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1.
The Hosmer–Lemeshow test is a widely used method for evaluating the goodness of fit of logistic regression models. But its power is much influenced by the sample size, like other chi-square tests. Paul, Pennell, and Lemeshow (2013) considered using a large number of groups for large data sets to standardize the power. But simulations show that their method performs poorly for some models. In addition, it does not work when the sample size is larger than 25,000. In the present paper, we propose a modified Hosmer–Lemeshow test that is based on estimation and standardization of the distribution parameter of the Hosmer–Lemeshow statistic. We provide a mathematical derivation for obtaining the critical value and power of our test. Through simulations, we can see that our method satisfactorily standardizes the power of the Hosmer–Lemeshow test. It is especially recommendable for enough large data sets, as the power is rather stable. A bank marketing data set is also analyzed for comparison with existing methods. 相似文献
2.
Gabriel Rodríguez 《统计学通讯:模拟与计算》2016,45(1):207-221
In recent articles, Fajardo et al. (2009) and Reisen and Fajardo (2012) propose an alternative semiparametric estimator of the fractional parameter in ARFIMA models which is robust to the presence of additive outliers. The results are very interesting, however, they use samples of 300 or 800 observations which are rarely found in macroeconomics. In order to perform a comparison, I estimate the fractional parameter using the procedure of Geweke and Porter-Hudak (1983) augmented with dummy variables associated with the (previously) detected outliers using the statistic τd suggested by Perron and Rodríguez (2003). Comparing with Fajardo et al. (2009) and Reisen and Fajardo (2012), I found better results for the mean and bias of the fractional parameter when T = 100 and the results in terms of the standard deviation and the MSE are very similar. However, for higher sample sizes such as 300 or 800, the robust procedure performs better. Empirical applications for seven monthly Latin-American inflation series with very small sample sizes contaminated by additive outliers are discussed. 相似文献
3.
In this article, we discuss the method of linear kernel quantile estimator proposed by Parzen (1979). We establish a Bahadur representation in sense of almost surely convergence with the rate log? αn under the case of S-mixing random variable sequence which was proposed by Berkes (2009). We also obtain the strong consistence of this estimator and its convergence rate. 相似文献
4.
Two-period crossover design is one of the commonly used designs in clinical trials. But, the estimation of treatment effect is complicated by the possible presence of carryover effect. It is known that ignoring the carryover effect when it exists can lead to poor estimates of the treatment effect. The classical approach by Grizzle (1965) consists of two stages. First, a preliminary test is conducted on carryover effect. If the carryover effect is significant, analysis is based only on data from period one; otherwise, analysis is based on data from both periods. A Bayesian approach with improper priors was proposed by Grieve (1985) which uses a mixture of two models: a model with carryover effect and another without. The indeterminacy of the Bayes factor due to the arbitrary constant in the improper prior was addressed by assigning a minimally discriminatory value to the constant. In this article, we present an objective Bayesian estimation approach to the two-period crossover design which is also based on a mixture model, but using the commonly recommended Zellner–Siow g-prior. We provide simulation studies and a real data example and compare the numerical results with Grizzle (1965)’s and Grieve (1985)’s approaches. 相似文献
5.
Marek Dvořák 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2017,46(1):465-484
The aim of this article is the construction of the test statistic for the detection of changes in vector autoregressive (AR) models where both AR parameters and the variance matrix of the error term are the subjects of a change. The approximating distribution of the proposed statistic is the Gumbel distribution. The proof stands on the approximation of weakly dependent random vectors by independent ones and by application of Horváth’s extension of Darling-Erdös extremal result for random vectors, see Darling and Erdös (1956) and Horváth (1993). The test statistic is a modification of the likelihood ratio. 相似文献
6.
Rameela Chandrasekhar 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2014,43(14):2951-2957
Adaptive designs find an important application in the estimation of unknown percentiles for an underlying dose-response curve. A nonparametric adaptive design was suggested by Mugno et al. (2004) to simultaneously estimate multiple percentiles of an unknown dose-response curve via generalized Polya urns. In this article, we examine the properties of the design proposed by Mugno et al. (2004) when delays in observing responses are encountered. Using simulations, we evaluate a modification of the design under varying group sizes. Our results demonstrate unbiased estimation with minimal loss in efficiency when compared to the original compound urn design. 相似文献
7.
S. Sengupta 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2017,46(5):2370-2374
We consider the problem of estimation of a finite population proportion (P) related to a sensitive attribute under Warner's (1965) randomized response plan and the unrelated question plan due to Horvitz et al. (1967) and prove that for a given probability sampling design, given any linear unbiased estimator (LUE) of P based on Warner's (1965) plan with any given value of the plan parameter, there exists an LUE of P based on the unrelated question plan with a uniformly smaller variance for suitable choices of the plan parameters. Assuming that only the attribute is sensitive but its complement is innocuous, the same is also shown to be true when the plan parameters for the two plans are so chosen so that both offer the same specified level of privacy. 相似文献
8.
The objective of this paper is to study U-type designs for Bayesian non parametric response surface prediction under correlated errors. The asymptotic Bayes criterion is developed in terms of the asymptotic approach of Mitchell et al. (1994) for a more general covariance kernel proposed by Chatterjee and Qin (2011). A relationship between the asymptotic Bayes criterion and other criteria, such as orthogonality and aberration, is then developed. A lower bound for the criterion is also obtained, and numerical results show that this lower bound is tight. The established results generalize those of Yue et al. (2011) from symmetrical case to asymmetrical U-type designs. 相似文献
9.
Pao-Sheng Shen 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2017,46(4):1916-1926
The complication in analyzing tumor data is that the tumors detected in a screening program tend to be slowly progressive tumors, which is the so-called left-truncated sampling that is inherent in screening studies. Under the assumption that all subjects have the same tumor growth function, Ghosh (2008) developed estimation procedures for the Cox proportional hazards model. Shen (2011a) demonstrated that Ghosh (2008)'s approach can be extended to the case when each subject has a specific growth function. In this article, under linear transformation model, we present a general framework to the analysis of data from cancer screening studies. We developed estimation procedures under linear transformation model, which includes Cox's model as a special case. A simulation study is conducted to demonstrate the potential usefulness of the proposed estimators. 相似文献
10.
Housila P. Singh 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2017,46(2):521-531
This paper aimed at providing an efficient new unbiased estimator for estimating the proportion of a potentially sensitive attribute in survey sampling. The suggested randomization device makes use of the means, variances of scrambling variables, and the two scalars lie between “zero” and “one.” Thus, the same amount of information has been used at the estimation stage. The variance formula of the suggested estimator has been obtained. We have compared the proposed unbiased estimator with that of Kuk (1990) and Franklin (1989), and Singh and Chen (2009) estimators. Relevant conditions are obtained in which the proposed estimator is more efficient than Kuk (1990) and Franklin (1989) and Singh and Chen (2009) estimators. The optimum estimator (OE) in the proposed class of estimators has been identified which finally depends on moments ratios of the scrambling variables. The variance of the optimum estimator has been obtained and compared with that of the Kuk (1990) and Franklin (1989) estimator and Singh and Chen (2009) estimator. It is interesting to mention that the “optimum estimator” of the class of estimators due to Singh and Chen (2009) depends on the parameter π under investigation which limits the use of Singh and Chen (2009) OE in practice while the proposed OE in this paper is free from such a constraint. The proposed OE depends only on the moments ratios of scrambling variables. This is an advantage over the Singh and Chen (2009) estimator. Numerical illustrations are given in the support of the present study when the scrambling variables follow normal distribution. Theoretical and empirical results are very sound and quite illuminating in the favor of the present study. 相似文献
11.
To deal with multicollinearity problem, the biased estimators with two biasing parameters have recently attracted much research interest. The aim of this article is to compare one of the last proposals given by Yang and Chang (2010) with Liu-type estimator (Liu 2003) and k ? d class estimator (Sakallioglu and Kaciranlar 2008) under the matrix mean squared error criterion. As well as giving these comparisons theoretically, we support the results with the extended simulation studies and real data example, which show the advantages of the proposal given by Yang and Chang (2010) over the other proposals with increasing multicollinearity level. 相似文献
12.
Housila P. Singh 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2017,46(24):12059-12074
The present paper suggests an interesting and useful ramification of the unrelated randomized response model due to Pal and Singh (2012) [A new unrelated question randomized response model. Statistics 46 (1), 99–109] that can be used for any sampling scheme. We have shown theoretically and numerically that the proposed model is more efficient than Pal and Singh (2012) model. 相似文献
13.
This article proposes new symmetric and asymmetric distributions applying methods analogous as the ones in Kim (2005) and Arnold et al. (2009) to the exponentiated normal distribution studied in Durrans (1992), that we call the power-normal (PN) distribution. The proposed bimodal extension, the main focus of the paper, is called the bimodal power-normal model and is denoted by BPN(α) model, where α is the asymmetry parameter. The authors give some properties including moments and maximum likelihood estimation. Two important features of the model proposed is that its normalizing constant has closed and simple form and that the Fisher information matrix is nonsingular, guaranteeing large sample properties of the maximum likelihood estimators. Finally, simulation studies and real applications reveal that the proposed model can perform well in both situations. 相似文献
14.
We show that the rearrangement algorithm (RA) introduced in Puccetti and Rüschendorf (2012) to compute distributional bounds can be used also to compute sharp lower and upper bounds on the expected value of a supermodular function of d random variables having fixed marginal distributions. Compared to the analytical methods existing in the literature the algorithm is widely applicable, more easily obtained and gives insight into the dependence structures attaining the bounds. 相似文献
15.
Fiducial inference has been gaining presence recently and it is the intention of the present article to look at the notion of fiducial generators; meaning procedures to simulate parameter values that in some sense correspond to simulations from some implicit fiducial distribution. It is well known that when the distribution has group structure, stemming from the natural pivotal associated, a fiducial may be obtained. It is in the non group distributions that there appears to be still room for finding a fiducial distribution. Recently some general procedures have been proposed for dealing with generalized fiducials, but these depend on certain choices for a structural equation or a fiducial equation, as in Hannig (2009) or Taraldsen and Lindqvist (2013), respectively. A brief presentation is made of an earlier approach to fiducial inference for multivariate parameters, as in Brillinger (1962), and the implied fiducial generator introduced in Engen and Lillegård (1997), trying to connect them. Three interesting non group distributions are seen; two of them, the truncated exponential and the two-parameter gamma, already reported in literature. A third non group distribution is analyzed; the inverse Gaussian, connecting the fiducial that results following Brillinger (1962), with a result pertaining confidence limits for the shape parameter in Hsieh (1990). In the three cases, comparisons are made with the Bayesian posteriors that have been known to be close numerically. Some discussion is made on the issue of singularities of the fiducial density and its connection with densities that do not integrate to unity. As to the case of discrete observables, some comments are made for the Bernoulli distribution, only. 相似文献
16.
Wolfgang Panny 《随机性模型》2016,32(1):160-178
Two-periodic random walks have up-steps and down-steps of one unit as usual, but the probability of an up-step is α after an even number of steps and β = 1 ? α after an odd number of steps, and reversed for down-steps. This concept was studied by Böhm and Hornik[2]. We complement this analysis by using methods from (analytic) combinatorics. By using two steps at once, we can reduce the analysis to the study of Motzkin paths, with up-steps, down-steps, and level-steps. Using a proper substitution, we get the generating functions of interest in an explicit and neat form. The parameters that are discussed here are the (one-sided) maximum (already studied by Böhm and Hornik[2]) and the two-sided maximum. For the asymptotic evaluation of the average value of the two-sided maximum after n random steps, more sophisticated methods from complex analysis (Mellin transform, singularity analysis) are required. The approach to transfer the analysis to Motzkin paths is, of course, not restricted to the two parameters under consideration. 相似文献
17.
The probability matching prior for linear functions of Poisson parameters is derived. A comparison is made between the confidence intervals obtained by Stamey and Hamilton (2006), and the intervals derived by us when using the Jeffreys’ and probability matching priors. The intervals obtained from the Jeffreys’ prior are in some cases fiducial intervals (Krishnamoorthy and Lee, 2010). A weighted Monte Carlo method is used for the probability matching prior. The power and size of the test, using Bayesian methods, is compared to tests used by Krishnamoorthy and Thomson (2004). The Jeffreys’, probability matching and two other priors are used. 相似文献
18.
Xu Zhang 《统计学通讯:模拟与计算》2015,44(2):489-504
Efron and Petrosian (1999) formulated the problem of double truncation and proposed nonparametric methods on testing and estimation. An alternative estimation method was proposed by Shen (2010a), utilizing the inverse-probability-weighting technique. One aim of this paper was to assess the computational complexity of the existing estimation methods. Through a simulation study, we found that these two estimation methods have the same level of computational efficiency. The other aim was to study the noniterative IPW estimator under the condition that truncation variables are independent. The IPW estimator and the interval estimation was proved satisfactory in the simulation study. 相似文献
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20.
Repeated measurement designs are widely used in medicine, pharmacology, animal sciences, and psychology. In this paper the works of Iqbal and Tahir (2009) and Iqbal, Tahir, and Ghazali (2010) are generalized for the construction of circular-balanced and circular strongly balanced repeated measurements designs through the method of cyclic shifts for three periods. 相似文献