Quantile regression in varying coefficient models

This paper deals with the estimation of conditional quantiles in varying coefficient models by estimating the coefficients. Varying coefficient models are among popular models that have been proposed to alleviate the curse of dimensionality. Previous works on varying coefficient models deal with conditional means directly or indirectly. However, quantiles themselves can be defined without moment conditions and plotting several conditional quantiles would give us more understanding of the data than plotting just the conditional mean. Particularly, we estimate the conditional median by estimating varying coefficients by local L₁ regression.     

Generalised regression estimation via the bootstrap

A generalised regression estimation procedure is proposed that can lead to much improved estimation of population characteristics, such as quantiles, variances and coefficients of variation. The method involves conditioning on the discrepancy between an estimate of an auxiliary parameter and its known population value. The key distributional assumption is joint asymptotic normality of the estimates of the target and auxiliary parameters. This assumption implies that the relationship between the estimated target and the estimated auxiliary parameters is approximately linear with coefficients determined by their asymptotic covariance matrix. The main contribution of this paper is the use of the bootstrap to estimate these coefficients, which avoids the need for parametric distributional assumptions. First‐order correct conditional confidence intervals based on asymptotic normality can be improved upon using quantiles of a conditional double bootstrap approximation to the distribution of the studentised target parameter estimate.     

Composite quantile regression for varying-coefficient single-index models

ABSTRACT

The varying-coefficient single-index model (VCSIM) is a very general and flexible tool for exploring the relationship between a response variable and a set of predictors. Popular special cases include single-index models and varying-coefficient models. In order to estimate the index-coefficient and the non parametric varying-coefficients in the VCSIM, we propose a two-stage composite quantile regression estimation procedure, which integrates the local linear smoothing method and the information of quantile regressions at a number of conditional quantiles of the response variable. We establish the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimators for the index-coefficient and varying-coefficients when the error is heterogeneous. When compared with the existing mean-regression-based estimation method, our simulation results indicate that our proposed method has comparable performance for normal error and is more robust for error with outliers or heavy tail. We illustrate our methodologies with a real example.     

On nonparametric regression estimators based on regression quantiles

In the ciassical regression model Y_i=h(x_i) + ? _i, i=1,…,n, Cheng (1984) introduced linear combinations of regression quantiles as a new class of estimators for the unknown regression function h(x). The asymptotic properties studied in Cheng (1984) are reconsidered. We obtain a sharper scrong consistency rate and we improve on the conditions for asymptotic normality by proving a new result on the remainder term in the Bahadur representation for regression quantiles.     

Trimmed least squares estimator as best trimmed linear conditional estimator for linear regression model

A class of trimmed linear conditional estimators based on regression quantiles for the linear regression model is introduced. This class serves as a robust analogue of non-robust linear unbiased estimators. Asymptotic analysis then shows that the trimmed least squares estimator based on regression quantiles ( Koenker and Bassett ( 1978 ) ) is the best in this estimator class in terms of asymptotic covariance matrices. The class of trimmed linear conditional estimators contains the Mallows-type bounded influence trimmed means ( see De Jongh et al ( 1988 ) ) and trimmed instrumental variables estimators. A large sample methodology based on trimmed instrumental variables estimator for confidence ellipsoids and hypothesis testing is also provided.     

Bootstrapping quantiles in a fixed design regression model with censored data

We consider the problem of estimating the quantiles of a distribution function in a fixed design regression model in which the observations are subject to random right censoring. The quantile estimator is defined via a conditional Kaplan-Meier type estimator for the distribution at a given design point. We establish an a.s. asymptotic representation for this quantile estimator, from which we obtain its asymptotic normality. Because a complicated estimation procedure is necessary for estimating the asymptotic bias and variance, we use a resampling procedure, which provides us, via an asymptotic representation for the bootstrapped estimator, with an alternative for the normal approximation.     

Censored quantile regression for residual lifetimes

We propose a regression method that studies covariate effects on the conditional quantiles of residual lifetimes at a certain followup time point. This can be particularly useful in cancer studies, where more patients survive cancers initially and a patient’s residual life expectancy is used to compare the efficacy of secondary or adjuvant therapies. The new method provides a consistent estimator that often exhibits smaller standard error in real and simulated examples, compared to the existing method of Jung et al. (2009). It also provides a simple empirical likelihood inference method that does not require estimating the covariance matrix of the estimator or resampling. We apply the new method to a breast cancer study (NSABP Protocol B-04, Fisher et al. (2002)) and estimate median residual lifetimes at various followup time points, adjusting for important prognostic factors.     

Bounded influence nonlinear signed‐rank regression

In this paper we consider weighted generalized‐signed‐rank estimators of nonlinear regression coefficients. The generalization allows us to include popular estimators such as the least squares and least absolute deviations estimators but by itself does not give bounded influence estimators. Adding weights results in estimators with bounded influence function. We establish conditions needed for the consistency and asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator and discuss how weight functions can be chosen to achieve bounded influence function of the estimator. Real life examples and Monte Carlo simulation experiments demonstrate the robustness and efficiency of the proposed estimator. An example shows that the weighted signed‐rank estimator can be useful to detect outliers in nonlinear regression. The Canadian Journal of Statistics 40: 172–189; 2012 © 2012 Statistical Society of Canada     

Optimum percentile estimating equations for nonlinear random coefficient models

In nonlinear random coefficients models, the means or variances of response variables may not exist. In such cases, commonly used estimation procedures, e.g., (extended) least-squares (LS) and quasi-likelihood methods, are not applicable. This article solves this problem by proposing an estimate based on percentile estimating equations (PEE). This method does not require full distribution assumptions and leads to efficient estimates within the class of unbiased estimating equations. By minimizing the asymptotic variance of the PEE estimates, the optimum percentile estimating equations (OPEE) are derived. Several examples including Weibull regression show the flexibility of the PEE estimates. Under certain regularity conditions, the PEE estimates are shown to be strongly consistent and asymptotic normal, and the OPEE estimates have the minimal asymptotic variance. Compared with the parametric maximum likelihood estimates (MLE), the asymptotic efficiency of the OPEE estimates is more than 98%, while the LS-type of procedures can have infinite variances. When the observations have outliers or do not follow the distributions considered in model assumptions, the article shows that OPEE is more robust than the MLE, and the asymptotic efficiency in the model misspecification cases can be above 150%.     

A resampling method by perturbing the estimating functions for quantile regression with missing data

In this article, we propose a resampling method based on perturbing the estimating functions to compute the asymptotic variances of quantile regression estimators under missing at random condition. We prove that the conditional distributions of the resampling estimators are asymptotically equivalent to the distributions of quantile regression estimators. Our method can deal with complex situations, where the response and part of covariates are missing. Numerical results based on simulated and real data are provided under several designs.     

Estimation of regression parameters in generalized linear models for cluster correlated data with measurement error

Liang and Zeger (1986) introduced a class of estimating equations that gives consistent estimates of regression parameters and of their asymptotic variances in the class of generalized linear models for cluster correlated data. When the independent variables or covariates in such models are subject to measurement errors, the parameter estimates obtained from these estimating equations are no longer consistent. To correct for the effect of measurement errors, an estimator with smaller asymptotic bias is constructed along the lines of Stefanski (1985), assuming that the measurement error variance is either known or estimable. The asymptotic distribution of the bias-corrected estimator and a consistent estimator of its asymptotic variance are also given. The special case of a binary logistic regression model is studied in detail. For this case, methods based on conditional scores and quasilikelihood are also extended to cluster correlated data. Results of a small simulation study on the performance of the proposed estimators and associated tests of hypotheses are reported.     

Regularized robust estimation in binary regression models

In this paper, we investigate robust parameter estimation and variable selection for binary regression models with grouped data. We investigate estimation procedures based on the minimum-distance approach. In particular, we employ minimum Hellinger and minimum symmetric chi-squared distances criteria and propose regularized minimum-distance estimators. These estimators appear to possess a certain degree of automatic robustness against model misspecification and/or for potential outliers. We show that the proposed non-penalized and penalized minimum-distance estimators are efficient under the model and simultaneously have excellent robustness properties. We study their asymptotic properties such as consistency, asymptotic normality and oracle properties. Using Monte Carlo studies, we examine the small-sample and robustness properties of the proposed estimators and compare them with traditional likelihood estimators. We also study two real-data applications to illustrate our methods. The numerical studies indicate the satisfactory finite-sample performance of our procedures.     

The influence function of penalized regression estimators

To perform regression analysis in high dimensions, lasso or ridge estimation are a common choice. However, it has been shown that these methods are not robust to outliers. Therefore, alternatives as penalized M-estimation or the sparse least trimmed squares (LTS) estimator have been proposed. The robustness of these regression methods can be measured with the influence function. It quantifies the effect of infinitesimal perturbations in the data. Furthermore, it can be used to compute the asymptotic variance and the mean-squared error (MSE). In this paper we compute the influence function, the asymptotic variance and the MSE for penalized M-estimators and the sparse LTS estimator. The asymptotic biasedness of the estimators make the calculations non-standard. We show that only M-estimators with a loss function with a bounded derivative are robust against regression outliers. In particular, the lasso has an unbounded influence function.     

MODEL-BASED VARIANCE ESTIMATION IN SURVEYS WITH STRATIFIED CLUSTERED DESIGN

A model-based method for estimating the sampling variances of estimators of (sub-)population means, proportions, quantiles, and regression parameters in surveys with stratified clustered design is described and applied to a survey of US secondary education. The method is compared with the jackknife by a simulation study. The model-based estimators of the sampling variances have much smaller mean squared errors than their jackknife counterparts. In addition, they can be improved by incorporating information about the unknown parameters (variances) from external sources. A regression-based smoothing method for estimating the sampling variances of the estimators for a large number of subpopulation means is proposed. Such smoothing may be invaluable when subpopulations are represented in the sample by only few subjects.     

Efficient quantile regression for heteroscedastic models

Quantile regression (QR) provides estimates of a range of conditional quantiles. This stands in contrast to traditional regression techniques, which focus on a single conditional mean function. Lee et al. [Regularization of case-specific parameters for robustness and efficiency. Statist Sci. 2012;27(3):350–372] proposed efficient QR by rounding the sharp corner of the loss. The main modification generally involves an asymmetric ?₂ adjustment of the loss function around zero. We extend the idea of ?₂ adjusted QR to linear heterogeneous models. The ?₂ adjustment is constructed to diminish as sample size grows. Conditions to retain consistency properties are also provided.     

Quantile regression in longitudinal studies with dropouts and measurement errors

ABSTRACT

Quantile regression models, as an important tool in practice, can describe effects of risk factors on the entire conditional distribution of the response variable with its estimates robust to outliers. However, there is few discussion on quantile regression for longitudinal data with both missing responses and measurement errors, which are commonly seen in practice. We develop a weighted and bias-corrected quantile loss function for the quantile regression with longitudinal data, which allows both missingness and measurement errors. Additionally, we establish the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimator. Simulation studies demonstrate the expected performance in correcting the bias resulted from missingness and measurement errors. Finally, we investigate the Lifestyle Education for Activity and Nutrition study and confirm the effective of intervention in producing weight loss after nine month at the high quantile.     

Simultaneous estimation for non-crossing multiple quantile regression with right censored data

In this paper, we consider the estimation problem of multiple conditional quantile functions with right censored survival data. To account for censoring in estimating a quantile function, weighted quantile regression (WQR) has been developed by using inverse-censoring-probability weights. However, the estimated quantile functions from the WQR often cross each other and consequently violate the basic properties of quantiles. To avoid quantile crossing, we propose non-crossing weighted multiple quantile regression (NWQR), which estimates multiple conditional quantile functions simultaneously. We further propose the adaptive sup-norm regularized NWQR (ANWQR) to perform simultaneous estimation and variable selection. The large sample properties of the NWQR and ANWQR estimators are established under certain regularity conditions. The proposed methods are evaluated through simulation studies and analysis of a real data set.     

Weighted quantile regression with missing covariates using empirical likelihood

This paper proposes an empirical likelihood-based weighted (ELW) quantile regression approach for estimating the conditional quantiles when some covariates are missing at random. The proposed ELW estimator is computationally simple and achieves semiparametric efficiency if the probability of missingness is correctly specified. The limiting covariance matrix of the ELW estimator can be estimated by a resampling technique, which does not involve nonparametric density estimation or numerical derivatives. Simulation results show that the ELW method works remarkably well in finite samples. A real data example is used to illustrate the proposed ELW method.     

Optimal spacings for the simultaneous estimation of the location and scale parameters of a normal distribution based on selected two sample quantiles

Simultaneous estimation of the location parameter μ and scale parameter σ of a normal distribution based on two selected sample quantiles out of sufficiently large sample of size n is considered. The optimal spacing which maximizes the asymptotic relative efficiency is proved to be symmetric.     

Asymptotic expansion for nonparametric M-estimator in a nonlinear regression model with long-memory errors

We consider asymptotic expansion of the nonparametric M-estimator in a fixed-design nonlinear regression model when the errors are generated by long-memory linear processes. Under mild conditions, we show that the nonparametric M-estimator is first-order equivalent to the Nadaraya-Watson (NW) estimator, which implies that the nonparametric M-estimator has the same asymptotic distribution as that of the NW estimator. Furthermore, we study the second-order asymptotic expansion of the nonparametric M-estimator and show that the difference between the nonparametric M-estimator and the NW estimator has a limiting distribution after suitable standardization. The nature of the limiting distribution depends on the range of long-memory parameter α. We also compare the finite sample behavior of the two estimators through a numerical example when the errors are long-memory.