Hybrid regions for post-change mean in a sequence of normal variables

The hybrid bootstrap uses resampling ideas to extend the duality approach to the interval estimation for a parameter of interest when there are nuisance parameters. The confidence region constructed by the hybrid bootstrap may perform much better than the ordinary bootstrap region in a situation where the data provide substantial information about the nuisance parameter, but limited information about the parameter of interest. We apply this method to estimate the post-change mean after a change is detected by a stopping procedure in a sequence of independent normal variables. Since distribution theory in change point problems is generally a challenge, we use bootstrap simulation to find empirical distributions of test statistics and calculate critical thresholds. Both likelihood ratio and Bayesian test statistics are considered to set confidence regions for post-change means in the normal model. In the simulation studies, the performance of hybrid regions are compared with that of ordinary bootstrap regions in terms of the widths and coverage probabilities of confidence intervals.     

Optimal CUSUM and adaptive CUSUM charts with auxiliary information for process mean

The CUSUM chart is good enough to detect small-to-moderate shifts in the process parameter(s) as it can be optimally designed to detect a particular shift size. The adaptive CUSUM (ACUSUM) chart provides good detection over a range of shift sizes because of its ability to update the reference parameter using the estimated process shift. In this paper, we propose auxiliary-information-based (AIB) optimal CUSUM (OCUSUM) and ACUSUM charts, named AIB-OCUSUM and AIB-ACUSUM charts, using a difference estimator of the process mean. The performance comparisons between existing and proposed charts are made in terms of the average run length (ARL), extra quadratic loss and integral relative ARL measures. It is found that the AIB-OCUSUM and AIB-ACUSUM charts are more sensitive than the AIB-CUSUM and ACUSUM charts, respectively. Moreover, the AIB-ACUSUM chart surpasses the AIB-OCUSUM chart when detecting a range of mean shift sizes. Illustrative examples are given to support the theory.     

Enhanced adaptive CUSUM charts for process mean

A statistical quality control chart is an important tool of the statistical process control, which is widely used to control and monitor a production process. The CUSUM chart is designed to detect a specific shift, provided that the shift size is known in advance. In practice, however, shift sizes are rarely known. It is then customary to use an adaptive CUSUM chart, which can effectively detect a range of shift sizes. In this paper, we enhance the sensitivities of the improved adaptive CUSUM mean charts using an auxiliary-information-based (AIB) mean estimator. The run length performances of the proposed charts are compared with those of the AIB adaptive and non-adaptive CUSUM charts in terms of the average run length (ARL), extra quadratic loss, and integral relative ARL. These run length comparisons reveal that the proposed charts are more sensitive than the existing charts when detecting different kinds of shift in the process mean. An example is given to demonstrate the implementation of existing and proposed charts.     

Improved CUSUM charts for monitoring process mean

In this paper, we propose new cumulative sum (CUSUM) and Shewhart-CUSUM (SCUSUM) control charts for monitoring the process mean using ranked-set sampling (RSS) and ordered RSS (ORSS) schemes. The proposed CUSUM charts include the Crosier's CUSUM (CCUSUM) and Shewhart-CCUSUM (SCCUSUM) charts using RSS, and the CUSUM, CCUSUM, SCUSUM and SCCUSUM charts using ORSS. Moreover, fast initial response features are also attached with these CUSUM charts to improve their sensitivities for an initial out-of-control situation. Monte Carlo simulations are used to compute the run length characteristics of the proposed CUSUM charts. Upon comparing the run length performances of the CUSUM charts, it turns out that the proposed CUSUM charts are more sensitive than their existing counterparts. A real dataset is used to explain the implementation of the proposed CUSUM charts.     

CUSUM charts for monitoring the mean of a multivariate Gaussian process

In this paper control charts for the mean of a multivariate Gaussian process are considered. Using the generalized likelihood ratio approach and the sequential probability ratio test under an additional constraint on the magnitude of the change various types of CUSUM control charts are derived. It is analyzed under which conditions these schemes are directionally invariant. These charts are compared with several other control schemes proposed in literature. The performance of the charts is studied based on the maximum average delay.     

Some properties of a linear combination CUSUM statistic for controlling a multivariate mean vector

We develop a class of new multivariate procedures for monitoring quality by detecting a change in the level of a multivariate process. Following the ideas of S.N. Roy, we first consider a linear combination statistic which results from projecting the multivariate observations onto a unit vector and then maximizing a selected univariate statistic over all directions.     

Randomized allocation procedure for testing a normal mean with known variance

This paper provides an alternative test procedure for the problem of testing normal mean against two-sided alternative with known variance for costly trials. The goal is to carry out the test procedure with a smaller sample size if the alternative is true. The sample size is determined in an adaptive fashion which takes all the previous observations into account for adaptation. Some exact and asymptotic results related to the test and design are studied.     

A modified harmonic mean test procedure for variance components

A complete class of tests of variance components is characterized within the class of tests statistics of the form of a ratio of a linear combination of chi-squared random variables to an independent chi-squared random variable. This result is used in the context of general unbalanced mixed models to show that the harmonic mean method results in an inadmissible test of the random treatment effects. The harmonic mean procedure is then modified in such a way that the modified test uniformly dominates the original test. Two competitive tests are the LMP (locally most powerful) and Wald's tests, which have optimal power properties against small and large alternatives, respectively. A Monte Carlo simulation study reveals that the modified test outperforms both the LMP and Wald's tests in badly unbalanced designs and that it is a viable alternative in less unbalanced designs.     

A Bayesian procedure for the sequential estimation of the mean of a negative-binomial distribution

A Bayesian procedure for the sequential estimation of the mean of a negative-binomial distribution is considered. A reasonable sequential stopping rule, based on a one-step look-ahead procedure is derived. The procedure can be applied to estimate the infestation level of insects in a given field crop area.     

Alternative boundaries for CUSUM tests

Alternative boundaries for the common Recursive (or Standard) CUSUM test and the OLS-based CUSUM test for structural change are suggested and their properties are examined by simulation of expectedp values. The poor power of the tests for early and late structural changes can be improved for the OLS-based version, whereas this weakness of the Recursive CUSUM test cannot be overcome by the new boundaries. Research supported by the Austrian Science Foundation (FWF) under grant SFB#010 (‘Adaptive Information Systems and Modeling in Economics and Management Science’).     

General procedure for estimating the population mean using ranked set sampling

In this paper, we suggest a class of estimators for estimating the population mean ? of the study variable Y using information on X?, the population mean of the auxiliary variable X using ranked set sampling envisaged by McIntyre [A method of unbiased selective sampling using ranked sets, Aust. J. Agric. Res. 3 (1952), pp. 385–390] and developed by Takahasi and Wakimoto [On unbiased estimates of the population mean based on the sample stratified by means of ordering, Ann. Inst. Statist. Math. 20 (1968), pp. 1–31]. The estimator reported by Kadilar et al. [Ratio estimator for the population mean using ranked set sampling, Statist. Papers 50 (2009), pp. 301–309] is identified as a member of the proposed class of estimators. The bias and the mean-squared error (MSE) of the proposed class of estimators are obtained. An asymptotically optimum estimator in the class is identified with its MSE formulae. To judge the merits of the suggested class of estimators over others, an empirical study is carried out.     

A Two-stage minimax procedure with screening for selecting the largest normal mean

The problem of selecting the normal population with the largest population mean when the populations have a common known variance is considered. A two-stage procedure is proposed which guarantees the same probability requirement using the indifference-zone approach as does the single-stage procedure of Bechhofer (1954). The two-stage procedure has the highly desirable property that the expected total number of observations required by the procedure is always less than the total number of observations required by the corresponding single-stage procedure, regardless of the configuration of the population means. The saving in expected total number of observations can be substantial, particularly when the configuration of the population means is favorable to the experimenter. The saving is accomplished by screening out “non-contending” populations in the first stage, and concentrating sampling only on “contending” populations in the second stage.

The two-stage procedure can be regarded as a composite one which uses a screening subset-type approach (Gupta (1956), (1965)) in the first stage, and an indifference-zone approach (Bechhofer (1954)) applied to all populations retained in the selected sub-set in the second stage. Constants to implement the procedure for various k and P? are provided, as are calculations giving the saving in expected total sample size if the two-stage procedure is used in place of the corresponding single-stage procedure.     

CUSUM control schemes for Gaussian processes

A CUSUM control scheme for detecting a change point in a Gaussian process is derived. An upper and a lower bound for the distribution of the run length and for its moments is given. In a Monte Carlo study the average run length (ARL) of this chart is compared with the ARL of two other CUSUM procedures which are based on approximations to the sequential probability ratio, and, moreover, with EWMA schemes for autocorrelated data. Results on the optimal choice of the reference value are presented. Furthermore it is investigated how these charts behave if the model parameters are estimated.     

A Combination of CUSUM Charts for Monitoring a Zero-Inflated Poisson Process

The Zero-inflated Poisson distribution (ZIP) is used to model the defects in processes with a large number of zeros. We propose a control charting procedure using a combination of two cumulative sum (CUSUM) charts to detect increases in the parameters of ZIP process, one is a conforming run length (CRL) CUSUM chart and another is a zero truncated Poisson (ZTP) CUSUM chart. The control limits of the control charts are obtained using both Markov chain-based methods and simulations. Simulation experiments show that the proposed method outperforms an existing method. Finally, a real example is presented.     

Evaluation of CUSUM Charts for Finite-Horizon Processes

This article analyses and evaluates the properties of a CUSUM chart designed for monitoring the process mean in short production runs. Several statistical measures of performance that are appropriate when the process operates for a finite-time horizon are proposed. The methodology developed in this article can be used to evaluate the performance of the CUSUM scheme for any given set of chart parameters from both an economic and a statistical point of view, and thus, allows comparisons with various other charts.     

Distribution-Free Exceedance CUSUM Control Charts for Location

Distribution-free (nonparametric) control charts can be useful to the quality practitioner when the underlying distribution is not known. A Phase II nonparametric cumulative sum (CUSUM) chart based on the exceedance statistics, called the exceedance CUSUM chart, is proposed here for detecting a shift in the unknown location parameter of a continuous distribution. The exceedance statistics can be more efficient than rank-based methods when the underlying distribution is heavy-tailed and/or right-skewed, which may be the case in some applications, particularly with certain lifetime data. Moreover, exceedance statistics can save testing time and resources as they can be applied as soon as a certain order statistic of the reference sample is available. Guidelines and recommendations are provided for the chart's design parameters along with an illustrative example. The in- and out-of-control performances of the chart are studied through extensive simulations on the basis of the average run-length (ARL), the standard deviation of run-length (SDRL), the median run-length (MDRL), and some percentiles of run-length. Further, a comparison with a number of existing control charts, including the parametric CUSUM chart and a recent nonparametric CUSUM chart based on the Wilcoxon rank-sum statistic, called the rank-sum CUSUM chart, is made. It is seen that the exceedance CUSUM chart performs well in many cases and thus can be a useful alternative chart in practice. A summary and some concluding remarks are given.     

CUSUM Control Charts for Multivariate Poisson Distribution

A cumulative sum control chart for multivariate Poisson distribution (MP-CUSUM) is proposed. The MP-CUSUM chart is constructed based on log-likelihood ratios with in-control parameters, Θ₀, and shifts to be detected quickly, Θ₁. The average run length (ARL) values are obtained using a Markov Chain-based method. Numerical experiments show that the MP-CUSUM chart is effective in detecting parameter shifts in terms of ARL. The MP-CUSUM chart with smaller Θ₁ is more sensitive than that with greater Θ₁ to smaller shifts, but more insensitive to greater shifts. A comparison shows that the proposed MP-CUSUM chart outperforms an existing MP chart.     

On CUSUM test for dynamic panel models

Statistical Methods & Applications - In this study, we consider the problem of testing for a parameter change in dynamic panel models with fixed effects. As a test, we suggest using the CUSUM...     

A general procedure for estimating the mean using double sampling for stratification and multi-auxiliary information

This paper defines a general procedure for estimating the population mean of the study variate based on double sampling for stratification in presence of multi-auxiliary information. Classes of combined and separate estimators have been suggested and their properties are studied under large sample approximation. A class of unstratified double sampling estimators is also proposed with its properties. Asymptotic optimum estimators in the classes are identified with their approximate variance formulae. Further the proposed classes of estimators are compared with the corresponding class of estimators based on un-stratified double sampling. All findings are encouraging and support the soundness of the proposed procedure for mean estimation.