Nonparametric Prediction Intervals for Future Order Statistics in a Proportional Hazard Model

Consider k independent random samples with different sample sizes such that the ith sample comes from the cumulative distribution function (cdf) F _i  = 1 ? (1 ? F)^{α _i} , where α _i is a known positive constant and F is an absolutely continuous cdf. Also, suppose that we have observed the maximum and minimum of the first k samples. This article shows how one can construct the nonparametric prediction intervals for the order statistics of the future samples on the basis of these information. Three schemes are studied and in each case exact expressions for the prediction coefficients of prediction intervals are derived. Numerical computations are given for illustrating the results. Also, a comparison study is done while the complete samples are available.     

A Note on the Noncentral Beta Distribution Function

The noncentral beta and the related noncentral F distributions have received much attention during the last decade, as is evident from the works of Norton, Lenth, Frick, Lee, Posten, Chattamvelli, and Chattamvelli and Shanmugam. This article reviews the existing algorithms for computing the cumulative distribution function (cdf) of a noncentral beta random variable, and proposes a simple algorithm, based on a sharp error bound, for computing the cdf. A variation of the noncentral beta random variable when the noncentrality is associated only with the denominator χ² and its computational details are also discussed.     

A new formula for the computation of multivariate factorized moments by using the joint cumulative distribution function

This work presents a closed formula to compute any muitivariate factorized expected value from the knowledge of the joint cumulative distribution function (cdf) of any random variable. Additionally, a new nonparametric estimator alternative to the sample average is presented for the univariate case.     

On the joint distribution of placement statistics under progressive censoring and applications to precedence test

In reliability and survival analysis, comparison of two or more populations is an important problem. For example, while comparing a treatment group with a control group, one may be interested in determining whether the observations in the treatment group have a longer lifetime than those from the control group, that is, whether the treatment is effective or not. In such a study, it would be extremely valuable to make a decision based on early failures. In this paper, we consider independent progressively Type-II censored random samples from two populations with cumulative distribution function's (cdf) F(·)$F(·)$ and G(·)$G(·)$ respectively, and discuss a precedence test for testing the equality of the two distributions based on placements. For this purpose, we derive the joint distribution of the first l   placement statistics from the progressively censored sample from F(·)$F(·)$. We then derive the exact null distribution of the precedence test statistic which is simply the sum of the placements. We provide the rejection regions for fixed levels of significance and various sample sizes and different progressive censoring schemes.     

The exponentiated exponential distribution: a survey

The exponentiated exponential distribution, a most attractive generalization of the exponential distribution, introduced by Gupta and Kundu (Aust. N. Z. J. Stat. 41:173–188, 1999) has received widespread attention. It appears, however, that many mathematical properties of this distribution have not been known or have not been known in simpler/general forms. In this paper, we provide a comprehensive survey of the mathematical properties. We derive expressions for the moment generating function, characteristic function, cumulant generating function, the nth moment, the first four moments, variance, skewness, kurtosis, the nth conditional moment, the first four cumulants, mean deviation about the mean, mean deviation about the median, Bonferroni curve, Lorenz curve, Bonferroni concentration index, Gini concentration index, Rényi entropy, Shannon entropy, cumulative residual entropy, Song’s measure, moments of order statistics, L moments, asymptotic distribution of the extreme order statistics, reliability, distribution of the sum of exponentiated exponential random variables, distribution of the product of exponentiated exponential random variables and the distribution of the ratio of exponentiated exponential random variables. We also discuss estimation by the method of maximum likelihood, including the case of censoring, and provide simpler expressions for the Fisher information matrix than those given by Gupta and Kundu. It is expected that this paper could serve as a source of reference for the exponentiated exponential distribution and encourage further research.     

ESTIMATION OF A DISTRIBUTION FUNCTION DOMINATING STOCHASTICALLY A KNOWN DISTRIBUTION FUNCTION

This paper considers the problem of estimating a cumulative distribution function (cdf), when it is known a priori to dominate a known cdf. The estimator considered is obtained by adjusting the empirical cdf using the prior information. This adjusted estimator is shown to be consistent, its limiting distribution is found, and its mean squared error (MSE) is shown to be smaller than the MSE of the empirical cdf. Its asymptotic efficiency (compared to the empirical cdf) is also found.     

Confidence Intervals for Quantiles of a Two-parameter Exponential Distribution under Progressive Type-II Censoring

Confidence intervals for the pth-quantile Q of a two-parameter exponential distribution provide useful information on the plausible range of Q, and only inefficient equal-tail confidence intervals have been discussed in the statistical literature so far. In this article, the construction of the shortest possible confidence interval within a family of two-sided confidence intervals is addressed. This shortest confidence interval is always shorter, and can be substantially shorter, than the corresponding equal-tail confidence interval. Furthermore, the computational intensity of both methodologies is similar, and therefore it is advantageous to use the shortest confidence interval. It is shown how the results provided in this paper can apply to data obtained from progressive Type II censoring, with standard Type II censoring as a special case. The applications of more complex confidence interval constructions through acceptance set inversions that can employ prior information are also discussed.     

A comparison of efficient approximations for a weighted sum of chi-squared random variables

In many applications, the cumulative distribution function (cdf) \(F_{Q_N}\) of a positively weighted sum of N i.i.d. chi-squared random variables \(Q_N\) is required. Although there is no known closed-form solution for \(F_{Q_N}\), there are many good approximations. When computational efficiency is not an issue, Imhof’s method provides a good solution. However, when both the accuracy of the approximation and the speed of its computation are a concern, there is no clear preferred choice. Previous comparisons between approximate methods could be considered insufficient. Furthermore, in streaming data applications where the computation needs to be both sequential and efficient, only a few of the available methods may be suitable. Streaming data problems are becoming ubiquitous and provide the motivation for this paper. We develop a framework to enable a much more extensive comparison between approximate methods for computing the cdf of weighted sums of an arbitrary random variable. Utilising this framework, a new and comprehensive analysis of four efficient approximate methods for computing \(F_{Q_N}\) is performed. This analysis procedure is much more thorough and statistically valid than previous approaches described in the literature. A surprising result of this analysis is that the accuracy of these approximate methods increases with N.     

The Correlated Bivariate Noncentral F Distribution and Its Application

This article proposes the singly and doubly correlated bivariate noncentral F (BNCF) distributions. The probability density function (pdf) and the cumulative distribution function (cdf) of the distributions are derived for arbitrary values of the parameters. The pdf and cdf of the distributions for different arbitrary values of the parameters are computed, and their graphs are plotted by writing and implementing new R codes. An application of the correlated BNCF distribution is illustrated in the computations of the power function of the pre-test test for the multivariate simple regression model (MSRM).     

PROGRESSIVE INTERVAL CENSORING: SOME MATHEMATICAL RESULTS WITH APPLICATIONS TO INFERENCE

In this paper, we will introduce a union of two methods of collecting Type-I censored data, namely interval censoring and progressive censoring. We will call the resulting sample a progressively Type-I interval censored sample.We will discuss likelihood point and interval estimation, and simulation of such a censored sample from a random sample of units put on test whose lifetime distribution is continuous. An illustrative example will also be presented.

     

ON THE CONVERGENCE OF EMPIRICAL PROCESSES OF MIXING VARIABLES1

Conditions are given for the weak convergence of (t—t²)L_N(a_N^-1( t )) to a Gaussian process where v<1/2, a _N is a cdf and L _N is the normalized weighted empirical cumulative distribution function (cdf) for an α-mixing sample of random variables in R which may be non-stationary with discontinuous marginals.     

Quantile estimation in the proportional hazards model of random censorship

The asymptotic theory is given for quantile estimation in the proportional hazards model of random censorship. In this model, the tail of the censoring distribution function is some power of the tail of the survival distribution function. The quantile estimator is based on the maximum likelihood estimator for the survival time distribution, due to Abdushukurov, Cheng and Lin.     

Progressive censoring with fixed censoring times

In this paper, we revisit the progressive Type-I censoring scheme as it has originally been introduced by Cohen [Progressively censored samples in life testing. Technometrics. 1963;5(3):327–339]. In fact, original progressive Type-I censoring proceeds as progressive Type-II censoring but with fixed censoring times instead of failure time based censoring times. Apparently, a time truncation has been added to this censoring scheme by interpreting the final censoring time as a termination time. Therefore, not much work has been done on Cohens's original progressive censoring scheme with fixed censoring times. Thus, we discuss distributional results for this scheme and establish exact distributional results in likelihood inference for exponentially distributed lifetimes. In particular, we obtain the exact distribution of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE). Further, the stochastic monotonicity of the MLE is verified in order to construct exact confidence intervals for both the scale parameter and the reliability.     

A simple algorithm for calculating values for folded normal distribution

Folded normal distribution originates from the modulus of normal distribution. In the present article, we have formulated the cumulative distribution function (cdf) of a folded normal distribution in terms of standard normal cdf and the parameters of the mother normal distribution. Although cdf values of folded normal distribution were earlier tabulated in the literature, we have shown that those values are valid for very particular situations. We have also provided a simple approach to obtain values of the parameters of the mother normal distribution from those of the folded normal distribution. These results find ample application in practice, for example, in obtaining the so-called upper and lower α-points of folded normal distribution, which, in turn, is useful in testing of the hypothesis relating to folded normal distribution and in designing process capability control chart of some process capability indices. A thorough study has been made to compare the performance of the newly developed theory to the existing ones. Some simulated as well as real-life examples have been discussed to supplement the theory developed in this article. Codes (generated by R software) for the theory developed in this article are also presented for the ease of application.     

A Modular CDF Approach for the Approximation of Percentiles

This article describes a method for computing approximate statistics for large data sets, when exact computations may not be feasible. Such situations arise in applications such as climatology, data mining, and information retrieval (search engines). The key to our approach is a modular approximation to the cumulative distribution function (cdf) of the data. Approximate percentiles (as well as many other statistics) can be computed from this approximate cdf. This enables the reduction of a potentially overwhelming computational exercise into smaller, manageable modules. We illustrate the properties of this algorithm using a simulated data set. We also examine the approximation characteristics of the approximate percentiles, using a von Mises functional type approach. In particular, it is shown that the maximum error between the approximate cdf and the actual cdf of the data is never more than 1% (or any other preset level). We also show that under assumptions of underlying smoothness of the cdf, the approximation error is much lower in an expected sense. Finally, we derive bounds for the approximation error of the percentiles themselves. Simulation experiments show that these bounds can be quite tight in certain circumstances.     

Confidence and Likelihood*

Confidence intervals for a single parameter are spanned by quantiles of a confidence distribution, and one‐sided p‐values are cumulative confidences. Confidence distributions are thus a unifying format for representing frequentist inference for a single parameter. The confidence distribution, which depends on data, is exact (unbiased) when its cumulative distribution function evaluated at the true parameter is uniformly distributed over the unit interval. A new version of the Neyman–Pearson lemma is given, showing that the confidence distribution based on the natural statistic in exponential models with continuous data is less dispersed than all other confidence distributions, regardless of how dispersion is measured. Approximations are necessary for discrete data, and also in many models with nuisance parameters. Approximate pivots might then be useful. A pivot based on a scalar statistic determines a likelihood in the parameter of interest along with a confidence distribution. This proper likelihood is reduced of all nuisance parameters, and is appropriate for meta‐analysis and updating of information. The reduced likelihood is generally different from the confidence density. Confidence distributions and reduced likelihoods are rooted in Fisher–Neyman statistics. This frequentist methodology has many of the Bayesian attractions, and the two approaches are briefly compared. Concepts, methods and techniques of this brand of Fisher–Neyman statistics are presented. Asymptotics and bootstrapping are used to find pivots and their distributions, and hence reduced likelihoods and confidence distributions. A simple form of inverting bootstrap distributions to approximate pivots of the abc type is proposed. Our material is illustrated in a number of examples and in an application to multiple capture data for bowhead whales.     

The random partition masking model for interval-censored and masked competing risks data

We study the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimate (NPMLE) of the cdf or sub-distribution functions of the failure time for the failure causes in a series system. The study is motivated by a cancer research data (from the Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center) with interval-censored time and masked failure cause. The NPMLE based on this data set suggests that the existing masking models are not appropriate. We propose a new model called the random partition masking model, which does not rely on the commonly used symmetry assumption (namely, given the failure cause, the probability of observing the masked failure causes is independent of the failure time; see Flehinger et al. Inference about defects in the presence of masking, Technometrics 38 (1996), pp. 247–255). The RPM model is easier to implement in simulation studies than the existing models. We discuss the algorithms for computing the NPMLE and study its asymptotic properties. Our simulation and data analysis indicate that the NPMLE is feasible for a moderate sample size.     

Nonparametric location-scale models for censored successive survival times

Let (T₁,T₂) be gap times corresponding to two consecutive events, which are observed subject to (univariate) random right-censoring. The censoring variable corresponding to the second gap time T₂ will in general depend on this gap time. Suppose the vector (T₁,T₂) satisfies the nonparametric location-scale regression model T₂=m(T₁)+σ(T₁)?, where the functions m and σ are ‘smooth’, and ? is independent of T₁. The aim of this paper is twofold. First, we propose a nonparametric estimator of the distribution of the error variable under this model. This problem differs from others considered in the recent related literature in that the censoring acts not only on the response but also on the covariate, having no obvious solution. On the basis of the idea of transfer of tail information (Van Keilegom and Akritas, 1999), we then use the proposed estimator of the error distribution to introduce nonparametric estimators for important targets such as: (a) the conditional distribution of T₂ given T₁; (b) the bivariate distribution of the gap times; and (c) the so-called transition probabilities. The asymptotic properties of these estimators are obtained. We also illustrate through simulations, that the new estimators based on the location-scale model may behave much better than existing ones.     

Properties and Inference for a New Class of Skew-t Distributions

In this article we introduce a new generalization of skew-t distributions, which contains the standard skew-t distribution, as a special case. This new class of distributions is an adequate model for modeling some dataset rather than the standard skew-t distributions. This kind of distributions can be represented as a scale-shape mixture of the extended skew-normal distributions. The main properties of this family of distributions are studied and a recurrence relation for the cumulative distribution functions (cdf) of them is presented. We derive the distribution of the order statistics from the trivariate exchangeable t-distribution in terms of our distribution and then an exact expression for the cdf of order statistics is derived. Likelihood inference for this distribution is also examined. The method is illustrated with a numerical example via a simulation study.