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1.
Cibele Queiroz da-Silva Eduardo G. Martins Vinícius Bonato Sérgio Furtado dos Reis 《统计学通讯:模拟与计算》2013,42(4):816-828
We develop a series of Bayesian statistical models for estimating survival of a neotropic didelphid marsupial, the Brazilian gracile mouse opossum (Gracilinanus microtarsus). These models are based on the Cormack–Jolly–Seber model (Cormack, 1964; Jolly 1965; Seber 1965) with both survival and recapture rates expressed as a function of covariates using a logit link. The proposed models allow taking into account heterogeneity in capture probability caused by the existence of different groups of individuals in the population. The models were applied to two cohorts (Cohort, 2000, 2001) with the first one including 14 and the second one 15 sampling occasions. The best models for each of the cohorts indicate that G. microtarsus is best described as partially semelparous, a condition in which mortality after the first mating is high but graded over time, with a fraction of males surviving for a second breeding season (Boonstra, 2005). 相似文献
2.
Extending the bifurcating autoregressive (BAR) process (cf. Cowan and Staudte, 1986) to multi-casting (multi-splitting) data, Hwang and Choi (2009) introduced multi-casting autoregression (MCAR, for short) defined on multi-casting tree structured data. This article is concerned with the case when the MCAR model is partially specified only through conditional mean and variance without directly imposing autoregressive (AR) structure. The resulting class of models will be referred to as P-MCAR (partially specified MCAR). The P-MCAR considerably enlarges the class of multi-casting models including (as special cases) MCAR, random coefficient MCAR, conditionally heteroscedastic multi-casting models and binomial-thinning processes. Moment structures for this broad P-MCAR class are investigated. Least squares (LS) estimation method is discussed and asymptotic relative efficiency (ARE) of the generalized-LS over ordinary-LS is obtained in a closed form. A simulation study is conducted to illustrate results. 相似文献
3.
Pao-sheng Shen 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2013,42(20):3319-3328
The complication in analyzing tumor data is that the tumors detected in a screening program tend to be slowly progressive tumors, which is the so-called length-biased sampling that is inherent in screening studies. Under the assumption that all subjects have the same tumor growth function, Ghosh (2008) developed estimation procedures for proportional hazards model. In this article, by modeling growth function as a function of covariates, we demonstrate that Ghosh (2008)'s approach can be extended to the case when each subject has a specific growth function. A simulation study is conducted to demonstrate the potential usefulness of the proposed estimators for the regression parameters in the proportional and additive hazards model. 相似文献
4.
ABSTRACT This paper reviews and extends the literature on the finite sample behavior of tests for sample selection bias. Monte Carlo results show that, when the “multicollinearity problem” identified by Nawata (1993) is severe, (i) the t-test based on the Heckman–Greene variance estimator can be unreliable, (ii) the Likelihood Ratio test remains powerful, and (iii) nonnormality can be interpreted as severe sample selection bias by Maximum Likelihood methods, leading to negative Wald statistics. We also confirm previous findings (Leung and Yu, 1996) that the standard regression-based t-test (Heckman, 1979) and the asymptotically efficient Lagrange Multiplier test (Melino, 1982), are robust to nonnormality but have very little power. 相似文献
5.
Huang (2010) proposed an optional randomized response model using a linear combination scrambling which is a generalization of the multiplicative scrambling of Eichhorn and Hayre (1983) and the additive scrambling of Gupta et al. (2006, 2010). In this article, we discuss two main issues. (1) Can the Huang (2010) model be improved further by using a two-stage approach?; (2) Does the linear combination scrambling provide any benefit over the additive scrambling of Gupta et al. (2010)? We will note that the answer to the first question is “yes” but the answer to the second question is “no.” 相似文献
6.
In this article, we propose a nonparametric method to test for symmetry in bivariate data. By using the extension of Fisher's exact treatment for 2 × 2 contingency tables proposed by Freeman and Halton (1951), we can test the hypothesis of equal distribution for two samples of integer valued variables. Then, by counting the number of observations belonging to each cell of a symmetric, appropriately built grid, we can produce the two samples of integers required to use this test for equal distribution. The resulting test for symmetry is potentially extendible to higher dimensions. A simulation study is performed to compare with some known tests (Bowker, 1948; Hollander, 1971; and its improvement given in Krampe and Kuhnt, 2007). Our proposal represents a competitive option as a test for symmetry. 相似文献
7.
Feng-Shou Ko 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2013,42(15):2681-2698
A proposed method based on frailty models is used to identify longitudinal biomarkers or surrogates for a multivariate survival. This method is an extention of earlier models by Wulfsohn and Tsiatis (1997) and Song et al. (2002). In this article, similar to Henderson et al. (2002), a joint likelihood function combines the likelihood functions of the longitudinal biomarkers and the multivariate survival times. We use simulations to explore how the number of individuals, the number of time points per individual and the functional form of the random effects from the longitudianl biomarkers influence the power to detect the association of a longitudinal biomarker and the multivariate survival time. The proposed method is illustrate by using the gastric cancer data. 相似文献
8.
Feng-Shou Ko 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2013,42(18):3222-3237
We introduce a score test to identify longitudinal biomarkers or surrogates for a time to event outcome. This method is an extension of Henderson et al. (2000, 2002). In this article, a score test is based on a joint likelihood function which combines the likelihood functions of the longitudinal biomarkers and the survival times. Henderson et al. (2000, 2002) assumed that the same random effect exists in the longitudinal component and in the Cox model and then they can derive a score test to determine if a longitudinal biomarker is associated with time to an event. We extend this work and our score test is based on a joint likelihood function which allows other random effects to be present in the survival function. Considering heterogeneous baseline hazards in individuals, we use simulations to explore how the factors can influence the power of a score test to detect the association of a longitudinal biomarker and the survival time. These factors include the functional form of the random effects from the longitudinal biomarkers, in the different number of individuals, and time points per individual. We illustrate our method using a prothrombin index as a predictor of survival in liver cirrhosis patients. 相似文献
9.
Shaowen Wu 《统计学通讯:模拟与计算》2013,42(8):1590-1604
We reinvestigate the empirical problem of lag length selection in unit root tests when using the augmented Dickey–Fuller test based on GLS-detrending. We extend the Ng and Perron (1995) work on this issue by applying the finite sample critical values calculated using the formulae proposed by Cheung and Lai (1995). Unlike Ng and Perron (2001) we find through simulation studies that the method of selecting lag length using the sequential t-test in the ADF regression of GLS-detrended series performs the best in most cases. 相似文献
10.
This article presents results concerning the performance of both single equation and system panel cointegration tests and estimators. The study considers the tests developed in Pedroni (1999, 2004), Westerlund (2005), Larsson et al. (2001), and Breitung (2005) and the estimators developed in Phillips and Moon (1999), Pedroni (2000), Kao and Chiang (2000), Mark and Sul (2003), Pedroni (2001), and Breitung (2005). We study the impact of stable autoregressive roots approaching the unit circle, of I(2) components, of short-run cross-sectional correlation and of cross-unit cointegration on the performance of the tests and estimators. The data are simulated from three-dimensional individual specific VAR systems with cointegrating ranks varying from zero to two for fourteen different panel dimensions. The usual specifications of deterministic components are considered. 相似文献
11.
Zheng Su 《统计学通讯:模拟与计算》2013,42(8):1163-1170
Johns (1988), Davison (1988), and Do and Hall (1991) used importance sampling for calculating bootstrap distributions of one-dimensional statistics. Realizing that their methods can not be extended easily to multi-dimensional statistics, Fuh and Hu (2004) proposed an exponential tilting formula for statistics of multi-dimension, which is optimal in the sense that the asymptotic variance is minimized for estimating tail probabilities of asymptotically normal statistics. For one-dimensional statistics, Hu and Su (2008) proposed a multi-step variance minimization approach that can be viewed as a generalization of the two-step variance minimization approach proposed by Do and Hall (1991). In this article, we generalize the approach of Hu and Su (2008) to multi-dimensional statistics, which applies to general statistics and does not resort to asymptotics. Empirical results on a real survival data set show that the proposed algorithm provides significant computational efficiency gains. 相似文献
12.
We propose a class of estimators for the population mean when there are missing data in the data set. Obtaining the mean square error equations of the proposed estimators, we show the conditions where the proposed estimators are more efficient than the sample mean, ratio-type estimators, and the estimators in Singh and Horn (2000) and Singh and Deo (2003) in the case of missing data. These conditions are also supported by a numerical example. 相似文献
13.
We consider non-parametric estimation of a continuous cdf of a random vector (X 1, X 2). With bivariate RC data, it is stated in van der Laan (1996, p. 59810, Ann. Statist.), Quale et al. (2006, JASA) etc. that “it is well known that the NPMLE for continuous data is inconsistent (Tsai et al. (1986)).” The claim is based on a result in Tsai et al. (1986, p.1352, Ann. Statist.) that if X 1 is right censored but not X 2, then common ways for defining one NPMLE lead to inconsistency. If X 1 is right censored and X 2 is type I right-censored (which includes the case in Tsai et al.), we present a consistent NPMLE. The result corrects a common misinterpretation of Tsai's example (Tsai et al., 1986, Ann. Statist.). 相似文献
14.
Gadre and Rattihalli [5] have introduced the Modified Group Runs (MGR) control chart to identify the increases in fraction non-conforming and to detect shifts in the process mean. The MGR chart reduces the out-of-control average time-to-signal (ATS), as compared with most of the well-known control charts. In this article, we develop the Side Sensitive Modified Group Runs (SSMGR) chart to detect shifts in the process mean. With the help of numerical examples, it is illustrated that the SSMGR chart performs better than the Shewhart's X¯ chart, the synthetic chart [12], the Group Runs chart [4], the Side Sensitive Group Runs chart [6], as well as the MGR chart [5]. In some situations it is also superior to the Cumulative Sum chart p9] and the exponentially weighed moving average chart [10]. In the steady state also, its performance is better than the above charts. 相似文献
15.
Pao-Sheng Shen 《统计学通讯:模拟与计算》2013,42(10):2295-2307
Cai and Zeng (2011) proposed an additive mixed effect model to analyze clustered right-censored data. In this article, we demonstrate that the approach of Cai and Zeng (2011) can be extended to clustered doubly censored data. Furthermore, when both left- and right-censoring variables are always observed, we propose alternative estimators using the approach of Cai and Cheng (2004). A simulation study is conducted to investigate the performance of the proposed estimators. 相似文献
16.
For the first time, we provide a matrix formula for second-order covariances of maximum likelihood estimates in heteroskedastic generalized linear models, thus generalizing the results of Cordeiro (2004) and Cordeiro et al. (2006) related to the generalized linear models with known and unknown dispersion parameter, respectively. The covariance matrix formula does not involve cumulants of log-likelihood derivatives and can be easily obtained using simple matrix operations. We apply our main result to a simple model. Some simulations show that the second-order covariances can be quite pronounced in small to moderate samples. The usual covariances of the maximum likelihood estimates can be corrected by these second-order covariances. 相似文献
17.
We carried out a simulation study based on the methodology of Newcombe (1998) to compare tests for the difference of two binomial proportions by applying different continuity corrections on saddlepoint approximation to tail probabilities. In this article, we proposed a new continuity correction based on the least common multiple of two sample sizes. We evaluated that the best test should have the actual Type I error rates that are, on the whole, closest to α, but not exceeding α, where α is nominal level of significance. 相似文献
18.
In incident cohort studies, survival data often include subjects who have had an initiate event at recruitment and may potentially experience two successive events (first and second) during the follow-up period. Since the second duration process becomes observable only if the first event has occurred, left-truncation and dependent censoring arise if the two duration times are correlated. To confront the two potential sampling biases, Chang and Tzeng (2006) provided an inverse-probability-weighted (IPW) approach for estimating the joint probability function of successive duration times. In this note, an alternative IPW approach is proposed. A simulation study is conducted to compare the two IPW approaches. 相似文献
19.
Several panel unit root tests that account for cross-section dependence using a common factor structure have been proposed in the literature recently. Pesaran's (2007) cross-sectionally augmented unit root tests are designed for cases where cross-sectional dependence is due to a single factor. The Moon and Perron (2004) tests which use defactored data are similar in spirit but can account for multiple common factors. The Bai and Ng (2004a) tests allow to determine the source of nonstationarity by testing for unit roots in the common factors and the idiosyncratic factors separately. Breitung and Das (2008) and Sul (2007) propose panel unit root tests when cross-section dependence is present possibly due to common factors, but the common factor structure is not fully exploited. This article makes four contributions: (1) it compares the testing procedures in terms of similarities and differences in the data generation process, tests, null, and alternative hypotheses considered, (2) using Monte Carlo results it compares the small sample properties of the tests in models with up to two common factors, (3) it provides an application which illustrates the use of the tests, and (4) finally, it discusses the use of the tests in modelling in general. 相似文献
20.
M. Revan Özkale 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2013,42(7):1094-1097
In this note, we show that the estimator and the following results given by Zhong and Yang (2007) are the same with that of Groß (2003). 相似文献