RCEV heteroscedasticity test based on the studentized residuals

All the usual heteroscedasticity tests in the statistics and econometrics literature are based on raw residuals. Although the raw residuals are heteroscedastic, studentized residuals can still be homoscedastic. In this study, the version of Çelik’s RCEV heteroscedasticity test which is based on studentized residuals is introduced.     

On the exponential inequalities for widely orthant-dependent random variables

ABSTRACT

In this work, we establish some exponential inequalities for widely orthant-dependent random variables. We also obtain the convergence rate O(n^{? 1/2}ln?^1/2n) for the strong law of large numbers for widely orthant-dependent random variables.     

Continuous counterexamples for three dependence notions

Abstract

The notions of regression dependence, quadrant dependence and expectation dependence have been extensively studied in statistical theory and widely used in insurance theory. However, most extant counterexamples for these notions are discrete. In this note, we provide a set of continuous counterexamples to fill this gap in the literature.     

Precise large deviations for the difference of two sums of WUOD and non identically distributed random variables with dominatedly varying tails

In this article, we study large deviations for non random difference ∑^n₁(t)_{j = 1}X_1j ? ∑^n₂(t)_{j = 1}X_2j and random difference ∑^N₁(t)_{j = 1}X_1j ? ∑^N₂(t)_{j = 1}X_2j, where {X_1j, j ? 1} is a sequence of widely upper orthant dependent (WUOD) random variables with non identical distributions {F_1j(x), j ? 1}, {X_2j, j ? 1} is a sequence of independent identically distributed random variables, n₁(t) and n₂(t) are two positive integer-valued functions, and {N_i(t), t ? 0}²_{i = 1} with EN_i(t) = λ_i(t) are two counting processes independent of {X_ij, j ? 1}²_{i = 1}. Under several assumptions, some results of precise large deviations for non random difference and random difference are derived, and some corresponding results are extended.     

Regression-based orderings and measures of stochastic depence

General axiomatic approach to the so-called global dependence of a random variable xon a random vector Y= Y _t,Y _n) is proposed. natural orderings and measures of global dependence are discussed and examplified by some real and function-valued measures of dependence. orderings and measures to be introduced are referred o as regression-based as they depend only on the distributions of EX|Y X.     

Randomly weighted sums of linearly wide quadrant-dependent random variables with heavy tails

This paper investigates tail behavior of the randomly weighted sum ∑ⁿ_{k = 1}θ_kX_k and reaches an asymptotic formula, where X_k, 1 ? k ? n, are real-valued linearly wide quadrant-dependent (LWQD) random variables with a common heavy-tailed distribution, and θ_k, 1 ? k ? n, independent of X_k, 1 ? k ? n, are n non-negative random variables without any dependence assumptions. The LWQD structure includes the linearly negative quadrant-dependent structure, the negatively associated structure, and hence the independence structure. On the other hand, it also includes some positively dependent random variables and some other random variables. The obtained result coincides with the existing ones.     

Aggregation of isotropic autoregressive fields

This note constitutes a corrigendum to the article of Azomahou [2009, Memory properties and aggregation of spatial autoregressive models. J. Statist. Plann. Inference, 139, 2581-2597]. The aggregation of isotropic four nearest neighbors autoregressive models on the lattice Z², with random coefficient, is investigated. The spectral density of the resulting random field is studied in details for a large class of law of the AR coefficient. Depending on this law, the aggregated field may exhibit short memory or isotropic long memory.     

Berry-Esseen bounds for kernel estimates of stationaryprocesses

In this paper we obtain nonuniform Berry-Esseen bounds of the kernel estimate of stationary process {X_i} by the method of martingale approximation. In particular, by choice of bandwidth b_n, the Berry-Esseen bounds can be n^−2/15. The dependence condition of {X_i} is expressed in terms of physical dependence measures introduced by Wu (2005).     

Various measures of dependence of a new asymmetric generalized Farlie–Gumbel–Morgenstern copulas

ABSTRACT

In this paper, we discuss an asymmetric extension of Farlie–Gumbel–Morgenstern copulas studied by several authors and obtain the range of the parameter. We derive an expression for regression function and the properties of these copulas are studied in detail. Also, explicit expressions for various measures of association are obtained. These measures are numerically compared for some particular parametric values of the copulas.     

Data depth and correlation

Summary: We describe depth–based graphical displays that show the interdependence of multivariate distributions. The plots involve one–dimensional curves or bivariate scatterplots, so they are easier to interpret than correlation matrices. The correlation curve, modelled on the scale curve of Liu et al. (1999), compares the volume of the observed central regions with the volume under independence. The correlation DD–plot is the scatterplot of depth values under a reference distribution against depth values under independence. The area of the plot gives a measure of distance from independence. Correlation curve and DD-plot require an independence model as a baseline: Besides classical parametric specifications, a nonparametric estimator, derived from the randomization principle, is used. Combining data depth and the notion of quadrant dependence, quadrant correlation trajectories are obtained which allow simultaneous representation of subsets of variables. The properties of the plots for the multivariate normal distribution are investigated. Some real data examples are illustrated. *This work was completed with the support of Ca Foscari University.     

A new asymmetric class of bivariate copulas for modeling dependence

In this paper, we propose an asymmetric class of bivariate copulas. This class is obtained through limiting properties of the extended copula introduced by Bekrizadeh, et al. (2015 Bekrizadeh, H., Parham, G. A., Zadkarami, M. R. (2015). Extending some classes of copulas; Applications. Ph.D. Thesis, University of Shahid Chamran, Ahvaz. [Google Scholar]), and includes some of known copulas. Some general formulas for well-known association measures and concepts of dependence of the proposed model are obtained. This paper highlights the usefulness of this new bivariate copula for modeling the interested variables whose marginal distribution effect on joint distribution isn't identical. We apply some subfamilies of this new class to model a dataset of medical science to show the superiority of presented model in comparison with the known copulas. These results will be investigated using simulation.     

The echelon Markov and Chebyshev inequalities

Abstract

A multivariate version of the sharp Markov inequality is derived, when associated probabilities are extended to segments of the supports of non-negative random variables, where the probabilities take echelon forms. It is shown that when some positive lower bounds of these probabilities are available, the multivariate Markov inequality without the echelon forms is improved. The corresponding results for Chebyshev’s inequality are also obtained.     

A measure of general functional dependence between two continuous variables

Existing measures in the literature that are specifically concerned with testing and measuring independence between two continuous variables are all based on examining the definition of independence, i.e., F_XY(x, y) = F_X(x)F_Y(y). A new measure is constructed uniquely in this paper that uses the absolute value of first difference on adjacent ranks of one variable with respect to the other. This measure captures the degree of functional dependence attributable to the amount of randomness and the complexity of the underlying bivariate dependence structure in a commensurate way that existing coefficients are incapable of. As a test statistic of independence, this measure is shown to have comparable or better power than existing statistics against a wide range of alternative hypotheses that consist of functional and multivalued relational dependence with additive noise.     

Bootstrap estimation of the variance of the error term in monotonic regression models

The variance of the error term in ordinary regression models and linear smoothers is usually estimated by adjusting the average squared residual for the trace of the smoothing matrix (the degrees of freedom of the predicted response). However, other types of variance estimators are needed when using monotonic regression (MR) models, which are particularly suitable for estimating response functions with pronounced thresholds. Here, we propose a simple bootstrap estimator to compensate for the over-fitting that occurs when MR models are estimated from empirical data. Furthermore, we show that, in the case of one or two predictors, the performance of this estimator can be enhanced by introducing adjustment factors that take into account the slope of the response function and characteristics of the distribution of the explanatory variables. Extensive simulations show that our estimators perform satisfactorily for a great variety of monotonic functions and error distributions.     

Measures of dependence for the multivariate t distribution with applications to the stock market

Two measures of dependence for multivariate t and Cauchy random variables are developed based on Kullback–Leibler number. The mutual information number T(X) is obtained in a closed expression form, as well as its asymptotic distribution. A dependence coefficient ρ₁, is defined (based on the Kullback–Leibler number) with the properties of ρ₁=0 indicating independence and ρ₁=1indicating degeneracy. Two real life examples from the stock market are used to analyze the level of dependence and correlation among stocks.     

Distorted Copulas: Constructions and Tail Dependence

Given a copula C, we examine under which conditions on an order isomorphism ψ of [0, 1] the distortion C _ψ: [0, 1]² → [0, 1], C _ψ(x, y) = ψ{C[ψ^?1(x), ψ^?1(y)]} is again a copula. In particular, when the copula C is totally positive of order 2, we give a sufficient condition on ψ that ensures that any distortion of C by means of ψ is again a copula. The presented results allow us to introduce in a more flexible way families of copulas exhibiting different behavior in the tails.     

Tail-weighted measures of dependence

Multivariate copula models are commonly used in place of Gaussian dependence models when plots of the data suggest tail dependence and tail asymmetry. In these cases, it is useful to have simple statistics to summarize the strength of dependence in different joint tails. Measures of monotone association such as Kendall's tau and Spearman's rho are insufficient to distinguish commonly used parametric bivariate families with different tail properties. We propose lower and upper tail-weighted bivariate measures of dependence as additional scalar measures to distinguish bivariate copulas with roughly the same overall monotone dependence. These measures allow the efficient estimation of strength of dependence in the joint tails and can be used as a guide for selection of bivariate linking copulas in vine and factor models as well as for assessing the adequacy of fit of multivariate copula models. We apply the tail-weighted measures of dependence to a financial data set and show that the measures better discriminate models with different tail properties compared to commonly used risk measures – the portfolio value-at-risk and conditional tail expectation.     

Max-Linear Competing Factor Models

Models incorporating “latent” variables have been commonplace in financial, social, and behavioral sciences. Factor model, the most popular latent model, explains the continuous observed variables in a smaller set of latent variables (factors) in a matter of linear relationship. However, complex data often simultaneously display asymmetric dependence, asymptotic dependence, and positive (negative) dependence between random variables, which linearity and Gaussian distributions and many other extant distributions are not capable of modeling. This article proposes a nonlinear factor model that can model the above-mentioned variable dependence features but still possesses a simple form of factor structure. The random variables, marginally distributed as unit Fréchet distributions, are decomposed into max linear functions of underlying Fréchet idiosyncratic risks, transformed from Gaussian copula, and independent shared external Fréchet risks. By allowing the random variables to share underlying (latent) pervasive risks with random impact parameters, various dependence structures are created. This innovates a new promising technique to generate families of distributions with simple interpretations. We dive in the multivariate extreme value properties of the proposed model and investigate maximum composite likelihood methods for the impact parameters of the latent risks. The estimates are shown to be consistent. The estimation schemes are illustrated on several sets of simulated data, where comparisons of performance are addressed. We employ a bootstrap method to obtain standard errors in real data analysis. Real application to financial data reveals inherent dependencies that previous work has not disclosed and demonstrates the model’s interpretability to real data. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.     

A new measure of association

This paper presents a new measure of association. It is applicable to polytomies of either categorical or numerical type. It has the desirable property of being 0 if and only if the polytomies are independent. Its properties are studied and compared to those of existing measures. An interpretation of it is given. One situation where it is particularly useful is in measuring the ability to predict one polytomy given knowledge of the other. An example is given where the proposed measure is more relevant in describing the degree of association between two polytomies than are any of the existing measures. The corresponding sample quantity is presented and its asymptotic properties are studied. A discussion of its use in inference is given. The test for independence based on this measure is contrasted with the chi-square test.     

Randomly weighted sums and their maxima with heavy-tailed increments and dependence structure

Consider the randomly weighted sums S_m(θ) = ∑^m_{i = 1}θ_iX_i, 1 ? m ? n, and their maxima M_n(θ) = max?_{1 ? m ? n}S_m(θ), where X_i, 1 ? i ? n, are real-valued and dependent according to a wide type of dependence structure, and θ_i, 1 ? i ? n, are non negative and arbitrarily dependent, but independent of X_i, 1 ? i ? n. Under some mild conditions on the right tails of the weights θ_i, 1 ? i ? n, we establish some asymptotic equivalence formulas for the tail probabilities of S_n(θ) and M_n(θ) in the case where X_i, 1 ? i ? n, are dominatedly varying, long-tailed and subexponential distributions, respectively.