MSE performance and minimax regret significance points for a HPT estimator under a multivariate t error distribution

In this article, assuming that the error terms follow a multivariate t distribution,we derive the exact formulae forthe moments of the heterogeneous preliminary test (HPT) estimator proposed by Xu (2012b Xu, H. (2012b). MSE performance and minimax regret significance points for a HPT estimator when each individual regression coefficient is estimated. Commun. Stat. Theory Methods 42:2152–2164.[Taylor &; Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). We also execute the numerical evaluation to investigate the mean squared error (MSE) performance of the HPT estimator and compare it with those of the feasible ridge regression (FRR) estimator and the usual ordinary least squared (OLS) estimator. Further, we derive the optimal critical values of the preliminary F test for the HPT estimator, using the minimax regret function proposed by Sawa and Hiromatsu (1973 Sawa, T., Hiromatsu, T. (1973). Minimax regret significance points for a preliminary test in regression analysis. Econometrica 41:1093–1101.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). Our results show that (1) the optimal significance level (α*) increases as the degrees of freedom of multivariate t distribution (ν₀) increases; (2) when ν₀ ? 10, the value of α* is close to that in the normal error case.     

On the Preliminary Test Backfitting and Speckman Estimators in Partially Linear Models and Numerical Comparisons

Przystalski and Krajewski (2007 Przystalski , M. , Krajewski , P. ( 2007 ). Constrained estimators of treatment parameters in semiparametric models . Statist. Probab. Lett. 77 : 914 – 919 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) proposed the restricted backfitting (RBCF) estimator and restricted Speckman (RSPC) estimator for the treatment effects in a partially linear model when some additional exact linear restrictions are assumed to hold. In this article, we introduce the preliminary test backfitting (PTBCF) estimator and preliminary test Speckman (PTSPC) estimator when the validity of the restrictions is suspected. Performances of the proposed estimators are examined with respect to the mean squared error (MSE) criterion. In addition, numerical behaviors of the proposed estimators are illustrated and compared via a Monte Carlo simulation study.     

From Ordinary to Shrinkage Square-Root Estimators

Consider a skewed population. Suppose an intelligent guess could be made about an interval that contains the population mean. There may exist biased estimators with smaller mean squared error than the arithmetic mean within such an interval. This article indicates when it is advisable to shrink the arithmetic mean towards a guessed interval using root estimators. The goal is to obtain an estimator that is better near the average of natural origins. An estimator proposed. This estimator contains the Thompson (1968 Thompson , J. R. ( 1968 ). Accuracy borrowing in the estimation of the mean by shrinkage towards an interval . J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 63 : 953 – 963 . [CSA] [CROSSREF] [Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) ordinary shrinkage estimator, the Jenkins et al. (1973 Jenkins , O. C. , Ringer , L. J. , Hartley , H. O. ( 1973 ). Root estimators . J Amer. Statist. Assoc. 68 : 414 – 419 . [CSA] [CROSSREF] [Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) square-root estimator, and the arithmetic sample mean as special cases. The bias and the mean squared error of the proposed more general estimator is compared with the three special cases. Shrinkage coefficients that yield minimum mean squared error estimators are obtained. The proposed estimator is considerably more efficient than the three special cases. This remains true for highly skewed populations. The merits of the proposed shrinkage square-root estimator are supported by the results of numerical and simulation studies.     

The Exact General Formulas for the Moments of a Ridge Regression Estimator when the Regression Error Terms Follow a Multivariate t Distribution

Huang (1999 Huang , J. C. ( 1999 ). Improving the estimation precision for a selected parameter in multiple regression analysis: an algebraic approach . Econ. Lett. 62 : 261 – 264 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) proposed a feasible ridge regression (FRR) estimator to estimate a specific regression coefficient. Assuming that the error terms follow a normal distribution, Huang (1999 Huang , J. C. ( 1999 ). Improving the estimation precision for a selected parameter in multiple regression analysis: an algebraic approach . Econ. Lett. 62 : 261 – 264 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) examined the small sample properties of the FRR estimator. In this article, assuming that the error terms follow a multivariate t distribution, we derive an exact general formula for the moments of the FRR estimator to estimate a specific regression coefficient. Using the exact general formula, we obtain exact formulas for the bias, mean squared error (MSE), skewness, and kurtosis of the FRR estimator. Since these formulas are very complex, we compare the bias, MSE, skewness, and kurtosis of the FRR estimator with those of ordinary least square (OLS) estimator by numerical evaluations. Our numerical results show that the range of MSE dominance of the FRR estimator over the OLS estimator is widen under a fat tail distributional assumption.     

The Research on Two Kinds of Restricted Biased Estimators Based on Mean Squared Error Matrix

Sakall?oglu et al. (2001 Sakall?oglu , Kaç?ranlar , Akdeniz ( 2001 ). Mean squared error comparisons of some biased estimators . Commun. Statist. Theor. Meth. 30 : 347 – 361 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) dealt with the comparisons among the ridge estimator, Liu estimator, and iteration estimator. Akdeniz and Erol (2003 Akdeniz , F. , Erol , H. ( 2003 ). Mean squared error matrix comparisons of some biased estimators in linear regression . Commun. Statist. Theor. Meth. 32 : 2389 – 2413 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) have compared the (almost unbiased) generalized ridge regression estimator with the (almost unbiased) generalized Liu estimator in the matrix mean squared error sense. In this article, we study the ridge estimator and Liu estimator with respect to linear equality restriction, and establish some sufficient conditions for the superiority of the restricted ridge estimator over the restricted Liu estimator and the superiority of the restricted Liu estimator over the restricted ridge estimator under mean squared error matrix, respectively. Furthermore, we give a numerical example.     

The Restricted and Unrestricted Two-Parameter Estimators

In this article, we introduce a new two-parameter estimator by grafting the contraction estimator into the modified ridge estimator proposed by Swindel (1976 Swindel , B. F. ( 1976 ). Good ridge estimators based on prior information . Commun. Statist. Theor. Meth. A5 : 1065 – 1075 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). This new two-parameter estimator is a general estimator which includes the ordinary least squares, the ridge, the Liu, and the contraction estimators as special cases. Furthermore, by setting restrictions Rβ = r on the parameter values we introduce a new restricted two-parameter estimator which includes the well-known restricted least squares, the restricted ridge proposed by Groß (2003 Groß , J. ( 2003 ). Restricted ridge estimation . Statist. Probab. Lett. 65 : 57 – 64 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), the restricted contraction estimators, and a new restricted Liu estimator which we call the modified restricted Liu estimator different from the restricted Liu estimator proposed by Kaç?ranlar et al. (1999 Kaç?ranlar , S. , Sakall?o?lu , S. , Akdeniz , F. , Styan , G. P. H. , Werner , H. J. ( 1999 ). A new biased estimator in linear regression and a detailed analysis of the widely-analysed dataset on Portland cement . Sankhya Ser. B., Ind. J. Statist. 61 : 443 – 459 . [Google Scholar]). We also obtain necessary and sufficient condition for the superiority of the new two-parameter estimator over the ordinary least squares estimator and the comparison of the new restricted two-parameter estimator to the new two-parameter estimator is done by the criterion of matrix mean square error. The estimators of the biasing parameters are given and a simulation study is done for the comparison as well as the determination of the biasing parameters.     

Estimation of the Mean of a Sensitive Variable in the Presence of Auxiliary Information

Sousa et al. (2010 Sousa , R. , Shabbir , J. , Real , P. C. , Gupta , S. ( 2010 ). Ratio estimation of the mean of a sensitive variable in the presence of auxiliary information . J. Statist. Theor. Prac. 4 ( 3 ): 495 – 507 .[Taylor & Francis Online] , [Google Scholar]) introduced a ratio estimator for the mean of a sensitive variable and showed that this estimator performs better than the ordinary mean estimator based on a randomized response technique (RRT). In this article, we introduce a regression estimator that performs better than the ratio estimator even for modest correlation between the primary and the auxiliary variables. The underlying assumption is that the primary variable is sensitive in nature but a non sensitive auxiliary variable exists that is positively correlated with the primary variable. Expressions for the Bias and MSE (Mean Square Error) are derived based on the first order of approximation. It is shown that the proposed regression estimator performs better than the ratio estimator and the ordinary RRT mean estimator (that does not utilize the auxiliary information). We also consider a generalized regression-cum-ratio estimator that has even smaller MSE. An extensive simulation study is presented to evaluate the performances of the proposed estimators in relation to other estimators in the study. The procedure is also applied to some financial data: purchase orders (a sensitive variable) and gross turnover (a non sensitive variable) in 2009 for a population of 5,336 companies in Portugal from a survey on Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) usage.     

Efficient Ratio and Product Estimators in Stratified Random Sampling

This paper suggests an efficient class of ratio and product estimators for estimating the population mean in stratified random sampling using auxiliary information. It is interesting to mention that, in addition to many, Koyuncu and Kadilar (2009 Koyuncu , N. , Kadilar , C. ( 2009 ). Ratio and product estimators in stratified random sampling . J. Statist. Plann. Infer. 139 : 2552 – 2558 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), Kadilar and Cingi (2003 Kadilar , C. , Cingi , H. ( 2003 ). Ratio estimator in stratified sampling . Biometr. J. 45 : 218 – 225 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar], 2005 Kadilar , C. , Cingi , H. ( 2005 ). A new estimator in stratified random sampling . Commun. Statist. Theor. Meth. 34 : 597 – 602 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), and Singh and Vishwakarma (2007 Singh , H. P. , Vishwakarma , G. K. ( 2007 ). Modified exponential ratio and product estimators for finite population mean in double sampling . Austr. J. Statist. 36 ( 3 ): 217 – 225 . [Google Scholar]) estimators are identified as members of the proposed class of estimators. The expressions of bias and mean square error (MSE) of the proposed estimators are derived under large sample approximation in general form. Asymptotically optimum estimator (AOE) in the class is identified alongwith its MSE formula. It has been shown that the proposed class of estimators is more efficient than combined regression estimator and Koyuncu and Kadilar (2009 Koyuncu , N. , Kadilar , C. ( 2009 ). Ratio and product estimators in stratified random sampling . J. Statist. Plann. Infer. 139 : 2552 – 2558 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) estimator. Moreover, theoretical findings are supported through a numerical example.     

A New Estimator of Population Mean in Stratified Sampling

Kadilar and Cingi (2005 Kadilar , C. , Cingi , H. ( 2005 ). A new ratio estimator in stratified sampling . Comm. Statist. Theory Meth. 34 : 1 – 6 . [CSA] [Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) have suggested a new ratio estimator in stratified sampling. The efficiency of this estimator is compared with the traditional combined ratio estimator on the basis of mean square error (MSE). We propose another estimator by utilizing a simple transformation introduced by Bedi (1996 Bedi , P. K. ( 1996 ). Efficient utilization of auxiliary information at estimation stage . Biomet. J. 38 ( 8 ): 973 – 976 . [CSA] [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). The proposed estimator is found to be more efficient than the traditional combined ratio estimator as well as the Kadilar and Cingi (2005 Kadilar , C. , Cingi , H. ( 2005 ). A new ratio estimator in stratified sampling . Comm. Statist. Theory Meth. 34 : 1 – 6 . [CSA] [Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) ratio estimator.     

Shrinkage Estimators for Prediction Out-of-Sample: Conditional Performance

We find that, in a linear model, the James–Stein estimator, which dominates the maximum-likelihood estimator in terms of its in-sample prediction error, can perform poorly compared to the maximum-likelihood estimator in out-of-sample prediction. We give a detailed analysis of this phenomenon and discuss its implications. When evaluating the predictive performance of estimators, we treat the regressor matrix in the training data as fixed, i.e., we condition on the design variables. Our findings contrast those obtained by Baranchik (1973 Baranchik , A. J. ( 1973 ). Inadmissibility of maximum likelihood estimators in some multiple regression problems with three or more independent variables . Ann. Statist. 1 ( 2 ): 312 – 321 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) and, more recently, by Dicker (2012 Dicker , L. ( 2012 ). Dense signals, linear estimators, and out-of-sample prediction for high-dimensional linear models. arXiv:1102.2952 [math.ST].  [Google Scholar]) in an unconditional performance evaluation.     

A New Two-Parameter Estimator in Linear Regression

This article is concerned with the parameter estimation in linear regression model. To overcome the multicollinearity problem, a new two-parameter estimator is proposed. This new estimator is a general estimator which includes the ordinary least squares (OLS) estimator, the ridge regression (RR) estimator, and the Liu estimator as special cases. Necessary and sufficient conditions for the superiority of the new estimator over the OLS, RR, Liu estimators, and the two-parameter estimator proposed by Ozkale and Kaciranlar (2007 Ozkale , M. R. , Kaciranlar , S. ( 2007 ). The restricted and unrestricted two-parameter estimators . Commun. Statist. Theor. Meth. 36 : 2707 – 2725 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) in the mean squared error matrix (MSEM) sense are derived. Furthermore, we obtain the estimators of the biasing parameters and give a numerical example to illustrate some of the theoretical results.     

On improvement in estimating population mean in stratified random sampling

Gupta and Shabbir 2 Gupta, S. and Shabbir, J. 2008. On improvement in estimating the population mean in simple random sampling. J. Appl. Stat., 35(5): 559–566. [Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar] have suggested an alternative form of ratio-type estimators for estimating the population mean. In this paper, we obtained a corrected version for the mean square error (MSE) of the Gupta–Shabbir estimator, up to first order of approximation, and the optimum case is discussed. We expand this estimator to the stratified random sampling and propose general classes for combined and separate estimators. Also an empirical study is carried out to show the properties of the proposed estimators.     

The Product-Limit Estimate as an Inverse-Probability-Weighted Average

Abstract

For randomly censored data, (Satten, G. A., Datta S. (2001 Satten, G. A. and Datta, S. 2001. The Kaplan–Meier estimator as an inverse-probability-of-censoring weighted average. Amer. Statist. Ass., 55: 207–210. [Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). The Kaplan–Meier estimator as an inverse-probability-of-censoring weighted average. Amer. Statist. Ass. 55:207–210) showed that the Kaplan–Meier estimator (product-limit estimator (PLE)) can be expressed as an inverse-probability-weighted average. In this article, we consider the other two PLEs: the truncation PLE and the censoring-truncation PLE. For the data subject to left-truncation or both left-truncation and right-censoring, it is shown that these two PLEs can be expressed as inverse-probability-weighted averages.     

Combining Unbiased Ridge and Principal Component Regression Estimators

In the presence of multicollinearity problem, ordinary least squares (OLS) estimation is inadequate. To circumvent this problem, two well-known estimation procedures often suggested are the unbiased ridge regression (URR) estimator given by Crouse et al. (1995 Crouse , R. , Jin , C. , Hanumara , R. ( 1995 ). Unbiased ridge estimation with prior information and ridge trace . Commun. Statist. Theor. Meth. 24 : 2341 – 2354 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) and the (r, k) class estimator given by Baye and Parker (1984 Baye , M. , Parker , D. ( 1984 ). Combining ridge and principal component regression: a money demand illustration . Commun. Statist. Theor. Meth. 13 : 197 – 205 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). In this article, we proposed a new class of estimators, namely modified (r, k) class ridge regression (MCRR) which includes the OLS, the URR, the (r, k) class, and the principal components regression (PCR) estimators. It is based on a criterion that combines the ideas underlying the URR and the PCR estimators. The standard properties of this new class estimator have been investigated and a numerical illustration is done. The conditions under which the MCRR estimator is better than the other two estimators have been investigated.     

An efficient integrated nonparametric entropy estimator of serial dependence

ABSTRACT

We propose an efficient numerical integration-based nonparametric entropy estimator for serial dependence and show that the new entropy estimator has a smaller asymptotic variance than Hong and White’s (2005 Hong, Y., White, H. (2005). Asymptotic distribution theory for nonparametric entropy measures of serial dependence. Econometrica 73:837–901.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) sample average-based estimator. This delivers an asymptotically more efficient test for serial dependence. In particular, the uniform kernel gives the smallest asymptotic variance for the numerical integration-based entropy estimator over a class of positive kernel functions. Moreover, the naive bootstrap can be used to obtain accurate inferences for our test, whereas it is not applicable to Hong and White’s (2005 Hong, Y., White, H. (2005). Asymptotic distribution theory for nonparametric entropy measures of serial dependence. Econometrica 73:837–901.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) sample averaging approach. A simulation study confirms the merits of our approach.     

An Estimator for the Survival Function on the Basis of Observable Censoring Times

Abstract

Chiu [Chiu, S. N. (1999 Chiu, S. N. 1999. An unbiased estimator for the survival function of censored data. Commun. Statist. - Theory Meth., 28(9): 2249–2260. [Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). An unbiased estimator for the survival function of censored data. Commun. Statist. - Theory Meth. 28(9):2249–2260.] proposed a nonparametric estimator for the survival function which is based on observable censoring times in the general censoring model. His estimator is less efficient than the Product-Limit estimator. Considering an informative censoring model this drawback can partially be overcome. This is shown by a nonparametric, uniformly consistent estimator based on observable censoring times within the simple Koziol–Green model. Some asymptotic properties of the new estimator are investigated and it is compared with the well-known ACL-estimator.     

Tuning Parameter Selection and Various Good Fitting Characteristics for the Liu-Type Estimator in Linear Regression

Liu (2003 Liu , K. ( 2003 ). Using Liu-Type estimator to combat collinearity . Commun. Statist. Theor. Meth. 32 ( 5 ): 1009 – 1020 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) proposed the Liu-Type estimator (LTE) to combat the well-known multicollinearity problem in linear regression. In this article, various better fitting characteristics of the LTE than those of the ordinary ridge regression estimator (Hoerl and Kennard, 1970 Hoerl , A. E. , Kennard , R. W. ( 1970 ). Ridge regression: Biased estimation for non-orthogonal problems . Technometrics 12 : 55 – 67 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) are considered. In particular, we derived two methods to determine the parameter d for the LTE and find that the ridge parameter k could serve for regularization of an ill-conditioned design matrix, while the other parameter d could be used for tuning the fit quality. In addition, the coefficients of regression, coefficient of multiple determination, residual error variance, and generalized cross validation (GCV) of the prediction quality are very stable, and as the ridge parameter increases they eventually reach asymptotic levels, which produces robust regression models. Furthermore, a Monte Carlo evaluation of these features is also given to illustrate some of the theoretical results.     

Nonparametric Estimation of Volatility Function with Variable Bandwidth Parameter

In this article, we introduce a new method for the volatility function estimation of continuous-time diffusion process dX _t  = μ(X _t )dt + σ(X _t )dW _t , which is based on combining the idea of local linear smoother and variable bandwidth. We give the expressions for the conditional MSE and MISE of the estimator and obtain the optimal variable bandwidth. An explicit formula for the optimal variable bandwidth is presented by minimizing the MISE, which extends the related results in Fan and Gijbels (1992 Fan , J. Q. , Gijbels , I. ( 1992 ). Variable bandwidth and local linear regression smoother . Ann. Statist. 20 ( 4 ): 2008 – 2036 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), etc. Finally, some simulations show that the performance of the proposed estimator with optimal variable bandwidth is often much better than that of the local linear estimator with invariable bandwidth.     

Comments on “Improvement of generalized difference-based mixed Liu estimator in partially linear model”

Abstract

We make some comments about the article of Wu (2018 Wu, J. B. 2018. Improvement of generalized difference-based mixed Liu estimator in partially linear model. Communications in Statistics: Theory and Methods 47 (18):4433–42.[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) and correct the theorems in that article.