On optimal tests for separate hypotheses and conditional probability integral transformations

Consider the problem of testing the composite null hypothesis that a random sample X₁,…,X_n is from a parent which is a member of a particular continuous parametric family of distributions against an alternative that it is from a separate family of distributions. It is shown here that in many cases a uniformly most powerful similar (UMPS) test exists for this problem, and, moreover, that this test is equivalent to a uniformly most powerful invariant (UMPI) test. It is also seen in the method of proof used that the UMPS test statistic Is a function of the statistics U₁,…,U_n?k obtained by the conditional probability integral transformations (CPIT), and thus that no Information Is lost by these transformations, It is also shown that these optimal tests have power that is a nonotone function of the null hypothesis class of distributions, so that, for example, if one additional parameter for the distribution is assumed known, then the power of the test can not lecrease. It Is shown that the statistics U₁, …, U_n?k are independent of the complete sufficient statistic, and that these statistics have important invariance properties. Two examples at given. The UMPS tests for testing the two-parameter uniform family against the two-parameter exponential family, and for testing one truncation parameter distribution against another one are derived.     

Negative exponential disparity based family of goodness-of-fit tests for multinomial models

This paper investigates a new family of goodness-of-fit tests based on the negative exponential disparities. This family includes the popular Pearson's chi-square as a member and is a subclass of the general class of disparity tests (Basu and Sarkar, 1994) which also contains the family of power divergence statistics. Pitman efficiency and finite sample power comparisons between different members of this new family are made. Three asymptotic approximations of the exact null distributions of the negative exponential disparity famiiy of tests are discussed. Some numerical results on the small sample perfomance of this family of tests are presented for the symmetric null hypothesis. It is shown that the negative exponential disparity famiiy, Like the power divergence family, produces a new goodness-of-fit test statistic that can be a very attractive alternative to the Pearson's chi-square. Some numerical results suggest that, application of this test statistic, as an alternative to Pearson's chi-square, could be preferable to the I ^2/3 statistic of Cressie and Read (1984) under the use of chi-square critical values.     

Bahadur efficiency and local optimality of a test for the exponential distribution based on the gini statistic

Summary The sample scale-free Gini index is known to be a powerful test of exponentiality against a broad class of alternatives. To understand better the efficiency properties of this test we calculate its Bahadur efficiency for most commonly used parametric alternatives to the exponential distribution. Using variational arguments and the Bahadur-Raghavachari inequality for exact slopes we find the conditions of local Bahadur optimality of the Gini test. It turns out that this property surprisingly holds for a family of alternative distributions including the well-known Gompertz-Makeham distribution. Partially supported by Russian Fund of Fundamental Research, grants No. 95-01-1260 and 96-01-0852.     

Exponential family distribution with unknown truncation parameter: two sample problem

The uniformly most powerful unbiased tests are formulated for two sample problem of a given continuous distribution belonging to the exponential family with unknown scale and truncation parameters. The two-parameter exponential and Paretc distributions are considered in examples.     

Tests of goodness of fit based on Phi-divergence

In this paper, we introduce a general goodness of fit test based on Phi-divergence. Consistency of the proposed test is established. We then study some special cases of tests for normal, exponential, uniform and Laplace distributions. Through Monte Carlo simulations, the power values of the proposed tests are compared with some known competing tests under various alternatives. Finally, some numerical examples are presented to illustrate the proposed procedure.     

Comparing the performance of normality tests with ROC analysis and confidence intervals

There are several statistical hypothesis tests available for assessing normality assumptions, which is an a priori requirement for most parametric statistical procedures. The usual method for comparing the performances of normality tests is to use Monte Carlo simulations to obtain point estimates for the corresponding powers. The aim of this work is to improve the assessment of 9 normality hypothesis tests. For that purpose, random samples were drawn from several symmetric and asymmetric nonnormal distributions and Monte Carlo simulations were carried out to compute confidence intervals for the power achieved, for each distribution, by two of the most usual normality tests, Kolmogorov–Smirnov with Lilliefors correction and Shapiro–Wilk. In addition, the specificity was computed for each test, again resorting to Monte Carlo simulations, taking samples from standard normal distributions. The analysis was then additionally extended to the Anderson–Darling, Cramer-Von Mises, Pearson chi-square Shapiro–Francia, Jarque–Bera, D'Agostino and uncorrected Kolmogorov–Smirnov tests by determining confidence intervals for the areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves. Simulations were performed to this end, wherein for each sample from a nonnormal distribution an equal-sized sample was taken from a normal distribution. The Shapiro–Wilk test was seen to have the best global performance overall, though in some circumstances the Shapiro–Francia or the D'Agostino tests offered better results. The differences between the tests were not as clear for smaller sample sizes. Also to be noted, the SW and KS tests performed generally quite poorly in distinguishing between samples drawn from normal distributions and t Student distributions.     

The power of the exponential scores test for an ordinary renewal process against trend alternatives

The power properties of a statistic based on the use of exponential scores which may be used for testing whether a series of events occurring in time form an ordinary renewal process against trend alternatives are examined. Small sample power comparisons under a Lehmann trend alternative are made with an alternative nonparametric test based on a rank trend statistic and with the parametric test when the intervals are exponentially distributed. Finally, some asymptotic efficiency results are developed for limiting trend alternatives.     

Discriminating between distributions using feed-forward neural networks

A relevant problem in many applicatory contexts is to test whether some given observations follow one of two possible probability distributions. The vast literature produced over the years on this topic does not identify a tool which can be easily adopted to any situation but only finds solutions to specific comparisons. Recently, an easy to implement procedure for discrimination between two distributions based on feed-forward neural networks has been proposed giving interesting results. In this work this procedure is further investigated in terms of power, neural network architecture and expected statistical properties of the test statistic for small, moderate and large sample sizes, in a wide range of symmetric and skewed alternatives.     

On testing the skew normal hypothesis

In this work two goodness-of-fit tests are proposed for the skew normal distribution, based on properties of this family of distributions and the sample correlation coefficient. The critical values for the tests are obtained by using Monte Carlo simulation for several sample sizes and levels of significance. The power of the proposed tests are compared with that of the tests studied by Mateu et al. (2007) and the one studied by Meintanis (2007) for several sample sizes and considering diverse alternatives. The results show that the proposed tests have greater power than those studied by Mateu et al. (2007) and Meintanis (2007) against some alternative distributions.     

On Tests for Group Variation With a Small to Moderate Number of Groups

This paper considers a family of penalized likelihood score tests for group variation. The tests can be indexed by a measure of degrees of freedom. At one extreme, with degrees of freedom one less than the number of groups, is the usual score test for a fixed effects alternative using indicator variables for the groups, while at the other extreme, in the limit as the degrees of freedom 0, is a test closely related to a score test based on a random effects alternative. Asymptotic power comparisons are made for the tests in the family. As would be expected, different members of the family are more efficient for different alternatives. Generally the tests with smaller degrees of freedom appear to have better power than the standard test for alternatives focusing on differences among the larger groups, and lower power for alternatives focusing on differences among the smaller groups. Simulations indicate the asymptotic approximation to the distribution performs better for the tests with small degrees of freedom.     

An extended class of permutation techniques for matched pairs

A class of matched-pairs permutation techniques based on distances between each pair of observed signed values is considered. Although many commonly-used inference techniques for matched pairs are members of this class, some of the more appealing inference techniques among this class have received very little attention. Two new simple rank tests of this class jointly possess both intuitive properties and location-alternative power characteristics which appear more appealing than the corresponding characteristics of either the sign test or the Wllcoxon signed-ranks test. In particular, power comparisons based on slmula-tions indicate that these new rank tests are jointly as good or even vastly superior to the sign test or the Wilcoxon signed-ranks test for location alternatives involving five symmetric distributions. The five distributions selected for these com-parisons include the Laplace, logistic, normal, uniform and a U-shaped distribution     

Goodness-of-fit test for exponentiality based on spacings for general progressive Type-II censored data

There have been numerous tests proposed to determine whether or not the exponential model is suitable for a given data set. In this article, we propose a new test statistic based on spacings to test whether the general progressive Type-II censored samples are from exponential distribution. The null distribution of the test statistic is discussed and it could be approximated by the standard normal distribution. Meanwhile, we propose an approximate method for calculating the expectation and variance of samples under null hypothesis and corresponding power function is also given. Then, a simulation study is conducted. We calculate the approximation of the power based on normality and compare the results with those obtained by Monte Carlo simulation under different alternatives with distinct types of hazard function. Results of simulation study disclose that the power properties of this statistic by using Monte Carlo simulation are better for the alternatives with monotone increasing hazard function, and otherwise, normal approximation simulation results are relatively better. Finally, two illustrative examples are presented.     

A Goodness-of-fit Test for Exponentiality Based on the Memoryless Property

In this investigation a test of goodness of fit for exponentiality is proposed. This procedure applies equally whether the scale and/or the location parameters of the distribution are known or not. The limiting null and non-null distributions of the test statistic are normal under minimal conditions. Monte Carlo critical values for small sample sizes are given and the power of the test is calculated for various alternatives showing that it compares favourably relatively to other more complicated published procedures.     

Goodness-of-fit tests based on Verma Kullback–Leibler information

In this article, a new consistent estimator of Veram’s entropy is introduced. We establish the entropy test based on the new information namely Verma Kullback–Leibler discrimination methodology. The results are used to introduce goodness-of-fit tests for normal and exponential distributions. The root of mean square errors, critical values, and powers for some alternatives are obtained by simulation. The proposed test is compared with other tests.     

Large sample power of absolute moment tests

Sample kurtosis is a member of the large class of absolute moment tests of normality. We compare kurtosis to other absolute moment tests to determine which are the most powerful at detecting long‐tailed symmetric departures from normality for large samples. The large sample power of the tests is calculated using Geary's (1947) approximations of the moments of the test statistics. Using the system of Gram-Charlier symmetric distributions as alternatives, the most power is obtained using a moment in the range 2.5 ‐ 3.5.     

Evaluation of Linear Trend Tests Using Resampling Techniques

A number of parametric and non-parametric linear trend tests for time series are evaluated in terms of test size and power, using also resampling techniques to form the empirical distribution of the test statistics under the null hypothesis of no linear trend. For resampling, both bootstrap and surrogate data are considered. Monte Carlo simulations were done for several types of residuals (uncorrelated and correlated with normal and nonnormal distributions) and a range of small magnitudes of the trend coefficient. In particular for AR(1) and ARMA(1, 1) residual processes, we investigate the discrimination of strong autocorrelation from linear trend with respect to the sample size. The correct test size is obtained for larger data sizes as autocorrelation increases and only when a randomization test that accounts for autocorrelation is used. The overall results show that the type I and II errors of the trend tests are reduced with the use of resampled data. Following the guidelines suggested by the simulation results, we could find significant linear trend in the data of land air temperature and sea surface temperature.     

Heteroscedasticity and/or autocorrelation diagnostics in nonlinear models with AR(1) and symmetrical errors

In this paper, we discuss tests of heteroscedasticity and/or autocorrelation in nonlinear models with AR(1) and symmetrical errors. The symmetrical errors distribution class includes all symmetrical continuous distributions, such as normal, Student-t, power exponential, logistic I and II, contaminated normal, so on. First, score test statistics and their adjustment forms of heteroscedasticity are derived. Then, the asymptotic properties, including asymptotic chi-square and approximate powers under local alternatives of the score tests, are studied. The properties of test statistics are investigated through Monte Carlo simulations. Finally, a real data set is used to illustrate our test methods.     

Testing for the Marshall–Olkin extended form of the Weibull distribution

Marshall–Olkin extended distributions offer a wider range of behaviour than the basic distributions from which they are derived and therefore may find applications in modeling lifetime data, especially within proportional odds models, and elsewhere. The present paper carries out a simulation study of likelihood ratio, Wald and score tests for the parameter that distinguishes the extended distribution from the basic one, for the Weibull and exponential cases, allowing for right censored data. The likelihood ratio test is found to perform better than the others. The test is shown to have sufficient power to detect alternatives that correspond to interesting departures from the basic model and can be useful in modeling.     

Test of Normality Against Generalized Exponential Power Alternatives

The family of symmetric generalized exponential power (GEP) densities offers a wide range of tail behaviors, which may be exponential, polynomial, and/or logarithmic. In this article, a test of normality based on Rao's score statistic and this family of GEP alternatives is proposed. This test is tailored to detect departures from normality in the tails of the distribution. The main interest of this approach is that it provides a test with a large family of symmetric alternatives having non-normal tails. In addition, the test's statistic consists of a combination of three quantities that can be interpreted as new measures of tail thickness. In a Monte-Carlo simulation study, the proposed test is shown to perform well in terms of power when compared to its competitors.     

Bootstrap Tests of Nonnested Hypotheses: Some Further Results

Nonnested models are sometimes tested using a simulated reference distribution for the uncentred log likelihood ratio statistic. This approach has been recommended for the specific problem of testing linear and logarithmic regression models. The general asymptotic validity of the reference distribution test under correct choice of error distributions is questioned. The asymptotic behaviour of the test under incorrect assumptions about error distributions is also examined. In order to complement these analyses, Monte Carlo results for the case of linear and logarithmic regression models are provided. The finite sample properties of several standard tests for testing these alternative functional forms are also studied, under normal and nonnormal error distributions. These regression-based variable-addition tests are implemented using asymptotic and bootstrap critical values.