对近年来中国人口统计学学科发展状况的评述

本文对2002年下半年以来中国人口数据和人口统计分析方法的状况进行描述、归纳和评述,其中包括对普查数据质量的分析、生育率分析、死亡率分析、出生性别比分析、流动人口分析、人口老龄化研究和人口预测及其方法研究,以及对学科发展态势的评价。     

笔迹分析技术在招聘中的应用研究

一、笔迹分析技术的背景及发展所谓笔迹分析,是以书写者的字迹为分析对象,根据其特点和规律(如笔画线条的力度、速度、方向、形态;字体形状、结构;字阵布局等)分析判断出书写者的气质、性格、情感和行为方式。笔迹分析是一种源于笔迹学的应用技     

居民发展能力评估与差异比较——以甘肃省张掖市、甘南自治州为例

阿玛帝业森的能力理论是有关人类文化发展、福利经济学、社会政策研究的哲学论述,是有关个体福利和生活质量评估、社会整顿、政策制定和社会改革等的标准分析框架。本文在简要介绍阿玛帝亚森能力分析的概念和评估方法之后,采用社会学研究方法,通过问卷调查,以黑河流域张掖市与甘南自治州城市居民的能力分析测定为例,尝试在国内开展能力分析的定量研究,并比较影响两地区居民能力的主要因素,分析了提升个体能力,开展能力分析研究的重要意义。     

流动人口初育年龄变化及其影响因素实证分析

在对流动人口的初育年龄分布状况进行描述性分析、单因素分析和对比分析的基础上,采用多元回归分析法,同时纳入了包括流动人口的个人背景、流动经历、配偶背景和婚育状况这四个方面的11个变量,研究流动人口初育年龄的影响因素并对主要影响因素进行分析。     

人口城市化发展的主客观条件与制约因素

从国内外不同范围分析了人口城市化的客观条件,从成本与收益的视角分析了人口城市化的主观条件,从农业生产水平、水资源、土地资源、城市基础设施、制度与政策等领域分析了它们对人口城市化发展的制约作用。     

我国出生性别比失衡区域的识别、特点及成因——基于县(市)级层面的分析

本文采用地理信息系统(GIS)的空间分析技术,利用地理信息系统分析软件(ARCView GIS)、探索性空间分析技术软件(GeoDA)、社会科学统计软件包(SPSS)等软件,对1982年、1990年和2000年三次全国人口普查的县域截面数据进行了分析。通过空间分析,识别出我国高出生性别比聚集的热点区域,并进一步对其分布、演变特点和成因进行了较深入研究,试图找到热点区域分布及变化的规律性特点。在此基础上,提出了热点区治理和跨区域治理相结合的政策思路。     

浅谈财务分析的三种主要方法

财务分析以财务报表等相关资料为依据,采用专门的分析技术和方法,为报表使用者提供决策信息。目前主要的财务分析方法包括比率分析法、趋势分析法及因素分析法三种。一、各种分析方法的特点     

流动人口的避孕节育及影响因素分析

本文利用"流动人口的婚姻家庭调查研究"课题的调查数据,分个人背景、流动经历、婚育状态、配偶背景等几方面对流动人口的避孕知识了解状况、避孕知识获取渠道以及避孕措施实施状况进行描述分析、对比分析和多因素影响分析,并建立多分类有序logistic模型对流动人口避孕知识水平的影响因素进行多元回归分析.研究结果表明,流动人口总体避孕知识水平一般,受教育程度、流动经历、职业、孩子数量、避孕措施实施等方面是流动人口避孕知识状况的主要影响因素.     

老年健康数据质量评估问题探讨

评价老年健康数据的标准可分为效度、信度和准确度。效度就是用来测度老年健康的标识或变量是否正确恰当地度量了想要研究的内容。信度是指度量方法的一致性程度或排除随机误差的程度。准确度是效度和信度的统一和综合 ,是观察值与真值间的差距。在老年健康数据质量的评价中 ,我们可以应用诸如单变量描述统计、交叉表分析、均数分析、方差分析、敏感性分析、相关分析、多元回归分析、因子分析、内部一致性分析等众多统计分析方法和诸如条目应答理论等特殊模型对构成老年健康内容的各个变量和指标进行各种效度和信度评估     

人口老龄化与经济发展水平的相关分析

人口老龄化是社会经济发展影响人口发展过程的必然结果 ,本文通过实例分析了人口老龄化与经济发展的关系 ,然后选择指标 ,通过相关分析、回归分析 ,建立人口老龄化与经济发展水平之间关系的数学模型     

View Grandeur by Details and Fill Feelings in Scenery

正Chen Chenyi is one of my very valued painters.For many years,he has been assiduous in painting.Influenced by his family since childhood,he possesses profound artistic cultivation and solid basic painting skills.His pursuit in Chinese painting is refl ected in his constant exploration in the artistic conception of the painting’s general     

Statistical Communiqué on Human Resources and Social Security Development in 2013

正In 2013,under the strong leadership of the Central Committee of the Party and the State Council and with the focus on major objectives of the Party and the state,China adhered to the main work line of orienting by people’s livelihood and giving priority to talents;laid equal emphasis on both normal operation and internal construction;comprehensively promoted scientific development,reform and innovation of human resources and social security undertakings and     

Health and Happiness for All ——2014 International Day of Families China Commemoration Meeting was Held in Beijing

正May 15th is the International Day of Families.The United Nations has set the theme of this year for the Day as Families Matter for the Achievement of Development Goals.The theme for China is Health for Everyone and Happiness for Each Family.In order to do well in publicizing     

Arrests of Fugitive Economic Crime Suspects Abroad： Fox Hunt 2014 in Action

正In 2014,China launched a massive global Fox Hunt operation to arrest fugitives and recover the embezzled money and intensifi ed the pace to captur e corrupt officials overseas.Some media analysts believe the government tries to deter"those corrupt offi cials who decide to run away for good after being fully fed by embezzled money":foreign countries are not their boltholes any more."The movements of quite a large number     

Green Pu’er City and the Cloud Tea

正If being asked which is the largest city of Yunnan,nine out of ten people would give the wrong answer-just as some people would reply that Toronto is the capital of Canada,Sydney is the capital of Australia and Guilin is the capital of Gaungxi.In fact,the largest city of Yunnan is Pu’er,not Kunming.Many people are familiar with Pu’er because of Pu’er Tea.They believe the place"Pu’er"is named after the tea.But the     

National Health and Family Planning Commission Issued Action Plan for National Health Literacy Promotion 2014-2020

正Health literacy is the ability of a person to obtain and understand basic healthcare information and service and make appropriate decisions to maintain and improve one’s own health by applying that information and service.It is not only an important indicator to evaluate health and family planning work and people’s health status,but also a     

China will Promote Establish ment of Classified Diagnosis and Treatment System and Reform Medical Insurance Payment System

正According to Xinhuanet,during the Forum on Pilots of Urban Public Hospital Comprehensive Reform held in Sanming City of Fujian Province,Dr.Li Bin,Minister of National Health and Family Planning Commission(NHFPC)indicated that the pilots of public hospital reform would promote the establishment of classifi ed diagnosis and treatment system.Li said the medical consortium connected grassroots medical institutions to major hospitals on both ends.It had     

Statistical Communique on Development of Disabled Persons Undertaking in China in 2013

正In 2013,the sixth national congress of China Disabled Persons'Federation(CDPF)was convened successfully,which had provided important idealogical and organizational guarantees for promoting innovation and development at a new starting point.Under the effective leadership and guidance of the Party Central Committee and the State Council,Party and government departments had attached great importance,CDPF worked hard,all     

“Poststroke Rescue”Public Welfare Project Plans to Provide Services to 100 000 Shanghai Rural Elderly

正According to Chinanews.com,"Pinetree Poststroke Rescue"public welfare project,which aims at providing social assistance for stroke patients,has established the first rural rehabilitation nursing station in Minhang district of Shanghai on April 3,2014.The public projects has planned to fully cover nine districts in Shanghai suburbs and expect to deliver services to more than 100 000 rural elderly.The organization founder Wang Yanni introduced the"beautiful rural trilogy"strategy.First,by working with     

Low Fertility Trap:Theories,Facts and Implications

The low Fertility Trap Hypothesis proposes that there are three self-reinforcing mechanism--demographic,sociological and economic,working towards a downward spiral in future fertility.Once TFR drops below 1.5,it will be difficult to recover.The fertility recovery emerging in many countries across the world has changed the lowfertility trap theory and also the justification of the theory itself.So low-fertility trap is more likely a pattern summarized from a short-time phenomenon than a generalized social law.As with China,the current fertility level is above 1.5 births per woman,and China is not in the "Low-fertility trap".Moreover,most recent surveys suggests that current fertility intention in China is above 1.8 births per woman and more than60 percent of people would have a second child if there is an adjustment of fertility policy.In addition,birth postponement is still playing an important role in reducing TFR in China.Thus,with the high fertility intention,adjustment of family planning policy and decreasing tempo effect,TFR in China will experience upturn but not further decline in the near future.It is lack of evidence to conclude that China has already been or is going to be trapped in low fertility.