基于时间序列分析方法的连续性抽样调查研究

针对连续性抽样调查中如何利用过去各期的调查信息来提高现期抽样估计精度的问题，引入时间序列分析方法，分别考虑连续性抽样调查中重复样本和重叠样本等不同情况，建立了不同情况下的时间序列模型，利用成熟的时间序列分析方法给出了总体特征的线性组合估计量。由于时间序列分析方法能够充分利用以往各期的调查信息，从而能够给出精度更高的估计量。     

Statistical Analysis of General Degradation Path Model and Failure Time Data with Multiple Failure Modes

ABSTRACT

This article considers degradation and failure time models with multiple failure modes which used to study the problem of longevity and aging in survival analysis and reliability. Degradation process is modeled using general nonparametric, nonlinear path models. Semi-parametric models for the intensities of the traumatic failures are used supposing that these intensities depend on degradation level. Semi-parametric estimators of various reliability characteristics are proposed and asymptotic properties of the estimators are obtained. The theoretical results are illustrated using simulated data.     

Some estimation procedures using a linear model in successive sampling

ABSTRACT

In successive sampling some recent works depict the use of super-population models where information on stable auxiliary variable over occasions has been utilized. Stability character of auxiliary variable may not sustain, if the duration between occasions is large. To cope with such situations, the present work is an attempt to develop some estimation procedures by utilizing the information on two independent auxiliary variables through a linear super-population model. Some estimators are proposed to estimate the current population mean in two occasions successive (rotation) sampling. Optimum replacement strategies are formulated and performances of the proposed estimators have been discussed. Results are interpreted through empirical studies.     

A composite class of estimators using scrambled response mechanism for sensitive population mean in successive sampling

This paper considers the problem of estimation of population mean of a sensitive characteristics using non-sensitive auxiliary variable at current move in two move successive sampling. The proposed estimator is studied under five different scrambled response models. Various estimators have been elaborated to be the member of the proposed class of estimators. The properties of the proposed estimators have been analysed. Many estimators belonging to the proposed class have been explored under five scrambled response models. In order to identify the scrambled model effect, the proposed composite class of estimators is compared to the direct methods. Respondents privacy protection have also been elaborated under different models. Theoretical results are supplemented with numerical demonstrations using real data. Simulation has been carried out to show the applicability of proposed estimators and hence suitable recommendations are forwarded.     

基于回归组合技术的连续性抽样估计方法研究

在使用样本轮换的连续性抽样调查中,不仅可以利用前期调查的研究变量的信息,还可使用现期调查的辅助变量信息来建立回归模型进行回归估计,进而构造回归组合估计量,并在此基础上确定最优样本轮换率和最优权重系数,使得回归组合估计量的方差最小,从而更大程度地提高连续性抽样调查的估计精度。     

On the Use of Superpopulation Model in Estimation of Population Mean in Two-Occasion Rotation Patterns

The present work is an attempt to study the estimation of the population mean on the current occasion in two-occasion successive (rotation) sampling under a superpopulation model. Six different estimators are proposed for estimating the current population mean in two-occasion successive (rotation) sampling. Optimum replacement policies and performances of the proposed estimators have been discussed. Results are interpreted via empirical studies.     

Use of multiauxiliary variables to cope with non response in estimation of current population mean in two-occasion successive sampling

ABSTRACT

The present work utilizes the information on multiauxiliary variables to neutralize the negative effect of non response in estimation of current population mean in two-occasion successive sampling. Generalized exponential type estimators have been proposed for the situation when non response occurs at both occasion or at first occasion or at current (second) occasion in two-occasion successive sampling. Properties of the proposed estimators have studied and empirical studies are carried out to justify the preposition of estimators. Suitable recommendations have been made.     

Effective Rotation Patterns Under Non Response in Two-Occasion Successive Sampling

This article intends to develop some effective rotation patterns with the aid of attractive imputation methods when the problems of non response occur in two-occasion successive sampling. Utilizing the information on p (p ??1) auxiliary variables regression methods of imputation have been considered and subsequently multiple linear regression type estimators are proposed to estimate the current population mean in two-occasion successive sampling. Proposed estimators are compared with the estimator for same situations but in the absence of non-response. Optimum replacement strategies of the respective estimators have been discussed and results are interpreted with the help of empirical studies. Conclusions and suitable recommendations are made.     

Rank Regression Analysis of Multivariate Failure Time Data Based on Marginal Linear Models

Abstract.  Multivariate failure time data arises when each study subject can potentially ex-perience several types of failures or recurrences of a certain phenomenon, or when failure times are sampled in clusters. We formulate the marginal distributions of such multivariate data with semiparametric accelerated failure time models (i.e. linear regression models for log-transformed failure times with arbitrary error distributions) while leaving the dependence structures for related failure times completely unspecified. We develop rank-based monotone estimating functions for the regression parameters of these marginal models based on right-censored observations. The estimating equations can be easily solved via linear programming. The resultant estimators are consistent and asymptotically normal. The limiting covariance matrices can be readily estimated by a novel resampling approach, which does not involve non-parametric density estimation or evaluation of numerical derivatives. The proposed estimators represent consistent roots to the potentially non-monotone estimating equations based on weighted log-rank statistics. Simulation studies show that the new inference procedures perform well in small samples. Illustrations with real medical data are provided.     

Analyzing Length-biased Data with Semiparametric Transformation and Accelerated Failure Time Models

Right-censored time-to-event data are often observed from a cohort of prevalent cases that are subject to length-biased sampling. Informative right censoring of data from the prevalent cohort within the population often makes it difficult to model risk factors on the unbiased failure times for the general population, because the observed failure times are length biased. In this paper, we consider two classes of flexible semiparametric models: the transformation models and the accelerated failure time models, to assess covariate effects on the population failure times by modeling the length-biased times. We develop unbiased estimating equation approaches to obtain the consistent estimators of the regression coefficients. Large sample properties for the estimators are derived. The methods are confirmed through simulations and illustrated by application to data from a study of a prevalent cohort of dementia patients.     

Mean Estimation Under Successive Sampling with Calibration Estimators

The estimation of the finite population mean in successive occasions is investigated with calibration estimators in this article. We propose several estimators based on calibration techniques with arbitrary sampling design in each of the occasions. Asymptotic variance formulaes are derived for the proposed estimators. The properties of these estimators are studied via a simulation study and using natural populations.     

Some estimation procedures of sensitive character using scrambled response techniques in successive sampling

This paper is an attempt to analyze the effect of scrambled response techniques to estimate the current population mean in two-occasion successive sampling when study and auxiliary variables are sensitive in nature. Using additive and multiplicative scrambled response models on both occasions, some generalized estimation strategies of current population mean have been proposed and their properties are examined. Empirical studies are performed on real data (abortion rate in the states of United States) and simulation studies are also carried out to evaluate the performances of the proposed estimators over other estimators. Results have proved the worthiness of the scrambled response techniques in real-life situations.     

Some efficient classes of estimators of population mean in two-phase successive sampling under random non response

In this paper, an attempt has been made to present some efficient classes of estimators of population mean on current occasion in two-occasion successive sampling under random non response in two-phase setup. Effectiveness of the proposed classes of estimators has been studied under the assumptions that sampling units follow a distribution under the random non response. To check the performances, the proposed classes of estimators are compared with an estimator under the similar situation under the complete response. Results are demonstrated through empirical studies which show the reliable nature of the proposed classes of estimators. Suitable recommendations have been made to the survey practitioners.     

Estimation of Mean of Sensitive Characteristics for Successive Sampling

In this article, new estimators for estimating the population mean of a sensitive variable using the concept of successive sampling over two occasions are proposed. The unbiasedness and the variance properties of the proposed estimators are investigated analytically as well as numerically.     

An effective estimation strategy for population mean under random non-response situations in two-phase successive sampling

This paper presents a modified exponential type estimation strategy for the current population mean in the presence of random non-response situations in two-occasion successive sampling under two-phase set-up. The properties of the proposed estimators have been examined with the assumption that numbers of sampling units follow a distribution due to random non-response. The performances of the proposed estimators are compared with the estimators designated for the complete response situations. Empirical studies are carried out to show the dominance nature of the proposed estimators over the estimator defined for complete response situations. Appropriate recommendations have been made to the survey practitioners/researchers for their real-life practical applications.     

Estimation of Population Mean Under Non Response in Two-Occasion Rotation Patterns

The present article is an attempt to study the effect of non response at both occasions in search of good rotation patterns over two occasions. Ratio-type estimators were proposed for estimating the population mean at current occasion in presence of non response at both the occasions in two-occasion successive (rotation) sampling. Detail behaviors of proposed estimators were studied. Proposed estimators were compared with the estimator using no information from previous (first) occasion. Performances of the proposed estimators were demonstrated via empirical studies.     

Estimation under non response when it occurs on both occasions in two-occasion successive sampling

ABSTRACT

The present paper is an attempt to analyze the effect of non response at both occasions in two-occasion successive sampling. Using the sub-sampling of non respondent technique, exponential type estimators have been proposed to estimate the current population mean. Properties of the proposed estimators are examined and respective optimum replacement strategies are suggested. Empirical studies are carried out to evaluate the performances of the proposed estimators. Results are interpreted and suitable recommendations have been made.     

Conditional failure occurrence rates for semi-Markov chains*

ABSTRACT

In the present paper, we aim at providing plug-in-type empirical estimators that enable us to quantify the contribution of each operational or/and non-functioning state to the failures of a system described by a semi-Markov model. In the discrete-time and finite state space semi-Markov framework, we study different conditional versions of an important reliability measure for random repairable systems, the failure occurrence rate, which is based on counting processes. The identification of potential failure contributors through the conditional counterparts of the failure occurrence rate is of paramount importance since it could lead to corrective actions that minimize the occurrence of the more important failure modes and therefore improve the reliability of the system. The aforementioned estimators are characterized by appealing asymptotic properties such as strong consistency and asymptotic normality. We further obtain detailed analytical expressions for the covariance matrices of the random vectors describing the conditional failure occurrence rates. As particular cases we present the failure occurrence rates for hidden (semi-) Markov models. We illustrate our results by means of a simulated study. Different applications are presented based on wind, earthquake and vibration data.     

Estimation of parameters of 1-out-of-2:g repairable system

Moment estimators of l-out-of-2:G repairable system are supplied under four sampling schemes assuming that the failure and repair time distribution of the units are exponential with unknown parameters λ, μ respectively. Information metrices of the estimators are supplied. Also it is shown that the estimators are asymptotically normally distributed in every sampling scheme.     

Two-Stage Bounded-lnfluence Estimators for Simultaneous-Equations Models

This article presents a class of estimators for linear structural models that are robust to heavytailed disturbance distributions, gross errors in either the endogenous or exogenous variables, and certain other model failures. The class of estimators modifies ordinary two-stage least squares by replacing each least squares regression by a bounded-influence regression. Conditions under which the estimators are qualitatively robust, consistent, and asymptotically normal are established, and an empirical example is presented.