Estimation of the variance when kurtosis is known

The unbiased estimator of a population variance σ², S ² has traditionally been overemphasized, regardless of sample size. In this paper, alternative estimators of population variance are developed. These estimators are biased and have the minimum possible mean-squared error [and we define them as the “minimum mean-squared error biased estimators” (MBBE)]. The comparative merit of these estimators over the unbiased estimator is explored using relative efficiency (RE) (a ratio of mean-squared error values). It is found that, across all population distributions investigated, the RE of the MBBE is much higher for small samples and progressively diminishes to 1 with increasing sample size. The paper gives two applications involving the normal and exponential distributions.     

Estimators in capture–recapture studies with two sources

This paper investigates the applications of capture–recapture methods to human populations. Capture–recapture methods are commonly used in estimating the size of wildlife populations but can also be used in epidemiology and social sciences, for estimating prevalence of a particular disease or the size of the homeless population in a certain area. Here we focus on estimating the prevalence of infectious diseases. Several estimators of population size are considered: the Lincoln–Petersen estimator and its modified version, the Chapman estimator, Chao’s lower bound estimator, the Zelterman’s estimator, McKendrick’s moment estimator and the maximum likelihood estimator. In order to evaluate these estimators, they are applied to real, three-source, capture-recapture data. By conditioning on each of the sources of three source data, we have been able to compare the estimators with the true value that they are estimating. The Chapman and Chao estimators were compared in terms of their relative bias. A variance formula derived through conditioning is suggested for Chao’s estimator, and normal 95% confidence intervals are calculated for this and the Chapman estimator. We then compare the coverage of the respective confidence intervals. Furthermore, a simulation study is included to compare Chao’s and Chapman’s estimator. Results indicate that Chao’s estimator is less biased than Chapman’s estimator unless both sources are independent. Chao’s estimator has also the smaller mean squared error. Finally, the implications and limitations of the above methods are discussed, with suggestions for further development. We are grateful to the Medical Research Council for supporting this work.     

A modified estimator of population mean using power transformation

Summary In this paper we have suggested two modified estimators of population mean using power transformation. It has been shown that the modified estimators are more efficient than the sample mean estimator, usual ratio estimator, Sisodia and Dwivedi’s (1981) estimator and Upadhyaya and Singh’s (1999) estimator at their optimum conditions. Empirical illustrations are also given for examining the merits of the proposed estimators. Following Kadilar and Cingi (2003) the work has been extended to stratified random sampling, and the same data set has been studied to examine the performance in stratified random sampling.     

Mean square error comparison among variance estimators with known coefficient of variation

The improved estimators for the population parameters were considered by several statisticians under various conditions. Recently Laheetharan and Wijekoon (Improved estimation of the population parameters when some additional information is available. Stat Papers doi:, 2008) demonstrated a generalized procedure for obtaining optimal shrunken estimators, and derived such estimators for both population mean and variance when coefficient of variation is known. In this article the mean square errors of those estimators were compared, and a numerical illustration was done using the scaled mean square error loss as used by Kanefuji and Iwase (Stat Papers 39:377–388, 1998) to understand the efficiency of the estimators with increasing sample size.     

On the comparison of the pre-test and shrinkage estimators for the univariate normal mean

The estimation of the mean of an univariate normal population with unknown variance is considered when uncertain non-sample prior information is available. Alternative estimators are defined to incorporate both the sample as well as the non-sample information in the estimation process. Some of the important statistical properties of the restricted, preliminary test, and shrinkage estimators are investigated. The performances of the estimators are compared based on the criteria of unbiasedness and mean square error in order to search for a ‘best’ estimator. Both analytical and graphical methods are explored. There is no superior estimator that uniformly dominates the others. However, if the non-sample information regarding the value of the mean is close to its true value, the shrinkage estimator over performs the rest of the estimators. Received: June 19, 1999; revised version: March 23, 2000     

CAMCR: Computer-Assisted Mixture model analysis for Capture–Recapture count data

Population size estimation with discrete or nonparametric mixture models is considered, and reliable ways of construction of the nonparametric mixture model estimator are reviewed and set into perspective. Construction of the maximum likelihood estimator of the mixing distribution is done for any number of components up to the global nonparametric maximum likelihood bound using the EM algorithm. In addition, the estimators of Chao and Zelterman are considered with some generalisations of Zelterman’s estimator. All computations are done with CAMCR, a special software developed for population size estimation with mixture models. Several examples and data sets are discussed and the estimators illustrated. Problems using the mixture model-based estimators are highlighted.     

An improved class of estimators for the population mean

Starting from the Rao (Commun Stat Theory Methods 20:3325–3340, 1991) regression estimator, we propose a class of estimators for the unknown mean of a survey variable when auxiliary information is available. The bias and the mean square error of the estimators belonging to the class are obtained and the expressions for the optimum parameters minimizing the asymptotic mean square error are given in closed form. A simple condition allowing us to improve the classical regression estimator is worked out. Finally, in order to compare the performance of some estimators with the regression one, a simulation study is carried out when some population parameters are supposed to be unknown.     

Estimating a positive normal mean

Let X ₁, X ₂, ..., X _n be a random sample from a normal population with mean μ and variance σ ². In many real life situations, specially in lifetime or reliability estimation, the parameter μ is known a priori to lie in an interval [a, ∞). This makes the usual maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) ̄ an inadmissible estimator of μ with respect to the squared error loss. This is due to the fact that it may take values outside the parameter space. Katz (1961) and Gupta and Rohatgi (1980) proposed estimators which lie completely in the given interval. In this paper we derive some new estimators for μ and present a comparative study of the risk performance of these estimators. Both the known and unknown variance cases have been explored. The new estimators are shown to have superior risk performance over the existing ones over large portions of the parameter space.     

On conditional sampling strategies

Estimation of the population average by means of a conditional strategy has been considered e.g. in [2–6,9] and [10]. Let us assume that the sampling design depends on a function of an auxiliary variable called an auxiliary statistic like: the sample mean or the sample variance. Under the conditional versions of these designs several estimators of the population mean are considered: the Horvitz-Thompson statistic, ratio and regression type estimators. The unbiasedness and accuracy of the strategies are considered. The empirical example of the accuracy comparisons of strategies is developed. The conditional strategies could improve the accuracy of estimation and protect it against outliers observations.     

Improved estimators of common variance of <Emphasis Type="Italic">p</Emphasis>-populations when Kurtosis is known

The pooled variance of p samples presumed to have been obtained from p populations having common variance σ², has invariably been adopted as the default estimator for σ². In this paper, alternative estimators of the common population variance are developed. These estimators are biased and have lower mean-squared error values than . The comparative merit of these estimators over the unbiased estimator is explored using relative efficiency (a ratio of mean-squared error values).     

Estimation of the SURE model

The paper presents the essentials of the SURE model and the estimation of its parameters β and ω. Two alternative compact representations of the model are being used. The parameter β is estimated by least squares (LS), generalized least squares (GLS) and maximum likelihood (ML) (under normality). For ω two estimators are being considered, viz an LS-related estimator and a maximum likelihood estimator (under normality). Attention is being given to the study of asymptotic properties of all estimators examined. It turns out that the LS-related and ML estimators of ω follow the same asymptotic (normal) distribution. Efficiency comparisons for the various estimators of β conclude the paper.     

A Class of Estimators of Population Variance Using Auxiliary Information in Sample Surveys

This article advocates the problem of estimating the population variance of the study variable using information on certain known parameters of an auxiliary variable. A class of estimators for population variance using information on an auxiliary variable has been defined. In addition to many estimators, usual unbiased estimator, Isaki's (1983), Upadhyaya and Singh's (1999), and Kadilar and Cingi's (2006) estimators are shown as members of the proposed class of estimators. Asymptotic expressions for bias and mean square error of the proposed class of estimators have been obtained. An empirical study has been carried out to judge the performance of the various estimators of population variance generated from the proposed class of estimators over usual unbiased estimator, Isaki's (1983), Upadhyaya and Singh's (1999) and Kadilar and Cingi's (2006) estimators.     

An extension of Franklin's randomized response technique for multi-proportions

ABSTRACT

In this article, we introduce six estimators, three based on row averages and the remaining three on column averages of population proportions for trichotomous population when randomized response sampling with a normal randomizing distribution is used. The estimators have been obtained using the method of moments. All the proposed estimators are shown to be unbiased and their variances have been worked out. The percent relative efficiencies of the column total based estimators with respect to row total based estimators are investigated through empirical study.     

Improved estimation of the population parameters when some additional information is available

Estimation of population parameters is considered by several statisticians when additional information such as coefficient of variation, kurtosis or skewness is known. Recently Wencheko and Wijekoon (Stat Papers 46:101–115, 2005) have derived minimum mean square error estimators for the population mean in one parameter exponential families when coefficient of variation is known. In this paper the results presented by Gleser and Healy (J Am Stat Assoc 71:977–981, 1976) and Arnholt and Hebert (, 2001) were generalized by considering T (X) as a minimal sufficient estimator of the parametric function g(θ) when the ratio t²=[ g(q) ]^-2Var[ T(X ) ]{\tau^{2}=[ {g(\theta )} ]^{-2}{\rm Var}[ {T(\boldsymbol{X} )} ]} is independent of θ. Using these results the minimum mean square error estimator in a certain class for both population mean and variance can be obtained. When T (X) is complete and minimal sufficient, the ratio τ² is called “WIJLA” ratio, and a uniformly minimum mean square error estimator can be derived for the population mean and variance. Finally by applying these results, the improved estimators for the population mean and variance of some distributions are obtained.     

Unbiasedly estimating the total of a stigmatizing variable from a complex survey on permitting options for direct or randomized responses

Following the approach of Mangat and Singh (in J Ind Statist Assoc 32(3): 71–75, 1994) we consider estimating the population total of a sensitive variable like earning through gambling, amount of tax evaded etc. on generating sample responses allowing options for direct or randomized responses according to a specified device. Gathering two independent responses from each individual chosen according to any general sampling scheme we derive unbiased estimators for the total as well as for the variances of these estimators.     

Estimating the population mean in the case of missing data using simple random sampling

In this paper, we suggest three new ratio estimators of the population mean using quartiles of the auxiliary variable when there are missing data from the sample units. The suggested estimators are investigated under the simple random sampling method. We obtain the mean square errors equations for these estimators. The suggested estimators are compared with the sample mean and ratio estimators in the case of missing data. Also, they are compared with estimators in Singh and Horn [Compromised imputation in survey sampling, Metrika 51 (2000), pp. 267–276], Singh and Deo [Imputation by power transformation, Statist. Papers 45 (2003), pp. 555–579], and Kadilar and Cingi [Estimators for the population mean in the case of missing data, Commun. Stat.-Theory Methods, 37 (2008), pp. 2226–2236] and present under which conditions the proposed estimators are more efficient than other estimators. In terms of accuracy and of the coverage of the bootstrap confidence intervals, the suggested estimators performed better than other estimators.     

Analysis of variance of paired data without repetition of measurement

Summary The objective of this analysis of variance of paired data is to estimate positive random error variances for each ofN=2 measurement methods. The two methods measure the same item only once without measurement repetition. The well-known unbiased Grubbs’ estimators are not suitable for practical purpose because they can become negative. With the help of Chebyshev’s inequality the probability was determined that Grubbs’ estimators become negative. Based on the Grubbs’ estimators new estimators were derived. The new estimators are indeed always positive, but they are biased. It is shown that the biases are small. In case the Grubbs’ estimators are positive a bias correction of the new estimators may be envisaged.

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Zusammenfassung Das Ziel dieser Varianzanalyse von gepaarten Messungen ist die Sch?tzung zuf?lliger Messfehlervarianzen für jede derN=2 Messmethoden. Die beiden Messmethoden messen das gleiche Merkmal eines Elements nur einmal ohne Messwiederholung. Die bekannten unverzerrten Grubbs-Sch?tzer sind für die praktische Anwendung nicht geeignet, weil sie negativ werden k?nnten. Die Tschebyscheffsche Ungleichung wurde genutzt, um die Wahrscheinlichkeit zu ermitteln, dass Grubbs-Sch?tzer negativ werden. Basierend auf Grubbs-Sch?tzern wurden neue Sch?tzer hergeleitet. Diese neuen Sch?tzer sind zwar immer positiv, aber verzerrt. Es wird gezeigt, dass die Verzerrungen klein sind. Für den Fall, dass die Grubbs-Sch?tzer positiv ausfallen, k?nnte eine Korrektur der Verzerrung in Betracht gezogen werden.

     

Some remarks on classical and bayesian reliability estimation of binomial and poisson distributions

The problems of estimating the reliability function and Pr{X₁+...+X_k ≤ Y} are considered. The random variables X’s and Y are assumed to follow binomial and Poisson distributions. Classical estimators available in the literature are discussed and Bayes estimators are derived. In order to obtain the estimators of these parametric functions, the basic role is played by the estimators of factorial moments of the two distributions.     

Optimal estimation for finite population mean in two-phase sampling

Using two-phase sampling scheme, we propose a general class of estimators for finite population mean. This class depends on the sample means and variances of two auxiliary variables. The minimum variance bound for any estimator in the class is provided (up to terms of ordern ⁻¹). It is also proved that there exists at least a chain regression type estimator which reaches this minimum. Finally, it is shown that other proposed estimators can reach the minimum variance bound, i.e. the optimal estimator is not unique.     

Some unbiased estimators versus mean per unit and ratio estimators in finite population sample surveys

We present some unbiased estimators at the population mean in a finite population sample surveys with simple random sampling design where information on an auxiliary variance x positively correlated with the main variate y is available. Exact variance and unbiased estimate of the variance are computed for any sample size. These estimators are compared for their precision with the mean per unit and the ratio estimators. Modifications of the estimators are suggested to make them more precise than the mean per unit estimator or the ratio estimator regardless of the value of the population correlation coefficient between the variates x and y. Asymptotic distribution of our estimators and confidnece intervals for the population mean are also obtained.