censored samples in a general loss function. For the conjugate prior with quadratic loss function, an explicit expression for the Bayes decision function is derived. Using the property of monotonicity of the Bayes decision function, a new Bayesian sampling plan modified by the curtailment procedure, called a CBSP, is proposed. It is shown that the risk of CBSP is less than or equal to that of BSP. Comparisons among some existing BSPs and the proposed CBSP are given. Monte Carlo simulations are conducted, and numerical results indicate that the CBSP outperforms those early existing sampling plans if the time loss is considered in the loss function.     

Bayesian inference and prediction of order statistics for a Type-II censored Weibull distribution

This paper describes the Bayesian inference and prediction of the two-parameter Weibull distribution when the data are Type-II censored data. The aim of this paper is twofold. First we consider the Bayesian inference of the unknown parameters under different loss functions. The Bayes estimates cannot be obtained in closed form. We use Gibbs sampling procedure to draw Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) samples and it has been used to compute the Bayes estimates and also to construct symmetric credible intervals. Further we consider the Bayes prediction of the future order statistics based on the observed sample. We consider the posterior predictive density of the future observations and also construct a predictive interval with a given coverage probability. Monte Carlo simulations are performed to compare different methods and one data analysis is performed for illustration purposes.     

Estimation for the generalized half-normal distribution based on progressive type-II censoring

Based on progressively type-II censored data, the problem of estimating unknown parameters and reliability function of a two-parameter generalized half-normal distribution is considered. Maximum likelihood estimates are obtained by applying expectation-maximization algorithm. Since they do not have closed forms, approximate maximum likelihood estimators are proposed. Several Bayesian estimates with respect to different symmetric and asymmetric loss functions such as squared error, LINEX and general entropy are calculated. The Lindley approximation method is applied to determine Bayesian estimates. Monte Carlo simulations are performed to compare the performances of the different methods. Finally, one real data set is analysed.     

Robust Bayesian estimation of a two-parameter exponential distribution under generalized Type-I progressive hybrid censoring

A generalized Type-I progressive hybrid censoring scheme was proposed recently to overcome the limitations of the progressive hybrid censoring scheme. In this article, we provide a robust Bayesian method to estimate the unknown parameters of the two-parameter exponential distribution of a generalized Type-I progressive hybrid censored sample. For each parameter, we derive the marginal posterior density functions and the corresponding Bayesian estimators under the squared error loss function. To assess the proposed method, Monte Carlo simulations are performed using a real dataset.     

log-logistic survival estimation based on failure-censored data

Approximations of the Bayesian estimators of the survival function based on the censored data of the log-logistic distribution are obtained under squared-error and log-odds squared-error loss functions. A numerical example is presented. Through a Monte Carlo simulation study, the behavior of the approximations found by Tierney & Kadane and Lindley are compared with a method suggested by Weiss & Howlader.     

Estimation based on progressive first-failure censoring from exponentiated exponential distribution

In this paper, point and interval estimations for the parameters of the exponentiated exponential (EE) distribution are studied based on progressive first-failure-censored data. The Bayes estimates are computed based on squared error and Linex loss functions and using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm. Also, based on this censoring scheme, approximate confidence intervals for the parameters of EE distribution are developed. Monte Carlo simulation study is carried out to compare the performances of the different methods by computing the estimated risks (ERs), as well as Akaike's information criteria (AIC) and Bayesian information criteria (BIC) of the estimates. Finally, a real data set is introduced and analyzed using EE and Weibull distributions. A comparison is carried out between the mentioned models based on the corresponding Kolmogorov–Smirnov (K–S) test statistic to emphasize that the EE model fits the data with the same efficiency as the other model. Point and interval estimation of all parameters are studied based on this real data set as illustrative example.     

Bayesian inference based on a jointly type-II censored sample from two exponential populations

In this paper, based on a jointly type-II censored sample from two exponential populations, the Bayesian inference for the two unknown parameters are developed with the use of squared-error, linear-exponential and general entropy loss functions. The problem of predicting the future failure times, both point and interval prediction, based on the observed joint type-II censored data, is also addressed from a Bayesian viewpoint. A Monte Carlo simulation study is conducted to compare the Bayesian estimators with the maximum likelihood estimator developed by Balakrishnan and Rasouli [Exact likelihood inference for two exponential populations under joint type-II censoring. Comput Stat Data Anal. 2008;52:2725–2738]. Finally, a numerical example is utilized for the purpose of illustration.     

Robust Bayesian estimation of a bathtub-shaped distribution under progressive Type-II censoring

The bathtub-shaped failure rate function has been used for modeling the life spans of a number of electronic and mechanical products, as well as for modeling the life spans of humans, especially when some of the data are censored. This article addresses robust methods for the estimation of unknown parameters in a two-parameter distribution with a bathtub-shaped failure rate function based on progressive Type-II censored samples. Here, a class of flexible priors is considered by using the hierarchical structure of a conjugate prior distribution, and corresponding posterior distributions are obtained in a closed-form. Then, based on the square error loss function, Bayes estimators of unknown parameters are derived, which depend on hyperparameters as parameters of the conjugate prior. In order to eliminate the hyperparameters, hierarchical Bayesian estimation methods are proposed, and these proposed estimators are compared to one another based on the mean squared error, through Monte Carlo simulations for various progressively Type-II censoring schemes. Finally, a real dataset is presented for the purpose of illustration.     

The E-Bayesian and hierarchical Bayesian estimations of Pareto distribution parameter under different loss functions

In this paper, we study the E-Bayesian and hierarchical Bayesian estimations of the parameter derived from Pareto distribution under different loss functions. The definition of the E-Bayesian estimation of the parameter is provided. Moreover, for Pareto distribution, under the condition of the scale parameter is known, based on the different loss functions, formulas of the E-Bayesian estimation and hierarchical Bayesian estimations for the shape parameter are given, respectively, properties of the E-Bayesian estimation – (i) the relationship between of E-Bayesian estimations under different loss functions are provided, (ii) the relationship between of E-Bayesian and hierarchical Bayesian estimations under the same loss function are also provided, and using the Monte Carlo method simulation example is given. Finally, combined with the golfers income data practical problem are calculated, the results show that the proposed method is feasible and convenient for application.     

On progressively censored generalized inverted exponential distribution

A generalized version of inverted exponential distribution (IED) is considered in this paper. This lifetime distribution is capable of modeling various shapes of failure rates, and hence various shapes of aging criteria. The model can be considered as another useful two-parameter generalization of the IED. Maximum likelihood and Bayes estimates for two parameters of the generalized inverted exponential distribution (GIED) are obtained on the basis of a progressively type-II censored sample. We also showed the existence, uniqueness and finiteness of the maximum likelihood estimates of the parameters of GIED based on progressively type-II censored data. Bayesian estimates are obtained using squared error loss function. These Bayesian estimates are evaluated by applying the Lindley's approximation method and via importance sampling technique. The importance sampling technique is used to compute the Bayes estimates and the associated credible intervals. We further consider the Bayes prediction problem based on the observed samples, and provide the appropriate predictive intervals. Monte Carlo simulations are performed to compare the performances of the proposed methods and a data set has been analyzed for illustrative purposes.