Prediction of order statistics and record values based on ordered ranked set sampling

In this paper, we consider two-sample prediction problems. First, based on ordered ranked set sampling (ORSS) introduced by Balakrishnan and Li [Ordered ranked set samples and applications to inference. Ann Inst Statist Math. 2006;58:757–777], we obtain prediction intervals for order statistics from a future sample and compare the results with the one based on the usual-order statistics. Next, we construct prediction intervals for record values from a future sequence based on ORSS and compare the results with the one based on an another independent record sequence developed recently by Ahmadi and Balakrishnan [Prediction of order statistics and record values from two independent sequences. Statistics. 2010;44:417–430].     

Empirical Likelihood Inference for Population Quantiles with Unbalanced Ranked Set Samples

We consider nonparametric interval estimation for the population quantiles based on unbalanced ranked set samples. We derived the large sample distribution of the empirical log likelihood ratio statistic for the quantiles. Approximate intervals for quantiles are obtained by inverting the likelihood ratio statistic. The performance of the empirical likelihood interval is investigated and compared with the performance of the intervals based on the ranked set sample order statistics.     

Bayesian inference and prediction of the Pareto distribution based on ordered ranked set sampling

In this paper, order statistics from independent and non identically distributed random variables is used to obtain ordered ranked set sampling (ORSS). Bayesian inference of unknown parameters under a squared error loss function of the Pareto distribution is determined. We compute the minimum posterior expected loss (the posterior risk) of the derived estimates and compare them with those based on the corresponding simple random sample (SRS) to assess the efficiency of the obtained estimates. Two-sample Bayesian prediction for future observations is introduced by using SRS and ORSS for one- and m-cycle. A simulation study and real data are applied to show the proposed results.     

Comparison among non parametric prediction intervals of order statistics

Abstract

In this article, we are interested in conducting a comparison study between different non parametric prediction intervals of order statistics from a future sample based on an observed order statistics. Typically, coverage probabilities of well-known non parametric prediction intervals may not reach the preassigned probability levels. Moreover, prediction intervals for predicting future order statistics are no longer available in some cases. For this, we propose different methods involving random indices and fractional order statistics. In each case, we find the optimal prediction intervals. Numerical computations are presented to assess the performances of the so-obtained intervals. Finally, a real-life data set is presented and analyzed for illustrative purposes.     

Unbiased Estimation of the Distribution Function of an Exponential Population Using Order Statistics with Application in Ranked Set Sampling

In this paper we consider the problem of unbiased estimation of the distribution function of an exponential population using order statistics based on a random sample. We present a (unique) unbiased estimator based on a single, say ith, order statistic and study some properties of the estimator for i = 2. We also indicate how this estimator can be utilized to obtain unbiased estimators when a few selected order statistics are available as well as when the sample is selected following an alternative sampling procedure known as ranked set sampling. It is further proved that for a ranked set sample of size two, the proposed estimator is uniformly better than the conventional nonparametric unbiased estimator, further, for a general sample size, a modified ranked set sampling procedure provides an unbiased estimator uniformly better than the conventional nonparametric unbiased estimator based on the usual ranked set sampling procedure.     

Bayesian prediction of order statistics with fixed and random sample sizes based on k-record values from Pareto distribution

In this paper, the two-parameter Pareto distribution is considered and the problem of prediction of order statistics from a future sample and that of its geometric mean are discussed. The Bayesian approach is applied to construct predictors based on observed k-record values for the cases when the future sample size is fixed and when it is random. Several Bayesian prediction intervals are derived. Finally, the results of a simulation study and a numerical example are presented for illustrating all the inferential procedures developed here.     

Bayesian prediction of order statistics based on k-record values from exponential distribution

Bayesian prediction of order statistics as well as the mean of a future sample based on observed record values from an exponential distribution are discussed. Several Bayesian prediction intervals and point predictors are derived. Finally, some numerical computations are presented for illustrating all the proposed inferential procedures.     

Prediction intervals for generalized-order statistics with random sample size

The problem of predicting future generalized-order statistics, by assuming the future sample size is a random variable, is discussed. A general expression for the coverage probability of the prediction intervals is derived. Since k-records and progressively type-II censored-order statistics are contained in the model of generalized-order statistics, the corresponding results for them can be deduced as special cases. When the future sample size has degenerate, binomial, Poisson and geometric distributions, numerical computations are given. The procedure for finding an optimal prediction interval is presented for each case. Finally, we apply our results to a real data set in life testing given in Lee and Wang [Statistical methods for survival data analysis. Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley and Sons; 2003, p. 58, Table 3.4] for illustrative the proposed procedure in this paper.     

On concomitants of order statistics arising from the extended Farlie–Gumbel–Morgenstern bivariate logistic distribution and its application in estimation

In this paper, we consider concomitants of order statistics arising from the extended Farlie–Gumbel–Morgenstern bivariate logistic distribution and develop its distribution theory. Using ranked set sample obtained from the above distribution, unbiased estimators of the parameters associated with the study variate involved in it are generated. The best linear unbiased estimators (BLUEs) based on observations in the ranked set sample of those parameters as well have been derived. The efficiencies of the BLUEs relative to the respective unbiased estimators generated also have been evaluated.     

Rank regression in order restricted randomised designs

This paper uses order restricted randomised design (ORRD) to create a judgment ranked blocking factor based on available subjective information in a small set of experimental units (EUs). The design then performs a carefully designed randomisation scheme with certain restriction to assign the treatment levels to EUs across these subjective judgment blocks. Such an assignment induces positive dependence among within-set units, and the restrictions on the randomisation translate this positive dependence into a variance reduction technique. We provide a unified theory to analyse the data sets collected from an ORRD. The analysis uses the general framework of rank regression methodology in linear models, with some modification to our randomisation scheme, to estimate regression parameter and to test general linear hypotheses. It is shown that the estimators and test statistics have limiting normal and chi-square distributions regardless the quality of ranking information. A simulation study shows that the asymptotic results remain valid even for relatively small sample sizes. The proposed tests are applied to a clinical trial data set.     

Inference about the Regression Parameters Using Median-Ranked Set Sampling

The ranked set samples and median ranked set samples in particular have been used extensively in the literature due to many reasons. In some situations, the experimenter may not be able to quantify or measure the response variable due to the high cost of data collection, however it may be easier to rank the subject of interest. The purpose of this article is to study the asymptotic distribution of the parameter estimators of the simple linear regression model. We show that these estimators using median ranked set sampling scheme converge in distribution to the normal distribution under weak conditions. Moreover, we derive large sample confidence intervals for the regression parameters as well as a large sample prediction interval for new observation. Also, we study the properties of these estimators for small sample setup and conduct a simulation study to investigate the behavior of the distributions of the proposed estimators.     

Exact nonparametric confidence,prediction and tolerance intervals based on multi-sample Type-II right censored data

Exact nonparametric inference based on ordinary Type-II right censored samples has been extended here to the situation when there are multiple samples with Type-II censoring from a common continuous distribution. It is shown that marginally, the order statistics from the pooled sample are mixtures of the usual order statistics with multivariate hypergeometric weights. Relevant formulas are then derived for the construction of nonparametric confidence intervals for population quantiles, prediction intervals, and tolerance intervals in terms of these pooled order statistics. It is also shown that this pooled-sample approach assists in achieving higher confidence levels when estimating large quantiles as compared to a single Type-II censored sample with same number of observations from a sample of comparable size. We also present some examples to illustrate all the methods of inference developed here.     

Nonparametric prediction of future order statistics

Prediction of censored order statistics from a Type-II censored sample can be done with trivial bounds having perfect confidence. However, given independent samples from the same absolutely continuous distribution, improved bounds can be attained. In this regard, we develop here point prediction based on L-statistics for predicting order statistics (OS) from a future sample as well as for predicting censored OS from a Type-II censored sample. An example is taken to illustrate these ideas, and the limiting case wherein a single independent sample is arbitrarily large is also discussed.     

Exact inference and prediction for k-sample exponential case under type-ii censoring

The exact inference and prediction intervals for the K-sample exponential scale parameter under doubly Type-II censored samples are derived using an algorithm of Huffer and Lin [Huffer, F.W. and Lin, C.T., 2001, Computing the joint distribution of general linear combinations of spacings or exponen-tial variates. Statistica Sinica, 11, 1141–1157.]. This approach provides a simple way to determine the exact percentage points of the pivotal quantity based on the best linear unbiased estimator in order to develop exact inference for the scale parameter as well as to construct exact prediction intervals for failure times unobserved in the ith sample. Similarly, exact prediction intervals for failure times of units from a future sample can also be easily obtained.     

Precedence tests for equality of two distributions based on early failures of ranked set samples

In this article, two different types of precedence tests, each with two different test statistics, based on ranked set samples for testing the equality of two distributions are discussed. The exact null distributions of proposed test statistics are derived, critical values are tabulated for both set size and number of cycles up to 8, and the exact power functions of these two types of precedence tests under the Lehmann alternative are derived. Then, the power values of these two test procedures and their competitors based on simple random samples and based on ranked set samples are compared under the Lehmann alternative exactly and also under a location-shift alternative by means of Monte Carlo simulations. Finally, the impact of imperfect ranking is discussed and some concluding remarks are presented.     

Bayesian inference and prediction of the Rayleigh distribution based on ordered ranked set sampling

Based on ordered ranked set sample, Bayesian estimation of the model parameter as well as prediction of the unobserved data from Rayleigh distribution are studied. The Bayes estimates of the parameter involved are obtained using both squared error and asymmetric loss functions. The Bayesian prediction approach is considered for predicting the unobserved lifetimes based on a two-sample prediction problem. A real life dataset and simulation study are used to illustrate our procedures.     

Unbiased Estimation of P(X > Y) for Exponential Populations Using Order Statistics with Application in Ranked Set Sampling

This paper addresses the problem of unbiased estimation of P[X > Y] = θ for two independent exponentially distributed random variables X and Y. We present (unique) unbiased estimator of θ based on a single pair of order statistics obtained from two independent random samples from the two populations. We also indicate how this estimator can be utilized to obtain unbiased estimators of θ when only a few selected order statistics are available from the two random samples as well as when the samples are selected by an alternative procedure known as ranked set sampling. It is proved that for ranked set samples of size two, the proposed estimator is uniformly better than the conventional non-parametric unbiased estimator and further, a modified ranked set sampling procedure provides an unbiased estimator even better than the proposed estimator.     

Mean estimate in ranked set sampling using a length-biased concomitant variable

In this paper, a ranked set sampling procedure with ranking based on a length-biased concomitant variable is proposed. The estimate for population mean based on this sample is given. It is proved that the estimate based on ranked set samples is asymptotically more efficient than the estimate based on simple random samples. Simulation studies are conducted to present the properties of the proposed estimate for finite sample size. Moreover, the consequence of ignoring length bias is also addressed by simulation studies and the real data analysis.     

Nonnegative Unbiased Estimation of Scale Parameters and Associated Quantiles Based on a Ranked Set Sample

In this article, we are interested in estimating the scale parameter in location and scale families. It is well known that the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE) of scale parameter based on a simple random sample (SRS) is nonnegative. However, the BLUE of scale parameter based on a ranked set sample (RSS) can assume negative values. We suggest various modifications of BLUE of scale parameter based on RSS so that the resulting estimators are unbiased as well as nonnegative. Their performances in terms of relative efficiencies are compared and some recommendations are made for normal, logistic, double exponential, two-parameter exponential and Weibull distributions. We also briefly discuss an application of the proposed nonnegative BLUE of scale parameter for quantile estimation for the above populations.     

Exact Non-parametric Confidence Intervals for Quantiles with Progressive Type-II Censoring

It is shown how various exact non-parametric inferences based on order statistics in one or two random samples can be generalized to situations with progressive type-II censoring, which is a kind of evolutionary right censoring. Ordinary type-II right censoring is a special case of such progressive censoring. These inferences include confidence intervals for a given parent quantile, prediction intervals for a given order statistic of a future sample, and related two-sample inferences based on exceedance probabilities. The proposed inferences are valid for any parent distribution with continuous distribution function. The key result is that each observable uncensored order statistic that becomes available with progressive type-II censoring can be represented as a mixture with known weights of underlying ordinary order statistics. The importance of this mixture representation lies in that various properties of such observable order statistics can be deduced immediately from well-known properties of ordinary order statistics.