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1.
Cibele Queiroz da-Silva Eduardo G. Martins Vinícius Bonato Sérgio Furtado dos Reis 《统计学通讯:模拟与计算》2013,42(4):816-828
We develop a series of Bayesian statistical models for estimating survival of a neotropic didelphid marsupial, the Brazilian gracile mouse opossum (Gracilinanus microtarsus). These models are based on the Cormack–Jolly–Seber model (Cormack, 1964; Jolly 1965; Seber 1965) with both survival and recapture rates expressed as a function of covariates using a logit link. The proposed models allow taking into account heterogeneity in capture probability caused by the existence of different groups of individuals in the population. The models were applied to two cohorts (Cohort, 2000, 2001) with the first one including 14 and the second one 15 sampling occasions. The best models for each of the cohorts indicate that G. microtarsus is best described as partially semelparous, a condition in which mortality after the first mating is high but graded over time, with a fraction of males surviving for a second breeding season (Boonstra, 2005). 相似文献
2.
For the first time, we provide a matrix formula for second-order covariances of maximum likelihood estimates in heteroskedastic generalized linear models, thus generalizing the results of Cordeiro (2004) and Cordeiro et al. (2006) related to the generalized linear models with known and unknown dispersion parameter, respectively. The covariance matrix formula does not involve cumulants of log-likelihood derivatives and can be easily obtained using simple matrix operations. We apply our main result to a simple model. Some simulations show that the second-order covariances can be quite pronounced in small to moderate samples. The usual covariances of the maximum likelihood estimates can be corrected by these second-order covariances. 相似文献
3.
Reid D. Landes 《统计学通讯:模拟与计算》2013,42(7):1351-1364
4.
Extending the bifurcating autoregressive (BAR) process (cf. Cowan and Staudte, 1986) to multi-casting (multi-splitting) data, Hwang and Choi (2009) introduced multi-casting autoregression (MCAR, for short) defined on multi-casting tree structured data. This article is concerned with the case when the MCAR model is partially specified only through conditional mean and variance without directly imposing autoregressive (AR) structure. The resulting class of models will be referred to as P-MCAR (partially specified MCAR). The P-MCAR considerably enlarges the class of multi-casting models including (as special cases) MCAR, random coefficient MCAR, conditionally heteroscedastic multi-casting models and binomial-thinning processes. Moment structures for this broad P-MCAR class are investigated. Least squares (LS) estimation method is discussed and asymptotic relative efficiency (ARE) of the generalized-LS over ordinary-LS is obtained in a closed form. A simulation study is conducted to illustrate results. 相似文献
5.
ABSTRACT This paper reviews and extends the literature on the finite sample behavior of tests for sample selection bias. Monte Carlo results show that, when the “multicollinearity problem” identified by Nawata (1993) is severe, (i) the t-test based on the Heckman–Greene variance estimator can be unreliable, (ii) the Likelihood Ratio test remains powerful, and (iii) nonnormality can be interpreted as severe sample selection bias by Maximum Likelihood methods, leading to negative Wald statistics. We also confirm previous findings (Leung and Yu, 1996) that the standard regression-based t-test (Heckman, 1979) and the asymptotically efficient Lagrange Multiplier test (Melino, 1982), are robust to nonnormality but have very little power. 相似文献
6.
In contrast with the classical Cramér–Lundberg model where the premium process is a linear function of time, we consider the ruin probability under the risk model where the aggregate premium consists of both a compound Poisson process and a linear process of time. Moreover, a constant interest force is also taken into account in our model. We restrict ourselves to the case where the claim size is heavy-tailed, i.e., the equilibrium distribution function of the claim size belongs to a wide subclass of the subexponential distribution. An asymptotic formula for the ruin probability is obtained by using the similar method of Kalashnikov and Konstantinides (2000). The asymptotic formula we get here is the same as the one in Asmussen (1998), Klüppelberg and Stadtmüller (1998), and Kalashnikov and Konstantinides (2000) which did not consider the stochastic premium. 相似文献
7.
Xinping Cui 《统计学通讯:模拟与计算》2013,42(6):1244-1255
An increasing number of contemporary datasets are high dimensional. Applications require these datasets be screened (or filtered) to select a subset for further study. Multiple testing is the standard tool in such applications, although alternatives have begun to be explored. In order to assess the quality of selection in these high-dimensional contexts, Cui and Wilson (2008b) proposed two viable methods of calculating the probability that any such selection is correct (PCS). PCS thereby serves as a measure of the quality of competing statistics used for selection. The first simulation study of this article investigates the two PCS statistics of the above article. It shows that in the high-dimensional case PCS can be accurately estimated and is robust under certain conditions. The second simulation study investigates a nonparametric estimator of PCS. 相似文献
8.
Gadre and Rattihalli [5] have introduced the Modified Group Runs (MGR) control chart to identify the increases in fraction non-conforming and to detect shifts in the process mean. The MGR chart reduces the out-of-control average time-to-signal (ATS), as compared with most of the well-known control charts. In this article, we develop the Side Sensitive Modified Group Runs (SSMGR) chart to detect shifts in the process mean. With the help of numerical examples, it is illustrated that the SSMGR chart performs better than the Shewhart's X¯ chart, the synthetic chart [12], the Group Runs chart [4], the Side Sensitive Group Runs chart [6], as well as the MGR chart [5]. In some situations it is also superior to the Cumulative Sum chart p9] and the exponentially weighed moving average chart [10]. In the steady state also, its performance is better than the above charts. 相似文献
9.
Huang (2010) proposed an optional randomized response model using a linear combination scrambling which is a generalization of the multiplicative scrambling of Eichhorn and Hayre (1983) and the additive scrambling of Gupta et al. (2006, 2010). In this article, we discuss two main issues. (1) Can the Huang (2010) model be improved further by using a two-stage approach?; (2) Does the linear combination scrambling provide any benefit over the additive scrambling of Gupta et al. (2010)? We will note that the answer to the first question is “yes” but the answer to the second question is “no.” 相似文献
10.
The approximate D s -optimal design for discriminating between linear and quadratic log contrast models for experiments with mixtures suggested by Aitchison and Bacon-Shone (1984) is investigated, where the experimental domain is restricted further as in Chan (1992). It is found that for a symmetric subspace of the finite dimensional simplex, there is a D s -optimal design with the nice structure that puts a weight 1/2 k?1 on the centroid of this subspace and the remaining weight is uniformly distributed on the vertices of the experimental domain. Finally, the D s -efficiency of the D-optimal design for quadratic model and the design given by Aitchison and Bacon-Shone (1984) are also discussed. 相似文献
11.
This article presents results concerning the performance of both single equation and system panel cointegration tests and estimators. The study considers the tests developed in Pedroni (1999, 2004), Westerlund (2005), Larsson et al. (2001), and Breitung (2005) and the estimators developed in Phillips and Moon (1999), Pedroni (2000), Kao and Chiang (2000), Mark and Sul (2003), Pedroni (2001), and Breitung (2005). We study the impact of stable autoregressive roots approaching the unit circle, of I(2) components, of short-run cross-sectional correlation and of cross-unit cointegration on the performance of the tests and estimators. The data are simulated from three-dimensional individual specific VAR systems with cointegrating ranks varying from zero to two for fourteen different panel dimensions. The usual specifications of deterministic components are considered. 相似文献
12.
Feng-Shou Ko 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2013,42(18):3222-3237
We introduce a score test to identify longitudinal biomarkers or surrogates for a time to event outcome. This method is an extension of Henderson et al. (2000, 2002). In this article, a score test is based on a joint likelihood function which combines the likelihood functions of the longitudinal biomarkers and the survival times. Henderson et al. (2000, 2002) assumed that the same random effect exists in the longitudinal component and in the Cox model and then they can derive a score test to determine if a longitudinal biomarker is associated with time to an event. We extend this work and our score test is based on a joint likelihood function which allows other random effects to be present in the survival function. Considering heterogeneous baseline hazards in individuals, we use simulations to explore how the factors can influence the power of a score test to detect the association of a longitudinal biomarker and the survival time. These factors include the functional form of the random effects from the longitudinal biomarkers, in the different number of individuals, and time points per individual. We illustrate our method using a prothrombin index as a predictor of survival in liver cirrhosis patients. 相似文献
13.
Inder Jeet Taneja 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2013,42(9):1654-1672
There are three classical divergence measures exist in the literature on information theory and statistics. These are namely, Jeffryes-Kullback-Leiber (Jeffreys, 1946; Kullback and Leibler, 1951) J-divergence. Sibson-Burbea-Rao (Sibson, 1969), Jensen-Shannon divegernce, (Burbea and Rao, 1982), and Taneja (1995). Arithmetic-Geometric divergence. These three measures bear an interesting relationship among each other. The divergence measures like Hellinger (1909) discrimination, symmetric χ2-divergence, and triangular discrimination are also known in the literature. In this article, we have considered generalized symmetric divergence measures having the measures given above as particular cases. Bounds on the probability of error are obtained in terms of generalized symmetric divergence measures. Study of bounds on probability of error is extended for the difference of divergence measures. 相似文献
14.
In this article, we propose a nonparametric method to test for symmetry in bivariate data. By using the extension of Fisher's exact treatment for 2 × 2 contingency tables proposed by Freeman and Halton (1951), we can test the hypothesis of equal distribution for two samples of integer valued variables. Then, by counting the number of observations belonging to each cell of a symmetric, appropriately built grid, we can produce the two samples of integers required to use this test for equal distribution. The resulting test for symmetry is potentially extendible to higher dimensions. A simulation study is performed to compare with some known tests (Bowker, 1948; Hollander, 1971; and its improvement given in Krampe and Kuhnt, 2007). Our proposal represents a competitive option as a test for symmetry. 相似文献
15.
We propose a class of estimators for the population mean when there are missing data in the data set. Obtaining the mean square error equations of the proposed estimators, we show the conditions where the proposed estimators are more efficient than the sample mean, ratio-type estimators, and the estimators in Singh and Horn (2000) and Singh and Deo (2003) in the case of missing data. These conditions are also supported by a numerical example. 相似文献
16.
Motivated by covariate-adjusted regression (CAR) proposed by Sentürk and Müller (2005) and an application problem, in this article we introduce and investigate a covariate-adjusted partially linear regression model (CAPLM), in which both response and predictor vector can only be observed after being distorted by some multiplicative factors, and an additional variable such as age or period is taken into account. Although our model seems to be a special case of covariate-adjusted varying coefficient model (CAVCM) given by Sentürk (2006), the data types of CAPLM and CAVCM are basically different and then the methods for inferring the two models are different. In this article, the estimate method motivated by Cui et al. (2008) is employed to infer the new model. Furthermore, under some mild conditions, the asymptotic normality of estimator for the parametric component is obtained. Combined with the consistent estimate of asymptotic covariance, we obtain confidence intervals for the regression coefficients. Also, some simulations and a real data analysis are made to illustrate the new model and methods. 相似文献
17.
Pao-sheng Shen 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2013,42(20):3319-3328
The complication in analyzing tumor data is that the tumors detected in a screening program tend to be slowly progressive tumors, which is the so-called length-biased sampling that is inherent in screening studies. Under the assumption that all subjects have the same tumor growth function, Ghosh (2008) developed estimation procedures for proportional hazards model. In this article, by modeling growth function as a function of covariates, we demonstrate that Ghosh (2008)'s approach can be extended to the case when each subject has a specific growth function. A simulation study is conducted to demonstrate the potential usefulness of the proposed estimators for the regression parameters in the proportional and additive hazards model. 相似文献
18.
Mohsen Pourahmadi 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2013,42(9):1803-1819
Multivariate skew-normal (SN) distributions (Azzalini and Dalla Valle, 1996) enjoy some of the useful properties of normal distributions, have nonlinear heteroscedastic predictors but lack the closure property of normal distributions (the sum of independent SN random variables is not SN). Recently, there has been a proliferation of classes of SN distributions with certain closure properties, one of the most promising being the closed skew-normal (CSN) distributions of González-Farías et al. (2004). We study the construction of stationary SN ARMA models for colored SN noise and show that their finite-dimensional distributions are skew-normal, seldom strictly stationary and their covariance functions differ from their normal ARMA counterparts in that they do not converge to zero for large lags. The situation is better for ARMA models driven by CSN noise, but at the additional cost of considerable computational complexity and a less explicit skewness parameter. In view of these results, the widespread use of such classes of SN distributions in the framework of ARMA models seem doubtful. 相似文献
19.
There have been many alternative strategies for implementing sampling survey on quantitative characteristic of sensitive issues by using randomized response (RR) technique. The efficiency of most of those strategies has been improved by choosing the suitable design parameters of model. However, the two different procedures with pre-assigned design parameter values cannot ensure that they possess the same protection degree to the respondents. Some earlier comparisons of those strategies are inadequate (as in Eichhorn and Hayre, 1983; Gupta et al., 2002). Some literature contains a more comprehensive comparison based on efficiency and protection degree to the respondents among the qualitative characteristic RR techniques (see Bhargava and Singh, 2002; Nayak, 1994; Zaizai and Zankan, 2004). As far as the comparisons are concerned that are based on efficiency and protection degree to the respondents among the quantitative characteristic RR techniques, very few related studies have been found so far. The purpose of this article is to give a more adequate comparison among those earlier quantitative characteristic RR strategies. It is found that several important differences between the results obtained in this article and some known results exist. Therefore, these earlier RR strategies should be reevaluated. 相似文献
20.
In the presence of multicollinearity problem, ordinary least squares (OLS) estimation is inadequate. To circumvent this problem, two well-known estimation procedures often suggested are the unbiased ridge regression (URR) estimator given by Crouse et al. (1995) and the (r, k) class estimator given by Baye and Parker (1984). In this article, we proposed a new class of estimators, namely modified (r, k) class ridge regression (MCRR) which includes the OLS, the URR, the (r, k) class, and the principal components regression (PCR) estimators. It is based on a criterion that combines the ideas underlying the URR and the PCR estimators. The standard properties of this new class estimator have been investigated and a numerical illustration is done. The conditions under which the MCRR estimator is better than the other two estimators have been investigated. 相似文献