Testing for the Equality of Two Nonparametric Regression Curves with Long Memory Errors

This article discusses the problem of testing the equality of two nonparametric regression functions against two-sided alternatives for uniform design on [0,1] with long memory moving average errors. The standard deviations and the long memory parameters are possibly different for the two errors. The article adapts the partial sum process idea used in the independent observations settings to construct the tests and derives their asymptotic null distributions. The article also shows that these tests are consistent for general alternatives and obtains their limiting distributions under a sequence of local alternatives. Since the limiting null distributions of these tests are unknown, we first conducted a Monte Carlo simulation study to obtain a few selected critical values of the proposed tests. Then based on these critical values, another Monte Carlo simulation is conducted to study the finite sample level and power behavior of these tests at some alternatives. The article also contains a simulation study that assesses the effect of estimating the nonparametric regression function on an estimate of the long memory parameter of the errors. It is observed that the estimate based on direct observations is generally preferable over the one based on the estimated nonparametric residuals.     

Linear rank tests for censored survival data

We describe a class of rank test procedures for the two-sample problem with right censored survival data. The class of tests is directly generalized from the linear rank tests by assigning each observation a rank according to its corresponding Wilcoxon scores. It allows a flexible choice of score functions, in particular, those powerful against scale differences between the two survival distributions. Monte Carlo simulations have shown that some members of this class have great power in detecting crossing-curve alternatives (alternatives where underlying survival curves cross over). The class also contains tests essentially equivalent to the Gehan-Wilcoxon and the logrank tests.     

A Diagnostic Test for Normality Within the Power Exponential Family

This article develops the locally uniformly most powerful unbiased Lagrange multiplier test of normality of regression disturbances within the family of power exponential distributions. The small sample power properties of the test are compared in a Monte Carlo study with 6 well-known tests across 12 alternative nonnormal distributions. In addition, the finite sample power properties for nonnormal alternatives within the power exponential family are summarized by estimating response surfaces. The results suggest that the proposed text is computationally convenient and possesses relatively attractive power properties even against alternatives outside the power exponential family.     

Specification Test for Spatial Autoregressive Models

This article considers a simple test for the correct specification of linear spatial autoregressive models, assuming that the choice of the weight matrix W_n is true. We derive the limiting distributions of the test under the null hypothesis of correct specification and a sequence of local alternatives. We show that the test is free of nuisance parameters asymptotically under the null and prove the consistency of our test. To improve the finite sample performance of our test, we also propose a residual-based wild bootstrap and justify its asymptotic validity. We conduct a small set of Monte Carlo simulations to investigate the finite sample properties of our tests. Finally, we apply the test to two empirical datasets: the vote cast and the economic growth rate. We reject the linear spatial autoregressive model in the vote cast example but fail to reject it in the economic growth rate example. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.     

Book Review: Introducing Monte Carlo Methods with R

In this article we propose a nonparametric test for poolability in large dimensional semiparametric panel data models with cross-section dependence based on the sieve estimation technique. To construct the test statistic, we only need to estimate the model under the alternative. We establish the asymptotic normal distributions of our test statistic under the null hypothesis of poolability and a sequence of local alternatives, and prove the consistency of our test. We also suggest a bootstrap method as an alternative way to obtain the critical values. A small set of Monte Carlo simulations indicate the test performs reasonably well in finite samples.     

Normality Test Based on a Truncated Mean Characterization

This article generalizes a characterization based on a truncated mean to include higher truncated moments, and introduces a new normality goodness-of-fit test based on the truncated mean. The test is a weighted integral of the squared distance between the empirical truncated mean and its expectation. A closed form for the test statistic is derived. Assuming known parameters, the mean and the variance of the test are derived under the normality assumption. Moreover, a limiting distribution for the proposed test as well as an approximation are obtained. Also, based on Monte Carlo simulations, the power of the test is evaluated against stable, symmetric, and skewed classes of distributions. The test proves compatibility with prominent tests and shows higher power for a wide range of alternatives.     

Goodness-of-fit test for exponentiality based on spacings for general progressive Type-II censored data

There have been numerous tests proposed to determine whether or not the exponential model is suitable for a given data set. In this article, we propose a new test statistic based on spacings to test whether the general progressive Type-II censored samples are from exponential distribution. The null distribution of the test statistic is discussed and it could be approximated by the standard normal distribution. Meanwhile, we propose an approximate method for calculating the expectation and variance of samples under null hypothesis and corresponding power function is also given. Then, a simulation study is conducted. We calculate the approximation of the power based on normality and compare the results with those obtained by Monte Carlo simulation under different alternatives with distinct types of hazard function. Results of simulation study disclose that the power properties of this statistic by using Monte Carlo simulation are better for the alternatives with monotone increasing hazard function, and otherwise, normal approximation simulation results are relatively better. Finally, two illustrative examples are presented.     

Robust analysis of variance

SUMMARY For the c -sample location problem with equal and unequal variances, we compare the classical F -test and its robustified version-the Welch test-with some nonparametric counterparts defined for two-sided and one-sided ordered alternatives, such as trend and umbrella alternatives. A new rank test for long-tailed distributions is proposed. The comparison is referred to level alpha and power beta of the tests, and is carried out via Monte Carlo simulation, assuming short-, medium- and long-tailed as well as asymmetric distributions. It turns out that the Welch test is the best one in the case of unequal variances but in the case of equal variances special non-parametric tests are to prefer.     

A Simulation-Based Specification Test for Diffusion Processes

This article makes two contributions. First, we outline a simple simulation-based framework for constructing conditional distributions for multifactor and multidimensional diffusion processes, for the case where the functional form of the conditional density is unknown. The distributions can be used, for example, to form predictive confidence intervals for time period t + τ, given information up to period t. Second, we use the simulation-based approach to construct a test for the correct specification of a diffusion process. The suggested test is in the spirit of the conditional Kolmogorov test of Andrews. However, in the present context the null conditional distribution is unknown and is replaced by its simulated counterpart. The limiting distribution of the test statistic is not nuisance parameter-free. In light of this, asymptotically valid critical values are obtained via appropriate use of the block bootstrap. The suggested test has power against a larger class of alternatives than tests that are constructed using marginal distributions/densities. The findings of a small Monte Carlo experiment underscore the good finite sample properties of the proposed test, and an empirical illustration underscores the ease with which the proposed simulation and testing methodology can be applied.     

Robust Testing Procedures in Heteroscedastic Linear Models

There exist many studies which treat the robust tests in homoscedastic linear models. However, the robust testing procedure in heteroscedastic linear models has not been examined. In this article, three classes of testing procedures for testing subhypothesis in heteroscedastic linear models are developed. These are Wald-type, score-type, and drop-in dispersion tests. The asymptotic distributions of these tests are obtained under the null hypothesis and contiguous alternatives. For a robustness criterion, the maximum asymptotic bias of the level of the test for distributions in a shrinking contamination neighborhood is used and the most-efficient robust test is derived. Finally, the performance of these tests in small sample is studied by Monte Carlo simulation.     

Testing Exponentiality Against Laplace Order Dominance-

We present a statistical procedure to test that a life distribution belongs to the class of exponential distributions against that it belongs to a class of alternatives based on the Laplace transform. The test has been shown to be consistent and the asymptotic distribution of the test statistic has been obtained. The performance of the test against various classes of alternatives has been studied by means of Monte Carlo simulation. An interesting characterization theorem for exponentials, which motivates our test procedure, has been proved.     

Normalized spacings and goodness-of-fit tests

This paper presents a number of goodness-of-fit tests based on normalized spacings. These tests can be used in the presence of unknown location and scale parameters. We considered the problems of testing for the normal, logistic and extreme-value distributions. An extensive Monte Carlo study is presented to compare the powers of some normality tests. Another Monte Carlo study on the powers of some extreme-value tests is also given. The power results show that our proposed tests are powerful against a wide range of alternatives     

A significance test for classifying arma models

Given that the Euclidean distance between the parameter estimates of autoregressive expansions of autoregressive moving average models can be used to classify stationary time series into groups, a test of hypothesis is proposed to determine whether two stationary series in a particular group have significantly different generating processes. Based on this test a new clustering algorithm is also proposed. The results of Monte Carlo simulations are given.     

Some tests for a poisson process and their powers with respect to trend in the intensity

Recently many authors have worked on Wei bull process in the area of modelling and analysis. Much less work is done in the area of testing of hypothesis. In this article, some tests for testing the Poisson process against a class of Wei bull process based on the conditional distribution of observations given the sufficient statistic, are proposed. The percentage points of the distributions of the proposed test statistics are simulated. The powers of the tests under alternatives are computed by Monte Carlo method. It is seen that the suggested tests perform well for decreasing intensities.     

A non-nested test of level-differenced versus log-differenced stationary models

This paper considersthe applicationof the simulated Cox test procedure developed in Pesaran and Pesaran (1993) to test linear versus log-linear models. The test procedure can also be applied to other generalized linear regression models such as level-difference stationary models versus the log-difference stationary models. In order to compare the small sample performanceof the proposed test with other tests extant in the literature, the paper also reports the resultsof a numberof Monte Carlo experiments using the experimental framework of Godfrey et al. (1988). The Monte Carlo results provide strong support for a simplified version of the simulatedCox test over the PE and the BM tests, but suggest that there is little to choose between the simulated Cox test and the DL test.     

A Goodness-of-fit Test for Exponentiality Based on the Memoryless Property

In this investigation a test of goodness of fit for exponentiality is proposed. This procedure applies equally whether the scale and/or the location parameters of the distribution are known or not. The limiting null and non-null distributions of the test statistic are normal under minimal conditions. Monte Carlo critical values for small sample sizes are given and the power of the test is calculated for various alternatives showing that it compares favourably relatively to other more complicated published procedures.     

Testing the Fit of Gamma Distributions Using the Empirical Moment Generating Function

ABSTRACT

This article presents goodness-of-fit tests for two and three-parameter gamma distributions that are based on minimum quadratic forms of standardized logarithmic differences of values of the moment generating function and its empirical counterpart. The test statistics can be computed without reliance to special functions and have asymptotic chi-squared distributions. Monte Carlo simulations are used to compare the proposed test for the two-parameter gamma distribution with goodness-of-fit tests employing empirical distribution function or spacing statistics. Two data sets are used to illustrate the various tests.     

Nonparametric Entropy-Based Tests of Independence Between Stochastic Processes

This article develops nonparametric tests of independence between two stochastic processes satisfying β-mixing conditions. The testing strategy boils down to gauging the closeness between the joint and the product of the marginal stationary densities. For that purpose, we take advantage of a generalized entropic measure so as to build a whole family of nonparametric tests of independence. We derive asymptotic normality and local power using the functional delta method for kernels. As a corollary, we also develop a class of entropy-based tests for serial independence. The latter are nuisance parameter free, and hence also qualify for dynamic misspecification analyses. We then investigate the finite-sample properties of our serial independence tests through Monte Carlo simulations. They perform quite well, entailing more power against some nonlinear AR alternatives than two popular nonparametric serial-independence tests.     

Bayesian estimation for the M/G/1 queue using a phase-type approximation

This article deals with Bayesian inference and prediction for M/G/1 queueing systems. The general service time density is approximated with a class of Erlang mixtures which are phase-type distributions. Given this phase-type approximation, an explicit evaluation of measures such as the stationary queue size, waiting time and busy period distributions can be obtained. Given arrival and service data, a Bayesian procedure based on reversible jump Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods is proposed to estimate system parameters and predictive distributions.     

Tests of goodness of fit based on Phi-divergence

In this paper, we introduce a general goodness of fit test based on Phi-divergence. Consistency of the proposed test is established. We then study some special cases of tests for normal, exponential, uniform and Laplace distributions. Through Monte Carlo simulations, the power values of the proposed tests are compared with some known competing tests under various alternatives. Finally, some numerical examples are presented to illustrate the proposed procedure.