小型经济单位从业人员调查抽样方法研究

不执行统计报表制度的小型经济单位的从业人员统计,应当用抽样调查方法进行。小型经济单位的各种统计调查项目,其中如生产统计调查项目、经营统计调查项目、劳动统计调查项目等等,应当合并在一起并分行业进行抽样调查。对小型工业单位进行从业人员调查的抽样技术,包括:样本轮换方针、在样本轮换条件下如何构造估计量、怎样对估计量的方差进行估计等。     

试论建立健全统计之行政程序

进一步增强行政程序意识、加强行政程序的建设，是政府部门的一项十分重要的任务。在当前，作为政府部门的统计机构，注重行政程序的建立和健全工作，并认真依照行政程序开展各项统计活动显得尤为重要。本文坚持理论联系实际的原则，对统计行政程序的含义、建立健全统计行政程序的重要意义、统计行政行为决策程序和统计行政程序建立健全中的若干关键问题等方面进行了初步的探讨，对于深入推进统计部门的依法行政具有一定的参考价值。     

A Mann–Whitney scan statistic for continuous data

ABSTRACT

A new method is proposed for identifying clusters in continuous data indexed by time or by space. The scan statistic we introduce is derived from the well-known Mann–Whitney statistic. It is completely non parametric as it relies only on the ranks of the marks. This scan test seems to be very powerful against any clustering alternative. These results have applications in various fields, such as the study of climate data or socioeconomic data.     

数据大集中环境下的统计生产流程再造

随着中国经济结构的不断调整和经济现象的日益复杂化,现有政府统计面临极大的挑战。基于此,以制度领域、技术领域和管理领域的数据大集中为核心架构,构建一种新型的政府统计数据大集中环境,并依托该环境对中国政府统计生产流程进行再造。     

Teaching statistics to clinical research staff in a pharmaceutical company

Education of clinical research staff in understanding statistical concepts is an area of importance for pharmaceutical companies. This understanding is needed to help them communicate with statisticians using a common language, in designing clinical trials and interpretation of clinical trial results. Such staff has little time for a one-semester or even a one-week continuing education course in statistics. Faced with this reality, we developed a 3-module course,for a total of 1.5 days, which was taught over a period of one month that addresses the needs of this audience. We describe the format and content of the course and provide references that can serve as a resource for teaching such a course.     

Teaching statistics to elementary school students

We describe a short special statistics program presented to 24 students, ages 8 to II years, selected for their ability in mathematics. The contentof the program of the reactionsof the students are reviewed. we found that young studentscan grasp; understand and retainsimple statistical notionwhen inspired by gamesor newspaper or articals and that special programs; such as this one can help to improve studentsattitude towards mathematics in particularand school in general. ofofofancs^r-tionQf the students ars reviewed. We found that young students can grasp, understand, and retain simple statistical notions when inspired by games or newspaper articles and that special programs, such as this one, can help to improve students' attitudes toward mathematics in particular and school in general     

JOINT BEHAVIOUR OF PRECEDENCES AND EXCEEDANCES IN RANDOM THRESHOLD MODELS

This paper concerns the joint behaviour of precedence and exceedance statistics in random threshold models. Joint distributions of precedence and exceedance statistics, both exact and asymptotic, are obtained, and the results are illustrated for random thresholds based on order statistics and record values.     

Optimization in statistics: an overview

This note presents a brief overview of the applications of optimization techniques in statistics. Optimizing techniques are broadly classified as classical, variational, numerical, and mathematical programming. A brief discussion of their applications to statistics is given, and a few references are provided for illustrative purposes.     

推断统计学起源探析——谨以此文悼祭一代统计学宗师陈希孺院士逝世三周年

从逻辑和历史两个角度对推断统计学的起源进行了尝试性的探索,通过对推断统计学概念的辨析以及历史事实的追溯,指出推断统计学的历史起源于1750年代。     

Interactive graphics in a ternlhal-equlated classroom

Interactive computing is being used effectively as a teaching aid in mathematics classes at the University of Waterloo. Various courses, especially in statistics and computer science, are in¬volved* In this papers the configuration o£ equipment in trie terminal-equipped classroom, and an Interactive statistical graphics program package used for teaching, are described     

Use of tail areas for testing goodness-of-fit

Characterizing a set of data as a random sample from a specified distribution is often a precursor to statistical inference or hypothesis testing involving the extremes of the distribution -precisely the regions of greatest uncertainty. It seems reasonable then to exploit as best we can our limited knowledge of this region. Toward this end we investigate here the areas in the tails of the distribution as determined by the extreme order statistics as a criterion for testing goodness-of-fit.     

Multiple Window Discrete Scan Statistics

In this article, multiple scan statistics of variable window sizes are derived for independent and identically distributed 0-1 Bernoulli trials. Both one and two dimensional, as well as, conditional and unconditional cases are treated. The advantage in using multiple scan statistics, as opposed to single fixed window scan statistics, is that they are more sensitive in detecting a change in the underlying distribution of the observed data. We show how to derive simple approximations for the significance level of these testing procedures and present numerical results to evaluate their performance.     

Prediction intervals for ordinary and dual generalized order statistics from two independent sequences

ABSTRACT

Based on the observed dual generalized order statistics drawn from an arbitrary unknown distribution, nonparametric two-sided prediction intervals as well as prediction upper and lower bounds for an ordinary and a dual generalized order statistic from another iid sequence with the same distribution are developed. The prediction intervals for dual generalized order statistics based on the observed ordinary generalized order statistics are also developed. The coverage probabilities of these prediction intervals are exact and free of the parent distribution, F. Finally, numerical computations and real examples of the coverage probabilities are presented for choosing the appropriate limits of the prediction.     

Graphical Presentation of a Basketball Game

A graphical summary of the scoring activity for a basketball game is presented. The summary is a real-time plot of the score difference versus the elapsed time. In contrast to the usual score by quarters (or by half in college play), the graph easily allows complete identification of items of interest, such as largest leads, lead changes, come-from-behind activity, and percentage of game time for which a particular team of interest held a lead. The technique is applied to professional and collegiate games, and several interesting features are noted.     

社会统计学30年发展与若干前沿问题

＂社会统计学＂不能等同于＂统计学＂,这应该是一个被广泛接受的命题。30年来,名称同为＂社会统计学＂的文献,涵盖的内容却差异巨大,同名不同实（有些＂社会统计学＂涵盖的是＂统计学原理＂的内容）。梳理社会统计学近30年的发展,从学科性质与构建思路、研究范围、前沿问题等方面进行探讨,促进社会统计学＂实至名归＂。     

Teaching Elementary Bayesian Statistics with Real Applications in Science

University courses in elementary statistics are usually taught from a frequentist perspective. In this paper I suggest how such courses can be taught using a Bayesian approach, and I indicate why beginning students are well served by a Bayesian course. A principal focus of any good elementary course is the application of statistics to real and important scientific problems. The Bayesian approach fits neatly with a scientific focus. Bayesians take a larger view, and one not limited to data analysis. In particular, the Bayesian approach is subjective, and requires assessing prior probabilities. This requirement forces users to relate current experimental evidence to other available information–-including previous experiments of a related nature, where “related” is judged subjectively. I discuss difficulties faced by instructors and students in elementary Bayesian courses, and provide a sample syllabus for an elementary Bayesian course.     

Network inference and community detection,based on covariance matrices,correlations, and test statistics from arbitrary distributions

In this article we propose methodology for inference of binary-valued adjacency matrices from various measures of the strength of association between pairs of network nodes, or more generally pairs of variables. This strength of association can be quantified by sample covariance and correlation matrices, and more generally by test-statistics and hypothesis test p-values from arbitrary distributions. Community detection methods such as block modeling typically require binary-valued adjacency matrices as a starting point. Hence, a main motivation for the methodology we propose is to obtain binary-valued adjacency matrices from such pairwise measures of strength of association between variables. The proposed methodology is applicable to large high-dimensional data sets and is based on computationally efficient algorithms. We illustrate its utility in a range of contexts and data sets.     

统计学在20世纪的开拓性应用回顾

20世纪以来,作为数据搜集、整理和分析的一门重要工具,统计学在众多领域里得到了极其广泛的应用,统计学的作用及其重要性已渐渐显现出来。为了使统计学在20世纪所取得的进展及其重要性能为更多的人所认识和接受,并促进中国统计学的发展,对其在社会经济、自然科学以及生物医学等相关重要领域中的开拓性应用进行了简要的概述。这些应用一方面为统计学的发展提供了机遇,同时也向统计学提出了许多新的方法和应用上的挑战,为今后统计学的发展指明了方向。因而,对这些应用的回顾具有重要的实际意义。     

Statisticians in European regulatory agencies

The UK body of statisticians in the pharmaceutical industry, PSI, has called on heads of European regulatory agencies responsible for assessing applications for marketing authorizations for new medicines in the EU to employ full time statisticians. In order to assess the present situation a survey has been conducted to identify the number of agencies employing one or more full time statisticians. Out of 29 responding agencies, 12 employed one or more statisticians on a full time basis, whereas 17 did not. Among these 17, 7 involved external experts on a regular basis, 5 involved external statisticians on a case‐by‐case basis, whereas 5 never involved external statistical expertise. Failure to involve statisticians in the assessment of efficacy and safety of medicines does not automatically lead to reports of low quality or invalid assessment of benefit‐risk. However, in depth knowledge of statistical methodology is often necessary to uncover weaknesses and potentially biased efficacy estimates. This might be of importance for the final opinion on granting a marketing authorization, and statistical review should therefore be conducted by those who are professionally expert in the area. A positive trend toward an increased involvement of statistical expertise in the European network of regulatory agencies is observed. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

On characterizing distributions via regression of functions of generalized order statistics

Let X(1,n,m₁,k),X(2,n,m₂,k),…,X(n,n,m,k) be n generalized order statistics from a continuous distribution F which is strictly increasing over (a,b),−∞≤a<b≤∞, the support of F. Let g be an absolutely continuous and monotonically increasing function in (a,b) with finite g(a⁺),g(b⁻) and E(g(X)). Then for some positive integer s,1<s≤n, we give characterization of distributions by means of