Predictive inference for linear and multivariate linear models with ma(1) error processes

The prediction distributions of future responses from the linear and multivariate linear models with errors having a first order moving average (MA(1)) process have been derived. First, we obtained the marginal likelihood function for the moving average parameter 6 and from this likelihood function we estimate the maximum likelihood estimates (MLE) of θ. Using the estimated value θ, we have derived the prediction distributions as well as prediction regions for the future responses. An example has been included.     

On marginal likelihood inference for the intra-class correlation coefficient

A p-component set of responses have been constructed by a location-scale transformation to a p-component set of error variables, the covariance matrix of the set of error variables being of intra-class covariance structure:all variances being unity, and covariance being equal [IML0001]. A sample of size n has been described as a conditional structural model, conditional on the value of the intra-class correlation coefficient ρ. The conditional technique of structural inference provides the marginal likelihood function of ρ based on the standardized residuals. For the normal case, the marginal likelihood function of ρ is seen to be dependent on the standardized residuals through the sample intra-class correlation coefficient. By the likelihood modulation technique, the nonnull distribution of the sample intra-class correlation coefficient has also been obtained.     

On prediction from the location-scale model with equi correlated response

The location-scale model with equi-correlated responses is discussed. The structure of the location-scale model is utilised to genera-te the prediction distribution of a future response and that of a set of future responses. The method avoids the integration procedures usually involved in derivation of prediction distributions and yields results same as those obtained by the Bayes method with the vague prior distribution* Finally the re-suits have been specialised to cover the case of the normal intra-class model.     

Multiple linear regression model with stochastic design variables

In a simple multiple linear regression model, the design variables have traditionally been assumed to be non-stochastic. In numerous real-life situations, however, they are stochastic and non-normal. Estimators of parameters applicable to such situations are developed. It is shown that these estimators are efficient and robust. A real-life example is given.     

Linear discrimination for multi-level multivariate data with separable means and jointly equicorrelated covariance structure

In this article we study a linear discriminant function of multiple m-variate observations at u-sites and over v-time points under the assumption of multivariate normality. We assume that the m-variate observations have a separable mean vector structure and a “jointly equicorrelated covariance” structure. The new discriminant function is very effective in discriminating individuals in a small sample scenario. No closed-form expression exists for the maximum likelihood estimates of the unknown population parameters, and their direct computation is nontrivial. An iterative algorithm is proposed to calculate the maximum likelihood estimates of these unknown parameters. A discriminant function is also developed for unstructured mean vectors. The new discriminant functions are applied to simulated data sets as well as to a real data set. Results illustrating the benefits of the new classification methods over the traditional one are presented.     

Optimal tolerance regions for future regression vector and residual sum of squares of multiple regression model with multivariate spherically contoured errors

This paper considers multiple regression model with multivariate spherically symmetric errors to determine optimal β-expectation tolerance regions for the future regression vector (FRV) and future residual sum of squares (FRSS) by using the prediction distributions of some appropriate functions of future responses. The prediction distribution of the FRV, conditional on the observed responses, is multivariate Student-t distribution. Similarly, the prediction distribution of the FRSS is a beta distribution. The optimal β-expectation tolerance regions for the FRV and FRSS have been obtained based on the F -distribution and beta distribution, respectively. The results in this paper are applicable for multiple regression model with normal and Student-t errors.