贝叶斯学派统计学家，频率学派统计学家和科学家

泛泛而论,19世纪统计学的主流是贝叶斯学派,20世纪统计学的主流是频率学派,至少大多数科学研究人员是这样认为的。21世纪,科学研究人员提出了更大规模的问题要统计专家解决,这些问题常包含数以百万计的数据以及数以千计的参数。而哪一种统计思想将在这些数据的统计分析中占有支配地位?根据一些最近的例子,笔者猜想,需要贝叶斯思想与频率思想的结合来适应日益浓厚的科学研究氛围。对于统计专家来说,不管是应用统计学专家还是理论统计学专家,这将是一个充满挑战的时期,它也将开辟统计应用研究的一个新纪元,并与Fisher,Neyman以及20世纪初的其他统计学巨人所处的历史时期相媲美。     

2012年四川国民经济和社会发展统计公报

2012年,面对世界经济复苏明显放缓和国内经济下行压力不断加大的严峻形势,在党中央、国务院的领导下,省委、省政府带领全省各族人民,深入贯彻落实科学发展观,牢牢把握"稳定增势、高位求进、加快发展"的工作基调,把稳增长放在突出位置,着力推进"两化"互动、统筹城乡、投资拉动、产业支撑,全省经济延续了近几年快速发展的好势头,呈现出经济发展、民生改善的良好局面,各项社会事业全面进步.     

The population of the USSR

Official population data for the USSR for 1986 and 1987 are presented. Tables are included on age and sex distribution; rural and urban population; birth, death, and natural increase rates, 1970-1986; fertility and mortality by sex, 1970-1986; birth order; age-specific birth rates by rural and urban area and Union republic; age-specific death rates, 1970-1986; infant mortality, 1970-1986; life expectancy, 1926-1986; life tables; marriage and age at marriage; and divorce.     

The Balance Point: The Blacksmiths of the Digital Age or the Economics of Serials

This column discusses the effects of real or perceived funding reductions on serials resources. The focus is on bibliographic instruction and cataloging aspects of “fee” versus “free” resources.     

相关性分析中Copula函数的选择

Copula函数在金融分析和风险管理中有广泛的应用,利用Copula函数可以构建组合风险资产的联合收益分布和资产之间的相关性.在构建Copula模型时,一个关键的问题就是如何选择最佳的Copula来拟合实际的金融数据.文章分析了Copula函数选择困难的原因,指出了现有的似然准则选择方法的不足,提出了基于参数Bootstrap技术的对数似然准则检验方法,考虑了更大范围的Copula函数族群,利用模拟实验检验了该方法的选择能力,模拟结果表明对于没有尾部相关性的Copula函数和具有较小的尾部相关性的Copula函数可以较好地进行区分,而且也能区分大部分的具有较大尾部相关系数的Copula函数.同现有的只能区分常见的几类Copula的似然准则选择方法相比,文章提出的方法可以在更大范围内识别不同的Copula函数.     

The nationality structure of the population of the USSR

The ethnic composition of the USSR is described using data from the 1979 census of population. Tables provide information for the country as a whole and for individual republics and autonomous districts on nationality, the number of people who speak Russian fluently, and those who consider Russian their native language.     

The Art of the Win-Win Deal

Abstract

“The Art of the Win-Win Deal,” presented by Rob Ross, executive director of NC LIVE, discussed the art of negotiation from both perspectives: the library and the vendor. Ross negotiates with vendors on behalf of over 200 libraries in North Carolina.     

The socioeconomic structure of the population

The author discusses plans for the next all-Union population census in the USSR, with a focus on gathering data on socioeconomic characteristics.