江西与中部省份发展状况比较研究

In a common sense, a transforming process of industrial structure is the process of the economicdevelopment. Firstly, this thesis reviews the past and the current of the industrial development in thecentral China after the PRC was established. Secondly, The thesis deeply analyses the reasons thatindustrial development of Jiangxi province lays behind the others in the central China in six aspects assystem, investment, level of opening-up, and so on. Finally, after realizing Jiangxi's present situation andusing the successful experiences on industrial development of developed countries and areas for reference,we pose six suggestions and measures to focus on accelerting to deyelop economy and upgrade industrialstructure of Jiangxi Province.     

金融中介发展与经济增长:中国案例研究与国际比较

Using the cointegration analysis technology and causality analysis technology, we discuss the relationship between financial interrediaries development and economic growth in China, Evidences from the multivariate VAR system show that (ⅰ)as far as the relationship between financial intermediaries scale and economic growth is concerned, what Robinson (1952) declared is right, "where enterprise lead finance follows"; (ⅱ) on the relationship between financial intermediaries efficiency and economic growth, the view of many endogenous economic growth models can be supported by China case.     

我国外资利用的经济增长效应——基于内生经济增长模型的分析

The flowing of foreign capital is related with the economic security of one countries. The experiencesand lessons of many developing countries show that the impact of the foreign capital to the domesticeconomic is often the most important factors of the financial crisis. So it is important to a analysis theforeign capital economic growth effect. Based on the endogenous economic growth model, this paper firstdistricts the three cases of the foreign capital impact and give the three factors of the foreign capitalaffecting to the economic path. The using the sample data of China, we analyze the three factors. Theresults show that all the three factor effets are all positive, which means that the foreign capital utility ofChina is efficiency.     

基于指数方法的中国劳动生产率增长实证分析

On the base of analyzing the shortcomings of produetion function, the author analyses the factors affecting the growth of productivity of China since the reform and opening up by using index method. The results show that 44.73% of the change of productivity is induced by the shift of employed persons between industries.     

我国市场调查与研究公司现状的调查分析

As an emerging industry with the amplitude prospect, the industry of market research and investigation should be a focus of attention in china. Firstly, this article analyzes the status of the development of the industry. Secondly, it puts forward some problems of the industry in China. Finally, it gives some countermeasures.     

浅析运用计量经济模型的缺陷

At present, Econometric models have found a wide range of applications on economic research.However their reliability can be easily understand by intend or unintended abuses. No doubt, econometricmodels have the advantage of revealing the numerical relationships on economic phenomena, but thereexist certain fatal flaws on these econometric models, which if not treated properly will lead to unexpectedmistakes in economic forecast or analysis. In this article some common flaws in econmetric models areinvestigated and some useful measures are suggested for their improvement.     

Bootstrap方法在证券投资基金风险测量中的应用

 Bootstrap method will largely improve the accuracy of risk measurement, which be used to calculate the value at risk of securities investment funds. The application of the Bootstrap method with GARCH-based risk measurement model, not only consider the fund’s data auto-correlation and the time-variable variance characteristic, but also very well simulate the distribution of the residual. The theoretical analysis and empirical analysis indicate that this flexible parameter-nonparametric mixed risk measurement model can improve estimation precision of VAR.     

城市低收入流动劳动力消费结构的实证分

The floating of rural surplus labor force play a significant role not only in increasing peasants' income, development and urbanization of the countryside, but also in the modernization of china. "Basket-carry" is the typical form of the floating of rural surplus labor force in Guizhou Province. As a weak group, their state of life evokes so much concern. The thesis studies on the state of consumption of Guizhou "Basket-carry' with the data of survey and different methods comprehensively. At last, some suggestions and measures are put forward.     

全面小康社会与全面评价刍议

Some suggestions about the evaluation of the all-round well-off society are put forward in this paper.The author thinks that this kind of evaluation is complicated and the methods should be diversiform.     

中国证券市场股价指数VaR研究

This paper compares the models in Predicting the VaR of stock price indexes in China. Our resultsindicate that the normal model usually underestimate the VaR when given probability is 0.01 or 0.02, andthe weighted normal model usually overestimate the VaR when given probability is 0.04 or 0.05. Thehistorical simulating model and Logistic distribution model are superior to normal model and to weightednomal model in predicting the VaR.     

东西部地区财政支出的实证分析

This article analysed the scale, structure and effects of finance expenditure in western and easternregions of China from 1996 to 2000. The conclusion indicates that both ablolute scale and relative scale offinance expenditure in the two regions have increased. The western regions put the emphasis of financeexpenditure on infrastructure while the eastern regions on science and technology. Compared with easternregions, the problem of finance expenditure in western regions lies in the government expenditure washigher than normal level; the gap in science and education expenditure of every person between westernand eastern regions have been increasing. How to increase the effects of finance expenditure is the mainproblem which western and eastern regions must face, and this problem means more improtance to westernregions.     

基于期权方法的动态租赁决策

Many researches concentrated on the analysis of leasing decisions, which afford no flexibility to adjust the term of the leasing during its life. Since these analyses are based on Discounted Cash Flow, it is inadequate for valuing the various options written into many leasing contracts. In this paper, a leasing decision with several real options was analyzed. An option-based numerical analysis is used here with an exampite to value such. discrete-time type of real options.     

论生产函数调整模型

Cobb-Douglas production function is a nonlinear model which is most frequently used and can beenchanged into linear model. There is no doubt for the reasonability of this logarithm linearization. Thispaper gives an new proposition on the basis of deeper analysis that there is a defect with this linearization,hence adjustable production function model is proposed to eliminate it.     

变点统计分析的研究进展

In this paper, we review the progresses of change-point problems. In particular, we discuss the research results about change-point problems in China.     

Estimation of parameters of bivariate normal distribution using concomitants of record values

In this paper, we discuss the concomitants of record values arising from the well-known bivariate normal distribution BVND(μ₁, μ₂,σ₁,σ₂, ρ). We have obtained the best linear unbiased estimators of μ₂ and σ₂ when ρ is known and derived some unbiased linear estimators of ρ when μ₂ and σ₂ are known, based on the concomitants of first n record values. The variances of these estimators have been obtained.     

联合国统计指标解释节选(二)

Production for own consumption ofhouseholds includes all own-account pro-duction of primary commodities——i.e.,agricultural,fishing,forestry,mining andquarrying commodities—own-account pro-duction of such items as butter,flour,wine,cloth or furniture made from pri-mary commodities,and furthermore othergoods and services which the producersalso sell at the market．The gross outputof the government is equal to the sum ofacquisitions for intermediate consumption,@1     

国际竞争力对社会经济统计的影响

The paper introduces to the development and system of international competition capability, as well as the impact on social and economical statistics.     

房地产业界定和核算中的若干问题

The paper discusses in details the exact definition of property industry, provides three principles of the definition. It also introduces to the definition of United Nations, the United States and Hong Kong, China.     

房价收入比指标研究

In order to removing wrong idea from people ideology, These thesis detailedly analysis and systematically research the definition and the present study of housing-Price-income ratio and negative influence of highly house-Price-income ratio.     

上海市主要经济统计指标一览表(2002年1—11月)

Synopsis of Shanghai Major Economic (Jan.一N0v. 2002)～,……Indexes上海市统计局Shanzhai MuniciDal Statistical Bureau单位Unit11月Nov. 比2001年同月增长(%) over the salnemomh of2001(%)l一11月Jan.～NOV 比2001年同期增长(%) ovl~r the sa/neperiod of 2001(%)国内生产总值(Gross Domestic Product) 第一产业(Primary Industry) 第二产业(Secondary Industry) 第三产业(Tertiary Indu~stry) *运输、仓储、邮电(Transportation, Stor~, 一 J.e Post and Telecommunications *批发.零售,餐饮(Wholesale, Retail and …