协整参数的自举推断

 针对完全修正最小二乘(full-modified ordinary least square,简称FMOLS）估计方法,给出一种协整参数的自举推断程序,证明零假设下自举统计量与检验统计量具有相同的渐近分布。关于检验功效的研究表明,虽然有约束自举的实际检验水平表现良好,但如果零假设不成立,自举统计量的分布是不确定的,因而其经验分布不能作为检验统计量精确分布的有效估计。实际应用中建议使用无约束自举,因为无论观测数据是否满足零假设,其自举统计量与零假设下检验统计量都具有相同的渐近分布。最后,利用蒙特卡洛模拟对自举推断和渐近推断的有限样本表现进行比较研究。     

Estimation in the presence of incidental parameters

This paper considers the estimation of “structural” parameters when the number of unknown parameters increases with the sample size. Neyman and Scott (1948) had demonstrated that maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) of structural parameters may be inconsistent in this case. Patefield (1977) further observed that the asymptotic covariance matrix of the MLE is not equal to the inverse of the information matrix. In this paper we establish asymptotic properties of estimators (which include in particular the MLE) obtained via the usual likelihood approach when the incidental parameters are first replaced by their estimates (which are allowed to depend on the structural parameters). Conditions for consistency and asymptotic normality together with a proper formula for the asymptotic covariance matrix are given. The results are illustrated and applied to the problem of estimating linear functional relationships, and mild conditions on the incidental parameters for the MLE (or an adjusted MLE) to be consistent and asymptotically normal are obtained. These conditions are weaker than those imposed by previous authors.     

Profile Likelihood Inferences on the Partially Linear Model with a Diverging Number of Parameters

In this article, we study the profile likelihood estimation and inference on the partially linear model with a diverging number of parameters. Polynomial splines are applied to estimate the nonparametric component and we focus on constructing profile likelihood ratio statistic to examine the testing problem for the parametric component in the partially linear model. Under some regularity conditions, the asymptotic distribution of profile likelihood ratio statistic is proposed when the number of parameters grows with the sample size. Numerical studies confirm our theory.     

Robust Estimators for the Parameters of Multivariate Lognormal Distribution

Abstract

In this paper, we introduce a class of location and scale estimators for the p-variate lognormal distribution. These estimators are obtained by applying a log transform to the data, computing robust Fisher consistent estimators for the obtained Gaussian data and transforming those estimators for the lognormal using the relationship between the parameters of both distributions. We prove some of the properties of these estimators, such as Fisher consistency, robustness and asymptotic normality.     

A nonparametric inverse probability weighted estimation for functional data with missing response data at random

This paper considers the nonparametric inverse probability weighted estimation for functional data with missing response data at random. Under mild conditions, the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimation method are established. Based on the resampling method, the estimation of the asymptotic variance of the proposed estimator is obtained. Finally, the finite sample properties of the proposed estimation method are investigated via Monte Carlo simulation studies. A real data analysis is given to illustrate the use of the proposed method.     

ASYMPTOTIC PROPERTIES OF RESTRICTED MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD (REML) ESTIMATES FOR HIERARCHICAL MIXED LINEAR MODELS

This paper explores the asymptotic distribution of the restricted maximum likelihood estimator of the variance components in a general mixed model. Restricting attention to hierarchical models, central limit theorems are obtained using elementary arguments with only mild conditions on the covariates in the fixed part of the model and without having to assume that the data are either normally or spherically symmetrically distributed. Further, the REML and maximum likelihood estimators are shown to be asymptotically equivalent in this general framework, and the asymptotic distribution of the weighted least squares estimator (based on the REML estimator) of the fixed effect parameters is derived.     

Asymptotic likelihood inference for nonhomogeneous observations

This paper surveys asymptotic theory of maximum likelihood estimation for not identically distributed, possibly dependent observations. Main results on consistency, asymptotic normality and efficiency are stated within a unified framework. Limiting distributions of the likelihood ratio, Wald and score statistics for composite hypotheses are obtained under the same conditions by a generalization of existing theory. Modifications for maximum likelihood estimation under misspecification, containing the results for correctly specified models, are presented, and extensions to likelihood inference in the presence of nuisance parameters are indicated.     

On asymptotic distribution of prediction in functional linear regression

There has been substantial recent attention on problems involving a functional linear regression model with scalar response. Among them, there have been few works dealing with asymptotic distribution of prediction in functional linear regression models. In recent literature, the centeral limit theorem for prediction has been discussed, but the proof and conditions under which the random bias terms for a fixed predictor converge to zero have been ignored so that the impact of these terms on the convergence of the prediction has not been well understood. Clarifying the proof and conditions under which the bias terms converge to zero, we show that the asymptotic distribution of the prediction is normal. Furthermore, we have derived those results related to other terms that already obtained by others, under milder conditions. Finally, we conduct a simulation study to investigate performance of the asymptotic distribution under various parameter settings.     

Some Nonparametric Asymptotic Results for a Class of Stochastic Processes

This article provides a solution of a generalized eigenvalue problem for integrated processes of order 2 in a nonparametric framework. Our analysis focuses on a pair of random matrices related to such integrated process. The matrices are constructed considering some weight functions. Under asymptotic conditions on such weights, convergence results in distribution are obtained and the generalized eigenvalue problem is solved. Differential equations and stochastic calculus theory are used.     

Bootstrapping a Universal Pivot When Nuisance Parameters are Estimated

In complete samples from a continuous cumulative distribution with unknown parameters, it is known that various pivotal functions can be constructed by appealing to the probability integral transform. A pivotal function (or simply pivot) is a function of the data and parameters that has the property that its distribution is free of any unknown parameters. Pivotal functions play a key role in constructing confidence intervals and hypothesis tests. If there are nuisance parameters in addition to a parameter of interest, and consistent estimators of the nuisance parameters are available, then substituting them into the pivot can preserve the pivot property while altering the pivot distribution, or may instead create a function that is approximately a pivot in the sense that its asymptotic distribution is free of unknown parameters. In this latter case, bootstrapping has been shown to be an effective way of estimating its distribution accurately and constructing confidence intervals that have more accurate coverage probability in finite samples than those based on the asymptotic pivot distribution. In this article, one particular pivotal function based on the probability integral transform is considered when nuisance parameters are estimated, and the estimation of its distribution using parametric bootstrapping is examined. Applications to finding confidence intervals are emphasized. This material should be of interest to instructors of upper division and beginning graduate courses in mathematical statistics who wish to integrate bootstrapping into their lessons on interval estimation and the use of pivotal functions.

[Received November 2014. Revised August 2015.]     

An efficiency result for the empirical characteristic function in stationary time-series models

It is shown under general conditions that arbitrarily high asymptotic efficiencies can be obtained when the parameters of a stationary time series are estimated by fitting the characteristic functions of the process to their empirical versions. A consistency and a central limit result are also given.     

Robust Estimation of Moments in Dynamic Panel Models with Potential Intercorrelation

In this article, we provide some robust estimation of moments of the random effects and the errors in dynamic panel data models with potential intercorrelation. By differencing the residuals over the individual and time indies, we modify the popularly used Arellano-Bond GMM estimator of the parameter coefficient and study its asymptotic properties. Based on the modified parameter estimator, we construct, respectively, some moment estimators of the random effects and the errors with no affecting each other. Their asymptotic normalities are obtained under some mild conditions. The finite sample properties are investigated by a small Monte Carlo simulation experiment.     

A two-parameter estimator in the negative binomial regression model

In this article, a two-parameter estimator is proposed to combat multicollinearity in the negative binomial regression model. The proposed two-parameter estimator is a general estimator which includes the maximum likelihood (ML) estimator, the ridge estimator (RE) and the Liu estimator as special cases. Some properties on the asymptotic mean-squared error (MSE) are derived and necessary and sufficient conditions for the superiority of the two-parameter estimator over the ML estimator and sufficient conditions for the superiority of the two-parameter estimator over the RE and the Liu estimator in the asymptotic mean-squared error (MSE) matrix sense are obtained. Furthermore, several methods and three rules for choosing appropriate shrinkage parameters are proposed. Finally, a Monte Carlo simulation study is given to illustrate some of the theoretical results.     

UNIT ROOT TESTING IN THE PRESENCE OF HEAVY‐TAILED GARCH ERRORS

We derive the asymptotic distributions of the Dickey–Fuller (DF) and augmented DF (ADF) tests for unit root processes with Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedastic (GARCH) errors under fairly mild conditions. We show that the asymptotic distributions of the DF tests and ADF t‐type test are the same as those obtained in the independent and identically distributed Gaussian cases, regardless of whether the fourth moment of the underlying GARCH process is finite or not. Our results go beyond earlier ones by showing that the fourth moment condition on the scaled conditional errors is totally unnecessary. Some Monte Carlo simulations are provided to illustrate the finite‐sample‐size properties of the tests.     

Small nonparametric tolerance regions for directional data

We present a natural approach, based on minimum volume sets, for constructing nonparametric tolerance regions for directional data. The tolerance regions have desirable features like invariance and are asymptotically minimal under certain conditions. We establish the asymptotic correctness of our tolerance regions by using the theory of empirical processes and generalized quantiles. The results are obtained under minimal conditions. In case of circular data, the finite sample properties of the tolerance arcs are studied through simulations. The method is also applied to a real data example.     

Semiparametric Regression Estimation in Copula Models

We consider some methods of semiparametric regression estimation in multivariate models when the common distribution function is represented using a copula and the marginals satisfy a generalized regression model using a transfer functional. Sufficient conditions for consistency and joint asymptotic normality of the finite-dimensional parameters are obtained.     

Adaptive Lasso for generalized linear models with a diverging number of parameters

In this paper, we study the asymptotic properties of the adaptive Lasso estimators in high-dimensional generalized linear models. The consistency of the adaptive Lasso estimator is obtained. We show that, if a reasonable initial estimator is available, under appropriate conditions, the adaptive Lasso correctly selects covariates with non zero coefficients with probability converging to one, and that the estimators of non zero coefficients have the same asymptotic distribution they would have if the zero coefficients were known in advance. Thus, the adaptive Lasso has an Oracle property. The results are examined by some simulations and a real example.     

Quadratic Approximation via the SCAD Penalty with a Diverging Number of Parameters

The high-dimensional data arises in diverse fields of sciences, engineering and humanities. Variable selection plays an important role in dealing with high dimensional statistical modelling. In this article, we study the variable selection of quadratic approximation via the smoothly clipped absolute deviation (SCAD) penalty with a diverging number of parameters. We provide a unified method to select variables and estimate parameters for various of high dimensional models. Under appropriate conditions and with a proper regularization parameter, we show that the estimator has consistency and sparsity, and the estimators of nonzero coefficients enjoy the asymptotic normality as they would have if the zero coefficients were known in advance. In addition, under some mild conditions, we can obtain the global solution of the penalized objective function with the SCAD penalty. Numerical studies and a real data analysis are carried out to confirm the performance of the proposed method.     

On the Bahadur representation of sample quantiles for ψ-mixing sequences and its application

In this paper, the Bahadur representation of sample quantiles for ψ-mixing sequences is obtained under the given conditions. As its application, the uniformly asymptotic normality is derived.     

On Testing Changes in Autoregressive Parameters of a VAR Model

The article deals with the problem of testing a change in autoregressive matrices of the p-th order vector autoregressive process, VAR(p). The proposed test statistics are based on the likelihood ratio concept and are studied under the null hypothesis of no change in parameters. Their asymptotic behavior is derived under minimal moment assumptions in both cases where the time point of possible change is known a priori and is undefined. The Gumbel-type approximation of the test statistic is also developed, which previous papers on VAR(p) models do not cover.