Identification of factors influencing dispersion in split-plot experiments

As split-plot designs are commonly used in robust design it is important to identify factors in these designs that influence the dispersion of the response variable. In this article, the Bergman-Hynén method, developed for identification of dispersion effects in unreplicated experiments, is modified to be used in the context of split-plot experiments. The modification of the Bergman-Hynén method enables identification of factors that influence specific variance components in unreplicated two-level fractional factorial splitplot experiments. An industrial example is used to illustrate the proposed method.     

An algorithm for the design of factorial experiments when the data are correlated

Since the development of methods for the analysis of experiments with dependent data, see for example Gleeson and Cullis (1987), the design of such experiments has been an area of active research. We investigate the design of factorial experiments, complete and fractional, for various dependency structures. An algorithm for generating optimal or near optimal designs is presented and shown to be useful across a wide range of dependency structures.     

Fractional Factorial Designs for the Detection of Interactions between Design and Noise Factors

In industrial experiments on both design (control) factors and noise factors aimed at improving the quality of manufactured products, designs are needed which afford independent estimation of all design×noise interactions in as few runs as possible, while allowing aliasing between those factorial effects of less interest. An algorithm for generating orthogonal fractional factorial designs of this type is described for factors at two levels. The generated designs are appropriate for experimenting on individual factors or for experimentation involving group screening of factors.     

Construction of Balanced Incomplete Block Designs Using Cyclic Shifts

Balanced incomplete block designs (BIBDs) play important role in design of experiments, especially in field experiments. These designs ensure that treatments are compared with equal precision. Several methods are available in the literature to construct BIBDs but in this article some infinite series of these designs are presented by method of cyclic shifts. This method expresses some standard properties of a design just through examining the sets of shifts rather than studying the whole design.     

PARTIALLY EQUINEIGHBOURED DESIGNS

This paper presents further results on a class of designs called equineighboured designs, ED. These designs are intended for field and related experiments, especially whenever there is evidence that observations in the same block are correlated. An ED has the property that every unordered pair of treatments occurs as nearest neighbours equally frequently at each level. Ipinyomi (1986) has defined and shown that ED are balanced designs when neighbouring observations are correlated. He has also presented ED as a continuation of the development of optimal block designs. An ED would often require many times the number of experimental materials needed for the construction of an ordinary balanced incomplete block, BIB, design for the same number of treatments and block sizes. Thus for a relatively large number of treatments and block sizes the required minimum number of blocks may be excessively large for practical use of ED. In this paper we shall define and examine partially equineighboured designs with n concurrences, PED (n), as alternatives where ED are practically unachievable. Particular attention will be given to designs with smaller numbers of blocks and for which only as little balance as possible may be lost.     

Split-plot designs for robust product experimentation

Genichi Taguchi has emphasized the use of designed experiments in several novel and important applications. In this paper we focus on the use of statistical experimental designs in designingproducts to be robust to environmental conditions. The engineering concept of robust product design is very important because it is frequently impossible or prohibitively expensive to control or eliminate variation resulting from environmental conditions. Robust product design enablesthe experimenter to discover how to modify the design of the product to minimize the effect dueto variation from environmental sources. In experiments of this kind, Taguchi's total experimental arrangement consists of a cross-product of two experimental designs:an inner array containing the design factors and an outer array containing the environmental factors. Except in situations where both these arrays are small, this arrangement may involve a prohibitively large amount of experimental work. One of the objectives of this paper is to show how this amount of work can be reduced. In this paper we investigate the applicability of split-plot designs for thisparticular experimental situation. Consideration of the efficiency of split-plot designs and anexamination of several variants of split-plot designs indicates that experiments conductedin a split-plot mode can be of tremendous value in robust product design since they not only enable the contrasts of interest to be estimated efficiently but also the experiments can be considerably easier to conduct than the designs proposed by Taguchi.     

ALL-BIAS DESIGNS FOR POLYNOMIAL SPLINE REGRESSION MODELS

Polynomial spline regression models of low degree have proved useful in modeling responses from designed experiments in science and engineering when simple polynomial models are inadequate. Where there is uncertainty in the number and location of the knots, or breakpoints, of the spline, then designs that minimize the systematic errors resulting from model misspecification may be appropriate. This paper gives a method for constructing such all‐bias designs for a single variable spline when the distinct knots in the assumed and true models come from some specified set. A class of designs is defined in terms of the inter‐knot intervals and sufficient conditions are obtained for a design within this class to be all‐bias under linear, quadratic and cubic spline models. An example of the construction of all‐bias designs is given.     

Multiphase experiments with at least one later laboratory phase. II. Nonorthogonal designs

Principles and laws that apply to nonorthogonal multiphase experiments are developed and illustrated using examples that are nonorthogonal but structure‐balanced, not structure, but first‐order, balanced or unbalanced, thus exposing the differences between the different design types. The design of such experiments using standard designs, a catalogue of designs and computer searches is exemplified. Factor–allocation diagrams are employed to depict the allocations in the examples, and used in producing the anatomies of designs or, when possible, the related skeleton‐analysis‐of‐variance tables, to assess the properties of designs. The formulation of mixed models based on them is also described. Tools used for structure‐balanced experiments are also shown to be applicable to those experiments that are not.     

Rotation designs for experiments in high-bias situations

Many experiments in the physical and engineering sciences study complex processes in which bias due to model inadequacy dominates random error. A noteworthy example of this situation is the use of computer experiments, in which scientists simulate the phenomenon being studied by a computer code. Computer experiments are deterministic: replicate observations from running the code with the same inputs will be identical. Such high-bias settings demand different techniques for design and prediction. This paper will focus on the experimental design problem introducing a new class of designs called rotation designs. Rotation designs are found by taking an orthogonal starting design D and rotating it to obtain a new design matrix D_R=DR, where R is any orthonormal matrix. The new design is still orthogonal for a first-order model. In this paper, we study some of the properties of rotation designs and we present a method to generate rotation designs that have some appealing symmetry properties.     

On Kronecker block designs for factorial experiments

In this paper the use of Kronecker designs for factorial experiments is considered. The two-factor Kronecker design is considered in some detail and the efficiency factors of the main effects and interaction in such a design are derived. It is shown that the efficiency factor of the interaction is at least as large as the product of the efficiency factors of the two main effects and when both the component designs are totally balanced then its efficiency factor will be higher than the efficiency factor of either of the two main effects. If the component designs are nearly balanced then its efficiency factor will be approximately at least as large as the efficiency factor of either of the two main effects. It is argued that these designs are particularly useful for factorial experiments.Extensions to the multi-factor design are given and it is proved that the two-factor Kronecker design will be connected if the component designs are connected.     

The robustness of chain block designs and coat-of-mail designs

Chain block designs are relatively vulnerable to loss of information when missing values or outliers may occur. An alternative class of designs, coat-of-mail designs, are proposed and the relative robustness of the two types of design are compared.     

On Exact K-optimal Designs Minimizing the Condition Number

A new design criterion based on the condition number of an information matrix is proposed to construct optimal designs for linear models, and the resulting designs are called K-optimal designs. The relationship between exact and asymptotic K-optimal designs is derived. Since it is usually hard to find exact optimal designs analytically, we apply a simulated annealing algorithm to compute K-optimal design points on continuous design spaces. Specific issues are addressed to make the algorithm effective. Through exact designs, we can examine some properties of the K-optimal designs such as symmetry and the number of support points. Examples and results are given for polynomial regression models and linear models for fractional factorial experiments. In addition, K-optimal designs are compared with A-optimal and D-optimal designs for polynomial regression models, showing that K-optimal designs are quite similar to A-optimal designs.     

Taguchi methods: linear graphs of high resolution

An important reason behind the success of the Taguchi methodology in qual- ity assurance has been the use of statistical methods, presented in a way that is accessible to the nonexpert user. Among the tools used to simplify the sta- tistical design of experiments has been the linear graph, apparently introduced by Taguchi. However, he did not consider the resolution of the corresponding designs (the higher the resolution, the more accurate the conclusions). For example, it will be shown that half of the linear graphs given by Taguchi for the L₁₆(2¹⁵) orthogonal array correspond to designs of resolution III, when designs of resolution IV are available (with the same lines in the linear graphs but with different assignments to the columns of the orthogonal array). A nontraditional but very straightforward method is presented for obtaining the alias chains and the linear graphs corresponding to an orthogonal array. The procedure can be easily understood and employed by nonstatisticians to find an experimental design of the highest possible resolution. The design can be used to obtain products or processes that are robust to variation.     

The interplay of optimality and combinatorics in experimental design

The design of statistical experiments, as developed by R. A. Fisher and his followers, often used combinatorial structures that yielded simple calculation of estimates and/or symmetric variances and covariances. Examples are block designs with balance, regression experiments with equally spaced observations, etc. More recently, considerations of optimality (choosing a design that achieves most accurate inference in some sense) have sometimes justified the traditional designs, but have sometimes led to new combinatorial investigations. Illustrations are given.     

Comparison of designs for computer experiments

For many complex processes laboratory experimentation is too expensive or too time-consuming to be carried out. A practical alternative is to simulate these phenomena by a computer code. This article considers the choice of an experimental design for computer experiments. We illustrate some drawbacks to criteria that have been proposed and suggest an alternative, based on the Bayesian interpretation of the alias matrix in Draper and Guttman (Ann. Inst. Statist. Math. 44 (1992) 659). Then we compare different design criteria by studying how they rate a variety of candidate designs for computer experiments such as Latin hypercube plans, U-designs, lattice designs and rotation designs.     

A clinical application of expert system methodology

In recent years, several expert systems have been developed for practical applications in applied statistical methodologies. Existing expert systems in statistics have explored several areas, e.g. the determination of appropriate statistical tests, regression analysis, and determination of the ‘best’ experimental design for industrial screening experiments. We present here the DESIGN EXPERT which is a prototype expert system for the design of complex statistical experiments. It is intended for scientific investigators and statisticians who must design and analyze complex experiments, e.g. multilevel medical experiments with nested factors, repeated measures, and both fixed and random eflects. This system is ‘expert’ in the sense that it is capable of the following:(i) recognize specific types of complex experimental designs, based on the application of inference rules to non-technical information supplied by the user; (ii) encode the obtained and inferred information in a flexible general-purpose internal representation, for use by other program modules; (iii) generate analysis of variance tables for the recognized design and an appropriate BMDP runfile for data analysis, using the encoded information. DESIGN EXPERT is capable of recognizing randomized block designs, including lattice designs within embedded Latin squares, cross-over designs, split plots, nesting, repeated measures and covariates. It is written in an experimental programming language developed specifically for research in artificial intelligence.     

On Bayesian estimators in multistage binomial designs

A new class of Bayesian estimators for a proportion in multistage binomial designs is considered. Priors belong to the beta-J distribution family, which is derived from the Fisher information associated with the design. The transposition of the beta parameters of the Haldane and the uniform priors in fixed binomial experiments into the beta-J distribution yields bias-corrected versions of these priors in multistage designs. We show that the estimator of the posterior mean based on the corrected Haldane prior and the estimator of the posterior mode based on the corrected uniform prior have good frequentist properties. An easy-to-use approximation of the estimator of the posterior mode is provided. The new Bayesian estimators are compared to Whitehead's and the uniformly minimum variance estimators through several multistage designs. Last, the bias of the estimator of the posterior mode is derived for a particular case.     

Design of experiments for locally weighted regression

We consider the design of experiments when estimation is to be performed using locally weighted regression methods. We adopt criteria that consider both estimation error (variance) and error resulting from model misspecification (bias). Working with continuous designs, we use the ideas developed in convex design theory to analyze properties of the corresponding optimal designs. Numerical procedures for constructing optimal designs are developed and applied to a variety of design scenarios in one and two dimensions. Among the interesting properties of the constructed designs are the following: (1) Design points tend to be more spread throughout the design space than in the classical case. (2) The optimal designs appear to be less model and criterion dependent than their classical counterparts.(3) While the optimal designs are relatively insensitive to the specification of the design space boundaries, the allocation of supporting points is strongly governed by the points of interest and the selected weight function, if the latter is concentrated in areas significantly smaller than the design region. Some singular and unstable situations occur in the case of saturated designs. The corresponding phenomenon is discussed using a univariate linear regression example.     

Optimality of mixed-level supersaturated designs

This paper presents generalized theorems on the optimality of supersaturated designs in terms of low dependency over all pairs of column vectors. Some mixed-level supersaturated designs are constructed using a method based on these theorems. An index is proposed for measuring the efficiency of supersaturated design and applied to evaluate the constructed mixed-level supersaturated designs.     

A Simple Method for Obtaining Minimum Aberration Designs

Minimum aberration designs are preferred in practice, especially when it is desired to carry out a multi-factor experiment using less number of runs. Several authors considered constructions of minimum aberration designs. Some used computer algorithms and some listed good designs from the exhausted search. We propose a simple method to obtain minimum aberration designs for experiments of size less than or equal to thirty-two. Here, we use an ordered sequence of columns from an orthogonal array to design experiments and blocked experiments. When the method is implemented in MS Excel, minimum aberration designs can be easily achieved.