Permutation Matrix with Application to Optimal Invariant Quadratic Prediction in Finite Populations

In this article, we primarily aim to apply the permutation matrix techniques to the problem of the optimal invariant quadratic prediction in a finite population. An alternative to the work of Liu and Rong (2007 Liu , X. , Rong , J. ( 2007 ). Quadratic prediction problems in finite populations . Statist. Probab. Lett. 77 : 483 – 489 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) is offered. In addition, we derive the OIQP for the population variance and show that it has less PMSE than the ordinary optimal unbiased predictor.     

On Quadratic Forms of Multivariate t Distribution with Applications

This note mainly aims to illustrate that some quadratic problems are robust in a sense with respect to the probabilistic distributions involved. The secondary moments of the quadratic forms of a multivariate t distribution are calculated. Then, the resulting formulae are applied to the quadratic problems of quadratic sufficiency and quadratic prediction. It is shown by revisiting the two problems that the same conclusions hold when the multivariate normal distribution is replaced with a multivariate t distribution.     

Best quadratic predictions in finite populations

For a finite population and the resulting linear model Y=Xβ+e, the problem of the optimal invariant quadratic predictors including optimal invariant quadratic unbiased predictor and optimal invariant quadratic (potentially) biased predictor for the population quadratic quantities, f(H)=Y′HY , is of interest and has been previously considered in the literature for the case of HX=0. However, the special case does not contain all of situations at all. So, predicting f(H) in general situations may be of particular interest. In this paper, we make an effort to investigate how to offer a good predictor for f(H), not restricted yet to the mentioned case. Permutation matrix techniques play an important role in handling the process. The expected predictors are finally derived. In addition, we mention that the resulting predictors can be viewed as acceptable in all situations.     

Estimation and prediction in the presence of an outlier under Type-II censoring

A single-outlier data set containing some independent random variables is considered such that all of observations expect one have the same distribution. To describe the model of interested, a location-scale family of distributions is used and the estimation problem of the parameters is studied when the data are collected under Type-II censoring scheme. Moreover, three different predictors are presented to predict the censored order statistics. They are also compared regarding both of mean squared prediction error and Pitman's measure of closeness criteria. The role of outlier parameter as well as censorship rate is studied on performance of proposed estimator and predictors. The results of the paper are illustrated via a real data set. Finally, some conclusions are stated.     

Stein rule prediction of the composite target function in a general linear regression model

This paper considers the problem of simultaneous prediction of the actual and average values of the dependent variable in a general linear regression model. Utilizing the philosophy of Stein rule procedure, a family of improved predictors for a linear function of the actual and expected value of the dependent variable for the forecast period has been proposed. An unbiased estimator for the mean squared error (MSE) matrix of the proposed family of predictors has been obtained and dominance of the family of Stein rule predictors over the best linear unbiased predictor (BLUP) has been established under a quadratic loss function.