Quantitative Analysis on the Impact of Urbanisation on Chinese Population Aging

This paper systematically studies the impact of fertility, mortality, initial age structure and rural-urban migration on population aging in rural and urban China from 2000 to 2010. The results show that urbanisation plays a crucial role in population aging in both rural and urban areas and its inf luence is closely linked to the age pattern of the migrants. One third of young rural population transformed into urban population during that period. The contribution of rural-urban migration to population aging in rural areas is 43.4 percent, which is higher than any inf luences from population’s natural changes, and is dominant in population aging in the countryside. Rural-urban migration contributes-118.0 percent to population aging in urban areas by reducing the proportion of aged population and its influence was only lower than that of the initial age structure. The impact of urbanisation on population aging in towns is relatively limited. Among factors from population’s natural changes, the inf luence of the initial age structure is higher than those from changes of mortality and fertility. The paper discusses the causes and developmental trends of impact of urbanisation on population aging between rural and urban areas, and addresses some policy recommendations to deal with socio-economic challenges.     

Shanghai will be divided into four population spheres and targeting population size of outer ring is 10 million people

To promote rational population distribution, Shanghai will be divided into four spheres according to functional regions of population development, and it will develop appropriate goals for population development. The first sphere is within the outer ring,with an area of 630 square kilometers.The inner ring which has high density of population is the evacuation zone and the area between the inner and outer ring is the stable population zone.By 2020,the main     

The Change and Trend of Population Momentum in China since 60 Years

This paper calculates total population momentum,urban and rural population momentum and agespecific population momentum in China since 60 years.The main findings and conclusions are as follows:Firstly,the power of population momentum of the positive growth is disappearing rapidly;Secondly,the cities are in the turning point of population momentum from positive to the negative growth while China’ s population growth was wholly attributable to momentum in the rural areas;Thirdly,China’ s population momentum of positive growth mainly is due to substantial growth of the old.     

Tibet''''s Population Grows

Tibet, covering an area of 1.2 million square km with an average elevation of 3,000 meters, is known as the 搑oof of the world? Notwithstanding the plateau scenery and Buddhist culture there, Tibet is a harsh place to live. However, the Tibetan population in the region is growing fast thanks to improved socioeconomic conditions. In fact, now is the fastest-growing period of population growth in the history of Tibet. Statistics show that today, Tibet抯 total population stands at 2.615 millio…     

The Large Population in China: A Major Obstacle to Modernization?

"A large population" has long been the most prominent national condition of China. Whilepopulation research has been of 20 years in China, the relationship between population andmodernization attracts not much attention, and in the practical life, population issues are typically regarded as issues of population quantity which in turn are oversimplified as fertility issues. Hence, a misunderstanding is prevailing that "a large population" is the whole thing ofChina's population problems. This issue of "Population and Development Forum" attempts to open up views objectively toexamine the actual situation of "a large population in China", and to bring together the wisdom of different disciplines on population problems influencing the process of modermization.     

A Study on the Causes of Population Urbanization Laging Behind Land Urbanization

Promoting the coordinative development of population urbanization and land urbanization is the key of China’s new-type urbanization.With the subject of analyzing the imbalance of the development of population and land urbanization,using panel data of provinces,we draw the following conclusions:firstly,acceleration of industrialization process causes massive extension of city construction land,but limits"absorb effect" on population urbanization,making population urbanization lag behind land urbanization;secondly local governments relying on land finance result in an inverse association between fiscal revenue and expenditure and urbanization,which aggravates the imbalance of population and land urbanization;thirdly,controlling of household register is the primary cause of the slow development of population urbanization,however,loosening this policy and reforming the institutions will promote the development of urbanization;lastly,lengthening the use periods of farmland is good for the coordinative development of urbanization for its"guarantee effect",but a perfect mechanism of land transfer should be taken for the premise.     

Academic Recommendation

A Study of the Nonlinear Relationship between Population and Carbon Emissions By Wang Qinchi Abstract:Both theoretical and empirical analyses show that relationship between population development and carbon emissions is dynamic,and the population elasticity of carbon emissions is a nonlinear function of population size,age structure,household size, urbanization,sex structure,and economic development.This paper argues that the model based on the hypothesis that the relationship between population and carbon emissions is nonlinear results     

On Long-term Balanced Development of National Defense Population

This article explores population long-term balanced development for national defense according to the strategic goals set at the 18 th National Congress of the Communist Party of China. Three major issues are discussed. Firstly, the concept and connotation of the long-term equilibrium development of national defense population are defi ned, in which population long-term equilibrium is equal to population "longterm safety"including quality balance, quantity balance and population structure equilibrium. And "quantity equilibrium"needs to be considered in both absolute and relative terms. Secondly, the"non-equilibrium"situation of national defense population is examined from the perspective of quality and quantity. Thirdly, policy suggestions in promoting the national defense population equilibrium are proposed with regard to population regulation, human resource development and social security.     

The Proposition of “Aging before Getting Rich” Is not the Nature of China's Population Aging

The proposition of "aging before getting rich" is a nearly unanimous judgment of China's population aging made by most researchers who study aging issues. It is also regarded as the root causes of the crisis and challenge of China's population aging.     

PADIS-INT

What is PADIS-INT? PDIS-INT is the software universally applied in population projection, which is developed by CPDRCwith the guidance and support of Director of Population Division/ DESA,United Nations,based on the advanced technologies used in the original version of PADIS. Applying the advanced com- puter technologies in population projection,the software has following three features: 1.the JAVA virtual machine assures the irrelevance between     

The Aging Population in Shanghai

Shanghai is the first city in China to enter the aging society. In 1982, the aging population there accounted for 11.51% of the total population. According to Shanghai Statistics Bureau, by the end of 2006,the registered permanent population in Shanghai was 13.6808 million. The aging population over 60 reached 2.     

Survey on FP/RH of Floating Population

Current Situation and Challenges Family planning among the floating population is critical to stabilizing the current low fertility level in China. The majority of the floating population is farmer workers who are sexually active. According to the 2004 sampling survey conducted by the National Statistical Bureau, the number of     

Overall improvement of the standard for the family planning service level of the floating population

To strengthen the management of family planning services to the floating population is an important task to solve the population issue under the new situation in China. In 2006, the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China （CPC） and the State Council made a ＂Decision on Overall Strengthening of the Population and Family Planning Work to Address the Population Issue In an Allround Way＂, which took the floating population service management as one of the five major tasks for addressing the population issue under the new situation.     

The Robustness of China’s Migration and Heihe-Tengchong Line

Migration has been most active among three major population movements and affective to population distribution.However,this paper first finds that the pattern of China’s inter-provincial migration is robust since China’s reforming and opening based on the analysis on the distribution of inter-provincial migration scale,intensity and population flow.Therefore,the continual migration in the past 80 years,especially since China’s reforming and opening,has not changed the basic feature of China’s population distribution and has no effective influence on the robustness of Heihe-Tengchong Line.The basic pattern of China’s population distribution and Heihe-Tengchong Line mainly depend on the constant geographic position as shown in the First Nature Rule.Without any change of the First Nature Rule,China’s population distribution and Heihe-Tengchong Line remain highly stable,and the migration is unlikely to lose the robustness.     

A Study on the Feminization of Old Population in China

Based on the data of World Population Prospects 2010 visions, the paper analysis the feminization of old population in China. It is proved that like most countries of the world there exists the feminization of old population in China population, but both the level of the feminization of old population and the proportion of the oldest women among old women are much lower than the other countries. The paper point out that the higher mortality of female caused by gender discrimination in China contributes to the exceptional status of China. As the female mortality decreases with the socieconomic development, the level of feminization of old population in China will increase in the next decades.     

Family Migration Pattern in China

Do an increase in ageing in developed countries and ＂getting old before getting rich＂ in developing countries indicate that fluctuations in the population age structure have produced a qualitative change？ What is a qualitative change and what is a quantitative change＇？ Here we propose a new concept of Shadow Population,then establish a new standard for evaluating population age structure,finally present a typical five stage population age structure type transition model. The model simulation shows that all world regions are still in the adult stage and that population ageing belongs to the category of quantitative change. However, sustained low fertility will lead to a qualitative change in the ageing population. The current pressure of population aging in the adult stage placed on the pension security system shows that this system is truly not retirement age and Long-term stability in a sustainable system,Gradually raising the replacement fertility is the key to solving the socioeconomic development dilemma presented by future population ageing in low fertility regions or cotlntries,but the latter is more urgent.     

The Difference of Urban and Rural Ageing and Its Transition

In the process of population ageing in China, rural population has an increasingly higher proportion of elderly than the cities;it has been widely cited as one of the characteristics of population ageing in China. This paper compared China with o~her countries and reveals that the phenomenon of higher elderly proportion in rural population than the urban is universal in the world. The research finding shows that the urban-rural inversion of population ageing will not last for a long time. With the socioeconomic development, large-scale rural-urban migration and urbanization will approach to the end;the proportion of the urban elderly will eventually exceed that in the rural. During this process, the transition of urban-rural difference of population ageing will experience four phases.     

Protect the legal rights and interests of the floating population

To protect the legal rights and interests of the floating population is an important goal for improving the floating population service and management. For years, the population and family planning system has vigerously promoted the protection of rights in a convenient way and provided free family planning services, and have achieved satisfactory results.     

Set Up and Improve a Statistic and Monitoring System for the Whole Floating Population

To scientifically understand the size, structure, distribution and the trends of changes in the floating population and pay close attention to the survival and development situation of the floating population, the family planning departments make full use of the advantages of the network to speed up the formulation and improvement of the statistical and monitoring system for the whole floating population. The system is featured by ＂timely data collection, dynamic monitoring, comprehensive analysis and scientific decision-making＂.     

China Has Already Included 97.12 Million Senior Residents Aged over 65 into Health Management

On October 11,2012,Ministry of Public Health held a routine press conference.Kong Lingzhi,Deputy Director General of Bureau for Disease Control and Prevention of Ministry of Public Health introduced relevant work in elderly healthcare. Kong said the number of the aging population aged over 60 in China had reached 178 million by the end of 2010, accounting for 13.26%of the total population;and those aged over 65 had reached 119 million,accounting for 8.9%of the total population.China is the only nation in the world with more than 100 million old people. Characteristics of population aging in China are large population size,fast population growth and advanced age.Incidence and