Visualization and Bandwidth Matrix Choice

In this study we compare three estimators of the extreme value index: Pickands estimator, the moment estimator and a maximum likelihood estimator. The estimators are explored both theoretically and by Monte Carlo simulation. We obtain two estimators for large quantiles using Pickands and the maximum likelihood estimators. The latter and one based on the moment estimator are then compared through simulation.     

Efficient M-estimators with auxiliary information

This paper introduces a new class of M-estimators based on generalised empirical likelihood (GEL) estimation with some auxiliary information available in the sample. The resulting class of estimators is efficient in the sense that it achieves the same asymptotic lower bound as that of the efficient generalised method of moment (GMM) estimator with the same auxiliary information. The paper also shows that in case of smooth estimating equations the proposed estimators enjoy a small second order bias property compared to both efficient GMM and full GEL estimators. Analytical formulae to obtain bias corrected estimators are also provided. Simulations show that with correctly specified auxiliary information the proposed estimators and in particular those based on empirical likelihood outperform standard M and efficient GMM estimators both in terms of finite sample bias and efficiency. On the other hand with moderately misspecified auxiliary information estimators based on the nonparametric tilting method are typically characterised by the best finite sample properties.     

On the asymptotic non‐equivalence of efficient‐GMM and MEL estimators in models with missing data

The generalized method of moments (GMM) and empirical likelihood (EL) are popular methods for combining sample and auxiliary information. These methods are used in very diverse fields of research, where competing theories often suggest variables satisfying different moment conditions. Results in the literature have shown that the efficient‐GMM (GMM_E) and maximum empirical likelihood (MEL) estimators have the same asymptotic distribution to order n^?1/2 and that both estimators are asymptotically semiparametric efficient. In this paper, we demonstrate that when data are missing at random from the sample, the utilization of some well‐known missing‐data handling approaches proposed in the literature can yield GMM_E and MEL estimators with nonidentical properties; in particular, it is shown that the GMM_E estimator is semiparametric efficient under all the missing‐data handling approaches considered but that the MEL estimator is not always efficient. A thorough examination of the reason for the nonequivalence of the two estimators is presented. A particularly strong feature of our analysis is that we do not assume smoothness in the underlying moment conditions. Our results are thus relevant to situations involving nonsmooth estimating functions, including quantile and rank regressions, robust estimation, the estimation of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, and so on.     

Estimation of the Length Distribution of Marine Populations in the Gaussian-multinomial Setting using the Method of Moments

In this paper, the problem of estimation of the length distribution of marine populations in the Gaussian-multinomial model is considered. For the purpose of the mean and covariance parameter estimation, the method of moments estimators are developed. That is, minimum variance linear unbiased estimator for the mean frequency vector is derived and a consistent estimator for the covariance matrix of the length observations is presented. The usefulness of the proposed estimators is illustrated with an analysis of real cod length measurement data.     

Small sample study on estimators of life distributions and of mean survival times using randomly censored data

Whereas large-sample properties of the estimators of survival distributions using censored data have been studied by many authors, exact results for small samples have been difficult to obtain. In this paper we obtain the exact expression for the ath moment (a > 0) of the Bayes estimator of survival distribution using the censored data under proportional hazard model. Using the exact expression we compute the exact mean, variance and MSE of the Bayes estimator. Also two estimators ofthe mean survival time based on the Kaplan-Meier estimator and the Bayes estimator are compared for small samples under proportional hazards.     

Moment estimators for the beta-binomial distribution

A new moment estimator of the dispersion parameter of the beta-binomial distribution is proposed. It is derived by the method of moments which is constrained to satisfy the unbiasedness of the estimating equation. It gives a better performance than those of the usual moment estimators and the stabilized moment estimator proposed by Tamura & Young. The bias of the estimator is smaller than that of the maximum likelihood estimate in a wide range of parameter space.     

The performance of alternative estimators for the probit model with first-order serial correlation 1

The purpose of the paper is to evaluate the relative performance of two generalized conditional moment (GCM) estimators in terms of their mean squared errors, for the Probit model with first-order serial correlation. The first estimator is a linearized one-step estimator described by Poirier and Ruud (1988). The second one is defined in the present paper. Monte Car10 experiments suggest that the GCM estimators outperform the ordinary Probit estimator. The two GCM estimators do almost equally well, except that the second one may be easier to calculate, especially in large samples.     

The empirical Bayes estimators of the parameter of the Poisson distribution with a conjugate gamma prior under Stein's loss function

For the hierarchical Poisson and gamma model, we calculate the Bayes posterior estimator of the parameter of the Poisson distribution under Stein's loss function which penalizes gross overestimation and gross underestimation equally and the corresponding Posterior Expected Stein's Loss (PESL). We also obtain the Bayes posterior estimator of the parameter under the squared error loss and the corresponding PESL. Moreover, we obtain the empirical Bayes estimators of the parameter of the Poisson distribution with a conjugate gamma prior by two methods. In numerical simulations, we have illustrated: The two inequalities of the Bayes posterior estimators and the PESLs; the moment estimators and the Maximum Likelihood Estimators (MLEs) are consistent estimators of the hyperparameters; the goodness-of-fit of the model to the simulated data. The numerical results indicate that the MLEs are better than the moment estimators when estimating the hyperparameters. Finally, we exploit the attendance data on 314 high school juniors from two urban high schools to illustrate our theoretical studies.     

Computational comparison of the general weighted moments estimators of the scale parameter of a Pareto distribution with a known shape parameter with other estimators based on a multiply type II-censored sample

Wu et al. [Computational comparison for weighted moments estimators and BLUE of the scale parameter of a Pareto distribution with known shape parameter under type II multiply censored sample, Appl. Math. Comput. 181 (2006), pp. 1462–1470] proposed the weighted moments estimators (WMEs) of the scale parameter of a Pareto distribution with known shape parameter on a multiply type II-censored sample. They claimed that some WMEs are better than the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE) based on the exact mean-squared error (MSE). In this paper, the general WME (GWME) is proposed and the computational comparison of the proposed estimator with the WMEs and BLUE is done on the basis of the exact MSE for given sample sizes and different censoring schemes. As a result, the GWME is performing better than the best estimator among 12 WMEs and BLUE for all cases. Therefore, GWME is recommended for use. At last, one example is given to demonstrate the proposed GWME.     

A bias-reduced estimator for the mean of a heavy-tailed distribution with an infinite second moment

We use bias-reduced estimators of high quantiles of heavy-tailed distributions, to introduce a new estimator for the mean in the case of infinite second moment. The asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator is established and checked in a simulation study, by four of the most popular goodness-of-fit tests. The accuracy of the resulting confidence intervals is evaluated as well. We also investigate the finite sample behavior and compare our estimator with some versions of Peng's estimator of the mean (namely those based on Hill, t-Hill and Huisman et al. extreme value index estimators). Moreover, we discuss the robustness of the tail index estimators used in this paper. Finally, our estimation procedure is applied to the well-known Danish fire insurance claims data set, to provide confidence bounds for the means of weekly and monthly maximum losses over a period of 10 years.     

A Non‐Parametric Estimator of the Spectral Density of a Continuous‐Time Gaussian Process Observed at Random Times

Abstract. In numerous applications data are observed at random times and an estimated graph of the spectral density may be relevant for characterizing and explaining phenomena. By using a wavelet analysis, one derives a non‐parametric estimator of the spectral density of a Gaussian process with stationary increments (or a stationary Gaussian process) from the observation of one path at random discrete times. For every positive frequency, this estimator is proved to satisfy a central limit theorem with a convergence rate depending on the roughness of the process and the moment of random durations between successive observations. In the case of stationary Gaussian processes, one can compare this estimator with estimators based on the empirical periodogram. Both estimators reach the same optimal rate of convergence, but the estimator based on wavelet analysis converges for a different class of random times. Simulation examples and an application to biological data are also provided.     

Unbiased Estimation of Central Moments by using U-statistics

We obtain an estimator of the r th central moment of a distribution, which is unbiased for all distributions for which the first r moments exist. We do this by finding the kernel which allows the r th central moment to be written as a regular statistical functional. The U-statistic associated with this kernel is the unique symmetric unbiased estimator of the r th central moment, and, for each distribution, it has minimum variance among all estimators which are unbiased for all these distributions.     

ESTIMATION OF MULTIVARIATE SHANNON ENTROPY USING MOMENTS

Three new entropy estimators of multivariate distributions are introduced. The two cases considered here concern when the distribution is supported by a unit sphere and by a unit cube. In the former case, the consistency and the upper bound of the absolute error for the proposed entropy estimator are established. In the latter one, under the assumption that only the moments of the underlying distribution are available, a non‐traditional estimator of the entropy is suggested. We also study the practical performances of the constructed estimators through simulation studies and compare the estimators based on the moment‐recovered approaches with their counterparts derived by using the histogram and k th nearest neighbour constructions. In addition, one worked example is briefly discussed.     

First‐order bias correction for fractionally integrated time series

Most of the long memory estimators for stationary fractionally integrated time series models are known to experience non‐negligible bias in small and finite samples. Simple moment estimators are also vulnerable to such bias, but can easily be corrected. In this article, the authors propose bias reduction methods for a lag‐one sample autocorrelation‐based moment estimator. In order to reduce the bias of the moment estimator, the authors explicitly obtain the exact bias of lag‐one sample autocorrelation up to the order n⁻¹. An example where the exact first‐order bias can be noticeably more accurate than its asymptotic counterpart, even for large samples, is presented. The authors show via a simulation study that the proposed methods are promising and effective in reducing the bias of the moment estimator with minimal variance inflation. The proposed methods are applied to the northern hemisphere data. The Canadian Journal of Statistics 37: 476–493; 2009 © 2009 Statistical Society of Canada     

Time series count data regression

The count data model studied in the paper extends the Poisson model by al-lowing for overdispersion and serial correlation. Alternative approaches to esti-mate nuisance parameters, required for the correction of the Poisson maximum likelihood covariance matrix estimator and for a quasi-likelihood estimator, are studied. The estimators are evaluated by finite sample Monte Carlo experi-mentation. It is found that the Poisson maximum likelihood estimator with corrected covariance matrix estimators provide reliable inferences for longer time series. Overdispersion test statistics are wellbehaved, while conventional portmanteau statistics for white noise have too large sizes. Two empirical illustrations are included.     

Moment properties of estimators for a type 1 extreme-value regression model

A regression model is considered in which the response variable has a type 1 extreme-value distribution for smallest values. Bias approximations for the maximum likelihood estimators are pivm and a bias reduction estimator for the scale parameter is proposed. The small sample moment properties of the maximum likelihood estimators are compared with the properties of the ordinary least squares estimators and the best linear unbiased estimators based on order statistics for grouped data.     

SB-Robust Estimators of the Parameters of the Wrapped Normal Distribution

In this article, we study the SB-robustness of various estimators of the mean direction (μ) and the concentration parameter (ρ) of the wrapped normal distribution. The functional corresponding to the sample mean direction is seen to be not SB-robust as an estimator of μ at the family of wrapped normal distributions with varying ρ, whereas the γ-trimmed mean direction is SB-robust at the same family of distributions for the different dispersion measures considered in this article. We also study the SB-robustness of the moment estimator of ρ and also that for a newly introduced trimmed estimator of ρ.     

An estimator of population total in multiple characteristics and its robustness to product moment correlation coefficient

We developed an alternative estimator for the probability proportional to size with replacement sampling scheme when certain characteristics under study have low correlation with the size measured used for sample selection. The performance of the proposed estimator has been studied with other related alternative estimators by comparing biases and the variances of respective alternative estimators. Most of the alternative estimators assume the knowledge of the product moment correlation coefficient. Therefore an empirical study, with the help of wide variety of populations, has been carried out to study their respective efficiency when correlation coefficient is departed from its true value.     

On the existence of unbiased estimators for the portfolio weights obtained by maximizing the Sharpe ratio

We consider the problem of estimating the portfolio weights obtained by maximizing the Sharpe ratio. Assuming that the underlying asset returns are independent and multivariate normally distributed, Okhrin and Schmid (J. Econom. 134:235–256, 2006) showed that the frequently used sample estimators of these weights do not have a first moment. This paper proves that an unbiased estimator of the Sharpe ratio portfolio weights does not exist at all. Moreover, we show that there is no asymptotically unbiased estimator of these weights within the family of estimators which are bounded by cylinder functions.     

动态面板阈模型的一种序贯两步估计

动态面板阈模型可以刻画经济变量动态调整过程的非对称性,在实证分析中有广泛的运用,但阈值参数的引入同时增加了参数估计的困难,理论上尚有许多问题没有解决。针对此类模型,本文提出了一种简单而实用的序贯两步估计方法,首先利用格点搜索获得阈值参数的一致估计,基于该参数对数据结构进行合理划分并引入不同类型的矩条件,然后利用广义矩方法获得自回归参数的估计。理论研究与模拟结果表明,序贯两步估计具有良好的大样本性质和有限样本表现;与现有文献的方法相比,序贯两步估计能够有效避免不同类型参数估计偏差的相互影响,减小估计量的偏差与均方根误差。