The E-Bayesian and hierarchical Bayesian estimations of Pareto distribution parameter under different loss functions

In this paper, we study the E-Bayesian and hierarchical Bayesian estimations of the parameter derived from Pareto distribution under different loss functions. The definition of the E-Bayesian estimation of the parameter is provided. Moreover, for Pareto distribution, under the condition of the scale parameter is known, based on the different loss functions, formulas of the E-Bayesian estimation and hierarchical Bayesian estimations for the shape parameter are given, respectively, properties of the E-Bayesian estimation – (i) the relationship between of E-Bayesian estimations under different loss functions are provided, (ii) the relationship between of E-Bayesian and hierarchical Bayesian estimations under the same loss function are also provided, and using the Monte Carlo method simulation example is given. Finally, combined with the golfers income data practical problem are calculated, the results show that the proposed method is feasible and convenient for application.     

E-Bayesian and hierarchical Bayesian estimations for the system reliability parameter based on asymmetric loss function

This paper explores properties of the E-Bayesian and hierarchical Bayesian estimations of the system reliability parameter. E-Bayesian estimation and hierarchical Bayesian estimation of Pascal distribution's parameter under two loss function, LINEX loss function and entropy loss function can be found. We obtained limits of that the E-Bayesian estimation and hierarchical Bayesian estimation are equal. A Monte Carlo simulation is used to compare performances of the two methods.     

E-Bayesian estimation for the proportional hazard rate model based on record values

In this article, a new parameter estimation method, named E-Bayesian method, is considered to obtain the estimates of the unknown parameter and reliability function based on record values. The maximum likelihood, Bayesian, E-Bayesian, and hierarchical Bayesian estimates of the unknown parameter and reliability function are obtained when the underlying distribution belongs to the proportional hazard rate model. The Bayesian estimates are obtained based on squared error and linear-exponential loss functions. The previously obtained some relations for the E-Bayesian estimates are improved. The relationship between E-Bayesian and hierarchical Bayesian estimations are obtained under the same loss functions. The comparison of the derived estimates are carried out by using Monte Carlo simulations. Real data are analyzed for an illustration of the findings.     

The E-Bayesian and hierarchical Bayesian estimations for the proportional reversed hazard rate model based on record values

In this paper, E-Bayesian and hierarchical Bayesian estimations of the shape parameter, when the underlying distribution belongs to the proportional reversed hazard rate model, are considered. Maximum likelihood, Bayesian and E-Bayesian estimates of the unknown parameter and reliability function are obtained based on record values. The Bayesian estimates are derived based on squared error and linear–exponential loss functions. It is pointed out that some previously obtained order relations of E-Bayesian estimates are inadequate and these results are improved. The relationship between E-Bayesian and hierarchical Bayesian estimations is obtained under the same loss functions. The comparison of the derived estimates is carried out by using Monte Carlo simulations. A real data set is analysed for an illustration of the findings.     

E-Bayesian Estimation and Hierarchical Bayesian Estimation of Failure Probability

This article introduces a new parameter estimation method, named E-Bayesian estimation, to estimate failure probability. The method is suitable for the censored or truncated data with small sample sizes and high reliability. The definition, properties and related simulation study of the E-Bayesian estimation are given. A real data set is also discussed. Through the examples, the efficiency and easiness of operation of this method are commended.     

E-Bayesian estimation of the exponentiated distribution family parameter under LINEX loss function

This paper is concerned with using the E-Bayesian method for computing estimates of the exponentiated distribution family parameter. Based on the LINEX loss function, formulas of E-Bayesian estimation for unknown parameter are given, these estimates are derived based on a conjugate prior. Moreover, property of E-Bayesian estimation—the relationship between of E-Bayesian estimations under different prior distributions of the hyper parameters are also provided. A comparison between the new method and the corresponding maximum likelihood techniques is conducted using the Monte Carlo simulation. Finally, combined with the golfers income data practical problem are calculated, the results show that the proposed method is feasible and convenient for application.     

Estimating E-bayesian and hierarchical bayesian of scalar parameter of gompertz distribution under type II censoring schemes based on fuzzy data

In this study, the E-Bayesian and hierarchical Bayesian of the scalar parameter of a Gompertz distribution under Type II censoring schemes were estimated based on fuzzy data under the squared error (SE) loss function and the efficiency of the proposed methods was compared with each other and with the Bayesian estimator using Monte Carlo simulation.     

E-Bayesian estimation and its E-posterior risk of the exponential distribution parameter based on complete and type I censored samples

Abstract

This article studies E-Bayesian estimation and its E-posterior risk, for failure rate derived from exponential distribution, in the case of the two hyper parameters. In order to measure the estimated risk, the definition of E-posterior risk (expected posterior risk) is proposed based on the definition of E-Bayesian estimation. Moreover, under the different prior distributions of hyper parameters, the formulas of E-Bayesian estimation and formulas of E-posterior risk are given respectively, these estimations are derived based on a conjugate prior distribution for the unknown parameter under the squared error loss function. Monte Carlo simulations are performed to compare the performances of the proposed methods of estimation and a real data set have been analyzed for illustrative purposes, results are compared on the basis of E-posterior risk.     

Robust Bayesian analysis for parallel system with masked data under inverse Weibull lifetime distribution

Abstract

This paper considers the statistical analysis of masked data in a parallel system with inverse Weibull distributed components under type II censoring. Based on Gamma conjugate prior, the Bayesian estimation as well as the hierarchical Bayesian estimation for the parameters and the reliability function of system are obtained by using the Bayesian theory and the hierarchical Bayesian method. Finally, Monte Carlo simulations are provided to compare the performances of the estimates under different masking probabilities and effective sample sizes.     

A bayesian approach to the comparison of two means

A hierarchical Bayesian approach to the problem of comparison of two means is considered. Hypothesis testing, ranking and selection, and estimation (after selection) are treated. Under the hypothesis that two means are different, it is desired to select the population which has the larger mean. Expressions for the ranking probability of each mean being the larger and the corresponding estimate of each mean are given. For certain priors, it is possible to express the quantities of interest in closed form. A simulation study has been done to compare mean square errors of a hierarchical Bayesian estimator and some of the existing estimators of the selected mean. The case of comparing two means in the presence of block effects has also been considered and an example is presented to illustrate the methodology.     

E-Bayesian estimation and its E-MSE under the scaled squared error loss function,for exponential distribution as example

This paper is concerned with using the E-Bayesian method for computing estimates of exponential distribution. In order to measure the estimated error, based on the E-Bayesian estimation, we proposed the definition of E-MSE(expected mean square error). Moreover, the formulas of E-Bayesian estimation and formulas of E-MSE are given respectively, these estimations are derived based on a conjugate prior distribution for the unknown parameter under the scaled squared error loss function. The properties of E-MSE under different scaled parameters are also provided. Monte Carlo simulations are performed to compare the performances of the proposed methods of estimation and a real data set have been analysed for illustrative purposes. Results are compared on the basis of E-MSE.     

A natural conjugate prior for the nonhomogeneous poisson process with an exponential intensity function

This article presents a natural conjugate prior for the nonhomogeneous Poisson process (NHPP) with an exponential intensity function, for modeling the failure rate of repairable systems. The behavior of the conjugate prior distribution with respect to its parameters is studied, and the use of this prior in Bayesian estimation is compared to two other estimation approaches (the use of independent prior distributions, and the bivariate normal distribution). The use of the conjugate prior proposed here facilitates Bayesian statistical analysis of aging. In particular, the proposed prior allows us to explicitly account for dependence between the initial failure rate and the aging rate. This is a significant improvement over the assumptions made in most prior work (either the assumption that the aging rate is known, or the assumption that the initial failure rate and the aging rate are independent). Monte Carlo simulation shows that Bayesian estimation using the proposed prior generally performs at least as well as Bayesian estimation using independent priors for the initial failure rate and the aging rate,except in the case where the prior distribution underestimates both the initial failure rate and the aging rate.     

Ranking and estimation of related means in two—way models—a Bayesian approach

A hierarchical Bayesian approach to ranking and selection as well as estimation of related means in two—way models is considered. Using the method of Monte Carlo simulation with importance sampling, we are able to carry out efficiently the three or four dimensional integrations as needed. An example is included to illustrate the methodology.     

Robust Bayesian estimation of a bathtub-shaped distribution under progressive Type-II censoring

The bathtub-shaped failure rate function has been used for modeling the life spans of a number of electronic and mechanical products, as well as for modeling the life spans of humans, especially when some of the data are censored. This article addresses robust methods for the estimation of unknown parameters in a two-parameter distribution with a bathtub-shaped failure rate function based on progressive Type-II censored samples. Here, a class of flexible priors is considered by using the hierarchical structure of a conjugate prior distribution, and corresponding posterior distributions are obtained in a closed-form. Then, based on the square error loss function, Bayes estimators of unknown parameters are derived, which depend on hyperparameters as parameters of the conjugate prior. In order to eliminate the hyperparameters, hierarchical Bayesian estimation methods are proposed, and these proposed estimators are compared to one another based on the mean squared error, through Monte Carlo simulations for various progressively Type-II censoring schemes. Finally, a real dataset is presented for the purpose of illustration.     

Statistical inference for start-up demonstration tests with rejection of units upon observing d failures

In this paper, we consider the statistical inference for the success probability in the case of start-up demonstration tests in which rejection of units is possible when a pre-fixed number of failures is observed before the required number of consecutive successes are achieved for acceptance of the unit. Since the expected value of the stopping time is not a monotone function of the unknown parameter, the method of moments is not useful in this situation. Therefore, we discuss two estimation methods for the success probability: (1) the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) via the expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm and (2) Bayesian estimation with a beta prior. We examine the small-sample properties of the MLE and Bayesian estimator. Finally, we present an example to illustrate the method of inference discussed here.     

An evaluation of the Bayesian approach to fitting the N-mixture model for use with pseudo-replicated count data

The N-mixture model proposed by Royle in 2004 may be used to approximate the abundance and detection probability of animal species in a given region. In 2006, Royle and Dorazio discussed the advantages of using a Bayesian approach in modelling animal abundance and occurrence using a hierarchical N-mixture model. N-mixture models assume replication on sampling sites, an assumption that may be violated when the site is not closed to changes in abundance during the survey period or when nominal replicates are defined spatially. In this paper, we studied the robustness of a Bayesian approach to fitting the N-mixture model for pseudo-replicated count data. Our simulation results showed that the Bayesian estimates for abundance and detection probability are slightly biased when the actual detection probability is small and are sensitive to the presence of extra variability within local sites.     

Bayesian confidence intervals of proportion with misclassified binary data

A Bayesian approach is considered for the interval estimation of a binomial proportion in doubly sampled data. The coverage probability and the expected width of the Bayesian confidence interval are compared with likelihood-related confidence intervals. It is shown that a hierarchical Bayesian approach provides relatively simple and effective confidence intervals. In addition, it is shown that Agresti–Coull type confidence interval, discussed by  Lee and Choi (2009), can be justified by the Bayesian framework.     

Estimation of covariance matrices based on hierarchical inverse-Wishart priors

This paper focuses on Bayesian shrinkage methods for covariance matrix estimation. We examine posterior properties and frequentist risks of Bayesian estimators based on new hierarchical inverse-Wishart priors. More precisely, we give the conditions for the existence of the posterior distributions. Advantages in terms of numerical simulations of posteriors are shown. A simulation study illustrates the performance of the estimation procedures under three loss functions for relevant sample sizes and various covariance structures.     

Bayesian statistical inference for start-up demonstration tests with rejection of units upon observing d failures

This paper is concerned with Bayesian estimation and prediction in the context of start-up demonstration tests in which rejection of a unit is possible when a pre-specified number of failures is observed prior to obtaining the number of consecutive successes required for acceptance of the unit. A method for implementing Bayesian inference on the probability of success is developed for use when the test result of each start-up is not reported or even recorded, and only the number of trials until termination of the testing is available. Some errors in the related literature on the Bayesian analysis of start-up demonstration tests are corrected. The method developed in this paper is a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method incorporating data augmentation, and it additionally enables Bayesian posterior inference on the number of failures given the number of start-up trials until termination to be made, along with Bayesian predictive inferences on the number of start-up trials and the number of failures until termination for any future run of the start-up demonstration test. An illustrative example is also included.     

Posterior analysis of the compound Rayleigh distribution under balanced loss functions for censored data

This paper develops Bayesian analysis in the context of progressively Type II censored data from the compound Rayleigh distribution. The maximum likelihood and Bayes estimates along with associated posterior risks are derived for reliability performances under balanced loss functions by assuming continuous priors for parameters of the distribution. A practical example is used to illustrate the estimation methods. A simulation study has been carried out to compare the performance of estimates. The study indicates that Bayesian estimation should be preferred over maximum likelihood estimation. In Bayesian estimation, the balance general entropy loss function can be effectively employed for optimal decision-making.