Analysis of ordered probit model with surrogate response data and measurement error in covariates

ABSTRACT

Often in data arising out of epidemiologic studies, covariates are subject to measurement error. In addition ordinal responses may be misclassified into a category that does not reflect the true state of the respondents. The goal of the present work is to develop an ordered probit model that corrects for the classification errors in ordinal responses and/or measurement error in covariates. Maximum likelihood method of estimation is used. Simulation study reveals the effect of ignoring measurement error and/or classification errors on the estimates of the regression coefficients. The methodology developed is illustrated through a numerical example.     

Quantile regression in longitudinal studies with dropouts and measurement errors

ABSTRACT

Quantile regression models, as an important tool in practice, can describe effects of risk factors on the entire conditional distribution of the response variable with its estimates robust to outliers. However, there is few discussion on quantile regression for longitudinal data with both missing responses and measurement errors, which are commonly seen in practice. We develop a weighted and bias-corrected quantile loss function for the quantile regression with longitudinal data, which allows both missingness and measurement errors. Additionally, we establish the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimator. Simulation studies demonstrate the expected performance in correcting the bias resulted from missingness and measurement errors. Finally, we investigate the Lifestyle Education for Activity and Nutrition study and confirm the effective of intervention in producing weight loss after nine month at the high quantile.     

The non parametric regression estimate with dependent measurement errors

ABSTRACT

Non parametric regression estimation with measurement errors data has received great attention, and deconvolution local polynomial estimators can be used to deal with the problem that the errors are independent of other variables in the literature. In this article, the copula method is applied to tackle the case that the errors may depend on covariates, and the asymptotic properties of the resulting estimators are derived. Two simulations are conducted to illustrate the performance of the proposed estimators.     

Immaculating the inconsistent estimator of slope parameter in measurement error model with replicated data

ABSTRACT

The measurement error model with replicated data on study as well as explanatory variables is considered. The measurement error variance associated with the explanatory variable is estimated using the complete data and the grouped data which is used for the construction of the consistent estimators of regression coefficient. These estimators are further used in constructing an almost unbiased estimator of regression coefficient. The large sample properties of these estimators are derived without assuming any distributional form of the measurement errors and the random error component under the setup of an ultrastructural model.     

Maximum entropy in the mean methods in propensity score matching for interval and noisy data

Abstract

In this paper, we propose maximum entropy in the mean methods for propensity score matching classification problems. We provide a new methodological approach and estimation algorithms to handle explicitly cases when data is available: (i) in interval form; (ii) with bounded measurement or observational errors; or (iii) both as intervals and with bounded errors. We show that entropy in the mean methods for these three cases generally outperform benchmark error-free approaches.     

SIMEX estimation in case of correlated measurement errors

The simulation-extrapolation (SIMEX) approach of Cook and Stefanski (J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 89:1314–1328, 1994) has proved to be successful in obtaining reliable estimates if variables are measured with (additive) errors. In particular for nonlinear models, this approach has advantages compared to other procedures such as the instrumental variable approach if only variables measured with error are available. However, it has always been assumed that measurement errors for the dependent variable are not correlated with those related to the explanatory variables although such scenario is quite likely. In such a case the (standard) SIMEX suffers from misspecification even for the simple linear regression model. Our paper reports first results from a generalized SIMEX (GSIMEX) approach which takes account of this correlation. We also demonstrate in our simulation study that neglect of the correlation will lead to estimates which may be worse than those from the naive estimator which completely disregards measurement errors.     

A combined mixed-s-skip sampling strategy to reduce the effect of autocorrelation on the X̄ scheme with and without measurement errors

In order to reduce the effect of autocorrelation on the X¯ monitoring scheme, a new sampling strategy is proposed to form rational subgroup samples of size n. It requires sampling to be done such that: (i) observations from two consecutive samples are merged, and (ii) some consecutive observations are skipped before sampling. This technique which is a generalized version of the mixed samples strategy is shown to yield a better reduction of the negative effect of autocorrelation when monitoring the mean of processes with and without measurement errors. For processes subjected to a combined effect of autocorrelation and measurement errors, the proposed sampling technique, together with multiple measurement strategy, yields an uniformly better zero-state run-length performance than its two main existing competitors for any autocorrelation level. However, in steady-state mode, it yields the best performance only when the monitoring process is subject to a high level of autocorrelation, for any given level of measurement errors. A real life example is used to illustrate the implementation of the proposed sampling strategy.KEYWORDS: Autocorrelation, measurement errors, mixed samples strategy, multiple measurements, skipping sampling strategy, steady-state, zero-state     

Minimal circular balanced repeated measurement designs in unequal period sizes

Abstract

Repeated measurement designs (RMDs) are widely used in medicine, pharmacology, animal sciences and psychology. In these fields, there are several situations where these designs should be used in periods of different sizes. With the use of RMD, residual effects or carry over effects may arise and balanced RMDs are solution to this problem. In this article, therefore, some infinite series are developed through method of cyclic shifts to obtain circular balanced repeated measurements designs in periods of two different sizes.     

A Parametric approach to the Estimation of Cointegration Vectors in Panel Data

In this article, a parametric framework for estimation and inference in cointegrated panel data models is considered that is based on a cointegrated VAR(p) model. A convenient two-step estimator is suggested where, in the first step, all individual specific parameters are estimated, and in the second step, the long-run parameters are estimated from a pooled least-squares regression. The two-step estimator and related test procedures can easily be modified to account for contemporaneously correlated errors, a feature that is often encountered in multi-country studies. Monte Carlo simulations suggest that the two-step estimator and related test procedures outperform semiparametric alternatives such as the fully modified OLS approach, especially if the number of time periods is small.     

A new class of ratio-type estimators for improving mean estimation of nonsensitive and sensitive variables by using supplementary information

ABSTRACT

Motivated by some recent improvements for mean estimation in finite sampling theory, we propose, in a design-based approach, a new class of ratio-type estimators. The class is initially discussed on the assumption that the study variable has a nonsensitive nature, meaning that it deals with topics that do not generate embarrassment when respondents are directly questioned about them. Under this standard setting, some estimators belonging to the class are shown and the bias, mean square error and minimum mean square error are determined up to the first-order of approximation. The class is subsequently extended to the case where the study variable refers to sensitive issues which produce measurement errors due to nonresponses and/or untruthful reporting. These errors may be reduced by enhancing respondent cooperation through scrambled response methods that mask the true value of the sensitive variable. Hence, four methods (say the additive, multiplicative, mixed and combined additive-multiplicative methods) are discussed for the purposes of the article. Finally, a simulation study is carried out to assess the performance of the proposed class by comparing a number of competing estimators, both in the sensitive and the nonsensitive setting.     

A Stochastic Volatility Model With Realized Measures for Option Pricing

Abstract

Based on the fact that realized measures of volatility are affected by measurement errors, we introduce a new family of discrete-time stochastic volatility models having two measurement equations relating both observed returns and realized measures to the latent conditional variance. A semi-analytical option pricing framework is developed for this class of models. In addition, we provide analytical filtering and smoothing recursions for the basic specification of the model, and an effective MCMC algorithm for its richer variants. The empirical analysis shows the effectiveness of filtering and smoothing realized measures in inflating the latent volatility persistence—the crucial parameter in pricing Standard and Poor’s 500 Index options.     

Statistical inferences for single-index models with measurement errors

An important factor in house prices is its location. However, measurement errors arise frequently in the process of observing variables such as the latitude and longitude of the house. The single-index models with measurement errors are used to study the relationship between house location and house price. We obtain the estimators by a SIMEX method based on the local linear method and the estimating equation. To test the significance of the index coefficient and the linearity of the link function, we establish the generalized likelihood ratio (GLR) tests for the models. We demonstrate that the asymptotic null distributions of the established GLR tests follow χ2-distributions which are independent of nuisance parameters or functions. Finally, two simulated examples and a real estate valuation data set are given to illustrate the effect of GLR tests.     

Bayesian estimation for time-series regressions improved with exact likelihoods

We propose an estimation procedure for time-series regression models under the Bayesian inference framework. With the exact method of Wise [Wise, J. (1955). The autocorrelation function and spectral density function. Biometrika, 42, 151–159], an exact likelihood function can be obtained instead of the likelihood conditional on initial observations. The constraints on the parameter space arising from the stationarity conditions are handled by a reparametrization, which was not taken into consideration by Chib [Chib, S. (1993). Bayes regression with autoregressive errors: A Gibbs sampling approach. J. Econometrics, 58, 275–294] or Chib and Greenberg [Chib, S. and Greenberg, E. (1994). Bayes inference in regression model with ARMA(p, q) errors. J. Econometrics, 64, 183–206]. Simulation studies show that our method leads to better inferential results than their results.     

Robust designs for experiments with blocks

ABSTRACT

For experiments running in field plots or over time, the observations are often correlated due to spatial or serial correlation, which leads to correlated errors in a linear model analyzing the treatment means. Without knowing the exact correlation matrix of the errors, it is not possible to compute the generalized least-squares estimator for the treatment means and use it to construct optimal designs for the experiments. In this paper, we propose to use neighborhoods to model the covariance matrix of the errors, and apply a modified generalized least-squares estimator to construct robust designs for experiments with blocks. A minimax design criterion is investigated, and a simulated annealing algorithm is developed to find robust designs. We have derived several theoretical results, and representative examples are presented.     

Generally weighted moving average control charts using repetitive sampling

Abstract

Generally weighted moving average (GWMA) control charts have been validated for effective detection of small process shifts, and perform better than exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts. These charts are available based on single sampling; however, repetitive sampling charts have received less attention. Here, a GWMA control chart based on repetitive sampling (namely an RS-GWMA chart) is proposed for enhancing detectability of small process shifts. Simulations show that the proposed RS-GWMA chart with large design and small adjustment parameters outperforms existing hybrid EWMA (HEWMA) control charts based on repetitive sampling. An in-silico example is considered for demonstrating the applicability of the proposed RS-GWMA chart.     

Compound Regression and Constrained Regression: Nonparametric Regression Frameworks for EIV Models

Abstract

Errors-in-variable (EIV) regression is often used to gauge linear relationship between two variables both suffering from measurement and other errors, such as, the comparison of two measurement platforms (e.g., RNA sequencing vs. microarray). Scientists are often at a loss as to which EIV regression model to use for there are infinite many choices. We provide sound guidelines toward viable solutions to this dilemma by introducing two general nonparametric EIV regression frameworks: the compound regression and the constrained regression. It is shown that these approaches are equivalent to each other and, to the general parametric structural modeling approach. The advantages of these methods lie in their intuitive geometric representations, their distribution free nature, and their ability to offer candidate solutions with various optimal properties when the ratio of the error variances is unknown. Each includes the classic nonparametric regression methods of ordinary least squares, geometric mean regression (GMR), and orthogonal regression as special cases. Under these general frameworks, one can readily uncover some surprising optimal properties of the GMR, and truly comprehend the benefit of data normalization. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.     

Asymptotic Properties of OLS Estimates in Autoregressions with Bounded or Slowly Growing Deterministic Trends

ABSTRACT

We propose a general method of modeling deterministic trends for autoregressions. The method relies on the notion of L ₂-approximable regressors previously developed by the author. Some facts from the theory of functions play an important role in the proof. In its present form, the method encompasses slowly growing regressors, such as logarithmic trends, and leaves open the case of polynomial trends.     

A synthetic control chart for monitoring the small shifts in a process mean based on an attribute inspection

Abstract

In this paper, a synthetic control chart is proposed by integrating the salient features of the np_x chart and the CRL chart. The synthetic chart achieves higher detection effectiveness on both small and large mean shifts while retaining the operational simplicity of the attribute charts owing to only using attribute inspection. Both statistical and economic design of the synthetic chart are considered and numerical tests have indicated that the synthetic chart has a higher power for detecting mean shifts than the np_x chart, MON chart and CUSUM chart. In addition, sensitivity analyses are also performed under both the statistical and economic design model.     

A simulation study: estimation of population mean using two auxiliary variables in stratified random sampling

ABSTRACT

This paper deals with the problem of estimating the finite population mean in stratified random sampling by using two auxiliary variables. This paper proposed a ratio-cum-product exponential type estimator of population mean under different situations: (i) when there is presence of non-response and measurement errors on the study as well as auxiliary variables; (ii) when there is non-response on the study and auxiliary variables but with no measurement error; (iii) when there is complete response on study variable but there is presence of non-response and measurement error on the auxiliary variables and (iv) when there are complete response and measurement error on study as well as auxiliary variables. The expressions of the bias and mean square error of the proposed estimator have been obtained up to the first degree of approximation. The proposed estimator has been compared with usual unbiased estimator, ratio estimator and other existing estimators and the conditions obtained to show the efficacy of the proposed estimator over other considered estimators. Simulation study is carried out to support the theoretical findings.