Various measures of dependence of a new asymmetric generalized Farlie–Gumbel–Morgenstern copulas

ABSTRACT

In this paper, we discuss an asymmetric extension of Farlie–Gumbel–Morgenstern copulas studied by several authors and obtain the range of the parameter. We derive an expression for regression function and the properties of these copulas are studied in detail. Also, explicit expressions for various measures of association are obtained. These measures are numerically compared for some particular parametric values of the copulas.     

Vine copula constructions of higher-dimensional dependent reliability systems

Copulas have proved to be very successful tools for the flexible modeling of dependence. Bivariate copulas have been deeply researched in recent years, while building higher-dimensional copulas is still recognized to be a difficult task. In this paper, we study the higher-dimensional dependent reliability systems using a type of decomposition called “vine,” by which a multivariate distribution can be decomposed into a cascade of bivariate copulas. Some equations of system reliability for parallel, series, and k-out-of-n systems are obtained and then decomposed based on C-vine and D-vine copulas. Finally, a shutdown system is considered to illustrate the results obtained in the paper.     

New Families of Copulas Based on Periodic Functions

Abstract

Although there exists a large variety of copula functions, only a few are practically manageable, and often the choice in dependence modeling falls on the Gaussian copula. Furthermore most copulas are exchangeable, thus implying symmetric dependence. We introduce a way to construct copulas based on periodic functions. We study the two-dimensional case based on one dependence parameter and then provide a way to extend the construction to the n-dimensional framework. We can thus construct families of copulas in dimension n and parameterized by n ? 1 parameters, implying possibly asymmetric relations. Such “periodic” copulas can be simulated easily.     

SOME RESULTS ON TRUNCATION DEPENDENCE INVARIANT CLASS OF COPULAS

ABSTRACT

In this paper, m-dimensional distribution functions with truncation invariant dependence structure are studied. Some of the properties of generalized Archimedean class of copulas under this dependence structure are presented including some results on the conditions of compatibility. It has been shown that Archimedean copula generalized as it is described by Jouini and Clemen[1] Jouini, M.N. and Clemen, R.T. 1996. Copula Models for Aggregating Expert Opinions. Operations Research, 44(3): 444–457.  [Google Scholar] which has the truncation invariant dependence structure has to have the form of independence or Cook-Johnson copula. We also consider a multi-parameter class of copulas derived from one-parameter Archimedean copulas. It has been shown that this class has a probabilistic meaning as a connecting copula of the truncated random pair with a right truncation region on the third variable. Multi-parameter copulas generated in this paper stays in the Archimedean class. We provide formulas to compute Kendall's tau and explore the dependence behavior of this multi-parameter class through examples.     

Mixed Marginal Copula Modeling

ABSTRACT

This article extends the literature on copulas with discrete or continuous marginals to the case where some of the marginals are a mixture of discrete and continuous components. We do so by carefully defining the likelihood as the density of the observations with respect to a mixed measure. The treatment is quite general, although we focus on mixtures of Gaussian and Archimedean copulas. The inference is Bayesian with the estimation carried out by Markov chain Monte Carlo. We illustrate the methodology and algorithms by applying them to estimate a multivariate income dynamics model. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.     

Copulas checker-type approximations: Application to quantiles estimation of sums of dependent random variables

Abstract

Several approximations of copulas have been proposed in the literature. By using empirical versions of checker-type copulas approximations, we propose non parametric estimators of the copula. Under some conditions, the proposed estimators are copulas and their main advantage is that they can be sampled from easily. One possible application is the estimation of quantiles of sums of dependent random variables from a small sample of the multivariate law and a full knowledge of the marginal laws. We show that estimations may be improved by including in an easy way in the approximated copula some additional information on the law of a sub-vector for example. Our approach is illustrated by numerical examples.     

Truncation invariant copulas and a testing procedure

ABSTRACT

The class of bivariate copulas that are invariant under truncation with respect to one variable is considered. A simulation algorithm for the members of the class and a novel construction method are presented. Moreover, inspired by a stochastic interpretation of the members of such a class, a procedure is suggested to check whether the dependence structure of a given data set is truncation invariant. The overall performance of the procedure has been illustrated on both simulated and real data.     

Some Observations on Copula Regression Functions

ABSTRACT

The main objective of this article is to introduce an alternative way of looking at regression analysis by using copulas. To achieve our objective we work on copula regression function, study its properties, and discuss advantages that will come out from our approach.     

Patched approximations and their convergence

Abstract

Patched approximations of copulas unify ordinal sums, shuffles of Min, checkerboard, and checkmin approximations. We give a characterization of patched approximations and an error bound of the approximations in Sobolev norm. Patched approximations with uniform marginal conditional distributions are shown to arise naturally. We prove that these uniform patched approximations converge uniformly and in the Sobolev norm. The latter convergence is settled by showing the convergence almost everywhere of the first partial derivatives. We also show that the independence copula can be approximated by conditional mutual complete copulas in the Sobolev norm.     

A note on dependence modeling for Bernoulli variables

Understanding and modeling multivariate dependence structures depending upon the direction are challenging but an interest of theoretical and applied researchers. In this paper, we propose a characterization of tables generated by Bernoulli variables through the uniformization of the marginals and refer to them as Q-type tables. The idea is similar to the copulas. This approach helps to see the dependence structure clearly by eliminating the effect of the marginals that have nothing to do with the dependence structure. We define and study conditional and unconditional Q-type tables and provide various applications for them. The limitations of existing approaches such as Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel pooled odds ratio are discussed, and a new one that stems naturally from our approach is introduced.     

A recipe for bivariate copulas

ABSTRACT

We give conditions on a ? ?1, b ∈ ( ? ∞, ∞), and f and g so that C_{a, b}(x, y) = xy(1 + af(x)g(y))^b is a bivariate copula. Many well-known copulas are of this form, including the Ali–Mikhail–Haq Family, Huang–Kotz Family, Bairamov–Kotz Family, and Bekrizadeh–Parham–Zadkarmi Family. One result is that we produce an algorithm for producing such copulas. Another is a one-parameter family of copulas whose measures of concordance range from 0 to 1.     

Lower semiquadratic copulas with a given diagonal section

Inspired by the notion of lower semilinear copulas, we introduce a new class of copulas. These copulas, called lower semiquadratic copulas, are constructed by quadratic interpolation on segments connecting the diagonal of the unit square to the lower and left boundary of the unit square. Moreover, we unveil the necessary and sufficient conditions on a diagonal function and two auxiliary real functions u and v to obtain a copula that has this diagonal function as diagonal section. Under some mild assumptions, we characterize the smallest and the greatest lower semiquadratic copulas with a given diagonal section.     

Archimedean copulas with applications to $${{\mathrm{}}}$$ estimation

Assuming absolute continuity of marginals, we give the distribution for sums of dependent random variables from some class of Archimedean copulas and the marginal distribution functions of all order statistics. We use conditional independence structure of random variables from this class of Archimedean copulas and Laplace transform. Additionally, we present an application of our results to \({{\mathrm{VaR}}}\) estimation for sums of data from Archimedean copulas.     

Testing Goodness of Fit for Parametric Families of Copulas—Application to Financial Data

ABSTRACT

This article suggests a chi-square test of fit for parametric families of bivariate copulas. The marginal distribution functions are assumed to be unknown and are estimated by their empirical counterparts. Therefore, the standard asymptotic theory of the test is not applicable, but we derive a rule for the determination of the appropriate degrees of freedom in the asymptotic chi-square distribution. The behavior of the test under H ₀ and for selected alternatives is investigated by Monte Carlo simulation. The test is applied to investigate the dependence structure of daily German asset returns. It turns out that the Gauss copula is inappropriate to describe the dependencies in the data. A t _ν-copula with low degrees of freedom performs better.     

Examination and visualisation of the simplifying assumption for vine copulas in three dimensions

Vine copulas are a highly flexible class of dependence models, which are based on the decomposition of the density into bivariate building blocks. For applications one usually makes the simplifying assumption that copulas of conditional distributions are independent of the variables on which they are conditioned. However this assumption has been criticised for being too restrictive. We examine both simplified and non‐simplified vine copulas in three dimensions and investigate conceptual differences. We show and compare contour surfaces of three‐dimensional vine copula models, which prove to be much more informative than the contour lines of the bivariate marginals. Our investigation shows that non‐simplified vine copulas can exhibit arbitrarily irregular shapes, whereas simplified vine copulas appear to be smooth extrapolations of their bivariate margins to three dimensions. In addition to a variety of constructed examples, we also investigate a three‐dimensional subset of the well‐known uranium data set and visually detect the fact that a non‐simplified vine copula is necessary to capture its complex dependence structure.     

Copulas Constructed from Horizontal Sections

In analogy with the study of copulas whose diagonal sections have been fixed, we study the set _h of copulas for which a horizontal section h has been given. We first show that this set is not empty, by explicitly writing one such copula, which we call horizontal copula. Then we find the copulas that bound both below and above the set _h. Finally, we determine the expressions for Kendall's tau and Spearman's rho for the horizontal and the bounding copulas.     

Bounds for L-Statistics from Weakly Dependent Samples of Random Length

ABSTRACT

Sharp bounds on expected values of L-statistics based on a sample of possibly dependent, identically distributed random variables are given in the case when the sample size is a random variable with values in the set {0, 1, 2,…}. The dependence among observations is modeled by copulas and mixing. The bounds are attainable and provide characterizations of some non trivial distributions.     

Incremental modelling for compositional data streams

ABSTRACT

Incremental modelling of data streams is of great practical importance, as shown by its applications in advertising and financial data analysis. We propose two incremental covariance matrix decomposition methods for a compositional data type. The first method, exact incremental covariance decomposition of compositional data (C-EICD), gives an exact decomposition result. The second method, covariance-free incremental covariance decomposition of compositional data (C-CICD), is an approximate algorithm that can efficiently compute high-dimensional cases. Based on these two methods, many frequently used compositional statistical models can be incrementally calculated. We take multiple linear regression and principle component analysis as examples to illustrate the utility of the proposed methods via extensive simulation studies.     

Bayesian Inference on Multivariate Normal Covariance and Precision Matrices in a Star-Shaped Model with Missing Data

In this article, we study Bayesian estimation for the covariance matrix Σ and the precision matrix Ω (the inverse of the covariance matrix) in the star-shaped model with missing data. Based on a Cholesky-type decomposition of the precision matrix Ω = Ψ′Ψ, where Ψ is a lower triangular matrix with positive diagonal elements, we develop the Jeffreys prior and a reference prior for Ψ. We then introduce a class of priors for Ψ, which includes the invariant Haar measures, Jeffreys prior, and reference prior. The posterior properties are discussed and the closed-form expressions for Bayesian estimators for the covariance matrix Σ and the precision matrix Ω are derived under the Stein loss, entropy loss, and symmetric loss. Some simulation results are given for illustration.     

Mixing and moments properties of a non-stationary copula-based Markov process

Abstract

We provide conditions under which a non-stationary copula-based Markov process is geometric β-mixing and geometric ρ-mixing. Our results generalize some results of Beare who considers the stationary case. As a particular case we introduce a stochastic process, that we call convolution-based Markov process, whose construction is obtained by using the C-convolution operator which allows the increments to be dependent. Within this subclass of processes we characterize a modified version of the standard random walk where copulas and marginal distributions involved are in the same elliptical family. We study mixing and moments properties to identify the differences compared to the standard case.