One-sided trimming in small samples with asymmetric contamination

An estimator for location, given a sample of only four or five observations, is proposed. The underlying distribution on of the sample may (with probability p) be contaminated by an outlier from a rightly-skewed distribution. The estimator minimizes the maximum mean squared error over all values of p. In fact, there exists an estimator which is unbiased in both the outlier - free and extreme-outlier cases, but its mean square error is substantially higher than the mean squared error for the minimax estimator. Mean squared errors for various underlying distributional situations are calculated and compared with those of other location estimators such as the mean and the median.     

An effective approach to linear calibration estimation with its applications

Abstract

The availability of some extra information, along with the actual variable of interest, may be easily accessible in different practical situations. A sensible use of the additional source may help to improve the properties of statistical techniques. In this study, we focus on the estimators for calibration and intend to propose a setup where we reply only on first two moments instead of modeling the whole distributional shape. We have proposed an estimator for linear calibration problems and investigated it under normal and skewed environments. We have partitioned its mean squared error into intrinsic and estimation components. We have observed that the bias and mean squared error of the proposed estimator are function of four dimensionless quantities. It is to be noticed that both the classical and the inverse estimators become the special cases of the proposed estimator. Moreover, the mean squared error of the proposed estimator and the exact mean squared error of the inverse estimator coincide. We have also observed that the proposed estimator performs quite well for skewed errors as well. The real data applications are also included in the study for practical considerations.     

Effect of correlation on the estimation of a mean in the presence of spurious observations

This paper examines the effect of correlation of observations on estimators of a mean which are designed to guard against the possibility of spurious observations (that is, observations generated in a manner not intended). The mean squared error, premium and protection of these estimators are evaluated and discussed for some specific correlation structures.     

Exactly optimal sampling designs for processes with a product covariance structure

The author considers the problem of finding exactly optimal sampling designs for estimating a second‐order, centered random process on the basis of finitely many observations. The value of the process at an unsampled point is estimated by the best linear unbiased estimator. A weighted integrated mean squared error or the maximum mean squared error is used to measure the performance of the estimator. The author presents a set of necessary and sufficient conditions for a design to be exactly optimal for processes with a product covariance structure. Expansions of these conditions lead to conditions for asymptotic optimality.     

Two-step calibration of design weights under two auxiliary variables in sample survey

Calibration on the available auxiliary variables is widely used to increase the precision of the estimates of parameters. Singh and Sedory [Two-step calibration of design weights in survey sampling. Commun Stat Theory Methods. 2016;45(12):3510–3523.] considered the problem of calibration of design weights under two-step for single auxiliary variable. For a given sample, design weights and calibrated weights are set proportional to each other, in the first step. While, in the second step, the value of proportionality constant is determined on the basis of objectives of individual investigator/user for, for example, to get minimum mean squared error or reduction of bias. In this paper, we have suggested to use two auxiliary variables for two-step calibration of the design weights and compared the results with single auxiliary variable for different sample sizes based on simulated and real-life data set. The simulated and real-life application results show that two-auxiliary variables based two-step calibration estimator outperforms the estimator under single auxiliary variable in terms of minimum mean squared error.     

Consequences of departure from normality on the properties of calibration estimators

This paper considers the classical and inverse calibration estimators and discusses the consequences of departure from normality of errors on their bias and mean squared error properties when the errors in calibration process are small.     

Alternative moment approximations for berkson's minimum logit chi-squared estimator

Expressions are derived for the bias to order J^-1 , the variance to order J^-2 and the mean squared error to order J^-2 of Berkson's minimum logit chi-squared estimator where J is the number of distinct design points. These moment approximations are numerically compared to Monte Carlo estimates of the true moments and the moment approximations of Amemiya (1980) which are appropriate when the “average” number of observations per design point is large. They are used to compare the mean squared error of the minimum logit chi-squared estimator to that of the maximum likelihood estimator and to investigate the effect of bias on confidence intenrals constructed using the minimum logit chi-squared estimator.     

Kernel-based density estimation using censored,truncated or grouped data

Censoring, truncation and grouping represent different but related forms of incompleteness. Methods of producing kernel functions on the incomplete observations are proposed. They involve substituting for or averaging over the incomplete observations. Consistency of the procedures in terms of:the criterion of integrated mean squared error is established and optimal choice of smoothing parameter is achieved.     

Estimating the population median using only a central subset of observations

In estimating the population median, it is common to encounter estimators which are linear combinations of a small number of central observations. Sample medians, sample quasi medians, trimmed means, jackknifed (and delete‐d jackknifed) medians and jackknifed quasi medians are all familiar examples. The objective of this paper is to show that within this class the quasi medians turn out to have the best asymptotic mean squared error.     

A Class of Estimators Using Auxiliary Information for Estimating Finite Population Variance in Presence of Measurement Errors

This article addresses the problem of estimating the population variance using auxiliary information in the presence of measurement errors. When the measurement error variance associated with study variable is known, a class of estimators of the population variance using auxiliary information has been proposed. We obtain the bias and mean squared errors of the suggested class of estimators upto the terms of order n ^?1, and also optimum estimators in asymptotic sense of the class with approximate mean squared error formula.     

Nonparametric hazard rate estimation by orthogonal wavelet methods

We propose linear and nonlinear wavelet-based hazard rate estimators where the linear estimator is equivalent to a generalized kernel estimator. An asymptotic formula for the mean integrated squared error (MISE) of the nonlinear wavelet-based hazard rate estimator is provided. It is shown that the MISE formula for the nonlinear estimator is available for hazard rates which are smooth only in a piecewise sense, a feature not available for the kernel estimators.     

Comparison of some linear calibration estimators

In this article, we consider a family of linear calibration estimators arising from inverse estimator and analyze its properties employing the small disturbance asymptotic theory. The asymptotic approximations for bias and mean squared error of this family are compared with the corresponding results for classical and inverse estimators, whose properties are also compared.     

Adaptive Estimation Using Weighted Least Squares

This paper proposes an adaptive estimator that is more precise than the ordinary least squares estimator if the distribution of random errors is skewed or has long tails. The adaptive estimates are computed using a weighted least squares approach with weights based on the lengths of the tails of the distribution of residuals. Smaller weights are assigned to those observations that have residuals in the tails of long-tailed distributions and larger weights are assigned to observations having residuals in the tails of short-tailed distributions. Monte Carlo methods are used to compare the performance of the proposed estimator and the performance of the ordinary least squares estimator. The estimates that were studied in this simulation include the difference between the means of two populations, the mean of a symmetric distribution, and the slope of a regression line. The adaptive estimators are shown to have lower mean squared errors than those for the ordinary least squares estimators for short-tailed, long-tailed, and skewed distributions, provided the sample size is at least 20. The ordinary least squares estimator has slightly lower mean squared error for normally distributed errors. The adaptive estimator is recommended for general use for studies having sample sizes of at least 20 observations unless the random errors are known to be normally distributed.     

MSE performance of the 2SHI estimator in a regression model with multivariate t error terms

t error terms and derive the explicit formula of the mean squared error (MSE) of the two-stage hierarchial information (2SHI) estimator. It is shown by numerical evaluations that the 2SHI estimator has smaller MSE than the positive-part Stein-rule (PSR) estimator over a wide region of the parameter space. Received: November 6, 1998; revised version: October 15, 1999     

The Mean Squared Error of the Generalized Ridge Regression Estimator and the Orientation of β

Newhouse and Oman (1971) identified the orientations with respect to the eigenvectors of X'X of the true coefficient vector of the linear regression model for which the ordinary ridge regression estimator performs best and performs worse when mean squared error is the measure of performance. In this paper the corresponding result is derived for generalized ridge regression for two risk functions: mean squared error and mean squared error of prediction.     

Bayes sequential estimation for a time-transformed exponential model

A problem of Bayesian sequential estimating an unknown parameter of a time-transformed exponential model is considered. It is supposed that the loss associated with the error of estimation is weighted squared or precautionary and the cost of observing the process is a function of time and the number of observations. Bayes sequential procedures for estimating the unknown parameter are presented.     

Expectation of quadratic forms in normal and nonnormal variables with applications

We derive some new results on the expectation of quadratic forms in normal and nonnormal variables. Using a nonstochastic operator, we show that the expectation of the product of an arbitrary number of quadratic forms in noncentral normal variables follows a recurrence formula. This formula includes the existing result for central normal variables as a special case. For nonnormal variables, while the existing results are available only for quadratic forms of limited order (up to 3), we derive analytical results to a higher order 4. We use the nonnormal results to study the effects of nonnormality on the finite sample mean squared error of the OLS estimator in an AR(1) model and the QMLE in an MA(1) model.     

Two-step calibration of design weights in survey sampling

ABSTRACT

In this article, a new two-step calibration technique of design weights is proposed. In the first step, the calibration weights are set proportional to the design weights in a given sample. In the second step, the constants of proportionality are determined based on different objectives of the investigator such as bias reduction or minimum mean squared error. Many estimators available in the literature can be shown to be special cases of the proposed two-step calibrated estimator. A simulation study, based on a real data set, is also included at the end. A few technical issues are raised with respect to the use of the proposed calibration technique: both limitations and benefits are discussed.     

Estimating the variance of the sample median

The small-sample bias and root mean squared error of several distribution-free estimators of the variance of the sample median are examined. A new estimator is proposed that is easy to compute and tends to have the smallest bias and root mean squared error.     

Optimal minimax squared error risk estimation of the mean of a multivariate normal distribution

Minimax squared error risk estimators of the mean of a multivariate normal distribution are characterized which have smallest Bayes risk with respect to a spherically symmetric prior distribution for (i) squared error loss, and (ii) zero-one loss depending on whether or not estimates are consistent with the hypothesis that the mean is null. In (i), the optimal estimators are the usual Bayes estimators for prior distributions with special structure. In (ii), preliminary test estimators are optimal. The results are obtained by applying the theory of minimax-Bayes-compromise decision problems.