More Efficient Tests Robust to Heteroskedasticity of Unknown Form

ABSTRACT

In the presence of heteroskedasticity of unknown form, the Ordinary Least Squares parameter estimator becomes inefficient, and its covariance matrix estimator inconsistent. Eicker (1963 Eicker , B. ( 1963 ). Limit theorems for regression with unequal and dependant errors . Ann. Math. Statist. 34 : 447 – 456 .[Crossref] , [Google Scholar]) and White (1980 White , H. ( 1980 ). A heteroskedasticity-consistent covariance matrix estimator and a direct test for heteroskedasticity . Econometrica 48 : 817 – 838 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) were the first to propose a robust consistent covariance matrix estimator, that permits asymptotically correct inference. This estimator is widely used in practice. Cragg (1983 Cragg , J. G. ( 1983 ). More efficient estimation in the presence of heteroskedasticity of unknown form . Econometrica 51 : 751 – 63 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) proposed a more efficient estimator, but concluded that tests basd on it are unreliable. Thus, this last estimator has not been used in practice. This article is concerned with finite sample properties of tests robust to heteroskedasticity of unknown form. Our results suggest that reliable and more efficient tests can be obtained with the Cragg estimators in small samples.     

The Exact General Formulas for the Moments of a Ridge Regression Estimator when the Regression Error Terms Follow a Multivariate t Distribution

Huang (1999 Huang , J. C. ( 1999 ). Improving the estimation precision for a selected parameter in multiple regression analysis: an algebraic approach . Econ. Lett. 62 : 261 – 264 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) proposed a feasible ridge regression (FRR) estimator to estimate a specific regression coefficient. Assuming that the error terms follow a normal distribution, Huang (1999 Huang , J. C. ( 1999 ). Improving the estimation precision for a selected parameter in multiple regression analysis: an algebraic approach . Econ. Lett. 62 : 261 – 264 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) examined the small sample properties of the FRR estimator. In this article, assuming that the error terms follow a multivariate t distribution, we derive an exact general formula for the moments of the FRR estimator to estimate a specific regression coefficient. Using the exact general formula, we obtain exact formulas for the bias, mean squared error (MSE), skewness, and kurtosis of the FRR estimator. Since these formulas are very complex, we compare the bias, MSE, skewness, and kurtosis of the FRR estimator with those of ordinary least square (OLS) estimator by numerical evaluations. Our numerical results show that the range of MSE dominance of the FRR estimator over the OLS estimator is widen under a fat tail distributional assumption.     

A New Estimator of Population Mean in Stratified Sampling

Kadilar and Cingi (2005 Kadilar , C. , Cingi , H. ( 2005 ). A new ratio estimator in stratified sampling . Comm. Statist. Theory Meth. 34 : 1 – 6 . [CSA] [Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) have suggested a new ratio estimator in stratified sampling. The efficiency of this estimator is compared with the traditional combined ratio estimator on the basis of mean square error (MSE). We propose another estimator by utilizing a simple transformation introduced by Bedi (1996 Bedi , P. K. ( 1996 ). Efficient utilization of auxiliary information at estimation stage . Biomet. J. 38 ( 8 ): 973 – 976 . [CSA] [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). The proposed estimator is found to be more efficient than the traditional combined ratio estimator as well as the Kadilar and Cingi (2005 Kadilar , C. , Cingi , H. ( 2005 ). A new ratio estimator in stratified sampling . Comm. Statist. Theory Meth. 34 : 1 – 6 . [CSA] [Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) ratio estimator.     

Stein-like 2SLS estimator

ABSTRACT

Maasoumi (1978 Maasoumi, E. (1978). A modified Stein-like estimator for the reduced form coefficients of simultaneous equations. Econometrica 46:695–703.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) proposed a Stein-like estimator for simultaneous equations and showed that his Stein shrinkage estimator has bounded finite sample risk, unlike the three-stage least square estimator. We revisit his proposal by investigating Stein-like shrinkage in the context of two-stage least square (2SLS) estimation of a structural parameter. Our estimator follows Maasoumi (1978 Maasoumi, E. (1978). A modified Stein-like estimator for the reduced form coefficients of simultaneous equations. Econometrica 46:695–703.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) in taking a weighted average of the 2SLS and ordinary least square estimators, with the weight depending inversely on the Hausman (1978 Hausman, J. A. (1978). Specification tests in econometrics. Econometrica 46:1251–1271.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) statistic for exogeneity. Using a local-to-exogenous asymptotic theory, we derive the asymptotic distribution of the Stein estimator and calculate its asymptotic risk. We find that if the number of endogenous variables exceeds 2, then the shrinkage estimator has strictly smaller risk than the 2SLS estimator, extending the classic result of James and Stein (1961 James W, ., Stein, C. M. (1961). Estimation with quadratic loss. Proceedings of the Fourth Berkeley Symposium on Mathematical Statistics and Probability 1:361–380. [Google Scholar]). In a simple simulation experiment, we show that the shrinkage estimator has substantially reduced finite sample median squared error relative to the standard 2SLS estimator.     

Nonparametric Estimation of Volatility Function with Variable Bandwidth Parameter

In this article, we introduce a new method for the volatility function estimation of continuous-time diffusion process dX _t  = μ(X _t )dt + σ(X _t )dW _t , which is based on combining the idea of local linear smoother and variable bandwidth. We give the expressions for the conditional MSE and MISE of the estimator and obtain the optimal variable bandwidth. An explicit formula for the optimal variable bandwidth is presented by minimizing the MISE, which extends the related results in Fan and Gijbels (1992 Fan , J. Q. , Gijbels , I. ( 1992 ). Variable bandwidth and local linear regression smoother . Ann. Statist. 20 ( 4 ): 2008 – 2036 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), etc. Finally, some simulations show that the performance of the proposed estimator with optimal variable bandwidth is often much better than that of the local linear estimator with invariable bandwidth.     

DSGE Models with Student-t Errors

This paper deals with Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) models under a multivariate student-t distribution for the structural shocks. Based on the solution algorithm of Klein (2000) and the gamma-normal representation of the t-distribution, the TaRB-MH algorithm of Chib and Ramamurthy (2010 Chib , S. , Ramamurthy , S. ( 2010 ). Tailored randomized block MCMC methods with application to DSGE models . Journal of Econometrics 108 : 19 – 38 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) is used to estimate the model. A technique for estimating the marginal likelihood of the DSGE student-t model is also provided. The methodologies are illustrated first with simulated data and then with the DSGE model of Ireland (2004 Ireland , P. N. ( 2004 ). Technology shocks in the new keynesian model . Review of Economics and Statistics 86 ( 4 ): 923 – 936 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) where the results support the t-error model in relation to the Gaussian model.     

Nonparametric Estimation and Hypothesis Testing on the Partial Area Under Receiver Operating Characteristic Curves

ABSTRACT

The area under a receiver operating characteristic curve is a useful index of the accuracy of a diagnostic test. When the diagnostic ability of a new biomarker is of interest only in a certain range of specificity, the partial area under the curve becomes desirable. In this article, we extend Bamber's (1975 Bamber , D. ( 1975 ). The area above the ordinal dominance graph and the area below the receiver operating characteristics graph. J. Math. Psychol. 12 : 387 – 415 . [CSA] [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) results and show that the partial area under a receiver operating characteristic curve is the probability of a constrained stochastic ordering. We then construct a ‘weighted’ Mann-Whitney statistic as an estimator of the partial area and investigate its statistical properties. A testing procedure is also developed to compare partial area under two receiver operating characteristic curves. The methods are exemplified with data from biomarkers associated with coronary heart disease.     

Semiparametric analysis of transformation models with doubly censored data

Double censoring arises when T represents an outcome variable that can only be accurately measured within a certain range, [L, U], where L and U are the left- and right-censoring variables, respectively. In this note, using Martingale arguments of Chen et al. [3 Chen, K., Jin, Z. and Ying, Z. 2002. Semiparametric analysis of transformation models with censored data. Biometrika, 89: 659–668. [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]], we propose an estimator (denoted by ?β) for estimating regression coefficients of transformation model when L is always observed. Under Cox proportional hazards model, the proposed estimator is equivalent to the partial likelihood estimator for left-truncated and right-censored data if the left-censoring variables L were regarded as left-truncated variables. In this case, the estimator ?β can be obtained by the standard software. A simulation study is conducted to investigate the performance of ?β. For the purpose of comparison, the simulation study also includes the estimator proposed by Cai and Cheng [2 Cai, T. and Cheng, S. 2004. Semiparametric regression analysis for doubly censored data. Biometrika, 91: 277–290. [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]] for the case when L and U are always observed.     

Nonparametric Estimators of the Distribution Function for One Modified Model of Current Status Data

In this article, we consider the estimation of distribution function for one modified form of current status data. An inverse-probability-weighted (IPW) estimator and a self-consistent estimator (SCE) are proposed. The asymptotic properties of the IPW estimator are derived. A simulation study is conducted to compare the performances among the IPW estimator, SCE, and the product-limit estimator proposed by Patilea and Rolin (2006 Patilea , V. , Rolin , J.-M. (2006). Product-limit estimators of the survival function for two modified forms of current-status data. Bernoulli 12(5):801–819.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). Simulation results indicate that when right censoring is light and left censoring is heavy, both IPW estimator and SCE can outperform the product-limit estimator. The performances of the IPW estimator and SCE are close to each other.     

Adaptive Estimation of Periodic First-Order Threshold Autoregressive Model

This paper focuses on the adaptive estimation problem of a Periodic Self-Exciting Threshold Autoregressive (PSETAR) model. The adapted sufficient conditions of Swensen (1985 Swensen, A. R. 1985. The asymptotic distribution of the likelihood ratio for autoregressive time series with a regression trend. Journal of Multivariate Analysis, 16: 54–70. [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) to our model, are verified and then explored to establish the Local Asymptotic Normality (LAN), the Local Asymptotic Quadratic (LAQ) and the Local Asymptotic properties satisfied by its central sequence. Using these results, we construct adaptive estimators for the parameter model where the innovation density is unspecified but symmetric, while satisfying only some general conditions. The performances of these adaptive estimations are shown via simulation studies and an application on the modeling of the Fraser River data.     

Circular Strongly Balanced Repeated Measurements Designs

Magda (1980 Magda , C. G. ( 1980 ). Circular balanced repeated measurements designs . Commun. Statist. Theor. Meth. 9 : 1901 – 1918 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) and Hedayat (1981 Hedayat , A. S. ( 1981 ). Repeated measurements designs-IV: recent advances (with discussion) . Bull. Int. Statist. Inst. 1 : 591 – 610 . [Google Scholar]) first considered the construction of circular strongly balanced repeated measurements designs. Sen and Mukerjee (1987 Sen , M. , Mukerjee , R. ( 1987 ). Optimal repeated measurements designs under interaction . J. Statist. Plann. Infer. 17 : 81 – 91 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) and Roy (1988 Roy , B. K. ( 1988 ). Construction of strongly balanced uniform repeated measurements designs . J. Statist. Plann. Infer. 19 : 341 – 348 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) considered the optimality and existence of circular strongly balanced repeated measurements designs based on the method of differences and Hamiltonian decomposition of lexicographic product of two graphs. In this article, we consider the construction of circular strongly balanced repeated measurements designs using the newly proposed method called cyclic shifts, and propose some new designs for p < v.     

Efficient Ratio and Product Estimators in Stratified Random Sampling

This paper suggests an efficient class of ratio and product estimators for estimating the population mean in stratified random sampling using auxiliary information. It is interesting to mention that, in addition to many, Koyuncu and Kadilar (2009 Koyuncu , N. , Kadilar , C. ( 2009 ). Ratio and product estimators in stratified random sampling . J. Statist. Plann. Infer. 139 : 2552 – 2558 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), Kadilar and Cingi (2003 Kadilar , C. , Cingi , H. ( 2003 ). Ratio estimator in stratified sampling . Biometr. J. 45 : 218 – 225 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar], 2005 Kadilar , C. , Cingi , H. ( 2005 ). A new estimator in stratified random sampling . Commun. Statist. Theor. Meth. 34 : 597 – 602 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), and Singh and Vishwakarma (2007 Singh , H. P. , Vishwakarma , G. K. ( 2007 ). Modified exponential ratio and product estimators for finite population mean in double sampling . Austr. J. Statist. 36 ( 3 ): 217 – 225 . [Google Scholar]) estimators are identified as members of the proposed class of estimators. The expressions of bias and mean square error (MSE) of the proposed estimators are derived under large sample approximation in general form. Asymptotically optimum estimator (AOE) in the class is identified alongwith its MSE formula. It has been shown that the proposed class of estimators is more efficient than combined regression estimator and Koyuncu and Kadilar (2009 Koyuncu , N. , Kadilar , C. ( 2009 ). Ratio and product estimators in stratified random sampling . J. Statist. Plann. Infer. 139 : 2552 – 2558 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) estimator. Moreover, theoretical findings are supported through a numerical example.     

On Testing Sample Selection Bias Under the Multicollinearity Problem

ABSTRACT

This paper reviews and extends the literature on the finite sample behavior of tests for sample selection bias. Monte Carlo results show that, when the “multicollinearity problem” identified by Nawata (1993 Nawata , K. ( 1993 ). A note on the estimation of models with sample-selection biases . Economics Letters 42 : 15 – 24 . [CSA] [CROSSREF] [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) is severe, (i) the t-test based on the Heckman–Greene variance estimator can be unreliable, (ii) the Likelihood Ratio test remains powerful, and (iii) nonnormality can be interpreted as severe sample selection bias by Maximum Likelihood methods, leading to negative Wald statistics. We also confirm previous findings (Leung and Yu, 1996 Leung , S. F. , Yu , S. ( 1996 ). On the choice between sample selection and two-part models . Journal of Econometrics 72 : 197 – 229 . [CSA] [CROSSREF] [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) that the standard regression-based t-test (Heckman, 1979 Heckman , J. J. ( 1979 ). Sample selection bias as a specification error . Econometrica 47 : 153 – 161 . [CSA] [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) and the asymptotically efficient Lagrange Multiplier test (Melino, 1982 Melino , A. ( 1982 ). Testing for sample selection bias . Review of Economic Studies 49 : 151 – 153 . [CSA] [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), are robust to nonnormality but have very little power.     

Is Each NPMLE of a Continuous Bivariate Distribution Function with Singly Right-Censored Data Really Inconsistent?

We consider non-parametric estimation of a continuous cdf of a random vector (X ₁, X ₂). With bivariate RC data, it is stated in van der Laan (1996 Van der Laan , M. J. ( 1996 ) Efficient estimation in the bivariate censoring model and repairing NPMLE . Ann. Statist. 24 : 596 – 627 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar], p. 598¹⁰, Ann. Statist.), Quale et al. (2006 Quale , C. M. , van der Laan , M. J. , Robins , J. R. ( 2006 ). Locally efficient estimation with bivariate right-censored data . JASA. 101 : 1076 – 1084 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar], JASA) etc. that “it is well known that the NPMLE for continuous data is inconsistent (Tsai et al. (1986 Tsai , W. Y. , Leurgans , S. , Crowley , J. ( 1986 ). Nonparametric estimation of a bivariate survival function in the presence of censoring . Ann. Statist. 14 : 1351 – 1365 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar])).” The claim is based on a result in Tsai et al. (1986 Tsai , W. Y. , Leurgans , S. , Crowley , J. ( 1986 ). Nonparametric estimation of a bivariate survival function in the presence of censoring . Ann. Statist. 14 : 1351 – 1365 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar], p.1352, Ann. Statist.) that if X ₁ is right censored but not X ₂, then common ways for defining one NPMLE lead to inconsistency. If X ₁ is right censored and X ₂ is type I right-censored (which includes the case in Tsai et al.), we present a consistent NPMLE. The result corrects a common misinterpretation of Tsai's example (Tsai et al., 1986 Tsai , W. Y. , Leurgans , S. , Crowley , J. ( 1986 ). Nonparametric estimation of a bivariate survival function in the presence of censoring . Ann. Statist. 14 : 1351 – 1365 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar], Ann. Statist.).     

MSE Performance and Minimax Regret Significance Points for a HPT Estimator when each Individual Regression Coefficient is Estimated

In this article, we consider a heterogeneous preliminary test (HPT) estimator whose components are the OLS and feasible ridge regression (FRR) estimators, and derive the exact formulae for the moments of the HPT estimator using mathematical method. Since we cannot examine the MSE of the HPT estimator analytically, we execute the numerical evaluation to investigate the MSE performance of the HPT estimator, and compare the MSE performance of the HPT estimator with those of the FRR estimator and the usual OLS estimator. Furthermore, using the minimax regret criterion proposed by Sawa and Hiromatsu (1973 Sawa , T. , Hiromatsu , T. ( 1973 ). Minimax regret significance points for a preliminary test in regression analysis . Econometrica 41 : 1093 – 1101 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), we derive the optimal critical points of the preliminary F test. Our results show that the optimal significance points are greater than 19% and the optimal signicance points decrease as the denominator degrees of freedom of the preliminary F test statistic increases.     

Tuning Parameter Selection and Various Good Fitting Characteristics for the Liu-Type Estimator in Linear Regression

Liu (2003 Liu , K. ( 2003 ). Using Liu-Type estimator to combat collinearity . Commun. Statist. Theor. Meth. 32 ( 5 ): 1009 – 1020 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) proposed the Liu-Type estimator (LTE) to combat the well-known multicollinearity problem in linear regression. In this article, various better fitting characteristics of the LTE than those of the ordinary ridge regression estimator (Hoerl and Kennard, 1970 Hoerl , A. E. , Kennard , R. W. ( 1970 ). Ridge regression: Biased estimation for non-orthogonal problems . Technometrics 12 : 55 – 67 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) are considered. In particular, we derived two methods to determine the parameter d for the LTE and find that the ridge parameter k could serve for regularization of an ill-conditioned design matrix, while the other parameter d could be used for tuning the fit quality. In addition, the coefficients of regression, coefficient of multiple determination, residual error variance, and generalized cross validation (GCV) of the prediction quality are very stable, and as the ridge parameter increases they eventually reach asymptotic levels, which produces robust regression models. Furthermore, a Monte Carlo evaluation of these features is also given to illustrate some of the theoretical results.     

Regression M-estimators with One Modified Form of Doubly Censored Data

In this article, we consider the M-estimators for the linear regression model when both response and covariate variables are subject to double censoring. The proposed estimators are constructed as some functional of three types of estimators for a bivariate survival distribution. The first two estimators are the generalizations of the Campbell and Földes (1982 Campbell, G. and Földes, A. 1982. “Large sample properties of nonparametric statistical inference”. In Nonparametric Statistical Inference., Edited by: Gnredenko, B. V., Puri, M. L. and Vineze, I. 103–122. Amsterdam: North-Holland.  [Google Scholar]) and Dabrowska (1988 Dabrowska, D. M. 1988. Kaplan-Meier estimate on the plane. Annals of Statistics, 18: 1475–1489. [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) estimators proposed by Shen (2009 Shen, P. S. 2009. Nonparametric estimation of the bivariate survival function one modified form of doubly censored data. Computational Statistics, 25: 203–313. [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). The third estimator is the generalization of the Prentice and Cai (1992 Prentice, R. L. and Cai, J. 1992. Covariance and survivor function estimation using censored multivariate failure time data. Biometrika, 79: 495–512. [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) estimator. The consistency of the proposed M-estimators is established. A simulation study is conducted to investigate the performance of the proposed estimators. Furthermore, the simple bootstrap methods are used to estimate standard deviations and construct interval estimators.     

Estimation of Ordered Means of Two Poisson Distributions

In this article, we discuss the estimation of linear functions of two Poisson means, on which an order restriction is given. We give a necessary and sufficient condition on the coefficients of the linear function for the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) which satisfies the order restriction to dominate the unbiased estimator under squared error loss. Furthermore, simultaneous estimation of two ordered Poisson means is considered and we suggest the Clevenson–Zidek type modification of MLE which dominates the MLE under normalized squared error loss. We also improve the estimator proposed by Clevenson and Zidek (1975 Clevenson , M. , Zidek , J. ( 1975 ). Simultaneous estimation of the means of independent Poisson laws . J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 70 : 698 – 705 . [CSA] [CROSSREF] [Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) which ignores the order restriction.     

Tests of Multivariate Independence for Ordinal Data

Population and sample versions of Kendall and Spearman measures of association suitable for multivariate ordinal data are defined. The latter generalize the indices of dependence of Ruymgaart and van Zuijlen (1978 Ruymgaart , F. H. , van Zuijlen , M. C. A. ( 1978 ). Asymptotic normality of multivariate linear rank statistics in the non-i.i.d. case . Ann. Statist. 6 : 588 – 602 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), Joe (1990 Joe , H. ( 1990 ). Multivariate concordance . J. Multivariate Anal. 35 : 12 – 30 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), and Schmid and Schmidt (2007 Schmid , F. , Schmidt , R. ( 2007 ). Multivariate extensions of Spearman's rho and related statistics . Statist. Probab. Lett. 77 : 407 – 416 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) by allowing atoms in the underlying distribution. The representation of the proposed empirical measures as U-statistics enables to establish their asymptotic normality under general distributions. A special attention is given to tests of independence for multivariate ordinal data, where the power of the new methodologies are investigated under fixed and contiguous alternatives.     

Revisiting Beal's Confidence Intervals for the Difference of Two Binomial Proportions

Confidence interval construction for the difference of two independent binomial proportions is a well-known problem with a full panoply of proposed solutions. In this paper, we focus largely on the family of intervals proposed by Beal (1987 Beal , S. ( 1987 ). Asymptotic confidence intervals for the difference between two binomial parameters for use with small samples . Biometrics 43 : 941 – 950 . [CSA] [CROSSREF] [Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). This family, which includes the Haldane and Jeffreys–Perks intervals as special cases, assumes a symmetric prior distribution for the population proportions p ₁ and p ₂. We propose new methods that allow the currently observed data to set the prior distribution by taking a parametric empirical-Bayes approach; in addition, we also provide an investigation of the new interval' behaviors in small-sample situations. Unlike other solutions, our intervals can be used adaptively for experiments conducted in multiple stages over time. We illustrate this notion using data from an Argentinean study involving the Mal Rio Cuarto virus and its transmission to susceptible maize crops.