A Strong Limit Theorem for Weighted Sums of Negatively Dependent Random Variables

In this article, we establish a new complete convergence theorem for weighted sums of negatively dependent random variables. As corollaries, many results on the almost sure convergence and complete convergence for weighted sums of negatively dependent random variables are obtained. In particular, the results of Jing and Liang (2008 Jing, B.Y., Liang, H.Y. (2008). Strong limit theorems for weighted sums of negatively associated random variables. J. Theor. Probab. 21:890–909.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), Sung (2012 Sung, S.H. (2012). Complete convergence for weighted sums of negatively dependent random variables. Stat. Pap. 53:73–82.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), and Wu (2010) can be obtained.     

Baker- Lin-Huang Type Bivariate Distributions Based on Order Statistics

Baker (2008 Baker, R. (2008). An order-statistics-based method for constructing multivariate distributions with fixed marginals. J. Multivariate Anal. 99: 23122327.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) introduced a new class of bivariate distributions based on distributions of order statistics from two independent samples of size n. Lin and Huang (2010 Lin, G.D., Huang, J.S. (2010). A note on the maximum correlation for Baker’s bivariate distributions with fixed marginals. J. Multivariate Anal. 101: 22272233.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) discovered an important property of Baker’s distribution and showed that the Pearson’s correlation coefficient for this distribution converges to maximum attainable value, i.e., the correlation coefficient of the Fréchet upper bound, as n increases to infinity. Bairamov and Bayramoglu (2013 Bairamov, I., Bayramoglu, K. (2013). From Huang-Kotz distribution to Baker’s distribution. J. Multivariate Anal. 113: 106115.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) investigated a new class of bivariate distributions constructed by using Baker’s model and distributions of order statistics from dependent random variables, allowing higher correlation than that of Baker’s distribution. In this article, a new class of Baker’s type bivariate distributions with high correlation are constructed based on distributions of order statistics by using an arbitrary continuous copula instead of the product copula.     

Equivalent Conditions of Complete Moment Convergence of Weighted Sums for ϕ-Mixing Sequence of Random Variables

In this article, the complete moment convergence of weighted sums for ?-mixing sequence of random variables is investigated. By applying moment inequality and truncation methods, the equivalent conditions of complete moment convergence of weighted sums for ?-mixing sequence of random variables are established. These results promote and improve the corresponding results obtained by Li et al. (1995 Li, D.L., Rao, M.B., Jiang, T.F., Wang, X.C. (1995). Complete convergence and almost sure convergence of weighted sums of random variables. J. Theoret. Probab. 8:49–76.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) and Gut (1993 Gut, A. (1993). Complete convergence and Cesàro summation for i.i.d. random variables. Probab. Theory Related Fields 97:169–178.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) from i.i.d. to ?-mixing setting. Moreover, we obtain the complete moment convergence of moving average processes based on ?-mixing random variables, which extends the result of Kim et al. (2008 Kim, T.S., Ko, M.H. (2008). Complete moment convergence of moving average processes under dependence assumptions. Statist. Probab. Lett. 78:839–846.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) in the sense that it does not require a specific mixing rate.     

Admissibility of a variance estimator in finite population sampling under Warner's randomized response plan with multiple responses

ABSTRACT

Let P be the proportion of individuals in a finite population possessing a sensitive attribute. We consider the problem of unbiased estimation of (i) the variance of a linear unbiased estimator of P and (ii) the population variance P (1—P) for a given probability sampling design under Warner's (1965 Warner, S.L. (1965). Randomized response - A survey technique for eliminating evasive answer bias. J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 60:63–69.[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) randomized response (RR) plan when independent responses are obtained from each sampled individual as many times as he/she is selected in the sample and prove the admissibility of a quadratic unbiased estimator for each.     

A Universal Prior Distribution for Bayesian Consistency of Non parametric Procedures

The introduction of the Hausdorff α-entropy in Xing (2008a Xing, Y. (2008a). Convergence rates of posterior distributions for observations without the iid structure, 38 pages. Available at: www.arxiv.org:0811.4677v1. [Google Scholar]), Xing (2008b Xing, Y. (2008b). On adaptive Bayesian inference. Electron. J. Stat. 2:848–862.[Crossref] , [Google Scholar]), Xing (2010 Xing, Y. (2010). Rates of posterior convergence for iid Observations. Commun. Stat. Theory Methods. 39(19):3389–3398.[Taylor & Francis Online] , [Google Scholar]), Xing (2011 Xing, Y. (2011). Convergence rates of nonparametric posterior distributions. J. Stat. Plann. Inference 141:3382–3390.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), and Xing and Ranneby (2009 Xing, Y., Ranneby, B. (2009). Sufficient conditions for Bayesian consistency. J. Stat. Plann. Inference. 139:2479–2489.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) has lead a series of improvements of well-known results on posterior consistency. In this paper we discuss an application of the Hausdorff α-entropy. We construct a universal prior distribution such that the corresponding posterior distribution is almost surely consistent. The approach of the construction of this type of prior distribution is natural, but it works very well for all separable models. We illustrate such prior distributions by examples. In particular, we obtain that if the true density function is known to be some normal probability density function with unknown mean and unknown variance then without any additional assumption one can construct a prior distribution which leads to posterior consistency.     

Quantile-based Chernoff distance for truncated random variables

Several probability distributions such as power-Pareto distribution (see Gilchrist 2000 Gilchrist, W. 2000. Statistical modelling with quantile functions. Boca Raton, FL: Chapman and Hall/CRC.[Crossref] , [Google Scholar] and Hankin and Lee 2006 Hankin, R. K. S., and A. Lee. 2006. A new family of non-negative distributions. Australian and New Zealand Journal of Statistics 48:67–78.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), various forms of lambda distributions (see Ramberg and Schmeiser 1974 Ramberg, J. S., and B. W. Schmeiser. 1974. An appropriate method for generating asymmetric random variables. Communications of the ACM 17:78–82.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar] and Freimer et al. 1988 Freimer, M., S. Mudholkar, G. Kollia, and C. T. Lin. 1988. A study of the generalized lambda family. Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods 17:3547–67.[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), Govindarajulu distribution (see Nair, Sankaran, and Vineshkumar 2012 Nair, U. N., P. G. Sankaran, and B. Vineshkumar. 2012. The Govindarajulu distribution: some properties and applications. Communications in Statistics—Theory and Methods 41:4391–406.[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), etc., do not have manageable distribution functions, though they have tractable quantile functions. Hence, analytical study of the properties of Chernoff distance of two random variables associated with these distributions via traditional distribution function-based tool becomes difficult. To make this simple, in this paper, we introduce quantile-based Chernoff distance for (left or right) truncated random variables and study its various properties. Some useful bounds as well as characterization results are obtained.     

On General Continuous Triangular and Two-sided Power Distributions

In this article, we directly introduce the continuous version of the general discrete triangular distributions (Kokonendji and Zocchi, 2010 Kokonendji, C.C., Zocchi, S.S. (2010). Extensions of discrete triangular distribution and boundary bias in kernel estimation for discrete functions. Statist. Probab. Lett. 80:1655–1662.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). It is bounded and, in general, unimodal with pike. It contains thus a very useful class of two-sided power distributions (van Dorp and Kotz, 2002a Van Dorp, J.R., Kotz, S. (2002a). A novel extension of the triangular distribution and its parameter estimation. Statistician 51:1–17. [Google Scholar],b Van Dorp, J.R., Kotz, S. (2002b). The standard two-sided power distribution and its properties; with applications in financial engineering. Amer. Statistician 56:90–99.[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar], 2003 Van Dorp, J.R., Kotz, S. (2003). Generalization of two-sided power distributions and their convolution. Commun. Statist. Theor. Meth. 32:1703–1723.[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). Moments, particular cases, limit distributions, and relations between parameters are straightforwardly derived.     

Group Variable Selection with Oracle Property by Weight-Fused Adaptive Elastic Net Model for Strongly Correlated Data

This paper is the generalization of weight-fused elastic net (Fu and Xu, 2012 Fu, G., Xu, Q. (2012). Grouping variable selection by weight fused elastic net for multi-collinear data. Communications in Statistics-Simulation and Computation 41(2):205–221.[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), which performs group variable selection by combining weight-fused LASSO(wfLasso) and elastic net (Zou and Hastie, 2005 Zou, H., Hastie, T. (2005). Regularization and variable selection via the elastic net. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology) 67(2):301–320.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) penalties. In this study, the elastic net penalty is replaced by adaptive elastic net penalty (AdaEnet) (Zou and Zhang, 2009 Zou, H., Zhang, H. (2009). On the adaptive elastic-net with a diverging number of parameters. Annals of Statistics 37(4):1733–1751.[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), and a new group variable selection algorithm with oracle property (Fan and Li, 2001 Fan, J., Li, R. (2001). Variable selection via nonconcave penalized likelihood and its oracle properties. Journal of the American Statistical Association 96(456):1348–1360.[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]; Zou, 2006 Zou, H. (2006). The adaptive lasso and its oracle properties. Journal of the American Statistical Association 101(476):1418–1429.[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) is obtained.     

On Augmented Franses Tests for Seasonal Unit Roots

This article extends the results reported in del Barrio Castro, Osborn and Taylor (2012 del Barrio Castro, T., Osborn, D.R., Taylor, A. M.R. (2012). On augmented HEGY tests for seasonal unit roots. Econometric Theor. 18:1121–1143.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) to the approach followed by Franses (1991a Franses, P. H. (1991a). Model selection and seasonality in time series. Tibergen Institute Series, 18. [Google Scholar],b Franses, P.H. (1991b). Seasonality, non-stationarity and the forecasting of monthly time series. Int. J. Forecast. 7:199–208.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) to test for seasonal unit roots, providing the asymptotic representation to the seasonal unit roots tests proposed by Franses for a general number of seasons S.     

Generalized linear regression models incorporating original outcome distributions

ABSTRACT

In this article, we propose an approach for incorporating continuous and discrete original outcome distributions into the usual exponential family regression models. The new approach is an extension of the works of Suissa (1991 Suissa, S. (1991). Binary methods for continuous outcomes: A parametric alternative. J. Clin. Epidemiol. 44:241–248.[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) and Suissa and Blais (1995 Suissa, S., Blais, L. (1995). Binary regression with continuous outcomes. Stat. Med. 14:247–255.[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), which present methods to estimate the risk of an event defined in a sample subspace of an original continuous outcome variable. Simulation studies are presented in order to illustrate the performance of the developed methodology. Real data sets are analyzed by using the proposed models.     

Note on posterior inference for the Bingham distribution

The properties of high-dimensional Bingham distributions have been studied by Kume and Walker (2014 Kume, A., and S. G. Walker. 2014. On the Bingham distribution with large dimension. Journal of Multivariate Analysis 124:345–52.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). Fallaize and Kypraios (2016 Fallaize, C. J., and T. Kypraios. 2016. Exact Bayesian inference for the Bingham distribution. Statistics and Computing 26:349–60.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) propose the Bayesian inference for the Bingham distribution and they use developments in Bayesian computation for distributions with doubly intractable normalizing constants (Møller et al. 2006 Møller, J., A. N. Pettitt, R. Reeves, and K. K. Berthelsen. 2006. An efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo method for distributions with intractable normalising constants. Biometrika 93 (2):451–458.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]; Murray, Ghahramani, and MacKay 2006 Murray, I., Z. Ghahramani, and D. J. C. MacKay. 2006. MCMC for doubly intractable distributions. In Proceedings of the 22nd annual conference on uncertainty in artificial intelligence (UAI-06), 359–66. AUAI Press. [Google Scholar]). However, they rely heavily on two Metropolis updates that they need to tune. In this article, we propose instead a model selection with the marginal likelihood.     

EVALUATION OF POWER OF TESTS INVOLVING COVARIATES UNDER NONCONSTANT VARIANCE

In many experiments where pre-treatment and post-treatment measurements are taken, investigators wish to determine if there is a difference between two treatment groups. For this type of data, the post-treatment variable is used as the primary comparison variable and the pre-treatment variable is used as a covariate. Although most of the discussion in this paper is written with the pre-treatment variable as the covariate the results are applicable to other choices of a covariate. Tests based on residuals have been proposed as alternatives to the usual covariance methods. Our objective is to investigate how the powers of these tests are affected when the conditional variance of the post-treatment variable depends on the magnitude of the pre-treatment variable. In particular, we investigate two cases. [1] Crager, Michael R. 1987. Analysis of Covariance in Parallel-Group Clinical Trials With Pretreatment Baselines. Biometrics, 43: 895–901. [Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar] The conditional variance of the post-treatment variable gradually increases as the magnitude of the pre-treatment variable increases. (In many biological models this is the case.) [2] Knoke, James D. 1991. Nonparametric Analysis of Covariance for Comparing Change in Randomized Studies with Baseline Values Subject to Error. Biometrics, 47: 523–533. [Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar] The conditional variance of the post-treatment variable is dependent upon natural or imposed subgroups contained within the pre-treatment variable. Power comparisons are made using Monte Carlo techniques.     

A MONTE CARLO COMPARISON OF VARIOUS ASYMPTOTIC APPROXIMATIONS TO THE DISTRIBUTION OF INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLES ESTIMATORS

ABSTRACT

We examine empirical relevance of three alternative asymptotic approximations to the distribution of instrumental variables estimators by Monte Carlo experiments. We find that conventional asymptotics provides a reasonable approximation to the actual distribution of instrumental variables estimators when the sample size is reasonably large. For most sample sizes, we find Bekker[11] Bekker, P. A. 1994. Alternative Approximations to the Distributions of Instrumental Variable Estimators. Econometrica, 62: 657–681. [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar] asymptotics provides reasonably good approximation even when the first stage R ² is very small. We conclude that reporting Bekker[11] Bekker, P. A. 1994. Alternative Approximations to the Distributions of Instrumental Variable Estimators. Econometrica, 62: 657–681. [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar] confidence interval would suffice for most microeconometric (cross-sectional) applications, and the comparative advantage of Staiger and Stock[5] Staiger, D. and Stock, J. H. 1997. Instrumental Variables Regression with Weak Instruments. Econometrica, 65: 556–586. [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar] asymptotic approximation is in applications with sample sizes typical in macroeconometric (time series) applications.     

On Fitting Transformation Model to Survey Data

In this article, we consider fitting a semiparametric linear model to survey data with censored observations. The specific goal of the paper is to extend the methods of Cheng et al. (1995 Cheng, S.C., Wei, L.J., Ying, Z. (1995). Analysis of transformation models with censored data. Biometrika 82(4):835–845.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) and Chen et al. (2002 Chen, K., Jin, Z. Ying, Z. (2002). Semiparametric analysis of transformation models with censored data. Biometrika 89:659–668.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) to the case when the sample has been drawn from a population using a complex sampling design. Similar to the approach of Lin (2000 Lin, D.Y. (2000). On fitting Cox’s proportional hazards models to survey data. Biometrika 87:37–47.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), we regard the survey population as a random sample from an infinite universe and accounts for this randomness in the statistical inference. A simulation study is conducted to investigate the performance of the proposed estimators.     

Alternative Approximations to Value-At-Risk: A Comparison

This article compares three value-at-risk (VaR) approximation methods suggested in the literature: Cornish and Fisher (1937 Cornish, E.A., Fisher, R.A. (1937). Moments and cumulants in the specification of distributions. Revue de l’Institut International de Statistique 5:307–320.[Crossref] , [Google Scholar]), Sillitto (1969 Sillitto, G.P. (1969). Derivation of approximants to the inverse distribution function of a continuous univariate population from the order statistics of a sample. Biometrika 56:641–650.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), and Liu (2010 Liu, W.-H. (2010). Estimation and testing of portfolio value-at-risk based on L-comoment matrices. Journal of Futures Markets 30:897–908.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). Simulation results are obtained for three families of distributions: student-t, skewed-normal, and skewed-t. We recommend the Sillitto approximation as the best method to evaluate the VaR when the financial return has an unknown, skewed, and heavy-tailed distribution.     

Inference in log-alpha-power and log-skew-normal multivariate models

ABSTRACT

Random vectors with positive components are common in many applied fields, for example, in meteorology, when daily precipitation is measured through a region Marchenko and Genton (2010 Marchenko, Y., Genton, M. (2010). Multivariate log-skew-elliptical distributions with applications to precipitation data. Environmetrics 21:318–340.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). Frequently, the log-normal multivariate distribution is used for modeling this type of data. This modeling approach is not appropriate for data with high asymmetry or kurtosis. Consequently, more flexible multivariate distributions than the log-normal multivariate are required. As an alternative to this distribution, we propose the log-alpha-power multivariate and log-skew-normal multivariate models. The first model is an extension for positive data of the fractional order statistics model Durrans (1992 Durrans, S. (1992). Distributions of fractional order statistics in hydrology. Water Resour. Res. 28:1649–1655.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). The second one is an extension of the log-skew-normal model studied by Mateu-Figueras and Pawlowsky-Glahn (2007 Mateu-Figueras, G., Pawlowsky-Glahn, V. (2007). The skew-normal distribution on the simplex. Commun. Stat.-Theory Methods 36:1787–1802.[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). We study parameter estimation for these models by means of pseudo-likelihood and maximum likelihood methods. We illustrate the proposal analyzing a real dataset.     

ESTIMATION OF PARAMETERS IN ARFIMA PROCESSES: A SIMULATION STUDY

It is known that, in the presence of short memory components, the estimation of the fractional parameter d in an Autoregressive Fractionally Integrated Moving Average, ARFIMA(p, d, q), process has some difficulties (see [1] Smith, J., Taylor, N. and Yadav, S. 1997. Comparing the bias and misspecification in ARFIMA models. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 18(5): 507–527. [Crossref] , [Google Scholar]). In this paper, we continue the efforts made by Smith et al. [1] Smith, J., Taylor, N. and Yadav, S. 1997. Comparing the bias and misspecification in ARFIMA models. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 18(5): 507–527. [Crossref] , [Google Scholar] and Beveridge and Oickle [2] Beveridge, S. and Oickle, C. 1993. Estimating fractionally integrated time series models. Economics Letters, 43: 137–142.  [Google Scholar] by conducting a simulation study to evaluate the convergence properties of the iterative estimation procedure suggested by Hosking [3] Hosking, J. 1981. Fractional differencing. Biometrika, 68(1): 165–176. [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]. In this context we consider some semiparametric approaches and a parametric method proposed by Fox-Taqqu[4] Fox, R. and Taqqu, M. S. 1986. Large-sample properties of parameter estimates for strongly dependent stationary gaussian time series. The Annals of Statistics, 14(2): 517–532. [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]. We also investigate the method proposed by Robinson [5] Robinson, P. M. 1995a. Log-periodogram regression of time series with long range dependence. The Annals of Statistics, 23(3): 1048–1072. [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar] and a modification using the smoothed periodogram function.     

POOLED SLICING METHODS VERSUS SLICING METHODS

We consider the semiparametric regression model introduced by [1] Duan, N. and Li, K. C. 1991. Slicing regression: a link-free regression method. The Annals of Statistics, 19: 505–530. [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]. The dependent variable y is linked to the index x′ β through an unknown link function. [1] Duan, N. and Li, K. C. 1991. Slicing regression: a link-free regression method. The Annals of Statistics, 19: 505–530. [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar] and [2] Li, K. C. 1991. Sliced inverse regression for dimension reduction, with discussions. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 86: 316–342. [Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar] present Slicing methods (the Sliced Inverse Regression methods SIR-I, SIR-II and SIR_α) in order to estimate the direction of the unknown slope parameter β. These methods are computationally simple and fast but depend on the choice of an arbitrary slicing fixed by the user. When the sample size is small, the number and the position of slices have an influence on the estimated direction. In this paper, we suggest to use the corresponding Pooled Slicing methods: PSIR-I (proposed by [3] Aragon, Y. and Saracco, J. 1997. Sliced Inverse Regression (SIR): an appraisal of small sample alternatives to slicing. Computational Statistics, 12: 109–130. [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), PSIR-II and PSIR_α. These methods combine the results from a number of slicings. We compare the sample behaviour of Slicing and Pooled Slicing methods on simulations. We also propose a practical choice of α in SIR_α and PSIR_α methods.     

Bootstrap test of hypothesis for the multi-state models in survival analysis

Abstract

In the present paper we develop bootstrap tests of hypothesis, based on simulation, for the transition probability matrix arising in the context of a multi-state model. The bootstrap test statistic is based on the paper of Tattar and Vaman (2008 Tattar, P. N., Vaman, H. J. (2008). Testing transition probability matrix of a multi-state model with censored data. Lifetime Data Anal. 14(2):216–230.[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), which develops a statistic for the testing problems concerning the transition probability matrix of the non homogeneous Markov process.     

On goodness-of-fit tests for Aalen's additive model based on left-truncated right-censored or doubly censored data

ABSTRACT

Gandy and Jensen (2005 Gandy, A., Jensen, U. (2005). On goodness-of-fit tests for Aalen's additive risk model. Scan. J. Stat. 32:425–445.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) proposed goodness-of-fit tests for Aalen's additive risk model. In this article, we demonstrate that the approach of Gandy and Jensen (2005 Gandy, A., Jensen, U. (2005). On goodness-of-fit tests for Aalen's additive risk model. Scan. J. Stat. 32:425–445.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) can be applied to left-truncated right-censored (LTRC) data and doubly censored data. A simulation study is conducted to investigate the performance of the proposed tests. The proposed tests are illustrated using heart transplant data.