KERNEL DENSITY ESTIMATION WHEN THE BANDWIDTH IS LARGE

The performance of kernel density estimation, in terms of mean integrated squared error, is investigated in the opposite of the usual situation, namely when the bandwidth is large. This affords noteworthy insights including the special role taken by the normal density function as kernel and a tie-in with ‘semiparametric’ approaches to density estimation.     

CORRECTING FOR KURTOSIS IN DENSITY ESTIMATION

Using a global window width kernel estimator to estimate an approximately symmetric probability density with high kurtosis usually leads to poor estimation because good estimation of the peak of the distribution leads to unsatisfactory estimation of the tails and vice versa. The technique proposed corrects for kurtosis via a transformation of the data before using a global window width kernel estimator. The transformation depends on a “generalised smoothing parameter” consisting of two real-valued parameters and a window width parameter which can be selected either by a simple graphical method or, for a completely data-driven implementation, by minimising an estimate of mean integrated squared error. Examples of real and simulated data demonstrate the effectiveness of this approach, which appears suitable for a wide range of symmetric, unimodal densities. Its performance is similar to ordinary kernel estimation in situations where the latter is effective, e.g. Gaussian densities. For densities like the Cauchy where ordinary kernel estimation is not satisfactory, our methodology offers a substantial improvement.     

DATA-BASED CHOICE OF THE SMOOTHING PARAMETER FOR A KERNEL DENSITY ESTIMATOR

The problem of optimally choosing the smoothing parameter of a Fourier integral density estimator (FIE) is addressed. A new data-based method of so doing is shown to be related to, but an improvement over, the method of Davis (1981). It is shown that Davis' method does not lead to consistent estimation of certain, principally multimodal, densities. In a simulation study involving the bimodal mixture of two normal densities, the new method is seen to represent a substantial improvement.     

AN EMPIRICAL LIKELIHOOD APPROACH FOR NON‐GAUSSIAN VECTOR STATIONARY PROCESSES AND ITS APPLICATION TO MINIMUM CONTRAST ESTIMATION

We develop the empirical likelihood approach for a class of vector‐valued, not necessarily Gaussian, stationary processes with unknown parameters. In time series analysis, it is known that the Whittle likelihood is one of the most fundamental tools with which to obtain a good estimator of unknown parameters, and that the score functions are asymptotically normal. Motivated by the Whittle likelihood, we apply the empirical likelihood approach to its derivative with respect to unknown parameters. We also consider the empirical likelihood approach to minimum contrast estimation based on a spectral disparity measure, and apply the approach to the derivative of the spectral disparity. This paper provides rigorous proofs on the convergence of our two empirical likelihood ratio statistics to sums of gamma distributions. Because the fitted spectral model may be different from the true spectral structure, the results enable us to construct confidence regions for various important time series parameters without assuming specified spectral structures and the Gaussianity of the process.