在国家与市场之间寻找中国社会政策改革的逻辑——“社会发展与社会政策:国际经验与中国改革”国际学术研讨会评述

综观东亚新兴经济体和欧美发达国家在社会政策领域的路径变迁,可以得出"两个转型"的基本结论,即东亚新兴经济体从单一追求经济增长逐渐向追求经济与社会平衡发展转型;欧美发达国家从倚重国家福利向倚重社会投资与国家福利平衡发展转型。这两个处于不同社会发展阶段的转型,对中国当前的社会发展和社会政策改革都有着非常重要的启示意义。中国作为具有后发优势的全球最有活力的新兴经济体,当前既需要解决经济增长与社会发展之间的失衡问题,也需要未雨绸缪,避免陷入欧美国家福利陷阱而背上沉重的财政包袱。因此,在国家与市场之间找到一条最具效率性和合理性的社会发展路径,才是符合当前中国社会政策改革的逻辑。     

The erosion of citizenship

The Marshallian paradigm of social citizenship has been eroded because the social and economic conditions that supported postwar British welfare consensus have been transformed by economic and technological change. This article argues that effective entitlement was based on participation in work, war and reproduction, resulting in three types of social identity: worker-citizens, warrior-citizens and parent-citizens. The casualization of labour and the technological development of war have eroded work and war as routes to active citizenship. Social participation through reproduction remains important, despite massive changes to marriage and family as institutions. In fact the growth of new reproductive technologies have reinforced the normative dominance of marriage as a social relation. These rights of reproduction are described as 'reproductive citizenship'. The article also considers the role of voluntary associations in Third-Way strategies as sources of social cohesion in societies where social capital is in decline, and argues that the voluntary sector is increasingly driven by an economic logic of accumulation. With the erosion of national citizenship, Marshall's three forms of rights (legal, political and social) have been augmented by rights that are global, namely environmental, aboriginal and cultural rights. These are driven by global concerns about the relationship between environment, community and body such that the quest for social security has been replaced by concerns for ontological security.     

关于我国经济发展方式转变的比较研究

加快经济发展方式转变是落实科学发展观的重要体现,是实现国民经济又好又快发展的必然要求。加快经济发展方式转变主要体现在三个方面：在需求结构上,促进经济发展主要由依靠投资、出口拉动向依靠消费、投资、出口协调拉动转变;在产业结构上,促进经济发展主要由依靠第二产业带动向依靠第一、二、三产业协同发展转变;在要素投入上,促进经济发展主要由依靠增加物质资源消耗向主要依靠科技进步、劳动者素质提高、管理创新转变。     

Social policy in Hong Kong: From British colony to Special Administrative Region of China

This paper discusses the preservation and change of social policy in Hong Kong in the process of its development from a British colony to a Special Administrative Region of China (SAR). It is argued by the authors that the role and strategy of the colonial government in social policy and social welfare seem to have been largely preserved by the new SAR government which advocates for a new vision for social development. It is also argued that without a democratic mandate, the SAR government continues to rely on stimulating economic output as a primary means to gain legitimation, while social policy and social welfare remain to be subordinated to economic growth. Traditional Chinese values continue to be upheld by the SAR government not only as a means to contain social welfare cost, but also as an instrument to strengthen social control. What is different between the colonial and the SAR regimes is perhaps the increasingly strategic position of Hong Kong as a window of China to the global economy.     

Community welfare organisations in Australia: Activism or industry?

This paper reports on an investigation of the work undertaken by community groups in Australia. Specifically, it highlights the role of community welfare organisations in socio-political contexts undergoing change. Different operating rationalities, corresponding to shifting political and economic imperatives, are examined. An overview of the development of the community welfare sector since 1970 reveals tendencies towards bifurcation and convergence as strategic responses to different socio-political conjunctures. Analysis of the contemporary preoccupation with the rationale of the market indicates a rehearsal of the bifurcation tendencies that characterised the sector in the 1970s. Yet shifts in the organisational relations between the state and the community welfare sector and the appearance of new strategic responses to the operating logics of the market also suggest that it is time for the development of different discursive frameworks in which to think about work in the community welfare sector.     

Declining Share of Small Firms in U.S. Output: Causes and Consequences

We develop a dynamic general equilibrium model, with large and small firms, to examine possible causes and welfare implications of a declining trend in small firms' share of U.S. output since 1958. Numerical experiments indicate that recent technological advances and government tiering policies that have reduced fixed setup costs of production benefit the emergence of small firms, but lower their output share due to competition for resources among firms. However, this outcome is welfare improving. Therefore, if the policy objective is to raise small firms' output share and economic welfare simultaneously, it is desirable to concentrate on increasing antitrust and deregulatory efforts.     

Generalisiertes Vertrauen und die frühe Verbreitung der Internetnutzung im Gesellschaftsvergleich

Does generalized trust merely foster economic growth as empirically demonstrated in recent research? Or does this cultural resource also facilitate technological change on which future economic growth will rest? We argue that this is likely. In order to empirically clarify this issue we take the recently used indicator for generalized trust and tolerance as a predictor for the remarkable country differences in Internet diffusion (1997 and 1999). In a full sample of 34 and a sub-sample of 21 rich countries we find statistically solid effects which for rich countries are furthermore quite substantial. The effects hold also after controlling for average material wealth, early proliferation of tertiary education, quality of general education and density of scientist and engineers in research and development. Our findings also suggest to enrich the socially under-specified models of discontinuous technological change in order to better account for the differences in early adoption of innovations.     

创业型创新人才配套政策研究

基于上海创业型创新人才在创业创新过程中,面临的困难与政策诉求,上海应通过政策的突破和创新,带动体制机制变革,坚持发挥市场的基础作用和政府有效作为相结合,坚持人才、科技、金融等因素相结合,坚持人才、项目团队相结合,推进创业政策、人才发展政策、项目支持政策、企业发展支持政策、积极提供创业服务,以更大范围地集聚和培育创业型创新人才,营造充满活力的创业环境。     

调整我们的思路和政策：以创新驱动发展

创新是经济社会发展的永恒主题,也是经济社会发展的不竭动力。世界主要发达国家把科技创新作为国家的发展战略,走创新驱动发展之路,已经成为创新型国家。中国提出到2020年进入创新型国家行列的宏伟目标,这就要求我们必须调整发展的思路和政策,坚持走有中国特色的自主创新道路,实现发展模式从要素驱动和投资驱动向创新驱动转变。     

Locational effects on AFDC exits: Examining local labor markets

Recent welfare reform limits welfare recipients to a maximum of five years of cash assistance. This policy change raises the question of whether it is reasonable to expect welfare recipients to be able to leave the rolls within a five year period, regardless of the economic conditions of the state or area in which they live. This article pursues this issue by examining the effects of economic conditions and residential location on a welfare recipient’s likelihood of leaving welfare over time. The analysis uses linked files from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics, the 1970 and 1980 U.S. Censuses, and County and City Data Book data from 1972 to 1994 to determine AFDC exit probabilities. The results indicate that being low-skilled and living within one of the largest U.S. cities dramatically decreases the likelihood of exit from AFDC via increased earnings. The results also show that the job loss within cities has a significant negative impact on AFDC exit probabilities for marriage, increased earnings and all exits for high school dropouts and African American AFDC recipients. However, including city employment variables did not decrease the negative effects of living within large northern cities for earnings exits. These results indicate that negative economic conditions and poor transportation within cities impede low-skilled AFDC recipients from increasing earnings and leaving welfare.     

‘We are All in This Together’? The Hidden Costs of Poverty,Recession and Austerity Policies on Britain's Poorest Children

In 2010, in the UK a new Coalition government inherited an ailing economy at a time of economic uncertainty and recession. Their response was to institute a fundamental revision and retrenchment of government spending accompanied by unprecedented cuts in welfare services and social security provision. This article explores the nature and meaning of these changes from a child‐centred perspective, to understand how and in what ways policy change and welfare retrenchment may uniquely impinge on low‐income children's lives. It reveals that recent cuts and welfare changes have threatened to overlook their needs and exacerbate their deepest concerns.     

Skilling and deskilling: technological change in classical economic theory and its empirical evidence

This article reviews and brings together two literatures: classical political economists’ views on the skilling or deskilling nature of technological change in England, during the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries when they wrote, are compared with the empirical evidence about the skill effects of technological change that emerges from studies of economic historians. In both literatures, we look at both the skill impacts of technological change and at the “inducement mechanisms” that are envisaged for the introduction of new technologies. Adam Smith and Karl Marx both regarded the deskilling of the labour force as the predominant form of biased technical change, but other authors such as Charles Babbage also took account of capital-skill complementarities and skill-enhancing effects of technological change. For Smith, the deskilling bias was an unintended by-product of the increasing division of labour, which in his view “naturally” led to ever more simplification of workers’ tasks. As opposed to Smith, Marx considered unskilled-biased technical change as a bourgeois weapon in the class struggle for impairing the workers’ bargaining position. Studies of economic historians lend support to Marx’s hypothesis about the inducement mechanisms for the introduction of unskilled-biased innovations, but have produced no clear-cut empirical evidence for a deskilling tendency of eighteenth- and nineteenth-century technological change as a whole. Industrialization in the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries rather led to labour polarization, by simultaneously deskilling a large part of the workforce and raising the demand for some (but fewer) high-skilled workers.     

促进中小科技企业发明专利转化的扶持与服务措施研究

科技型中小企业是上海技术创新的主要载体和经济增长的重要推动力量,在促进科技成果转化和产业化、以创新带动就业、建设创新型城市等方面发挥着重要作用。上海中小企业转化发明专利,既受到内在因素制约,也面临外部环境障碍。上海应完善专利激励政策,提高专利质量,建立健全知识产权预警机制,组建专业服务机构支持科技金融创新,加快培养专利人才,培育发明专利转化的知识产权服务业,大力促进科技型中小企业技术创新和发明专利转化。     

Modernization and the Status of the Aged in China: Decline or Equalization?*

Most models of modernization propose that the status of the aged declines with technological and economic development. These models usually conceptualize the lowered status of the aged as a residual or latent consequence of modernization. Rarely do they address age stratification as a political issue, and they fail to differentiate between subgroups of the aged. We compare accounts of the cultural and structural context of the aged before and after China's socialist revolution, giving particular attention to the role of the family, the state, and technological factors in social change. Technological development and urbanization have not been extensive, and a decline in the traditional authority of the aged has paralleled educational advances and a demographic transition. Government family policies and China's labor-intensive economy facilitate the interdependence of age groups and sex roles. These observations suggest current models of the status of the aged should be revised to incorporate conceptualizations of age and sexual stratification and the role of governmental policies in directing social change.     

Busted amidst the Boom: The Creation of New Insecurities and Inequalities within Pennsylvania's Shale Gas Boomtowns

In the middle of the first decade of this century new technological innovations enabled the extraction of natural gas through the use of hydraulic fracturing within gas‐bearing shale and other unconventional energy reserves. As a consequence, many places, often in economically lagging rural areas, saw dramatic change as they were socially and economically transformed through rapid natural resource development. Although scholarship on so‐called boomtown development has long explored social disruption associated with the sudden influx of workers and rapid economic development, this literature has tended to overlook the ways in which such development can create new poverty in the very midst of economic expansion. This article, through an examination of key informant interviews with low‐income residents and human service providers within Pennsylvania's Marcellus Shale region, discusses the contradictory processes by which new insecurity and social exclusions may be created precisely as a consequence of economic expansion associated with rapid natural resource development.     

Community distress predicting welfare exits: The under-examined factor for families in the united states

Using a quasi-experimental design, a sample of female welfare clients (N = 91) was followed over 32 months to compare two competing models used to describe welfare dependency. The individual deficit model suggested that clients would not engage in work activities on their own initiative and that legislative sanctions were required to force clients into employment. The ecological/community model suggested that community economic distress, rather than lack of skills or motivation, prevented clients from becoming gainfully employed. Results showed that while both models explained the rate at which clients left the welfare system, the community that one lived in was a stronger predictor of welfare exits than government programs mandating individual effort. Results revealed that many clients were employed regardless of whether or not it was mandated. Furthermore, clients who resided in lower income communities and were required to work to keep receiving welfare benefits under the new legislation, spent an average of nearly twice as much time in the welfare system (22.75 months) as individuals who faced neither stress (11.5 months). The findings highlight the need to incorporate community economic development strategies in the overall program to decrease welfare dependency, rather than focusing solely on individual remediation.     

Die stille Umverteilung

During the last decades income inequality has risen again in western societies. Whereas empirical indicators and statistical data show in detail the changes in income distribution, sociology has no adequate knowledge about the corresponding micro-level motives. The globalization of value chains, technological change, the increasing occupational participation of women, the decline of union participation and tax reform are considered to be the main factors relevant for the increase in income inequality. It is shown that these variables do not sufficiently explain the micro level of organizational allocation structures, which are mainly experienced as budgetary exigencies. Not only business organizations but also public administrations, welfare organizations, schools, universities and health care organizations are governed by budgets in a similar way. It is hypothesized that budgeting functions as a micro-mechanism to transform economic stagnation into income inequality at a societal level. Delegation of responsibility and the creation of consensus are discussed to be central goals of budgeting in enterprises, social administrations, educational and health organizations and the effects of budgeting on the distribution and the allocation of resources are analyzed.     

The Transtheoretical Model

ABSTRACT

This article examined the application of the Transtheoretical model of behavioral change to the welfare to work transition with public housing residents. Both quantitative and qualitative data were gathered and analyzed to demonstrate that the welfare to work process may indeed be considered a change process. These findings have implications for social policy development and public worker training in both the public housing and publicwelfare systems.     

Financial intermediation in a model of directed technological change

In this paper, the financial sector is introduced into a directed technological change economic model. The paper shows that, although financial development reduces the incidence of the researcher’s moral hazard, it will not necessarily promote growth. In addition, financial development may have a positive, negative or non-existent effect on wage inequality. One possible implication of this paper is that financial development decreases the growth rate while it increases skill premia. The impact of taxes on economic growth and wage inequality is also investigated in this paper.     

Status of Family Theory and Research in Japan

. This paper examines the development of family research and theory in Japan in the context of family change sinceWorldWar II. Among the topics explored are: the increasingly aging society, decrease in birth rate, child rearing practices of over-protection and non-supervi- sion, increasing independence and its impact on family cohesiveness, and economic and technological development. Theoretical approaches to fam- ily research in Japan are discussed; including the life course perspective, family stress theory, the feminist perspective, and social network theory. Comparative studies are reviewed.