Why is one choice different?

Let X_i be nonnegative independent random variables with finite expectations and . The value is what can be obtained by a “prophet”. A “mortal” on the other hand, may use k1 stopping rules t₁,…,t_k yielding a return E[max_i=1,…,kX_ti]. For nk the optimal return is where the supremum is over all stopping rules which stop by time n. The well known “prophet inequality” states that for all such X_i's and one choice and the constant “2” cannot be improved on for any n2. In contrast we show that for k=2 the best constant d satisfying for all such X_i's depends on n. On the way we obtain constants c_k such that .     

A Method for Analyzing Supersaturated Designs with a Block Orthogonal Structure

Supersaturated designs is a large class of factorial designs which can be used for screening out the important factors from a large set of potentially active variables. The huge advantage of these designs is that they reduce the experimental cost drastically, but their critical disadvantage is the confounding involved in the statistical analysis. In this article, we propose a method for analyzing data using a specific type of supersaturated designs. This method heavily uses the special block orthogonal structure of the supersaturated designs given by Tang and Wu (1997 Tang , B. , Wu , C. F. J. ( 1997 ). A method for constructing supersaturated designs and its Es ²-optimality . Canadian J. Statist. 25 : 191 – 201 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). Also, we compare our method with several known statistical analysis methods by using some of the existing supersaturated designs. The comparison is performed by some simulating experiments and the Type I and Type II error rates are calculated. The results are presented in tables and the discussion to follow.     

Optimal blocked main effects plans

In this paper, we consider the construction of optimal blocked main effects designs where m two-level factors are to be studied in N runs which are partitioned into b blocks of equal size. For N ≡ 2±od4 sufficient conditions are derived for a design to be Φ _f optimal among all designs having main effects occurring equally often at their high and low levels within blocks and then this result is extended to the class of all designs for the case when the block size is two. Methods of constructing designs satisfying the sufficient conditions derived are also given.     

Optimal fractional factorial designs for estimating interactions of one factor with all others: 3m Series

In some experimental situations, only one factor is expected to interact with other factors. Designs which permit estimation of all main effects and the interactions of one factor ‘With All Others’, are termed WAO designs. This paper discusses the existence and construction of s^m WAO designs. A series of WAO designs are presented for the 3^m factorial, for m = 6, 7, ... , 14. The p non-negligible effects are estimable in 9f^? runs, where f^? is the smallest integer such that 9f^? ≥p. These designs are determinant optimal within the class of parallel flats fractions and, except for the case f^? = 9, are new. They are ideally suited for sequential experiments.     

Klingenberg structures and partial designs I: Congruence relations and solutions

We consider generalizations of projective Klingenberg and projective Hjelmslev planes, mainly (b, c)-K-structures. These are triples (φ, Π, Π′) where Π and Π′ are incidence structures and φ : Π → Π′ is an epimorphism which satisfies certain lifting axioms for double flags. The congruence relations of such triples are investigated, leading to nice factorizations of φ. Two integer invariants are associated with each congruence relation, generalizing a theorem of Kleinfeld on projective Hjelmslev planes. These invariants are completely characterized for a special class of triples: the balanced, minimally uniform neighbor cohesive (1,1)-K-structures. We show that a balanced neighbor cohesive (1,1)-K-structure Π “over” a PBIBD Π′ is again a PBIBD and compute its invariants. Several methods are given for constructing symmetric “divisible” PBIBD's on arbitrarily many classes.     

Some new factor screening designs using the search linear model

Factor screening designs for searching two and three effective factors using the search linear model are discussed. The construction of such factor screening designs involved finding a fraction with small number of treatments of a 2^m factorial experiment having the property P_2t (no 2t columns are linearly dependent) for t=2 and 3. A ‘Packing Problem’ is introduced in this connection. A complete solution of the problem in one case and partial solutions for the other cases are presented. Many practically useful new designs are listed.     

A Bayesian criterion for selecting super saturated screening designs

Super-saturated designs in which the number of factors under investigation exceeds the number of experimental runs have been suggested for screening experiments initiated to identify important factors for future study. Most of the designs suggested in the literature are based on natural but ad hoc criteria. The “average s²” criteria introduced by Booth and Cox (Technometrics 4 (1962) 489) is a popular choice. Here, a decision theoretic approach is pursued leading to an optimality criterion based on misclassification probabilities in a Bayesian model. In certain cases, designs optimal under the average s² criterion are also optimal for the new criterion. Necessary conditions for this to occur are presented. In addition, the new criterion often provides a strict preference between designs tied under the average s² criterion, which is advantageous in numerical search as it reduces the number of local minima.     

Lower bound of average centered L2-discrepancy for U-type designs

Uniform designs are widely used in various scientific investigations and industrial applications. By considering all possible level permutation of the factors, a connection between average centered L₂-discrepancy and generalized wordlength pattern for asymmetrical fractional factorial designs is derived. Moreover, we present new lower bounds to the average centered L₂-discrepancy for symmetrical and asymmetrical U-type designs. For illustration of the theoretical results, the lower bounds for symmetrical and asymmetrical U-type designs are tabulated, and numerical results indicate that our lower bounds behave well and can be recommended for use in practice.     

Fast Poisson noise removal by biorthogonal Haar domain hypothesis testing

Methods based on hypothesis tests (HTs) in the Haar domain are widely used to denoise Poisson count data. Facing large datasets or real-time applications, Haar-based denoisers have to use the decimated transform to meet limited-memory or computation-time constraints. Unfortunately, for regular underlying intensities, decimation yields discontinuous estimates and strong “staircase” artifacts. In this paper, we propose to combine the HT framework with the decimated biorthogonal Haar (Bi-Haar) transform instead of the classical Haar. The Bi-Haar filter bank is normalized such that the p-values of Bi-Haar coefficients (p_BH) provide good approximation to those of Haar (p_H) for high-intensity settings or large scales; for low-intensity settings and small scales, we show that p_BH are essentially upper-bounded by p_H. Thus, we may apply the Haar-based HTs to Bi-Haar coefficients to control a prefixed false positive rate. By doing so, we benefit from the regular Bi-Haar filter bank to gain a smooth estimate while always maintaining a low computational complexity. A Fisher-approximation-based threshold implementing the HTs is also established. The efficiency of this method is illustrated on an example of hyperspectral-source-flux estimation.     

Hypercubic designs and applications

In this paper we develop relatively easy methods for constructing hypercubic designs from symmetrical factorial experiments for t=v ^m treatments with v=2, 3. The proposed methods are easy to use and are flexible in terms of choice of possible block sizes.     

A lower bound for the centred L 2-discrepancy on combined designs under the asymmetric factorials

The foldover is a useful technique in the construction of two-level factorial designs for follow-up experiments. To search an optimal foldover plans is an important issue. In this paper, for a set of asymmetric fractional factorials such as the original designs, a lower bound for centred L ₂-discrepancy of combined designs under a general foldover plan is obtained, which can be used as a benchmark for searching optimal foldover plans. All of our results are the extended ones of Ou et al. [Lower bounds of various discrepancies on combined designs, Metrika 74 (2011), pp. 109–119] for symmetric designs to asymmetric designs. Moreover, it also provides a theoretical justification for optimal foldover plans in terms of uniformity criterion.     

A New Method for the Analysis of Supersaturated Designs with Discrete Data

Supersaturated designs are factorial designs in which the number of potential effects is greater than the run size. They are commonly used in screening experiments, with the aim of identifying the dominant active factors with low cost. However, an important research field, which is poorly developed, is the analysis of such designs with non-normal response. In this article, we develop a variable selection strategy, through the modification of the PageRank algorithm, which is commonly used in the Google search engine for ranking Webpages. The proposed method incorporates an appropriate information theoretical measure into this algorithm and as a result, it can be efficiently used for factor screening. A noteworthy advantage of this procedure is that it allows the use of supersaturated designs for analyzing discrete data and therefore a generalized linear model is assumed. As it is depicted via a thorough simulation study, in which the Type I and Type II error rates are computed for a wide range of underlying models and designs, the presented approach can be considered quite advantageous and effective.     

On Kronecker block designs for factorial experiments

In this paper the use of Kronecker designs for factorial experiments is considered. The two-factor Kronecker design is considered in some detail and the efficiency factors of the main effects and interaction in such a design are derived. It is shown that the efficiency factor of the interaction is at least as large as the product of the efficiency factors of the two main effects and when both the component designs are totally balanced then its efficiency factor will be higher than the efficiency factor of either of the two main effects. If the component designs are nearly balanced then its efficiency factor will be approximately at least as large as the efficiency factor of either of the two main effects. It is argued that these designs are particularly useful for factorial experiments.Extensions to the multi-factor design are given and it is proved that the two-factor Kronecker design will be connected if the component designs are connected.     

They might be giants: a review of small presses and little magazines: an interview with Whitney Pastorek, Editor of Pindeldyboz

This installment of “They Might Be Giants” highlights a small online/print zine from New York called Pindeldyboz. Described by its editor Whitney Pastorek as a lit mag, Pindeldyboz publishes new fiction every week or so at the Web site but then publishes longer fiction once a year in the annual print zine of the same name. While this may indicate a split personality on the part of the editor/publisher, the goals of both the print and online versions are the same: to publish good fiction.     

Optimal block sequences for blocked fractional factorial split-plot designs

It is known that for blocked 2^n-k$2^{n-k}$ designs a judicious sequencing of blocks may allow one to obtain early and insightful results regarding influential parameters in the experiment. Such findings may justify the early termination of the experiment thereby producing cost and time savings. This paper introduces an approach for selecting the optimal sequence of blocks for regular two-level blocked fractional factorial split-plot screening experiments. An optimality criterion is developed so as to give priority to the early estimation of low-order factorial effects. This criterion is then applied to the minimum aberration blocked fractional factorial split-plot designs tabled in McLeod and Brewster [2004. The design of blocked fractional factorial split-plot experiments. Technometrics 46, 135–146]. We provide a catalog of optimal block sequences for 16 and 32-run minimum aberration blocked fractional factorial split-plot designs run in either 4 or 8 blocks.     

Minimum aberration blocking schemes for 128-run designs

Several criteria have been proposed for ranking blocked fractional factorial designs. For large fractional factorial designs, the most appropriate minimum aberration criterion was one proposed by Cheng and Wu (2002). We justify this assertion and propose a novel construction method to overcome the computational challenge encountered in large fractional factorial designs. Tables of minimum aberration blocked designs are presented for N=128 runs and n=8–64 factors.     

A Variable Selection Method for Analyzing Supersaturated Designs

Supersaturated designs are a large class of factorial designs which can be used for screening out the important factors from a large set of potentially active variables. The huge advantage of these designs is that they reduce the experimental cost drastically, but their critical disadvantage is the confounding involved in the statistical analysis. In this article, we propose a method for analyzing data using several types of supersaturated designs. Modifications of widely used information criteria are given and applied to the variable selection procedure for the identification of the active factors. The effectiveness of the proposed method is depicted via simulated experiments and comparisons.     

Three-factor symmetrical balanced designs with full efficiency for main effects

Some methods for constructing balanced design for 3-factor symmetrical factorial experiments in which all the main effects are completely unconfounded by using balanced arrays and BIB designs are proposed. The method is flexible in terms of selecting block size.     

Fractional Factorial Designs for the Detection of Interactions between Design and Noise Factors

In industrial experiments on both design (control) factors and noise factors aimed at improving the quality of manufactured products, designs are needed which afford independent estimation of all design×noise interactions in as few runs as possible, while allowing aliasing between those factorial effects of less interest. An algorithm for generating orthogonal fractional factorial designs of this type is described for factors at two levels. The generated designs are appropriate for experimenting on individual factors or for experimentation involving group screening of factors.     

Celebrating Twenty Years of a Serials Column

A co-editor of “The Balance Point” column looks back at its twenty-year history, its current function and its future in serving the serials professional and scholarly community. The author examines how the column emerged as an idea by then Serials Review editor Cindy Hepfer in 1988 to be a forum on important serials issues for practitioners who might not otherwise write formally on these topics. The column has continued though the 1990s and 2000s to provide that function, as well as serve as an important place where authors are invited to explore serial issues much in need of a balanced approach. The author shares comments from past “Balance Point” column editors, John Riddick, Mary Beth Clack, Ellen Finnie Duranceau, Karen Cargille, Markel Tumlin, and Kay Johnson on how they regarded the column, the rewards and challenges they faced, and how they see the future of this format in an evolving electronic communication milieu.