New results on the likelihood ratio and score tests for the von Mises distribution

In this paper, we derive Bartlett and Bartlett-type corrections [G.M. Cordeiro and S.L.P. Ferrari 1991, A modified score test statistic having chi-squared distribution to order n ^?1 , Biometrika 78 (1991), pp. 573–582] to improve the likelihood ratio and Rao's score statistics for testing the mean parameter and the concentration parameter in the von Mises distribution. Simple formulae are suggested for the corrections valid for small and large values of the concentration parameter that do not depend on the modified Bessel functions and can be useful in practical applications.     

On bartlett and bartlett-type corrections francisco cribari-neto

This paper reviews the literature on Bartlett and Bartlett-type corrections. It focuses on the corrections to the likelihood ratio, score and Wald test statistics. Three different Bartlett-type corrections which are equivalent to order n-1, n being the sample size, are compared through simulation. One of the forms displayed superior behavior both in terms of size and power. We also use Monte Carlo simulation to examine the effect of independent variables and the impact of the number of nuisance parameters on the finite-sample behavior of some asymptotic econometric criteria in regression models.     

On bartlett and bartlett-type corrections francisco cribari-neto

This paper reviews the literature on Bartlett and Bartlett-type corrections. It focuses on the corrections to the likelihood ratio, score and Wald test statistics. Three different Bartlett-type corrections which are equivalent to order n-1, n being the sample size, are compared through simulation. One of the forms displayed superior behavior both in terms of size and power. We also use Monte Carlo simulation to examine the effect of independent variables and the impact of the number of nuisance parameters on the finite-sample behavior of some asymptotic econometric criteria in regression models.     

BARTLETT CORRECTED LIKELIHOOD RATIO TESTS IN LOCATION-SCALE NONLINEAR MODELS

The paper derives Bartlett corrections for improving the chisquare approximation to the likelihood ratio statistics in a class of location-scale family of distributions, which encompasses the elliptical family of distributions and also asymmetric distributions such as the extreme value distributions. We present, in matrix notation, a Bartlett corrected likelihood ratio statistic for testing that a subset of the nonlinear regression coefficients in this class of models equals a given vector of constants. The formulae derived are simple enough to be used analytically to obtain several Bartlett corrections in a variety of important models. We show that these formulae generalize a number of previously published results. We also present simulation results comparing the sizes and powers of the usual likelihood ratio tests and their Bartlett corrected versions when the scale parameter is considered known and when this parameter is uncorrectly specified.     

Bartlett-corrected tests for normal linear models when the error covariance matrix is nonscaiar

This paper provides Bartlett corrections to improve likelihood ratio tests for heteroskedastic normal linear models when the error covariance matrix is nonscaiar and depends on a set of unknown parameters. The Bartlett corrections are simple enough to be used algebraically to obtain several closed-form expressions in special cases. The corrections have also advantages for numerical purposes because they involve only simple operations on matrices and vectors.     

On bootstrap testing inference in cure rate models

Survival models deal with the time until the occurrence of an event of interest. However, in some situations the event may not occur in part of the studied population. The fraction of the population that will never experience the event of interest is generally called cure rate. Models that consider this fact (cure rate models) have been extensively studied in the literature. Hypothesis testing on the parameters of these models can be performed based on likelihood ratio, gradient, score or Wald statistics. Critical values of these tests are obtained through approximations that are valid in large samples and may result in size distortion in small or moderate sample sizes. In this sense, this paper proposes bootstrap corrections to the four mentioned tests and bootstrap Bartlett correction for the likelihood ratio statistic in the Weibull promotion time model. Besides, we present an algorithm for bootstrap resampling when the data presents cure fraction and right censoring time (random and non-informative). Simulation studies are conducted to compare the finite sample performances of the corrected tests. The numerical evidence favours the corrected tests we propose. We also present an application in an actual data set.     

C472. The expected value of a conditional variance: An upper bound

The article derives Bartlett corrections for improving the chi-square approximation to the likelihood ratio statistics in a class of symmetric nonlinear regression models. This is a wide class of models which encompasses the t model and several other symmetric distributions with longer-than normal tails. In this paper we present, in matrix notation, Bartlett corrections to likelihood ratio statistics in nonlinear regression models with errors that follow a symmetric distribution. We generalize the results obtained by Ferrari, S. L. P. and Arellano-Valle, R. B. (1996). Modified likelihood ratio and score tests in linear regression models using the t distribution. Braz. J. Prob. Statist., 10, 15–33, who considered a t distribution for the errors, and by Ferrari, S. L. P. and Uribe-Opazo, M. A. (2001). Corrected likelihood ratio tests in a class of symmetric linear regression models. Braz. J. Prob. Statist., 15, 49–67, who considered a symmetric linear regression model. The formulae derived are simple enough to be used analytically to obtain several Bartlett corrections in a variety of important models. We also present simulation results comparing the sizes and powers of the usual likelihood ratio tests and their Bartlett corrected versions.     

Bartlett-type adjustments for empirical discrepancy test statistics

This paper derives two Bartlett-type adjustments that can be used to obtain higher-order improvements to the distribution of the class of empirical discrepancy test statistics recently introduced by Corcoran (Biometrika 85 (1998) 967) as a generalisation of Owen's (Biometrika 36 (1988) 237) empirical likelihood. The corrections are illustrated in the context of the so-called Cressie–Read goodness-of-fit statistic (Biometrika 85 (1998) 535), and their effectiveness in finite samples is evaluated using simulations.     

On the corrections to information matrix tests

This paper addresses the issue of designing finite-sample corrections to information matrix tests. We review a Cornish-Fisher correction that has been propowed elsewhere and propose an alternative, Bartlett-type correction. Simulation results for skewness, excess kurtosis, normality and heteroskedasticity tests are given.     

Likelihood Ratio Tests for Fixed Model Terms using Residual Maximum Likelihood

Likelihood ratio tests for fixed model terms are proposed for the analysis of linear mixed models when using residual maximum likelihood estimation. Bartlett-type adjustments, using an approximate decomposition of the data, are developed for the test statistics. A simulation study is used to compare properties of the test statistics proposed, with or without adjustment, with a Wald test. A proposed test statistic constructed by dropping fixed terms from the full fixed model is shown to give a better approximation to the asymptotic χ²-distribution than the Wald test for small data sets. Bartlett adjustment is shown to improve the χ²-approximation for the proposed tests substantially.     

Performance of bartlett adjustment for certain likelihood ratio tests

The effectiveness of Bartlett adjustment, using one of several methods of deriving a Bartlett factor, in improving the chi-squared approximation to the distribution of the log likelihood ratio statistic is investigated by computer simulation in three situations of practical interest:tests of equality of exponential distributions, equality of normal distributions and equality of coefficients of variation of normal distributions.     

Second‐order Accurate Confidence Regions Based on Members of the Generalized Power Divergence Family

Recently, a technique based on pseudo‐observations has been proposed to tackle the so‐called convex hull problem for the empirical likelihood statistic. The resulting adjusted empirical likelihood also achieves the high‐order precision of the Bartlett correction. Nevertheless, the technique induces an upper bound on the resulting statistic that may lead, in certain circumstances, to worthless confidence regions equal to the whole parameter space. In this paper, we show that suitable pseudo‐observations can be deployed to make each element of the generalized power divergence family Bartlett‐correctable and released from the convex hull problem. Our approach is conceived to achieve this goal by means of two distinct sets of pseudo‐observations with different tasks. An important effect of our formulation is to provide a solution that permits to overcome the problem of the upper bound. The proposal, which effectiveness is confirmed by simulation results, gives back attractiveness to a broad class of statistics that potentially contains good alternatives to the empirical likelihood.     

Higher-order Bartlett-type adjustment

This paper deals with Bartlett-type adjustment which makes all the terms up to order n^−k in the asymptotic expansion vanish, where k is an integer k ⩾ 1 and n depends on the sample size. Extending Cordeiro and Ferrari (1991, Biometrika, 78, 573–582) for the case of k = 1, we derive a general formula of the kth-order Bartlett-type adjustment for the test statistic whose kth-order asymptotic expansion of the distribution is given by a finite linear combination of chi-squared distribution with suitable degrees of freedom. Two examples of the second-order Bartlett-type adjustment are given. We also elucidate the connection between Bartlett-type adjustment and Cornish-Fisher expansion.     

Bootstrap-based inferential improvements in beta autoregressive moving average model

We consider the issue of performing accurate small sample inference in beta autoregressive moving average model, which is useful for modeling and forecasting continuous variables that assume values in the interval (0,?1). The inferences based on conditional maximum likelihood estimation have good asymptotic properties, but their performances in small samples may be poor. This way, we propose bootstrap bias corrections of the point estimators and different bootstrap strategies for confidence interval improvements. Our Monte Carlo simulations show that finite sample inference based on bootstrap corrections is much more reliable than the usual inferences. We also presented an empirical application.     

Level-specific correction for nonparametric likelihoods

The popular empirical likelihood method not only has a convenient chi-square limiting distribution but is also Bartlett correctable, leading to a high-order coverage precision of the resulting confidence regions. Meanwhile, it is one of many nonparametric likelihoods in the Cressie–Read power divergence family. The other likelihoods share many attractive properties but are not Bartlett correctable. In this paper, we develop a new technique to achieve the effect of being Bartlett correctable. Our technique is generally applicable to pivotal quantities with chi-square limiting distributions. Numerical experiments and an example reveal that the method is successful for several important nonparametric likelihoods.     

Performance of a bartlett-type modification for the deviance

Cordeiro (1983) has derived the expected value of the deviance for generalized linear models correct to terms of order n ^-1 being the sample size. Then a Bartlett-type factor is available for correcting the first moment of the deviance and for fitting its distribution. If the model is correct, the deviance is not, in general, distributed as chi-squared even asymptotically and very little is known about the adequacy of the X ² approximation. This paper through simulation studies examines the behaviour of the deviance and a Bartlett adjusted deviance for testing the goodness-of-fit of a generalized linear model. The practical use of such adjustment is illustrated for some gamma and Poisson models. It is suggested that the null distribution of the adjusted deviance is better approximated by chi-square than the distribution of the deviance.     

Bias Reduction for the Maximum Likelihood Estimators of the Parameters in the Half-Logistic Distribution

We derive analytic expressions for the biases of the maximum likelihood estimators of the scale parameter in the half-logistic distribution with known location, and of the location parameter when the latter is unknown. Using these expressions to bias-correct the estimators is highly effective, without adverse consequences for estimation mean squared error. The overall performance of the first of these bias-corrected estimators is slightly better than that of a bootstrap bias-corrected estimator. The bias-corrected estimator of the location parameter significantly out-performs its bootstrapped-based counterpart. Taking computational costs into account, the analytic bias corrections clearly dominate the use of the bootstrap.