Study of the quality of several asymptotic and near-exact approximations based on moments for the distribution of the Wilks Lambda statistic

In this paper a measure of proximity of distributions, when moments are known, is proposed. Based on cases where the exact distribution is known, evidence is given that the proposed measure is accurate to evaluate the proximity of quantiles (exact vs. approximated). The measure may be applied to compare asymptotic and near-exact approximations to distributions, in situations where although being known the exact moments, the exact distribution is not known or the expression for its probability density function is not known or too complicated to handle. In this paper the measure is applied to compare newly proposed asymptotic and near-exact approximations to the distribution of the Wilks Lambda statistic when both groups of variables have an odd number of variables. This measure is also applied to the study of several cases of telescopic near-exact approximations to the exact distribution of the Wilks Lambda statistic based on mixtures of generalized near-integer gamma distributions.     

Empirical likelihood and general relative error criterion with divergent dimension

In estimation of multiplicative or accelerated failure time models, the relative error criterion has been recognized as an alternative to the squared or absolute error criterion. The general relative error criterion introduced by Chen et al. [Least product relative error estimation. J Multivariate Anal. 2016;144:91–98] is a unified framework for efficient estimation, which includes the least absolute relative error estimation and least product relative error estimation as special cases. In this paper, by combining the empirical likelihood and general relative error criterion in multiplicative model, we develop a new empirical likelihood method for inference on the unknown parameters under high-dimensional setting. Limiting theory is established for the proposed empirical likelihood statistic. We conduct some simulation studies and real data analysis to evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed method.     

Re-examining two tests for bivariate normality

Many goodness of fit tests for bivariate normality are not rigorous procedures because the distributions of the proposed statistics are unknown or too difficult to manipulate. Two familiar examples are the ring test and the line test. In both tests the statistic utilized generally is approximated by a chi-square distribution rather than compared to its known beta distribution. These two procedures are re-examined and re-evaluated in this paper. It is shown that the chi-square approximation can be too conservative and can lead to unnecessary

rejection of normality.     

Poisson regression models with errors-in-variables: implication and treatment

Overdispersion has been a common phenomenon in count data and usually treated with the negative binomial model. This paper shows that measurement errors in covariates in general also lead to overdispersion on the observed data if the true data generating process is indeed the Poisson regression. This kind of overdispersion cannot be treated using the negative binomial model, as otherwise, biases will occur. To provide consistent estimates, we propose a new type of corrected score estimator assuming that the distribution of the latent variables is known. The consistency and asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator are established. Simulation results show that this estimator has good finite sample performance. We also illustrate that the Akaike information criterion and Bayesian information criterion work well for selecting the correct model if the true model is the errors-in-variables Poisson regression.     

On a modified test of equality of scale parameters of exponential distributions

In this paper, an exact distribution of a modifier likelihood ratio criterion for testing the equality of scale parameters of several two parameter exponential distributions is obtained for the case of unequal sample size in a computational form. A short table of critical values of the proposed statistic is also presented.     

A test for bivariate symmetry based on the empirical distribution function

Hollander (1970) proposed a conditionally distribution-free test of bivariate symmetry based on the empirical distribution function. In this paper Hollander’s test statistic is examined In greater detail: in particular; its conditional asymptotic distribution is derived under the null hypothesis as well as under a sequence of local alternatives. Percentage points of the asymptotic distribution are presented; a power comparison between Hollander’s statistic and the likelihood ratio criterion in testing a variant of the sphericity hypothesis in multivariate analysis is made.     

A note on empirical likelihoods derived from pairwise score functions

Pairwise likelihood functions are convenient surrogates for the ordinary likelihood, useful when the latter is too difficult or even impractical to compute. One drawback of pairwise likelihood inference is that, for a multidimensional parameter of interest, the pairwise likelihood analogue of the likelihood ratio statistic does not have the standard chi-square asymptotic distribution. Invoking the theory of unbiased estimating functions, this paper proposes and discusses a computationally and theoretically attractive approach based on the derivation of empirical likelihood functions from the pairwise scores. This approach produces alternatives to the pairwise likelihood ratio statistic, which allow reference to the usual asymptotic chi-square distribution and which are useful when the elements of the Godambe information are troublesome to evaluate or in the presence of large data sets with relative small sample sizes. Two Monte Carlo studies are performed in order to assess the finite-sample performance of the proposed empirical pairwise likelihoods.     

A CONSISTENT MODEL SPECIFICATION TEST FOR A REGRESSION FUNCTION BASED ON NONPARAMETRIC WAVELET ESTIMATION

In this paper we present a consistent specification test of a parametric regression function against a general nonparametric alternative. The proposed test is based on wavelet estimation and it is shown to have similar rates of convergence to the more commonly used kernel based tests. Monte Carlo simulations show that this test statistic has adequate size and high power and that it compares favorably with its kernel based counterparts in small samples.     

The Prediction Sum of Squares as a General Measure for Regression Diagnostics

Statistics that usually accompany the regression model do not provide insight into the quality of the data or the potential influence of the individual observations on the estimates. In this study, the Q² statistic is used as a criterion for detecting influential observations or outliers. The statistic is derived from the jackknifed residuals, the squared sum of which is generally known as the prediction sum of squares or PRESS. This article compares R ² with Q² and suggests that the latter be used as part of the data-quality check. It is shown, for two separate data sets obtained from regional cost of living and U.S. food industry studies, that in the presence of outliers the Q² statistic can be negative, because it is sensitive to the choice of regressors and the inclusion of influential observations. Once the outliers are dropped from the sample, the discrepancy between Q² and R ² values is negligible.     

Robust selection of variables in linear discriminant analysis

A commonly used procedure for reduction of the number of variables in linear discriminant analysis is the stepwise method for variable selection. Although often criticized, when used carefully, this method can be a useful prelude to a further analysis. The contribution of a variable to the discriminatory power of the model is usually measured by the maximum likelihood ratio criterion, referred to as Wilks’ lambda. It is well known that the Wilks’ lambda statistic is extremely sensitive to the influence of outliers. In this work a robust version of the Wilks’ lambda statistic will be constructed based on the Minimum Covariance Discriminant (MCD) estimator and its reweighed version which has a higher efficiency. Taking advantage of the availability of a fast algorithm for computing the MCD a simulation study will be done to evaluate the performance of this statistic. The presentation of material in this article does not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of Austro Control GmbH and is the sole responsibility of the authors.     

Design of a sign chart using a new EWMA statistic

Abstract

In this article, a new non parametric control chart based on the modified or controlled exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) statistic is developed to monitor the process deviation from the target value. The proposed control chart is evaluated for different values of design parameters using the average run length as a performance criterion under various sample sizes. The proposed chart is compared with the existing non parametric EWMA sign control chart. It is observed that the proposed chart is better than the existing EWMA sign control chart in terms of run length characteristics. An empirical example is provided for the practical implementation of the proposed chart.     

The Consistency of Estimators in Finite Mixture Models

The parameters of a finite mixture model cannot be consistently estimated when the data come from an embedded distribution with fewer components than that being fitted, because the distribution is represented by a subset in the parameter space, and not by a single point. Feng & McCulloch (1996) give conditions, not easily verified, under which the maximum likelihood (ML) estimator will converge to an arbitrary point in this subset. We show that the conditions can be considerably weakened. Even though embedded distributions may not be uniquely represented in the parameter space, estimators of quantities of interest, like the mean or variance of the distribution, may nevertheless actually be consistent in the conventional sense. We give an example of some practical interest where the ML estimators are root of n -consistent.
Similarly consistent statistics can usually be found to test for a simpler model vs a full model. We suggest a test statistic suitable for a general class of model and propose a parameter-based bootstrap test, based on this statistic, for when the simpler model is correct.     

Approximations for Multiple Scan Statistics on the Circle

Multiple scan statistic is usually used by epidemiologist to test the uniformity or clustering of data. In this article, we extend the work of Lin (1999) to give a general expression for the moments of multiple scan statistic on a circle, and use these moments to approximate its distribution using Markov chain and compound Poisson approximations proposed by Huffer and Lin (1997a) and Lin (1993). Numerical results are presented to evaluate the performance of these approximations.     

Criterion for the Selection of a Working Correlation Structure in the Generalized Estimating Equation Approach for Longitudinal Balanced Data

The generalized estimating equation is a popular method for analyzing correlated response data. It is important to determine a proper working correlation matrix at the time of applying the generalized estimating equation since an improper selection sometimes results in inefficient parameter estimates. We propose a criterion for the selection of an appropriate working correlation structure. The proposed criterion is based on a statistic to test the hypothesis that the covariance matrix equals a given matrix, and also measures the discrepancy between the covariance matrix estimator and the specified working covariance matrix. We evaluated the performance of the proposed criterion through simulation studies assuming that for each subject, the number of observations remains the same. The results revealed that when the proposed criterion was adopted, the proportion of selecting a true correlation structure was generally higher than that when other competing approaches were adopted. The proposed criterion was applied to longitudinal wheeze data, and it was suggested that the resultant correlation structure was the most accurate.     

Inference for Random Coefficient INAR(1) Process Based on Frequency Domain Analysis

In this article, we present the explicit expressions for the higher-order moments and cumulants of the first-order random coefficient integer-valued autoregressive (RCINAR(1)) process. The spectral and bispectral density functions are also obtained, which can characterize the RCINAR(1) process in the frequency domain. We use a frequency domain approach which is named Whittle criterion to estimate the parameters of the process. We propose a test statistic which is based on the frequency domain approach for the hypothesis test, H₀: α = 0?H₁: 0 < α < 1, where α is the mean of the random coefficient in the process. The asymptotic distribution of the test statistic is obtained. We compare the proposed test statistic with other statistics that can test serial dependence in time series of count via a typically numerical simulation, which indicates that our proposed test statistic has a good power.     

Linear hypothesis testing for weighted functional data with applications

In socioeconomic areas, functional observations may be collected with weights, called weighted functional data. In this paper, we deal with a general linear hypothesis testing (GLHT) problem in the framework of functional analysis of variance with weighted functional data. With weights taken into account, we obtain unbiased and consistent estimators of the group mean and covariance functions. For the GLHT problem, we obtain a pointwise F-test statistic and build two global tests, respectively, via integrating the pointwise F-test statistic or taking its supremum over an interval of interest. The asymptotic distributions of test statistics under the null and some local alternatives are derived. Methods for approximating their null distributions are discussed. An application of the proposed methods to density function data is also presented. Intensive simulation studies and two real data examples show that the proposed tests outperform the existing competitors substantially in terms of size control and power.     

A CONSISTENT MODEL SPECIFICATION TEST BASED ON THE KERNEL SUM OF SQUARES OF RESIDUALS

This paper constructs a consistent model specification test based on the difference between the nonparametric kernel sum of squares of residuals and the sum of squares of residuals from a parametric null model. We establish the asymptotic normality of the proposed test statistic under the null hypothesis of correct parametric specification and show that the wild bootstrap method can be used to approximate the null distribution of the test statistic. Results from a small simulation study are reported to examine the finite sample performance of the proposed tests.     

The Statistical Analysis of Preference Data

A new statistic and a new method of analysis are proposed for data where a sample of respondents provides a preference ordering of some treatments. The new preference statistic is compared with the Friedman statistic, particularly for an example where 12 home owners each ranked four grasses. The new analysis provides a more natural and less misleading assessment of where the differences occur than an analysis based on the rank sums of the Friedman statistic. The new analysis is also more robust to deviations from the classical location problem, is not related to election methods known to have undesirable characteristics and adheres to the Condorcet criterion for election methods.     

Analysis of binary data for the balanced one-way classification

A test is proposed for testing the equality of proportions based on the data available from a one-way classification having t treatment conditions and n binary observations per treatment. The test statistic B is a constant multiple of the F-statistic which results when the analysis of variance procedure for the one-way classification is applied to the data and, hence, is computationally simple. The statistic B from this binary analysis of variance (BIANOVA) is distributed asymptotically as a chi-square random variable. The proposed test is uniformly more powerful than either the F-test indicated above or the Pearson chi-square test; however, the attained empirical level of significance is frequently higher than for either of these competitors and usually higher than the stated level of significance for smaller values of n (say n ≤ 20).     

Testing for Granger-causality in quantiles

This paper proposes a consistent parametric test of Granger-causality in quantiles. Although the concept of Granger-causality is defined in terms of the conditional distribution, most articles have tested Granger-causality using conditional mean regression models in which the causal relations are linear. Rather than focusing on a single part of the conditional distribution, we develop a test that evaluates nonlinear causalities and possible causal relations in all conditional quantiles, which provides a sufficient condition for Granger-causality when all quantiles are considered. The proposed test statistic has correct asymptotic size, is consistent against fixed alternatives, and has power against Pitman deviations from the null hypothesis. As the proposed test statistic is asymptotically nonpivotal, we tabulate critical values via a subsampling approach. We present Monte Carlo evidence and an application considering the causal relation between the gold price, the USD/GBP exchange rate, and the oil price.