On Mixture Periodic Vector Autoregressive Models

This article deals with the study of some properties of a mixture periodically correlated n-variate vector autoregressive (MPVAR) time series model, which extends the mixture time invariant parameter n-vector autoregressive (MVAR) model that has been recently studied by Fong et al. (2007 Fong, P.W., Li, W.K., Yau, C.W., Wong, C.S. (2007). On a mixture vector autoregressive model. The Canadian Journal of Statistics 35:135–150.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). Our main contributions here are, on the one side, the obtaining of the second moment periodically stationary condition for a n-variate MPVAR_S(n; K; 2, …, 2) model; furthermore, the closed-form of the second moment is obtained and, on the other side, the estimation, via the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm, of the coefficient matrices and the error variance matrix.     

Estimation of finite population mean using two auxiliary variables in stratified two-phase sampling

We propose a new ratio type estimator for estimating the finite population mean using two auxiliary variables in stratified two-phase sampling. Expressions for bias and mean squared error of the proposed estimator are derived up to the first order of approximation. The proposed estimator is more efficient than the usual stratified sample mean estimator, traditional stratified ratio estimator and some other stratified estimators including Bahl and Tuteja (1991 Bahl, S., Tuteja, R. K. (1991). Ratio and product type exponential estimators. Information and Optimization Sciences 12:159–163. [Google Scholar]), Chami et al. (2012 Chami, P. S., Singh, B., Thomas, D. (2012). A two-prameter ratio-product-ratio estimator using auxiliary information. ISRN Probability and Statistics 2012:1–15, doi: 10.5402/2012/103860.[Crossref] , [Google Scholar]), Chand (1975 Chand, L. (1975) Some Ratio Type Estimator Based on two or more Auxiliary Variables, Ph.D. dissertation, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa (unpublished). [Google Scholar]), Choudhury and Singh (2012 Choudhury, S., Singh, B. K. (2012). A class of chain ratio-product type estimators with two auxiliary variables under double sampling scheme. Journal of the Korean Statistical Society 41:247–256. [Google Scholar]), Hamad et al. (2013 Hamad, N., Hanif, M., Haider, N. (2013). A regression type estimator with two auxiliary variables for two-phase sampling. Open Journal of Statistics, 3:74–78. [Google Scholar]), Vishwakarma and Gangele (2014 Vishwakarma, G. K., Gangele, R. K. (2014). A class of chain ratio-type exponential estimators in double sampling using two auxiliary variates. Applied Mathematics and Computation 227:171–175. [Google Scholar]), Sanaullah et al. (2014 Sanaullah, A., Ali, H. M., Noor ul Amin, M., Hanif, M. (2014). Generalized exponential chain ratio estimators under stratified two-phase random sampling. Applied Mathematics and Computation 226:541–547. [Google Scholar]), and Chanu and Singh (2014 Chanu, W. K., Singh, B. K. (2014). Improved class of ratio-cum-product estimators of finite population mean in two phase sampling. Global Journal of Science Frontier Research: F Mathematics and Decision Sciences 14(2):1–14. [Google Scholar]).     

Modeling Electricity Price Using A Threshold Conditional Autoregressive Geometric Process Jump Model

Electricity market prices are highly volatile and often have high spikes. Both government authorities and market participants require sophisticated models and techniques for forecasting future prices and managing relevant financial risks in such a volatile market. This article extends the conditional autoregressive geometric process (CARGP) model (Chan et al., 2012 Chan, J. S.K., Lam, C. P.Y., Yu, P. L.H., Choy, S. T.B., Chen, C. W.S. (2012). A Bayesian conditional autoregressive geometric process model for range data. Computat. Statist. Data Anal. 56:30063019.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) to the CARGP model with thresholds and jumps, which is abbreviated as CARGP-TJ model in this article. We will demonstrate that the proposed CARGP-TJ model not only captures the unique features of the electricity price but also performs better than other existing models. For robustness consideration, a heavy-tailed error distribution is adopted. Model implementation relies on the powerful Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation techniques via WinBUGS software. The analysis of the daily maximum electricity prices of the New South Wales, Australia reveals that the proposed CARGP-TJ model captures the price spikes well for both in-sample estimation and out-of-sample forecast.     

Comparison of Frailty Models for Acute Leukemia Data under Gompertz Baseline Distribution

In this article, we consider two different shared frailty regression models under the assumption of Gompertz as baseline distribution. Mostly assumption of gamma distribution is considered for frailty distribution. To compare the results with gamma frailty model, we consider the inverse Gaussian shared frailty model also. We compare these two models to a real life bivariate survival data set of acute leukemia remission times (Freireich et al., 1963 Freireich, E.J., Gehan, E., Frei, E., Schroeder, L.R., Wolman, I.J., Anbari, R., Burgert, E.O., Mills, S.D., Pinkel, D., Selawry, O.S., Moon, J.H., Gendel, B.R., Spurr, C.L., Storrs, R., Haurani, F., Hoogstraten, B., Lee, S. (1963). The effect of 6-mercaptopurine on the duration of steroid-induced remissions in acute leukemia: a model for evaluation of other potentially useful therapy. Blood 21:699–716.[Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). Analysis is performed using Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods. Model comparison is made using Bayesian model selection criterion and a well-fitted model is suggested for the acute leukemia data.     

Some Classes of Estimators for the Population Median Using Auxiliary Information

This article considers some classes of estimators of the population median of the study variable using information on an auxiliary variable with their properties under large sample approximation. Asymptotic optimum estimator (AOE) in each class of estimators has been investigated along with the approximate mean square error formulae. It has been shown that the proposed classes of estimators are better than these considered by Gross (1980 Gross , T. S. ( 1980 ). Median estimation in sample surveys. Proc. Surv. Res. Meth. Sect. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 181–184 . [Google Scholar]), Kuk and Mak (1989 Kuk , A. Y. C. , Mak , T. K. ( 1989 ). Median estimation in the presence of auxiliary information . J. Roy. Statist. Soc. Ser. B51 : 261 – 269 . [Google Scholar]), Singh et al. (2003a Singh , H. P. , Singh , S. , Joarder , A. H. ( 2003a ). Estimation of population median when mode of an auxiliary variable is known . J. Statist. Res. 37 ( 1 ): 57 – 63 . [Google Scholar]), and Al and Cingi (2009 Al , S. , Cingi , H. ( 2009 ). New estimators for the population median in simple random sampling. Tenth Islamic Countries Conference on Statistical Sciences, held in New Cairo, Egypt . [Google Scholar]). An empirical study is carried out to judge the merits of the suggested class of estimators over other existing estimators.     

Predictive Density Order Selection of Periodic AR Models

This article considers the order selection problem of periodic autoregressive models. Our main goal is the adaptation of the Bayesian Predictive Density Criterion (PDC), established by Djuric' and Kay (1992 Djuric' , P. M. , Kay , S. M. ( 1992 ). Order selection of autoregressive models . IEEE Transactions on Signal Processing 40 : 2829 – 2833 . [Google Scholar]) for selecting the order of a stationary autoreg-ressive model, to deal with the order identification problem of a periodic autoregressive model. The performance of the established criterion, (P-PDC), is compared, via simulation studies, to the performances of some well-known existing criteria.     

Searching effective rotation patterns for population median using exponential type estimators in two-occasion rotation sampling

ABSTRACT

The present article is an attempt to explore the rotation patterns using exponential ratio type estimators for the estimation of finite population median at current occasion in two occasion rotation sampling. Properties of the proposed estimators including the optimum replacement strategies have been elaborated. The proposed estimators have been compared with sample median estimator when there is no matching from previous occasion as well with the ratio type estimator proposed by Singh et al. (2007 Singh, H.P., Tailor, R., Singh, S., Kim, Jong-Min. (2007). Quintile estimation in successive sampling. J. Kor. Stat. Soc. 36(4):543–556. [Google Scholar]) for second quantile. The behaviors of the proposed estimators are justified by empirical interpretations and validated by means of simulation study with the help of some natural populations.     

Selection of Binary Variables and Classification by Boosting

We adopt boosting for classification and selection of high-dimensional binary variables for which classical methods based on normality and non singular sample dispersion are inapplicable. Boosting seems particularly well suited for binary variables. We present three methods of which two combine boosting with the relatively classical variable selection methods developed in Wilbur et al. (2002 Wilbur , J. D. , Ghosh , J. K. , Nakatsu , C. H. , Brouder , S. M. , Doerge , R. W. ( 2002 ). Variable selection in high-dimensional multivariate binary data with application to the analysis of microbial community DNA fingerprints . Biometrics 58 : 378 – 386 . [Google Scholar]). Our primary interest is variable selection in classification with small misclassification error being used as validation of proposed method for variable selection. Two of the new methods perform uniformly better than Wilbur et al. (2002 Wilbur , J. D. , Ghosh , J. K. , Nakatsu , C. H. , Brouder , S. M. , Doerge , R. W. ( 2002 ). Variable selection in high-dimensional multivariate binary data with application to the analysis of microbial community DNA fingerprints . Biometrics 58 : 378 – 386 . [Google Scholar]) in one set of simulated and three real life examples.     

Methods for Bivariate Survival Data with Mismeasured Covariates Under an Accelerated Failure Time Model

Accelerated failure time models are useful in survival data analysis, but such models have received little attention in the context of measurement error. In this paper we discuss an accelerated failure time model for bivariate survival data with covariates subject to measurement error. In particular, methods based on the marginal and joint models are considered. Consistency and efficiency of the resultant estimators are investigated. Simulation studies are carried out to evaluate the performance of the estimators as well as the impact of ignoring the measurement error of covariates. As an illustration we apply the proposed methods to analyze a data set arising from the Busselton Health Study (Knuiman et al., 1994 Knuiman , M. W. , Cullent , K. J. , Bulsara , M. K. , Welborn , T. A. , Hobbs , M. S. T. ( 1994 ). Mortality trends, 1965 to 1989, in Busselton, the site of repeated health surveys and interventions . Austral. J. Public Health 18 : 129 – 135 . [CSA] [Crossref], [PubMed] , [Google Scholar]).     

On Joint Determination of the Number of States and the Number of Variables in Markov-Switching Models: A Monte Carlo Study

In this article, we examine the performance of two newly developed procedures that jointly select the number of states and variables in Markov-switching models by means of Monte Carlo simulations. They are Smith et al. (2006 Smith , A. , Naik , P. A. , Tsai , C. ( 2006 ). Markov-switching model selection using Kullback–Leibler divergence . Journal of Econometrics 134 ( 2 ): 553 – 577 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) and Psaradakis and Spagnolo (2006 Psaradakis , Z. , Spagnolo , N. ( 2006 ). Joint determination of the state dimension and autoregressive order for models with Markov regime switching . Journal of Time Series Analysis 27 ( 2 ): 753 – 766 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), respectively. The former develops Markov switching criterion (MSC) designed specifically for Markov-switching models, while the latter recommends the use of standard complexity-penalised information criteria (BIC, HQC, and AIC) in joint determination of the state dimension and the autoregressive order of Markov-switching models. The Monte Carlo evidence shows that BIC outperforms MSC while MSC and HQC are preferable over AIC.     

Assessing One-Step-Ahead Prediction Error Based on the Median for First-Order Autoregressive Models in the Presence Of Outliers

The prediction of the one-step-ahead observation of the first-order autoregressive process in the presence of outliers is considered. The mean square of the prediction error is obtained based on the median estimator of the model parameter for a stationary process. Monte Carlo simulation methods are employed to investigate the performance of the proposed estimator as well as the conventional ordinary least squares estimators proposed by Zhang and Shaman (1995 Zhang , P. , Shaman , P. ( 1995 ). Assessing prediction error in autoregressive models . Trans. Amer. Mathemat. Soc. 347 : 627 – 637 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) and Kabaila and He (1999 Kabaila , P. , He , Z. ( 1999 ). On assessing prediction error in autoregressive models . J. Time Ser. Anal. 20 : 663 – 670 .[Crossref] , [Google Scholar]) for a process without outliers. The results show that the proposed method outperforms the conventional method. These conclusions are substantiated with results from actual datasets.     

Ratio-Cum-Product Type Exponential Estimator of Finite Population Mean in Stratified Random Sampling

This article addresses the problem of estimating the finite population mean in stratified random sampling using auxiliary information. Motivated by Singh (1967 Singh , M. P. ( 1967 ). Ratio cum product method of estimation . Metrika 12 : 34 – 42 .[Crossref] , [Google Scholar]) and Bahl and Tuteja (1991 Bahl , S. , Tuteja , R. K. ( 1991 ). Ratio and product type exponential estimator . Inform. Optimiz. Sci. 12 ( 1 ): 159 – 163 .[Taylor &; Francis Online] , [Google Scholar]) a ratio-cum-product type exponential estimator has been suggested and its bias and mean squared error have been derived under large sample approximation. Suggested estimator has been compared with usual unbiased estimator of population mean in stratified random sampling, combined ratio estimator, combined product estimator, ratio and product type exponential estimator of Singh et al. (2008 Singh , R. , Kumar , M. , Singh , R. D. , Chaudhary , M. K. ( 2008 ). Exponential ratio type estimators in stratified random sampling. Presented in International Symposium on Optimisation and Statistics (I.S.O.S) at A.M.U., Aligarh, India, during 29–31 Dec . [Google Scholar]). Conditions under which suggested estimator is more efficient than other considered estimators have been obtained. A numerical illustration is given in support of the theoretical findings.     

A new estimator of finite population mean based on the dual use of the auxiliary information

When a sufficient correlation between the study variable and the auxiliary variable exists, the ranks of the auxiliary variable are also correlated with the study variable, and thus, these ranks can be used as an effective tool in increasing the precision of an estimator. In this paper, we propose a new improved estimator of the finite population mean that incorporates the supplementary information in forms of: (i) the auxiliary variable and (ii) ranks of the auxiliary variable. Mathematical expressions for the bias and the mean-squared error of the proposed estimator are derived under the first order of approximation. The theoretical and empirical studies reveal that the proposed estimator always performs better than the usual mean, ratio, product, exponential-ratio and -product, classical regression estimators, and Rao (1991 Rao, T.J. (1991). On certail methods of improving ration and regression estimators. Commun. Stat. Theory Methods 20(10):3325–3340.[Taylor &; Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), Singh et al. (2009 Singh, R., Chauhan, P., Sawan, N., Smarandache, F. (2009). Improvement in estimating the population mean using exponential estimator in simple random sampling. Int. J. Stat. Econ. 3(A09):13–18. [Google Scholar]), Shabbir and Gupta (2010 Shabbir, J., Gupta, S. (2010). On estimating finite population mean in simple and stratified random sampling. Commun. Stat. Theory Methods 40(2):199–212.[Taylor &; Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), Grover and Kaur (2011 Grover, L.K., Kaur, P. (2011). An improved estimator of the finite population mean in simple random sampling. Model Assisted Stat. Appl. 6(1):47–55. [Google Scholar], 2014) estimators.     

Construction and Nonparametric Testing of Orthogonal Arrays through Algebraic Strata and Inequivalent Permutation Matrices

In this article we use a new methodology, based on algebraic strata, to generate the class of all the orthogonal arrays of given size and strength. From this class we extract all the non isomorphic orthogonal arrays. Then, using all these non isomorphic orthogonal arrays, we suggest a method based on the inequivalent matrices permutations testing procedures Basso et al. (2004 Basso , D. , Evangelaras , H. , Koukouvinos , C. , Salmaso , L. ( 2004 ). Nonparametric testing for main effects on inequivalent designs. Proc. 7th Int. Workshop Model-Oriented Design Anal. Heeze, Netherlands, June 14–18 . [Google Scholar]) in order to obtain separate permutation tests for the effects in unreplicated mixed level fractional factorial designs. In order to validate the proposed method we perform a Monte Carlo simulation study and find out that the permutation tests appear to be a valid solution for testing effects, in particular when the usual normality assumptions cannot be justified.     

EM-based algorithms for autoregressive models with t-distributed innovations

This paper considers the estimation of parameters of AR(p) models for time series with t-distribution via EM-based algorithms. The paper develops asymptotic properties for the estimation to show that the estimators are efficient. Also testing theory for the estimators is considered. The robustness of the estimators and various tests to deviations from an assumed model is investigated. The study shows that the algorithms have equal estimation efficiency even if the error distribution is miss-specified or perturbed by outliers. Interestingly, the estimators from these algorithms performed better than that of the Modified Maximum Likelihood (MML) considered in Tiku et al. (2000 Tiku, M. L., Wong, W. K., Vaughan, D. C., Bian, G. (2000). Time series models in non-normal situations: Symmetric innovations. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 21: 571–596. [Google Scholar]).     

Moment and IV Selection Approaches: A Comparative Simulation Study

We compare three moment selection approaches, followed by post-selection estimation strategies. The first is adaptive least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (ALASSO) of Zou (2006 Zou, H. (2006). The adaptive lasso and its oracle properties. Journal of the American Statistical Association 101:1418–1429.[Taylor &; Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), recently extended by Liao (2013 Liao, Z. (2013). Adaptive GMM shrinkage estimation with consistent moment selection. Econometric Theory FirstView:1–48. [Google Scholar]) to possibly invalid moments in GMM. In this method, we select the valid instruments with ALASSO. The second method is based on the J test, as in Andrews and Lu (2001 Andrews, D. W. K., Lu, B. (2001). Consistent model and moment selection procedures for GMM estimation with application to dynamic panel data models. Journal of Econometrics 101(1):123–164.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). The third one is using a Continuous Updating Objective (CUE) function. This last approach is based on Hong et al. (2003 Hong, H., Preston, B., Shum, M. (2003). Generalized empirical likelihood based model selection criteria for moment condition models. Econometric Theory 19(06):923–943. [Google Scholar]), who propose a penalized generalized empirical likelihood-based function to pick up valid moments. They use empirical likelihood, and exponential tilting in their simulations. However, the J-test-based approach of Andrews and Lu (2001 Andrews, D. W. K., Lu, B. (2001). Consistent model and moment selection procedures for GMM estimation with application to dynamic panel data models. Journal of Econometrics 101(1):123–164.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) provides generally better moment selection results than the empirical likelihood and exponential tilting as can be seen in Hong et al. (2003 Hong, H., Preston, B., Shum, M. (2003). Generalized empirical likelihood based model selection criteria for moment condition models. Econometric Theory 19(06):923–943. [Google Scholar]). In this article, we examine penalized CUE as a third way of selecting valid moments.

Following a determination of valid moments, we run unpenalized generalized method of moments (GMM) and CUE and model averaging technique of Okui (2011 Okui, R. (2011). Instrumental variable estimation in the presence of many moment conditions. Journal of Econometrics 165(1):70–86.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) to see which one has better postselection estimator performance for structural parameters. The simulations are aimed at the following questions: Which moment selection criterion can better select the valid ones and eliminate the invalid ones? Given the chosen instruments in the first stage, which strategy delivers the best finite sample performance?

We find that the ALASSO in the model selection stage, coupled with either unpenalized GMM or moment averaging of Okui delivers generally the smallest root mean square error (RMSE) for the second stage coefficient estimators.     

Semiparametric Efficient Distribution Free Estimation of Panel Models

This article generalizes results from Park et al. (1998 Park , B. U. , Sickles , R. C. , Simar , L. ( 1998 ). Stochastic frontiers: a semiparametric approach . J. Econometrics 84 : 273 – 301 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) and Adams et al. (1999 Adams , R. M. , Berger , A. N. , Sickles , R. C. ( 1999 ). Semiparametric approaches to stochastic panel frontiers with applications in the banking industry . J. Bus. Econ. Statist. 17 : 349 – 358 .[Taylor & Francis Online] , [Google Scholar]) on semiparametric efficient estimation of panel models. The form of semiparametric efficient estimators depends on the statistical assumptions imposed. Normality assumptions on the transitory error are sometimes inappropriate. We relax the normality assumption used in the articles above to derive more general semiparametric efficient estimators. These estimators are illustrated in a Monte Carlo simulation and an analysis of banking productivity.     

Marginal Correlation from Logit- and Probit-Beta-Normal Models for Hierarchical Binary Data

In hierarchical data settings, be it of a longitudinal, spatial, multi-level, clustered, or otherwise repeated nature, often the association between repeated measurements attracts at least part of the scientific interest. Quantifying the association frequently takes the form of a correlation function, including but not limited to intraclass correlation. Vangeneugden et al. (2010 Vangeneugden, T., Molenberghs, G., Laenen, A., Geys, H., Beunckens, C., Sotto, C. (2010). Marginal correlation in longitudinal binary data based on generalized linear mixed models. Communi. Stati. Theory &; Methods. 39:3542–3557. [Google Scholar]) derived approximate correlation functions for longitudinal sequences of general data type, Gaussian and non-Gaussian, based on generalized linear mixed-effects models. Here, we consider the extended model family proposed by Molenberghs et al. (2010 Molenberghs, G., Verbeke, G., Demétrio, C., Vieira, A. (2010). A family of generalized linear models for repeated measures with normal and conjugate random effects. Stat. Sci. 25:325–347.[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). This family flexibly accommodates data hierarchies, intra-sequence correlation, and overdispersion. The family allows for closed-form means, variance functions, and correlation function, for a variety of outcome types and link functions. Unfortunately, for binary data with logit link, closed forms cannot be obtained. This is in contrast with the probit link, for which such closed forms can be derived. It is therefore that we concentrate on the probit case. It is of interest, not only in its own right, but also as an instrument to approximate the logit case, thanks to the well-known probit-logit ‘conversion.’ Next to the general situation, some important special cases such as exchangeable clustered outcomes receive attention because they produce insightful expressions. The closed-form expressions are contrasted with the generic approximate expressions of Vangeneugden et al. (2010 Vangeneugden, T., Molenberghs, G., Laenen, A., Geys, H., Beunckens, C., Sotto, C. (2010). Marginal correlation in longitudinal binary data based on generalized linear mixed models. Communi. Stati. Theory &; Methods. 39:3542–3557. [Google Scholar]) and with approximations derived for the so-called logistic-beta-normal combined model. A simulation study explores performance of the method proposed. Data from a schizophrenia trial are analyzed and correlation functions derived.     

Bootstrap approach to test the homogeneity of order restricted mean vectors when the covariance matrices are unknown

Testing homogeneity of multivariate normal mean vectors under an order restriction when the covariance matrices are unknown, arbitrary positive definite and unequal are considered. This problem of testing has been studied to some extent, for example, by Kulatunga and Sasabuchi (1984 Kulatunga, D. D. S., Sasabuchi, S. (1984). A test of homogeneity of mean vectors against multivariate isotonic alternatives. Mem Fac Sci, Kyushu Univ Ser A Mathemat 38:151–161. [Google Scholar]) when the covariance matrices are known and also Sasabuchi et al. (2003 Sasabuchi, S., Tanaka, K., Tsukamodo, T. (2003). Testing homogeneity of multivariate normal mean vectors under an order restriction when the covariance matrices are common but unknown. Annals of Statistics. 31(5):1517–1536.[Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) and Sasabuchi (2007 Sasabuchi, S. (2007). More powerful tests for homogeneity of multivariate normal mean vectors under an order restriction. Sankhya 69(4):700–716. [Google Scholar]) when the covariance matrices are unknown but common. In this paper, a test statistic is proposed and because of the main advantage of the bootstrap test is that it avoids the derivation of the complex null distribution analytically, a bootstrap test statistic is derived and since the proposed test statistic is location invariance the bootstrap p-value defined logical and some steps are presented to estimate it. Our numerical studies via Monte Carlo simulation show that the proposed bootstrap test can correctly control the type I error rates. The power of the test for some of the p-dimensional normal distributions is computed by Monte Carlo simulation. Also, the null distribution of test statistic is estimated using kernel density. Finally, the bootstrap test is illustrated using a real data.     

Marginal correlation from an extended random-effects model for repeated and overdispersed counts

Vangeneugden et al. [15 Vangeneugden, T., Molenberghs, G., Laenen, A., Geys, H., Beunckens, C. and Sotto, C. 2007. Marginal correlation in longitudinal binary data based on generalized linear mixed models, Tech. Rep., Hasselt University. submitted for publication [Google Scholar]] derived approximate correlation functions for longitudinal sequences of general data type, Gaussian and non-Gaussian, based on generalized linear mixed-effects models (GLMM). Their focus was on binary sequences, as well as on a combination of binary and Gaussian sequences. Here, we focus on the specific case of repeated count data, important in two respects. First, we employ the model proposed by Molenberghs et al. [13 Molenberghs, G., Verbeke, G. and Demétrio, C. G.B. 2007. An extended random-effects approach to modeling repeated, overdispersed count data. Lifetime Data Anal., 13: 513–531. [Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]], which generalizes at the same time the Poisson-normal GLMM and the conventional overdispersion models, in particular the negative-binomial model. The model flexibly accommodates data hierarchies, intra-sequence correlation, and overdispersion. Second, means, variances, and joint probabilities can be expressed in closed form, allowing for exact intra-sequence correlation expressions. Next to the general situation, some important special cases such as exchangeable clustered outcomes are considered, producing insightful expressions. The closed-form expressions are contrasted with the generic approximate expressions of Vangeneugden et al. [15 Vangeneugden, T., Molenberghs, G., Laenen, A., Geys, H., Beunckens, C. and Sotto, C. 2007. Marginal correlation in longitudinal binary data based on generalized linear mixed models, Tech. Rep., Hasselt University. submitted for publication [Google Scholar]]. Data from an epileptic-seizures trial are analyzed and correlation functions derived. It is shown that the proposed extension strongly outperforms the classical GLMM.