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1.
This article recasts the optimal allocations of coverage limits for two independent random losses. Under some regularity conditions on the two concerned probability density functions, we build the sufficient and necessary condition for the existence of the optimal allocation of coverage limits, and derive the optimal allocation whenever they do exist. The results supplement Lu and Meng (2011, Proposition 5.2) and Hu and Wang (2014, Theorem 5.1). 相似文献
2.
Shaoyong Hu 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2014,43(1):151-164
In this article, we discuss about the stochastic comparisons and optimal allocation for policy limits and deductibles. We order the total retained losses of a policyholder in the usual stochastic order under more general conditions of X i (i = 1,…, n), based on which the optimal allocation of policy limits and deductibles are achieved in some special cases. Several results in Cheung (2007) and Lu and Meng (2011) are generalized here. 相似文献
3.
In this article, we have evaluated the performance of different forecasters and tested association between their performances for different pairs of variables. We have used three data sets of track records of professional U.S. economic forecasters participating in the Blue Chip consensus forecasting service (the data sets contain the root mean square errors (RMSE) of different forecasters for different years). To evaluate the performance of forecasters we have covered three well-known tests, namely the usual F test (cf. Fisher (1923)), Kruskal Wallis test (cf. Kruskal and Wallis (1952)), and Extension of Median test (cf. Daniel (1990)). To test the association between the forecaster's performances for different pairs of variables, we have considered Gini mean correlation coefficient rg1 (cf. Yitzhaki, S., and Olkin, I. (1991) and Yitzhaki (2003)), Modified rank correlation coefficient (cf. Zimmerman (1994)) and three modifications of Spearman rank correlation coefficient. We have observed that different forecasters do not necessarily offer same average performance. Moreover, an evidence of association between two criteria does not always lead us reaching at the same decision. The outcomes of the study may help the practitioners in selecting the best forecaster(s) for policymaking purposes. 相似文献
4.
Based on the recursions in Huffer (1988) and Huffer and Lin (2001), we present a two-stage algorithm and two specialized methods for evaluating the probabilities involving linear combination of spacings of special forms. The two-stage algorithm combines the advantages of marking algorithm in Huffer and Lin (1997) and general algorithm in Huffer and Lin (2001). The proposed methods can analytically derive the exact expressions for some specific problems, and efficiently handle problems such as the distribution of the circular scan statistic and multiple coverage probabilities. 相似文献
5.
Housila P. Singh 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2013,42(23):4222-4238
This article considers some classes of estimators of the population median of the study variable using information on an auxiliary variable with their properties under large sample approximation. Asymptotic optimum estimator (AOE) in each class of estimators has been investigated along with the approximate mean square error formulae. It has been shown that the proposed classes of estimators are better than these considered by Gross (1980), Kuk and Mak (1989), Singh et al. (2003a), and Al and Cingi (2009). An empirical study is carried out to judge the merits of the suggested class of estimators over other existing estimators. 相似文献
6.
7.
When a sufficient correlation between the study variable and the auxiliary variable exists, the ranks of the auxiliary variable are also correlated with the study variable, and thus, these ranks can be used as an effective tool in increasing the precision of an estimator. In this paper, we propose a new improved estimator of the finite population mean that incorporates the supplementary information in forms of: (i) the auxiliary variable and (ii) ranks of the auxiliary variable. Mathematical expressions for the bias and the mean-squared error of the proposed estimator are derived under the first order of approximation. The theoretical and empirical studies reveal that the proposed estimator always performs better than the usual mean, ratio, product, exponential-ratio and -product, classical regression estimators, and Rao (1991), Singh et al. (2009), Shabbir and Gupta (2010), Grover and Kaur (2011, 2014) estimators. 相似文献
8.
《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2012,41(16-17):3162-3178
In this article we use a new methodology, based on algebraic strata, to generate the class of all the orthogonal arrays of given size and strength. From this class we extract all the non isomorphic orthogonal arrays. Then, using all these non isomorphic orthogonal arrays, we suggest a method based on the inequivalent matrices permutations testing procedures Basso et al. (2004) in order to obtain separate permutation tests for the effects in unreplicated mixed level fractional factorial designs. In order to validate the proposed method we perform a Monte Carlo simulation study and find out that the permutation tests appear to be a valid solution for testing effects, in particular when the usual normality assumptions cannot be justified. 相似文献
9.
We propose a new ratio type estimator for estimating the finite population mean using two auxiliary variables in stratified two-phase sampling. Expressions for bias and mean squared error of the proposed estimator are derived up to the first order of approximation. The proposed estimator is more efficient than the usual stratified sample mean estimator, traditional stratified ratio estimator and some other stratified estimators including Bahl and Tuteja (1991), Chami et al. (2012), Chand (1975), Choudhury and Singh (2012), Hamad et al. (2013), Vishwakarma and Gangele (2014), Sanaullah et al. (2014), and Chanu and Singh (2014). 相似文献
10.
There is an emerging consensus in empirical finance that realized volatility series typically display long range dependence with a memory parameter (d) around 0.4 (Andersen et al., 2001; Martens et al., 2004). The present article provides some illustrative analysis of how long memory may arise from the accumulative process underlying realized volatility. The article also uses results in Lieberman and Phillips (2004, 2005) to refine statistical inference about d by higher order theory. Standard asymptotic theory has an O(n ?1/2) error rate for error rejection probabilities, and the theory used here refines the approximation to an error rate of o(n ?1/2). The new formula is independent of unknown parameters, is simple to calculate and user-friendly. The method is applied to test whether the reported long memory parameter estimates of Andersen et al. (2001) and Martens et al. (2004) differ significantly from the lower boundary (d = 0.5) of nonstationary long memory, and generally confirms earlier findings. 相似文献
11.
Uchenna Chinedu Nduka 《统计学通讯:模拟与计算》2018,47(1):206-228
This paper considers the estimation of parameters of AR(p) models for time series with t-distribution via EM-based algorithms. The paper develops asymptotic properties for the estimation to show that the estimators are efficient. Also testing theory for the estimators is considered. The robustness of the estimators and various tests to deviations from an assumed model is investigated. The study shows that the algorithms have equal estimation efficiency even if the error distribution is miss-specified or perturbed by outliers. Interestingly, the estimators from these algorithms performed better than that of the Modified Maximum Likelihood (MML) considered in Tiku et al. (2000). 相似文献
12.
ABSTRACTThe present article is an attempt to explore the rotation patterns using exponential ratio type estimators for the estimation of finite population median at current occasion in two occasion rotation sampling. Properties of the proposed estimators including the optimum replacement strategies have been elaborated. The proposed estimators have been compared with sample median estimator when there is no matching from previous occasion as well with the ratio type estimator proposed by Singh et al. (2007) for second quantile. The behaviors of the proposed estimators are justified by empirical interpretations and validated by means of simulation study with the help of some natural populations. 相似文献
13.
Abouzar Bazyari 《统计学通讯:模拟与计算》2017,46(9):7194-7209
Testing homogeneity of multivariate normal mean vectors under an order restriction when the covariance matrices are unknown, arbitrary positive definite and unequal are considered. This problem of testing has been studied to some extent, for example, by Kulatunga and Sasabuchi (1984) when the covariance matrices are known and also Sasabuchi et al. (2003) and Sasabuchi (2007) when the covariance matrices are unknown but common. In this paper, a test statistic is proposed and because of the main advantage of the bootstrap test is that it avoids the derivation of the complex null distribution analytically, a bootstrap test statistic is derived and since the proposed test statistic is location invariance the bootstrap p-value defined logical and some steps are presented to estimate it. Our numerical studies via Monte Carlo simulation show that the proposed bootstrap test can correctly control the type I error rates. The power of the test for some of the p-dimensional normal distributions is computed by Monte Carlo simulation. Also, the null distribution of test statistic is estimated using kernel density. Finally, the bootstrap test is illustrated using a real data. 相似文献
14.
Guangyu Mao 《Econometric Reviews》2018,37(5):491-506
This article is concerned with sphericity test for the two-way error components panel data model. It is found that the John statistic and the bias-corrected LM statistic recently developed by Baltagi et al. (2011)Baltagi et al. (2012, which are based on the within residuals, are not helpful under the present circumstances even though they are in the one-way fixed effects model. However, we prove that when the within residuals are properly transformed, the resulting residuals can serve to construct useful statistics that are similar to those of Baltagi et al. (2011)Baltagi et al. (2012). Simulation results show that the newly proposed statistics perform well under the null hypothesis and several typical alternatives. 相似文献
15.
We study the limiting degree distribution of the vertex splitting model introduced in Ref.[3]. This is a model of randomly growing ordered trees, where in each time step the tree is separated into two components by splitting a vertex into two, and then inserting an edge between the two new vertices. Under some assumptions on the parameters, related to the growth of the maximal degree of the tree, we prove that the vertex degree densities converge almost surely to constants which satisfy a system of equations. Using this, we are also able to strengthen and prove some previously non-rigorous results mentioned in the literature. 相似文献
16.
Junyong Park Jayson D. Wilbur Jayanta K. Ghosh Cindy H. Nakatsu Corinne Ackerman 《统计学通讯:模拟与计算》2013,42(4):855-869
We adopt boosting for classification and selection of high-dimensional binary variables for which classical methods based on normality and non singular sample dispersion are inapplicable. Boosting seems particularly well suited for binary variables. We present three methods of which two combine boosting with the relatively classical variable selection methods developed in Wilbur et al. (2002). Our primary interest is variable selection in classification with small misclassification error being used as validation of proposed method for variable selection. Two of the new methods perform uniformly better than Wilbur et al. (2002) in one set of simulated and three real life examples. 相似文献
17.
Tony Vangeneugden Geert Molenberghs Geert Verbeke Clarice G.B. Demétrio 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2014,43(19):4164-4178
In hierarchical data settings, be it of a longitudinal, spatial, multi-level, clustered, or otherwise repeated nature, often the association between repeated measurements attracts at least part of the scientific interest. Quantifying the association frequently takes the form of a correlation function, including but not limited to intraclass correlation. Vangeneugden et al. (2010) derived approximate correlation functions for longitudinal sequences of general data type, Gaussian and non-Gaussian, based on generalized linear mixed-effects models. Here, we consider the extended model family proposed by Molenberghs et al. (2010). This family flexibly accommodates data hierarchies, intra-sequence correlation, and overdispersion. The family allows for closed-form means, variance functions, and correlation function, for a variety of outcome types and link functions. Unfortunately, for binary data with logit link, closed forms cannot be obtained. This is in contrast with the probit link, for which such closed forms can be derived. It is therefore that we concentrate on the probit case. It is of interest, not only in its own right, but also as an instrument to approximate the logit case, thanks to the well-known probit-logit ‘conversion.’ Next to the general situation, some important special cases such as exchangeable clustered outcomes receive attention because they produce insightful expressions. The closed-form expressions are contrasted with the generic approximate expressions of Vangeneugden et al. (2010) and with approximations derived for the so-called logistic-beta-normal combined model. A simulation study explores performance of the method proposed. Data from a schizophrenia trial are analyzed and correlation functions derived. 相似文献
18.
A Bottom-Up Dynamic Model of Portfolio Credit Risk with Stochastic Intensities and Random Recoveries
Tomasz R. Bielecki Areski Cousin Stéphane Crépey Alexander Herbertsson 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2014,43(7):1362-1389
In Bielecki et al. (2014a), the authors introduced a Markov copula model of portfolio credit risk where pricing and hedging can be done in a sound theoretical and practical way. Further theoretical backgrounds and practical details are developed in Bielecki et al. (2014b,c) where numerical illustrations assumed deterministic intensities and constant recoveries. In the present paper, we show how to incorporate stochastic default intensities and random recoveries in the bottom-up modeling framework of Bielecki et al. (2014a) while preserving numerical tractability. These two features are of primary importance for applications like CVA computations on credit derivatives (Assefa et al., 2011; Bielecki et al., 2012), as CVA is sensitive to the stochastic nature of credit spreads and random recoveries allow to achieve satisfactory calibration even for “badly behaved” data sets. This article is thus a complement to Bielecki et al. (2014a), Bielecki et al. (2014b) and Bielecki et al. (2014c). 相似文献
19.
Antonello D'Ambra 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2014,43(6):1209-1221
Non Symmetric Correspondence Analysis (NSCA) (D'Ambra and Lauro, 1989) is a useful technique for analyzing a two-way contingency table. The key difference between the symmetrical and non symmetrical versions of correspondence analysis rests on the measure of the association used to quantify the relationship between the variables. For a two-way, or multi-way, contingency table, the Pearson chi-squared statistic is commonly used when it can be assumed that the categorical variables are symmetrically related. However, for a two-way table, it may be that one variable can be treated as a predictor variable and the second variable can be considered as a response variable. Yet, for such a variable structure, the Pearson chi-squared statistic is not an appropriate measure of the association. Instead, one may consider the Goodman-Kruskal tau index. In the case that there are more than two cross-classified variables, multivariate versions of the Goodman-Kruskal tau index can be considered. These include Marcotorchino's index (Marcotorchino, 1985) and Gray-Williams’ index (Gray and Williams, 1975). In this article, the Multiple non Symmetric Correspondence Analysis (MNSCA), along with the decomposition of the TAU by Gray-Williams in main effects and interaction (D'Ambra et al., 2011), is used for the evaluation of the innovative performance of the manufacturing enterprises in Campania. Finally, to identify a category which is statistically significant, the confidence ellipses have been proposed for the Multiple Non Symmetric Correspondence Analysis starting from the ellipses suggested by Beh (2010) for the symmetrical analysis. 相似文献
20.
Sanaullah et al. (2014) have suggested generalized exponential chain ratio estimators under stratified two-phase sampling scheme for estimating the finite population mean. However, the bias and mean square error (MSE) expressions presented in that work need some corrections, and consequently the study based on efficiency comparison also requires corrections. In this article, we revisit Sanaullah et al. (2014) estimator and provide the correct bias and MSE expressions of their estimator. We also propose an estimator which is more efficient than several competing estimators including the classes of estimators in Sanaullah et al. (2014). Three real datasets are used for efficiency comparisons. 相似文献