Parameter Estimation for Hidden Markov Models with Intractable Likelihoods

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a popular technique for analysing data for complex models where the likelihood function is intractable. It involves using simulation from the model to approximate the likelihood, with this approximate likelihood then being used to construct an approximate posterior. In this paper, we consider methods that estimate the parameters by maximizing the approximate likelihood used in ABC. We give a theoretical analysis of the asymptotic properties of the resulting estimator. In particular, we derive results analogous to those of consistency and asymptotic normality for standard maximum likelihood estimation. We also discuss how sequential Monte Carlo methods provide a natural method for implementing our likelihood‐based ABC procedures.     

Estimation of size and mean of a sensitive quantitative variable for a sub-group of a population

In the present paper, a new problem in survey sampling has been considered and an attempt has bcen made to find its solution. The procedures available in literature deal with the estimation of mean of a sensitive quantitative variable for the whole population. Sometimes the investigator may be interested in estimating the mean of a sensitive quantitative variable for a sub-group of the population. At the same time, he/she may also be interested in estimating the size of this sub-group. In this paper, we have obtained estimators of these parameters. Approximate bias and variance expressions are also obtained for these estimators.     

Estimation of Finite Population Variance Using Scrambled Responses in the Presence of Auxiliary Information

In this article, a new estimator for estimating the finite population variance of a sensitive variable based on scrambled responses collected using a randomization device is introduced. The estimator is then improved by using known auxiliary information. The estimators due to Das and Tripathi (1978: Sankhya) and Isaki (1983: JASA) are shown to be special cases of the proposed estimator. Numerical simulations are performed to study the magnitude of the gain in efficiency when using the estimator with auxiliary information with respect to the estimator based only on the scrambled responses. An idea to extend the present work from SRSWOR design to more complex design is also given.     

Estimation of the mean of the exponential distribution with an outlying observation

Given a life testing experiment consisting of n items, n-1 of which have the expected life λ while one could have an expected life λ/α with 0 < α < 1 the problem is. to find a mean square error (MSE) minimizing estimation function. The standard estimators for the homogeneous case (α = 1) overestimate the expected life and their MSE tend to infinity when a tends to 0.

Looking at the estimation problem as an insurance (see Anscombe (1960)) two different “testimators” are compared with respect to their MSE, Numerical results show that an estimation function based on the “Epstein-statistic” x_(n)/[xbar] is the best one.     

抽样推断中比例估计的几种方法及比较

本文通过比例估计的例子,揭示了不同抽样理念、统计学派以及估计方法在抽样推断中的应用及特点,特别的分析了基于模型的抽样理念下,贝叶斯思想和极大似然思想的应用。本文反映出统计学科中,面对同一个问题有各种不同角度的理解和解决方法。     

Finite Population Variance Estimation in Presence of Measurement Errors

In this article, we propose a class of estimators for the population variance of a quantity of interest. The estimators in the class use auxiliary information to improve efficiency, and we suppose that measurement errors are present both in the study and auxiliary variate. We take into account such problem using a regression approach. We show that the class proposed is quite flexible and general, allowing to consider many kinds of information as auxiliary one. Comparisons within estimators in the class are studied theoretically and through simulations.     

Estimation of Mean of Sensitive Characteristics for Successive Sampling

In this article, new estimators for estimating the population mean of a sensitive variable using the concept of successive sampling over two occasions are proposed. The unbiasedness and the variance properties of the proposed estimators are investigated analytically as well as numerically.     

Optimal Estimation of a Finite Population Total Under Randomized Response Surveys

Problems of estimation of a finite population total of a variable of sensitive in nature are studied under randomized response (RR) surveys. Some optimal sampling strategies are presented under different superpopulation models.     

Double Sampling Ratio-product Estimator of a Finite Population Mean in Sample Surveys

It is well known that two-phase (or double) sampling is of significant use in practice when the population parameter(s) (say, population mean X¯) of the auxiliary variate x is not known. Keeping this in view, we have suggested a class of ratio-product estimators in two-phase sampling with its properties. The asymptotically optimum estimators (AOEs) in the class are identified in two different cases with their variances. Conditions for the proposed estimator to be more efficient than the two-phase sampling ratio, product and mean per unit estimator are investigated. Comparison with single phase sampling is also discussed. An empirical study is carried out to demonstrate the efficiency of the suggested estimator over conventional estimators.     

Estimation of the mean of the selected population

A new class of estimators is introduced for the problem of estimating the mean of the selected population. These estimators are found by subtracting from the largest sample mean an estimator of its bias. The new estimators are compared with those introduced by Cohen and Sackrowitz (1982) and in terms of frequentist risk they are found to perform quite similarly.     

Conditioning on Auxiliary Variable Means in Finite Population Inference

This paper reviews conditional properties of the mean and total estimators of a finite population when auxiliary information is available. An exact design-based conditional analysis for complex sampling designs is intractable, but an asymptotic conditional framework can be developed. Within such a framework the paper establishes sufficient conditions for conditional unbiasedness and explores conditional properties of various types of regression estimators. A sample statistic capable of indicating the presence of substantial conditional biases is proposed, and illustrated by a simulation study.     

Improved Estimation of Finite Population Variance Using Auxiliary Information

This article addresses the problem of estimating of finite population variance using auxiliary information in simple random sampling. A ratio-cum-difference type class of estimators for population variance has been suggested with its properties under large sample approximation. It has been shown that the suggested class of estimators is more efficient than usual unbiased, difference, Das and Tripathi (1978 Das , A. K. , Tripathi , T. P. ( 1978 ). Use of auxiliary information in estimating the finite population variance . Sankhya C 40 : 139 – 148 . [Google Scholar]), Isaki (1983 Isaki , C. T. ( 1983 ). Variance estimation using auxiliary information . J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 78 : 117 – 123 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), Singh et al. (1988 Singh , H. P. , Upadhyaya , L. N. , Namjoshi , U. D. ( 1988 ). Estimation of finite population variance . Curr. Sci. 57 : 1331 – 1334 .[Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), Kadilar and Cingi (2006 Kadilar , C. , Cingi , H. ( 2006 ). Ratio estimators for the population variance in simple and stratified random sampling . Appl. Math. Comp. 173 ( 2 ): 1047 – 1059 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), and other estimators/classes of estimators. In addition, we support this theoretical result with the aid of a empirical study.     

Estimation of a distribution function bounded by two known distribution functions

The problem of estimation of a cumulative distribution function (cdf), bounded by two known cdf's, is considered. An estimator satisfying the desired restriction has been obtained by suitably adjusting the empirical cdf. Consistency of the adjusted estimator has been established and its mean square error (MSE) has been shown to be smallerthan that of the empirical cdf. The new estimator has been comparedwith the empirical cdf for some special cases.     

Inference for a Hidden Truncated (Both-Sided) Bivariate Pareto (II) Distribution

The Pareto distribution is a simple model for non negative data with a power law probability tail. Income and wealth data are typically modeled using some variant of the classical Pareto distribution. In practice, it is frequently likely that the observed data have been truncated with respect to some unobserved covariable. In this paper, a hidden truncation formulation of this scenario is proposed and analyzed. A bivariate Pareto (II) distribution is assumed for the variable of interest and the unobserved covariable. Distributional properties of the resulting model are investigated. A variety of parameter estimation strategies (under the classical set up) are investigated.     

Quantile Estimation Using Ranked Set Samples from a Population with Known Mean

Ranked set sampling (RSS) is a cost-efficient technique for data collection when the units in a population can be easily judgment ranked by any cheap method other than actual measurements. Using auxiliary information in developing statistical procedures for inference about different population characteristics is a well-known approach. In this work, we deal with quantile estimation from a population with known mean when data are obtained according to RSS scheme. Through the simple device of mean-correction (subtract off the sample mean and add on the known population mean), a modified estimator is constructed from the standard quantile estimator. Asymptotic normality of the new estimator and its asymptotic efficiency relative to the original estimator are derived. Simulation results for several underlying distributions show that the proposed estimator is more efficient than the traditional one.     

Dependence Estimation Over a Finite Bivariate Failure Time Region

This articleconcerns nonparametric estimation of association between bivariatefailure times. In the presence of independent right censoring,the support for failure time variates may be restricted and measuresof dependence over a finite failure time region may be of particularinterest. To this end, the reciprocal cross ratio function, weightedby the bivariate failure time density, is proposed as a summarymeasure of dependence over a failure time region. This `relativerisk' estimator is shown to be consistent and asymptoticallynormally distributed, with consistent bootstrap variance estimator.A finite-region version of Kendall's tau, which is suitable forcensored failure time data, is also proposed, and correspondingasymptotic distribution theory is noted. The accuracy of theseasymptotic approximations is studied in simulations and an illustrationis provided.     

Estimation of a rare sensitive attribute in a stratified two-stage unrelated randomized response model by using Poisson probability distribution

The present article deals with the estimation of mean number of respondents who possess a rare sensitive character in presence of known and unknown proportion of a rare unrelated non-sensitive attribute by using the Poisson probability distribution in stratified random sampling as well as in stratified random double sampling. The variance of rare sensitive character is also derived under proportional and optimal allocation methods in stratified random sampling when stratum sizes are known and unknown. The properties of the suggested estimation procedures have been deeply examined. The proposed model is found to be dominant over Lee et al. [Estimation of a rare sensitive attribute in a stratified sample using Poisson distribution. Statistics. 2013;47:575–589] model. Numerical illustrations are presented to support the theoretical results. Results are analysed and suitable recommendations are put forward to the survey practitioners.     

Population moments and moments of the sample mean

This paper presents new formulae which simultaneously express and estimate moments of the sample mean and estimate population moments, from a simple random sample drawn without replcement from a finite population. By avoiding the generality of the multivariate case, these two problems are not only unified but are made significantly more tractable. Explicit solution are given up to eighth moments. Asymptotic results for infinite populations are also given.