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Cibele Queiroz da-Silva Eduardo G. Martins Vinícius Bonato Sérgio Furtado dos Reis 《统计学通讯:模拟与计算》2013,42(4):816-828
We develop a series of Bayesian statistical models for estimating survival of a neotropic didelphid marsupial, the Brazilian gracile mouse opossum (Gracilinanus microtarsus). These models are based on the Cormack–Jolly–Seber model (Cormack, 1964; Jolly 1965; Seber 1965) with both survival and recapture rates expressed as a function of covariates using a logit link. The proposed models allow taking into account heterogeneity in capture probability caused by the existence of different groups of individuals in the population. The models were applied to two cohorts (Cohort, 2000, 2001) with the first one including 14 and the second one 15 sampling occasions. The best models for each of the cohorts indicate that G. microtarsus is best described as partially semelparous, a condition in which mortality after the first mating is high but graded over time, with a fraction of males surviving for a second breeding season (Boonstra, 2005). 相似文献
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ABSTRACT This paper reviews and extends the literature on the finite sample behavior of tests for sample selection bias. Monte Carlo results show that, when the “multicollinearity problem” identified by Nawata (1993) is severe, (i) the t-test based on the Heckman–Greene variance estimator can be unreliable, (ii) the Likelihood Ratio test remains powerful, and (iii) nonnormality can be interpreted as severe sample selection bias by Maximum Likelihood methods, leading to negative Wald statistics. We also confirm previous findings (Leung and Yu, 1996) that the standard regression-based t-test (Heckman, 1979) and the asymptotically efficient Lagrange Multiplier test (Melino, 1982), are robust to nonnormality but have very little power. 相似文献
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Pao-sheng Shen 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2013,42(20):3319-3328
The complication in analyzing tumor data is that the tumors detected in a screening program tend to be slowly progressive tumors, which is the so-called length-biased sampling that is inherent in screening studies. Under the assumption that all subjects have the same tumor growth function, Ghosh (2008) developed estimation procedures for proportional hazards model. In this article, by modeling growth function as a function of covariates, we demonstrate that Ghosh (2008)'s approach can be extended to the case when each subject has a specific growth function. A simulation study is conducted to demonstrate the potential usefulness of the proposed estimators for the regression parameters in the proportional and additive hazards model. 相似文献
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This article presents results concerning the performance of both single equation and system panel cointegration tests and estimators. The study considers the tests developed in Pedroni (1999, 2004), Westerlund (2005), Larsson et al. (2001), and Breitung (2005) and the estimators developed in Phillips and Moon (1999), Pedroni (2000), Kao and Chiang (2000), Mark and Sul (2003), Pedroni (2001), and Breitung (2005). We study the impact of stable autoregressive roots approaching the unit circle, of I(2) components, of short-run cross-sectional correlation and of cross-unit cointegration on the performance of the tests and estimators. The data are simulated from three-dimensional individual specific VAR systems with cointegrating ranks varying from zero to two for fourteen different panel dimensions. The usual specifications of deterministic components are considered. 相似文献
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Extending the bifurcating autoregressive (BAR) process (cf. Cowan and Staudte, 1986) to multi-casting (multi-splitting) data, Hwang and Choi (2009) introduced multi-casting autoregression (MCAR, for short) defined on multi-casting tree structured data. This article is concerned with the case when the MCAR model is partially specified only through conditional mean and variance without directly imposing autoregressive (AR) structure. The resulting class of models will be referred to as P-MCAR (partially specified MCAR). The P-MCAR considerably enlarges the class of multi-casting models including (as special cases) MCAR, random coefficient MCAR, conditionally heteroscedastic multi-casting models and binomial-thinning processes. Moment structures for this broad P-MCAR class are investigated. Least squares (LS) estimation method is discussed and asymptotic relative efficiency (ARE) of the generalized-LS over ordinary-LS is obtained in a closed form. A simulation study is conducted to illustrate results. 相似文献
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ABSTRACT The area under a receiver operating characteristic curve is a useful index of the accuracy of a diagnostic test. When the diagnostic ability of a new biomarker is of interest only in a certain range of specificity, the partial area under the curve becomes desirable. In this article, we extend Bamber's (1975) results and show that the partial area under a receiver operating characteristic curve is the probability of a constrained stochastic ordering. We then construct a ‘weighted’ Mann-Whitney statistic as an estimator of the partial area and investigate its statistical properties. A testing procedure is also developed to compare partial area under two receiver operating characteristic curves. The methods are exemplified with data from biomarkers associated with coronary heart disease. 相似文献
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Joseph V. Terza 《Econometric Reviews》2013,32(6):555-580
Based on the insightful work of Olsen (1980) for the linear context, a generic and unifying framework is developed that affords a simple extension of the classical method of Heckman (1974, 1976, 1978, 1979) to a broad class of nonlinear regression models involving endogenous switching and its two most common incarnations, endogenous sample selection and endogenous treatment effects. The approach should be appealing to applied researchers for three reasons. First, econometric applications involving endogenous switching abound. Secondly, the approach requires neither linearity of the regression function nor full parametric specification of the model. It can, in fact, be applied under the minimal parametric assumptions—i.e., specification of only the conditional means of the outcome and switching variables. Finally, it is amenable to relatively straightforward estimation methods. Examples of applications of the method are discussed. 相似文献
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We propose a class of estimators for the population mean when there are missing data in the data set. Obtaining the mean square error equations of the proposed estimators, we show the conditions where the proposed estimators are more efficient than the sample mean, ratio-type estimators, and the estimators in Singh and Horn (2000) and Singh and Deo (2003) in the case of missing data. These conditions are also supported by a numerical example. 相似文献
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In this article, we propose a nonparametric method to test for symmetry in bivariate data. By using the extension of Fisher's exact treatment for 2 × 2 contingency tables proposed by Freeman and Halton (1951), we can test the hypothesis of equal distribution for two samples of integer valued variables. Then, by counting the number of observations belonging to each cell of a symmetric, appropriately built grid, we can produce the two samples of integers required to use this test for equal distribution. The resulting test for symmetry is potentially extendible to higher dimensions. A simulation study is performed to compare with some known tests (Bowker, 1948; Hollander, 1971; and its improvement given in Krampe and Kuhnt, 2007). Our proposal represents a competitive option as a test for symmetry. 相似文献
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Huang (2010) proposed an optional randomized response model using a linear combination scrambling which is a generalization of the multiplicative scrambling of Eichhorn and Hayre (1983) and the additive scrambling of Gupta et al. (2006, 2010). In this article, we discuss two main issues. (1) Can the Huang (2010) model be improved further by using a two-stage approach?; (2) Does the linear combination scrambling provide any benefit over the additive scrambling of Gupta et al. (2010)? We will note that the answer to the first question is “yes” but the answer to the second question is “no.” 相似文献
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《The American statistician》2012,66(4):327-339
ABSTRACTWith an increasing number of replication studies performed in psychological science, the question of how to evaluate the outcome of a replication attempt deserves careful consideration. Bayesian approaches allow to incorporate uncertainty and prior information into the analysis of the replication attempt by their design. The Replication Bayes factor, introduced by Verhagen and Wagenmakers (2014), provides quantitative, relative evidence in favor or against a successful replication. In previous work by Verhagen and Wagenmakers (2014), it was limited to the case of t-tests. In this article, the Replication Bayes factor is extended to F-tests in multigroup, fixed-effect ANOVA designs. Simulations and examples are presented to facilitate the understanding and to demonstrate the usefulness of this approach. Finally, the Replication Bayes factor is compared to other Bayesian and frequentist approaches and discussed in the context of replication attempts. R code to calculate Replication Bayes factors and to reproduce the examples in the article is available at https://osf.io/jv39h/. 相似文献
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The problem of multiple upper outlier detection in gamma sample is considered. Balasooriya and Gadag (1994) proposed a location and scale invariant test based on the test statistic Z k for testing the k upper outliers in two-parameter exponential sample. In this article, the test statistic is extended for gamma sample and the null distribution of the statistic is obtained. A simulation study is carried out to compare the performance of the tests and is found that the test based on Z k is more powerful than the test based on the test statistic proposed by Jabbari Nooghabi et al. (2010). 相似文献
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M. Revan Özkale 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2013,42(7):1094-1097
In this note, we show that the estimator and the following results given by Zhong and Yang (2007) are the same with that of Groß (2003). 相似文献
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《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2012,41(16-17):3198-3210
The randomized response (RR) technique with two decks of cards proposed by Odumade and Singh (2009) can always be made more efficient than the RR techniques proposed by Warner (1965), Mangat and Singh (1990), and Mangat (1994) by adjusting the proportion of cards in the decks. The proposed method of Odumade and Singh (2009) is limited to simple random sampling with replacement (SRSWR) sampling only. In this article, generalization of Odumade and Singh strategy is provided for complex survey designs and a wider class of estimators. The results of Odumade and Singh (2009) can be derived from the proposed method as a special case. 相似文献
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Heng Lian 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2013,42(11):1893-1900
We extend the approach of Walker (2003); (2004) to the case of misspecified models. A sufficient condition for establishing rates of convergence is given based on a key identity involving martingales, which does not require construction of tests. We also show roughly that the result obtained by using tests can also be obtained by our approach, which demonstrates the potential wider applicability of this method. 相似文献
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In incident cohort studies, survival data often include subjects who have had an initiate event at recruitment and may potentially experience two successive events (first and second) during the follow-up period. Since the second duration process becomes observable only if the first event has occurred, left-truncation and dependent censoring arise if the two duration times are correlated. To confront the two potential sampling biases, Chang and Tzeng (2006) provided an inverse-probability-weighted (IPW) approach for estimating the joint probability function of successive duration times. In this note, an alternative IPW approach is proposed. A simulation study is conducted to compare the two IPW approaches. 相似文献
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In contrast with the classical Cramér–Lundberg model where the premium process is a linear function of time, we consider the ruin probability under the risk model where the aggregate premium consists of both a compound Poisson process and a linear process of time. Moreover, a constant interest force is also taken into account in our model. We restrict ourselves to the case where the claim size is heavy-tailed, i.e., the equilibrium distribution function of the claim size belongs to a wide subclass of the subexponential distribution. An asymptotic formula for the ruin probability is obtained by using the similar method of Kalashnikov and Konstantinides (2000). The asymptotic formula we get here is the same as the one in Asmussen (1998), Klüppelberg and Stadtmüller (1998), and Kalashnikov and Konstantinides (2000) which did not consider the stochastic premium. 相似文献
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In this article, we find designs insensitive to the presence of an outlier in a diallel cross design setup for estimating a complete set of orthonormal contrasts among the effects of the general combining abilities of a set of parental lines. The criterion of robustness, suggested by Mandal (1989) in block design setup and used by Biswas (2012) in treatment-control setup, is adapted here. Complete diallel cross designs, suggested by Gupta and Kageyama (1994), and partial diallel cross designs, suggested by Gupta et al. (1995) and Mukerjee (1997), are found to be robust under certain conditions. 相似文献
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Feng-Shou Ko 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2013,42(18):3222-3237
We introduce a score test to identify longitudinal biomarkers or surrogates for a time to event outcome. This method is an extension of Henderson et al. (2000, 2002). In this article, a score test is based on a joint likelihood function which combines the likelihood functions of the longitudinal biomarkers and the survival times. Henderson et al. (2000, 2002) assumed that the same random effect exists in the longitudinal component and in the Cox model and then they can derive a score test to determine if a longitudinal biomarker is associated with time to an event. We extend this work and our score test is based on a joint likelihood function which allows other random effects to be present in the survival function. Considering heterogeneous baseline hazards in individuals, we use simulations to explore how the factors can influence the power of a score test to detect the association of a longitudinal biomarker and the survival time. These factors include the functional form of the random effects from the longitudinal biomarkers, in the different number of individuals, and time points per individual. We illustrate our method using a prothrombin index as a predictor of survival in liver cirrhosis patients. 相似文献