A new discrete probability distribution with integer support on (−∞, ∞)

ABSTRACT

A new discrete probability distribution with integer support on (?∞, ∞) is proposed as a discrete analog of the continuous logistic distribution. Some of its important distributional and reliability properties are established. Its relationship with some known distributions is discussed. Parameter estimation by maximum-likelihood method is presented. Simulation is done to investigate properties of maximum-likelihood estimators. Real life application of the proposed distribution as empirical model is considered by conducting a comparative data fitting with Skellam distribution, Kemp's discrete normal, Roy's discrete normal, and discrete Laplace distribution.     

An alternative multivariate skew Laplace distribution: properties and estimation

A special case of the multivariate exponential power distribution is considered as a multivariate extension of the univariate symmetric Laplace distribution. In this paper, we focus on this multivariate symmetric Laplace distribution, and extend it to a multivariate skew distribution. We call this skew extension of the multivariate symmetric Laplace distribution the “multivariate skew Laplace (MSL) distribution” to distinguish between the asymmetric multivariate Laplace distribution proposed by Kozubowski and Podgórski (Comput Stat 15:531–540, 2000a) Kotz et al. (The Laplace distribution and generalizations: a revisit with applications to communications, economics, engineering, and finance, Chap. 6. Birkhäuser, Boston, 2001) and Kotz et al. (An asymmetric multivariate Laplace Distribution, Working paper, 2003). One of the advantages of (MSL) distribution is that it can handle both heavy tails and skewness and that it has a simple form compared to other multivariate skew distributions. Some fundamental properties of the multivariate skew Laplace distribution are discussed. A simple EM-based maximum likelihood estimation procedure to estimate the parameters of the multivariate skew Laplace distribution is given. Some examples are provided to demonstrate the modeling strength of the skew Laplace distribution.     

A generalization of discrete Weibull distribution

In this paper, we introduce a new family of discrete distributions and study its properties. It is shown that the new family is a generalization of discrete Marshall-Olkin family of distributions. In particular, we study generalized discrete Weibull distribution in detail. Discrete Marshall-Olkin Weibull distribution, exponentiated discrete Weibull distribution, discrete Weibull distribution, discrete Marshall-Olkin generalized exponential distribution, exponentiated geometric distribution, generalized discrete exponential distribution, discrete Marshall-Olkin Rayleigh distribution and exponentiated discrete Rayleigh distribution are sub-models of generalized discrete Weibull distribution. We derive some basic distributional properties such as probability generating function, moments, hazard rate and quantiles of the generalized discrete Weibull distribution. We can see that the hazard rate function can be decreasing, increasing, bathtub and upside-down bathtub shape. Estimation of the parameters are done using maximum likelihood method. A real data set is analyzed to illustrate the suitability of the proposed model.     

Characterizations of discrete distributions based on conditional expectations of record values

r -th record values subject to (r + 1)-th record values, record mean function, from a distribution of discrete type. We give some properties of the record mean function and an explicit expression for the distribution function based on its record mean function, which allows us to characterize particular discrete distributions using the record mean functions. Received: January 4, 1999; revised version: September 27, 1999     

The Two-Piece Normal-Laplace Distribution

This article considers the two-piece normal-Laplace (TPNL) distribution, a split skew distribution consisting of a normal part, and a Laplace part. The distribution is indexed by three parameters, representing location, scale, and shape. As illustrated with several examples, the TPNL family of distributions provides a useful alternative to other families of asymmetric distributions on the real line. However, because the likelihood function is not well behaved, standard theory of maximum-likelihood (ML) estimation does not apply to the TPNL family. In particular, the likelihood function can have multiple local maxima. We provide a procedure for computing ML estimators, and prove consistency and asymptotic normality of ML estimators, using non standard methods.     

Modelling of unexpected shift in SPC

Optimal statistical process control (SPC) requires models of both in-control and out-of-control process states. Whereas a normal distribution is the generally accepted model for the in-control state, there is a doubt as to the existence of reliable models for out-of-control cases. Various process models, available in the literature, for discrete manufacturing systems (parts industry) can be treated as bounded discrete-space Markov chains, completely characterized by the original in-control state and a transition matrix for shifts to an out-of-control state. The present work extends these models by using a continuous-state Markov chain, incorporating non-random corrective actions. These actions are to be realized according to the SPC technique and should substantially affect the model. The developed stochastic model yields a Laplace distribution of a process mean. An alternative approach, based on the Information theory, also results in a Laplace distribution. Real-data tests confirm the applicability of a Laplace distribution for the parts industry and show that the distribution parameter is mainly controlled by the SPC sample size.     

General characterization theorems via the mean absolute deviation

The Chernoff–Borovkov–Utev inequality resulted owing to earlier inequalities established by Chernoff (1981) and Borovkov and Utev (1983), respectively, giving bounds for the variance of functions of normal r.v.’s and leading to characterizations of normality. Subsequently, several analytic properties of variance bounds and other relevant results were established by others. Defining the mean absolute deviation (about a median) as E|X−med(X)| where med(X) is a median of the distribution of the random variable X, Freimer and Mudholkar (1991) gave a bound for the mean absolute deviation of a certain real-valued function of an absolutely continuous random variable (w.r.t. Lebesgue measure) and Korwar (1991) presented an analogue of this in the discrete case; these authors, also, characterized the Laplace and a mixture of two Waring distributions via the respective bounds.We extend these latter results theorems to the case where the distributions are not necessarily purely discrete or absolutely continuous, via the approach of Alharbi and Shanbhag (1996). The results in Freimer and Mudholkar (1991) and Korwar (1991) are now corollaries to our findings. Also, following Alharbi and Shanbhag (1996), we relate these results to the modified version of Cox’s representation for a survival function in terms of the hazard measure, given in Kotz and Shanbhag (1980). (The original version of the representation mentioned had appeared in Cox (1972).)     

A novel Bayesian regression model for counts with an application to health data

Discrete data are collected in many application areas and are often characterised by highly-skewed distributions. An example of this, which is considered in this paper, is the number of visits to a specialist, often taken as a measure of demand in healthcare. A discrete Weibull regression model was recently proposed for regression problems with a discrete response and it was shown to possess desirable properties. In this paper, we propose the first Bayesian implementation of this model. We consider a general parametrization, where both parameters of the discrete Weibull distribution can be conditioned on the predictors, and show theoretically how, under a uniform non-informative prior, the posterior distribution is proper with finite moments. In addition, we consider closely the case of Laplace priors for parameter shrinkage and variable selection. Parameter estimates and their credible intervals can be readily calculated from their full posterior distribution. A simulation study and the analysis of four real datasets of medical records show promises for the wide applicability of this approach to the analysis of count data. The method is implemented in the R package BDWreg.     

Laplace approximations to posterior moments and marginal distributions on circles,spheres, and cylinders

We extend recent work on Laplace approximations (Tierney and Kadane 1986; Tierney, Kass, and Kadane 1989) from parameter spaces that are subspaces of R^k to those that are on circles, spheres, and cylinders. While such distributions can be mapped onto the real line (for example, a distribution on the circle can be thought of as a function of an angle θ, 0 ? 0 ? 2π), that the end points coincide is not a feature of the real line, and requires special treatment. Laplace approximations on the real line make essential use of the normal integral in both the numerator and the denominator. Here that role is played by the von Mises integral on the circle, by the Bingham integrals on the spheres and hyperspheres, and by the normal-von Mises and normal-Bingham integrals on the cylinders and hypercylinders, respectively. We begin with a brief introduction to Laplace approximations and to previous Bayesian work on circles, spheres, and cylinders. We then develop the theory for parameter spaces that are hypercylinders, since all other shapes considered here are special cases. We compute some examples, which show reasonable accuracy even for small samples.     

Application of a predictive distribution formula to Bayesian computation for incomplete data models

We consider exact and approximate Bayesian computation in the presence of latent variables or missing data. Specifically we explore the application of a posterior predictive distribution formula derived in Sweeting And Kharroubi (2003), which is a particular form of Laplace approximation, both as an importance function and a proposal distribution. We show that this formula provides a stable importance function for use within poor man’s data augmentation schemes and that it can also be used as a proposal distribution within a Metropolis-Hastings algorithm for models that are not analytically tractable. We illustrate both uses in the case of a censored regression model and a normal hierarchical model, with both normal and Student t distributed random effects. Although the predictive distribution formula is motivated by regular asymptotic theory, it is not necessary that the likelihood has a closed form or that it possesses a local maximum.     

One sided acceptance sampling by variables: the case of the laplace distribution

The theory of acceptance sampling by variables is well known when the underlying distribution is normal. When the normality assumption is not true, using the usual normal case method can be quite misleading. In this paper we deal with the Laplace distribution for both the standard deviation known and then unknown. We establish a decision rule for accepting a lot of product containing a defective proportion p. We determine the density function of the decision rule statistic, for small and large sample sizes. We give some practical ways to choose the sample size and the acceptance constant to obtain a desired operating characteristic curve     

On the two-parameter Bell–Touchard discrete distribution

Abstract

In this paper we introduce a new two-parameter discrete distribution which may be useful for modeling count data. Additionally, the probability mass function is very simple and it may have a zero vertex. We show that the new discrete distribution is a particular solution of a multiple Poisson process, and that it is infinitely divisible. Additionally, various structural properties of the new discrete distribution are derived. We also discuss two methods (moments and maximum likelihood) to estimate the model parameters. The usefulness of the proposed distribution is illustrated by means of real data sets to prove its versatility in practical applications.     

Maximum likelihood estimation of linear continuous time long memory processes with discrete time data

Summary.  We develop a new class of time continuous autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average (CARFIMA) models which are useful for modelling regularly spaced and irregu-larly spaced discrete time long memory data. We derive the autocovariance function of a stationary CARFIMA model and study maximum likelihood estimation of a regression model with CARFIMA errors, based on discrete time data and via the innovations algorithm. It is shown that the maximum likelihood estimator is asymptotically normal, and its finite sample properties are studied through simulation. The efficacy of the approach proposed is demonstrated with a data set from an environmental study.     

The discrete delta and nabla Mittag-Leffler distributions

In this paper, we extend Bernstein theorem by using basic tools of calculus on time scales, and, as a further application of it, the discrete nabla and delta Mittag-Leffler distributions are introduced here with respect to their Laplace transforms on the discrete time scale. For these discrete distributions, infinite divisibility and geometric infinite divisibility are proved along with some statistical properties. The delta and nabla Mittag-Leffler processes are defined.     

Characterization of discrete populations through conditional expectations of order statistics

In this paper we give some properties of the expected values of any order statistic when one of its adjacent order statistics is known (order mean function) from a sequence of sizen of independent and identically distributed random variables with discrete distribution. Furthermore, we obtain the explicit expressions of the distribution from these order mean functions, and finally, we show the necessary and sufficient conditions for any real function to be an order mean function. We also add some examples of characterization of discrete distributions from the order mean functions. Partially supported by Consejería de Cultura y Educación (C.A.R.M.), under Grant PIB 95/90.     

Discrete associated kernels method and extensions

Discrete kernel estimation of a probability mass function (p.m.f.), often mentioned in the literature, has been far less investigated in comparison with continuous kernel estimation of a probability density function (p.d.f.). In this paper, we are concerned with a general methodology of discrete kernels for smoothing a p.m.f. f. We give a basic of mathematical tools for further investigations. First, we point out a generalizable notion of discrete associated kernel which is defined at each point of the support of f and built from any parametric discrete probability distribution. Then, some properties of the corresponding estimators are shown, in particular pointwise and global (asymptotical) properties. Other discrete kernels are constructed from usual discrete probability distributions such as Poisson, binomial and negative binomial. For small samples sizes, underdispersed discrete kernel estimators are more interesting than the empirical estimator; thus, an importance of discrete kernels is illustrated. The choice of smoothing bandwidth is classically investigated according to cross-validation and, novelly, to excess of zeros methods. Finally, a unification way of this method concerning the general probability function is discussed.     

Gibbs sampling methods for Bayesian quantile regression

This paper considers quantile regression models using an asymmetric Laplace distribution from a Bayesian point of view. We develop a simple and efficient Gibbs sampling algorithm for fitting the quantile regression model based on a location-scale mixture representation of the asymmetric Laplace distribution. It is shown that the resulting Gibbs sampler can be accomplished by sampling from either normal or generalized inverse Gaussian distribution. We also discuss some possible extensions of our approach, including the incorporation of a scale parameter, the use of double exponential prior, and a Bayesian analysis of Tobit quantile regression. The proposed methods are illustrated by both simulated and real data.     

Pareto Poisson–Lindley distribution with applications

A new lifetime distribution is introduced based on compounding Pareto and Poisson–Lindley distributions. Several statistical properties of the distribution are established, including behavior of the probability density function and the failure rate function, heavy- and long-right tailedness, moments, the Laplace transform, quantiles, order statistics, moments of residual lifetime, conditional moments, conditional moment generating function, stress–strength parameter, Rényi entropy and Song's measure. We get maximum-likelihood estimators of the distribution parameters and investigate the asymptotic distribution of the estimators via Fisher's information matrix. Applications of the distribution using three real data sets are presented and it is shown that the distribution fits better than other related distributions in practical uses.     

中国股指收益率的非对称拉普拉斯分布实证检验

应用非对称拉普拉斯分布拟合沪深两市股指日、周收益率数据。研究结果表明:非对称拉普拉斯分布能够比正态分布更好地反映两市股指的日、周收益率数据的尖峰、厚尾、偏态特征。由于非对称拉普拉斯分布有显性的表达式,便于开展参数估计和数字特征的计算,因此对于股指期货投资者而言,在计算股指收益率的VaR、CVaR进行风险测量时,采用非对称拉普拉斯分布将是较好的选择。