Choosing Between the Sample-Selection Model and the Multi-Part Model

Hay and Olsen (1984) incorrectly argue that a multi-part model, the two-part model used in Duan et al. (1982,1983), is nested within the sample-selection model. Their proof relies on an unmentioned restrictive assumption that cannot be satisfied. We provide a counterexample to show that the propensity to use medical care and the level of expense can be positively associated in the two-part model, contrary to their assertion. The conditional specification in the multi-part model is preferable to the unconditional specification in the selection model for modeling actual (v. potential) outcomes. The selection model also has poor statistical and numerical properties and relies on untestable assumptions. Empirically the multi-part estimators perform as well as or better than the sample selection estimator for the data set analyzed in Duan et al. (1982, 1983).     

Ordinary Least Squares and Sample-Selection Models of Health-Care Demand Monte Carlo Comparison

This article examines alternative econometric models for health-care demand estimation. The analysis compares the Rand Health Insurance Study two-part model with sample-selection model estimators in a Monte Carlo simulation experiment designed to approximate individual-level health-care demand conditions. The underlying variable distributions are taken from cross- sectional data for a Swiss 1981 population survey. Three sets of error distribution assumptions are examined—bivariate normal, normal logistic, and Cauchy. Despite theoretical concerns with the two-part model, it outperforms the sample-selection model in terms of mean squared error of parameter estimate.     

A Note on the Comparison of the Stein Estimator and the James-Stein Estimator

The seminal work of Stein (1956 Stein, C. (1956). Inadmissibility of the usual estimator for the mean of a multivariate normal distribution. Proc. Third Berkeley Symp. Mathemat. Statist. Probab., University of California Press, 1:197–206. [Google Scholar]) showed that the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the mean vector of a p-dimensional multivariate normal distribution is inadmissible under the squared error loss function when p ? 3 and proposed the Stein estimator that dominates the MLE. Later, James and Stein (1961 James, W., Stein, C. (1961). Estimation with quadratic loss. Proc. Fourth Berkeley Symp. Mathemat. Statist. Probab., University of California Press, 1:361–379. [Google Scholar]) proposed the James-Stein estimator for the same problem and received much more attention than the original Stein estimator. We re-examined the Stein estimator and conducted an analytic comparison with the James-Stein estimator. We found that the Stein estimator outperforms the James-Stein estimator under certain scenarios and derived the sufficient conditions.     

A family of shrinkage estimators for the square of mean in normal distribution

This paper is devoted to the problem of estimating the square of population mean (μ²) in normal distribution when a prior estimate or guessed value σ₀ ² of the population variance σ² is available. We have suggested a family of shrinkage estimators , say, for μ² with its mean squared error formula. A condition is obtained in which the suggested estimator is more efficient than Srivastava et al’s (1980) estimator T_min. Numerical illustrations have been carried out to demonstrate the merits of the constructed estimator over T_min. It is observed that some of these estimators offer improvements over T_min particularly when the population is heterogeneous and σ² is in the vicinity of σ₀ ².     

The influence function of the optimal bandwidth for kernel density estimation

Theories about the bandwidth of kernel density estimation have been well established by many statisticians. However, the influence function of the bandwidth has not been well investigated. The influence function of the optimal bandwidth that minimizes the mean integrated square error is derived and the asymptotic property of the bandwidth selectors based on the influence function is provided.     

Comparison of two sampling schemes for generating record-breaking data from the proportional hazard rate models

ABSTRACT

In this article, we consider a sampling scheme in record-breaking data set-up, as record ranked set sampling. We compare the proposed sampling with the well-known sampling scheme in record values known as inverse sampling scheme when the underlying distribution follows the proportional hazard rate model. Various point estimators are obtained in each sampling schemes and compared with respect to mean squared error and Pitman measure of closeness criteria. It is observed in most of the situations that the new sampling scheme provides more efficient estimators than their counterparts. Finally, one data set has been analyzed for illustrative purposes.     

Comparison of estimators of the location parameter using pitman's closeness criterion

Necessary and sufficient conditions for a linear estimator to dominate another linear estimator of a location parameter under the Pitman's criterion of comparison are discussed. Consequently it is demonstrated that a linear biased estimator can not dominate a linear unbiased estimator under Pitman's criterion and that the sample mean is the Closest Linear Unbiased Estimator (CLUE). It is also shown that the ridge regression estimator with a known biasing constant can not dominate the ordinary least squares estimator. If an estimator δdominates an estimator δin the average loss sense then sufficient conditions are obtained under which δis also preferred over δunder Pitman's criterion. Further we obtain sufficient conditions under which preference under the Pitman's criterion will lead to preference under the mean squared error sense.     

照护还是医疗:老年人健康支出的产出效率比较

老龄化尤其是高龄失能老人增多对我国现有的以疾病治疗为核心的健康保障体系提出了挑战。本文基于CLHLS2011年数据的结构方程模型估计结果表明,家庭的照料护理支出显著提高了老人的健康自评、健康他评、生活满意度等生活质量指标,并且还能降低老人的小病发病率、患慢性病种类数以及两年内的患重病次数;而家庭的医疗费用支出则显著降低了老人对自身健康水平和生活状况的主观评价,对降低老人患小病、重病和慢性病等也没有贡献。相比医疗支出,照护支出具有更优的健康产出效率,并且通过增进老人的身体功能和生活自理能力、提高老人主观健康评价等途径起到更积极的健康促进作用。最后建议我国应将更多的健康支出用于照料护理,建立基于家庭和社区的老人照护体系。     

The Exact General Formulas for the Moments of a Ridge Regression Estimator when the Regression Error Terms Follow a Multivariate t Distribution

Huang (1999 Huang , J. C. ( 1999 ). Improving the estimation precision for a selected parameter in multiple regression analysis: an algebraic approach . Econ. Lett. 62 : 261 – 264 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) proposed a feasible ridge regression (FRR) estimator to estimate a specific regression coefficient. Assuming that the error terms follow a normal distribution, Huang (1999 Huang , J. C. ( 1999 ). Improving the estimation precision for a selected parameter in multiple regression analysis: an algebraic approach . Econ. Lett. 62 : 261 – 264 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) examined the small sample properties of the FRR estimator. In this article, assuming that the error terms follow a multivariate t distribution, we derive an exact general formula for the moments of the FRR estimator to estimate a specific regression coefficient. Using the exact general formula, we obtain exact formulas for the bias, mean squared error (MSE), skewness, and kurtosis of the FRR estimator. Since these formulas are very complex, we compare the bias, MSE, skewness, and kurtosis of the FRR estimator with those of ordinary least square (OLS) estimator by numerical evaluations. Our numerical results show that the range of MSE dominance of the FRR estimator over the OLS estimator is widen under a fat tail distributional assumption.     

Generalized Estimation of the BLUP in Mixed-Effects Models: A Comparison with ML and REML

The Best Linear Unbiased Predictor (BLUP) in mixed models is a function of the variance components and they are estimated using maximum likelihood (ML) or restricted ML methods. Nonconvergence of BLUP would occur due to a drawback of the standard likelihood-based approaches. In such situations, ML and REML either do not provide any BLUPs or all become equal. To overcome this drawback, we provide a generalized estimate (GE) of BLUP that does not suffer from the problem of negative or zero variance components, and compare its performance against the ML and REML estimates of BLUP. Simulated and published data are used to compare BLUP.     

A consistent method of estimation for the three-parameter lognormal distribution based on Type-II right censored data

ABSTRACT

In this paper, we propose a parameter estimation method for the three-parameter lognormal distribution based on Type-II right censored data. In the proposed method, under mild conditions, the estimates always exist uniquely in the entire parameter space, and the estimators also have consistency over the entire parameter space. Through Monte Carlo simulations, we further show that the proposed method performs very well compared to a prominent method of estimation in terms of bias and root mean squared error (RMSE) in small-sample situations. Finally, two examples based on real data sets are presented for illustrating the proposed method.     

A Convolution Estimator for the Density of Nonlinear Regression Observations

Abstract. The problem of estimating an unknown density function has been widely studied. In this article, we present a convolution estimator for the density of the responses in a nonlinear heterogenous regression model. The rate of convergence for the mean square error of the convolution estimator is of order n ^?1 under certain regularity conditions. This is faster than the rate for the kernel density method. We derive explicit expressions for the asymptotic variance and the bias of the new estimator, and further a data‐driven bandwidth selector is proposed. We conduct simulation experiments to check the finite sample properties, and the convolution estimator performs substantially better than the kernel density estimator for well‐behaved noise densities.     

Prediction of Times to Failure of Censored Items for a Simple Step-Stress Model with Regular and Progressive Type I Censoring from the Exponential Distribution

The problem of predicting times to failure of units from the Exponential Distribution which are censored under a simple step-stress model is considered in this article. We discuss two types of censoring—regular and progressive Type I—and two kinds of predictors—the maximum likelihood predictors (MLP) and the conditional median predictors (CMP) for each type of censoring. Numerical examples are used to illustrate the prediction methods. Using simulation studies, mean squared prediction error (MSPE) and prediction intervals are generated for these examples. MLP and the CMP are then compared with respect to MSPE and the prediction interval.     

A robust procedure for testing an assumed value of the population correlation coefficient

For testing that the population correlations coefficientp Q, Tiku and Balakrishnan1986) developed a robust test. This test is extended here to situcitions where one wants to test that p p , p being a specified non-zero value of p. o o