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1.
《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2012,41(21):4034-4046
We propose an objective Bayesian approach to analyze degradation models. For the linear degradation models, two reference priors are derived, and based on this we show the posterior distributions are proper. Since the lifetime of the product is of interest in practice, a transformation is introduced to obtain the reference priors of the medium lifetime. In the posterior analysis, we explore two sampling procedures: Monte Carlo (MC) procedure and Monte Carlo Markov Chain (MCMC) procedure. A real data from Takeda and Suzuki (1983) is analyzed, and we find the results obtained by both procedures are close to the given literature. 相似文献
2.
AbstractIn this article, we improvise Singh and Grewal (2013) and Hussain et al. (2016) techniques by introducing a new two-stage randomization response process. Using the proposed new technique, we achieve better efficiency and increasing protection of privacy of respondents than the Kuk (1990), Singh and Grewal (2013) and Hussain et al. (2016) models. The relative efficiency and protection of the respondents of the proposed two-stage randomization device have been investigated through simulation study, and the situations are reported where the proposed estimator performs better than its competitors. The SAS code used to investigate the performance of the proposed strategy are also provided. 相似文献
3.
Grzegorz Wyłupek 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2013,42(7):1406-1427
This article proposes a new nonparametric test for the ordered alternatives problem in the k-sample setting for null hypothesis of lack of trend. This article further elaborates upon and extends the results of Ledwina and Wy?upek (2012a) obtained for k = 2. Simulations show that the new test has high and stable power and is able to control the Type I error to satisfactory extent, thus solving the problem posed in Terpstra and Magel (2003). Our theoretical results say that asymptotic errors of both kinds do not exceed significance level, thus implying that the test is asymptotically unbiased. 相似文献
4.
This article is devoted to the study of the periodicity testing problem in a self-exciting threshold autoregressive (SETAR) model. The local asymptotic normality (LAN) property is shown via the adapted sufficient conditions due to Swensen (1985). Moreover, the LAN of the central sequence is established. First, we consider the case where the innovation density is specified and we obtain a parametric local asymptotic test. Second, we construct an adaptive test in the case where this density is unspecified but symmetric. The performances of these established tests are shown via simulation studies. 相似文献
5.
Pao-sheng Shen 《统计学通讯:模拟与计算》2013,42(4):531-543
Double censoring arises when T represents an outcome variable that can only be accurately measured within a certain range, [L, U], where L and U are the left- and right-censoring variables, respectively. When L is always observed, we consider the empirical likelihood inference for linear transformation models, based on the martingale-type estimating equation proposed by Chen et al. (2002). It is demonstrated that both the approach of Lu and Liang (2006) and that of Yu et al. (2011) can be extended to doubly censored data. Simulation studies are conducted to investigate the performance of the empirical likelihood ratio methods. 相似文献
6.
We consider non-parametric estimation of a continuous cdf of a random vector (X 1, X 2). With bivariate RC data, it is stated in van der Laan (1996, p. 59810, Ann. Statist.), Quale et al. (2006, JASA) etc. that “it is well known that the NPMLE for continuous data is inconsistent (Tsai et al. (1986)).” The claim is based on a result in Tsai et al. (1986, p.1352, Ann. Statist.) that if X 1 is right censored but not X 2, then common ways for defining one NPMLE lead to inconsistency. If X 1 is right censored and X 2 is type I right-censored (which includes the case in Tsai et al.), we present a consistent NPMLE. The result corrects a common misinterpretation of Tsai's example (Tsai et al., 1986, Ann. Statist.). 相似文献
7.
Housila P. Singh 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2013,42(15):2718-2730
This article addresses the problem of estimating of finite population variance using auxiliary information in simple random sampling. A ratio-cum-difference type class of estimators for population variance has been suggested with its properties under large sample approximation. It has been shown that the suggested class of estimators is more efficient than usual unbiased, difference, Das and Tripathi (1978), Isaki (1983), Singh et al. (1988), Kadilar and Cingi (2006), and other estimators/classes of estimators. In addition, we support this theoretical result with the aid of a empirical study. 相似文献
8.
9.
《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2012,41(16-17):3198-3210
The randomized response (RR) technique with two decks of cards proposed by Odumade and Singh (2009) can always be made more efficient than the RR techniques proposed by Warner (1965), Mangat and Singh (1990), and Mangat (1994) by adjusting the proportion of cards in the decks. The proposed method of Odumade and Singh (2009) is limited to simple random sampling with replacement (SRSWR) sampling only. In this article, generalization of Odumade and Singh strategy is provided for complex survey designs and a wider class of estimators. The results of Odumade and Singh (2009) can be derived from the proposed method as a special case. 相似文献
10.
Several methods have been developed for testing the ordered alternative. These include the Jonckheere–Terpstra (JT) test (Jonckheere, 1954; Terpstra, 1952), a modified JT test (MJT) (Tryon and Hettmansperger, 1987), and a test proposed by Terpstra and Magel (TM) (Terpstra and Magel, 2003), among others. This article proposes a new method for testing the ordered alternative. The proposed test is based on Kendall's tau statistic. The asymptotic distribution of the test statistic is given. A Monte Carlo simulation study is conducted comparing the estimated powers of the proposed test with existing tests under a variety of sample sizes and distributions. 相似文献
11.
Mohammad Saber Fallah Nezhad 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2013,42(14):2379-2397
In this research, we employ Bayesian inference and stochastic dynamic programming approaches to select the binomial population with the largest probability of success from n independent Bernoulli populations based upon the sample information. To do this, we first define a probability measure called belief for the event of selecting the best population. Second, we explain the way to model the selection problem using Bayesian inference. Third, we clarify the model by which we improve the beliefs and prove that it converges to select the best population. In this iterative approach, we update the beliefs by taking new observations on the populations under study. This is performed using Bayesian rule and prior beliefs. Fourth, we model the problem of making the decision in a predetermined number of decision stages using the stochastic dynamic programming approach. Finally, in order to understand and to evaluate the proposed methodology, we provide two numerical examples and a comparison study by simulation. The results of the comparison study show that the proposed method performs better than that of Levin and Robbins (1981) for some values of estimated probability of making a correct selection. 相似文献
12.
《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2012,41(21):3831-3845
The reliability allocation for computerized numerical control lathes can be seen as a MCDM problem. In a previous article (Hou, 2011), the fixed point equations corresponding to the priority vectors of consistent judgment matrices were given under semiring operations. The existence and uniqueness of the min-normalized fixed point were also proved. This article shows the application of the decision fixed point. First, fixed point-based aggregation rule with rank preservation is proposed for AHP. Then, counterpart results under a semiring isomorphism are presented for the FPR-AHP, where the preference information is presented by additive reciprocal judgment matrices (fuzzy preference relations). Third, the proposed aggregation rules are extended to the data incorporation of MCDM problems. Finally, application to the reliability allocation for computerized numerical control lathes is investigated. 相似文献
13.
Cibele Queiroz da-Silva Eduardo G. Martins Vinícius Bonato Sérgio Furtado dos Reis 《统计学通讯:模拟与计算》2013,42(4):816-828
We develop a series of Bayesian statistical models for estimating survival of a neotropic didelphid marsupial, the Brazilian gracile mouse opossum (Gracilinanus microtarsus). These models are based on the Cormack–Jolly–Seber model (Cormack, 1964; Jolly 1965; Seber 1965) with both survival and recapture rates expressed as a function of covariates using a logit link. The proposed models allow taking into account heterogeneity in capture probability caused by the existence of different groups of individuals in the population. The models were applied to two cohorts (Cohort, 2000, 2001) with the first one including 14 and the second one 15 sampling occasions. The best models for each of the cohorts indicate that G. microtarsus is best described as partially semelparous, a condition in which mortality after the first mating is high but graded over time, with a fraction of males surviving for a second breeding season (Boonstra, 2005). 相似文献
14.
Jean-François Quessy 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2013,42(19):3510-3531
Population and sample versions of Kendall and Spearman measures of association suitable for multivariate ordinal data are defined. The latter generalize the indices of dependence of Ruymgaart and van Zuijlen (1978), Joe (1990), and Schmid and Schmidt (2007) by allowing atoms in the underlying distribution. The representation of the proposed empirical measures as U-statistics enables to establish their asymptotic normality under general distributions. A special attention is given to tests of independence for multivariate ordinal data, where the power of the new methodologies are investigated under fixed and contiguous alternatives. 相似文献
15.
There have been many alternative strategies for implementing sampling survey on quantitative characteristic of sensitive issues by using randomized response (RR) technique. The efficiency of most of those strategies has been improved by choosing the suitable design parameters of model. However, the two different procedures with pre-assigned design parameter values cannot ensure that they possess the same protection degree to the respondents. Some earlier comparisons of those strategies are inadequate (as in Eichhorn and Hayre, 1983; Gupta et al., 2002). Some literature contains a more comprehensive comparison based on efficiency and protection degree to the respondents among the qualitative characteristic RR techniques (see Bhargava and Singh, 2002; Nayak, 1994; Zaizai and Zankan, 2004). As far as the comparisons are concerned that are based on efficiency and protection degree to the respondents among the quantitative characteristic RR techniques, very few related studies have been found so far. The purpose of this article is to give a more adequate comparison among those earlier quantitative characteristic RR strategies. It is found that several important differences between the results obtained in this article and some known results exist. Therefore, these earlier RR strategies should be reevaluated. 相似文献
16.
This article presents results concerning the performance of both single equation and system panel cointegration tests and estimators. The study considers the tests developed in Pedroni (1999, 2004), Westerlund (2005), Larsson et al. (2001), and Breitung (2005) and the estimators developed in Phillips and Moon (1999), Pedroni (2000), Kao and Chiang (2000), Mark and Sul (2003), Pedroni (2001), and Breitung (2005). We study the impact of stable autoregressive roots approaching the unit circle, of I(2) components, of short-run cross-sectional correlation and of cross-unit cointegration on the performance of the tests and estimators. The data are simulated from three-dimensional individual specific VAR systems with cointegrating ranks varying from zero to two for fourteen different panel dimensions. The usual specifications of deterministic components are considered. 相似文献
17.
Gadre and Rattihalli [5] have introduced the Modified Group Runs (MGR) control chart to identify the increases in fraction non-conforming and to detect shifts in the process mean. The MGR chart reduces the out-of-control average time-to-signal (ATS), as compared with most of the well-known control charts. In this article, we develop the Side Sensitive Modified Group Runs (SSMGR) chart to detect shifts in the process mean. With the help of numerical examples, it is illustrated that the SSMGR chart performs better than the Shewhart's X¯ chart, the synthetic chart [12], the Group Runs chart [4], the Side Sensitive Group Runs chart [6], as well as the MGR chart [5]. In some situations it is also superior to the Cumulative Sum chart p9] and the exponentially weighed moving average chart [10]. In the steady state also, its performance is better than the above charts. 相似文献
18.
This article introduces an automatic test for the correct specification of a vector autoregression (VAR) model. The proposed test statistic is a Portmanteau statistic with an automatic selection of the order of the residual serial correlation tested. The test presents several attractive characteristics: simplicity, robustness, and high power in finite samples. The test is simple to implement since the researcher does not need to specify the order of the autocorrelation tested and the proposed critical values are simple to approximate, without resorting to bootstrap procedures. In addition, the test is robust to the presence of conditional heteroscedasticity of unknown form and accounts for estimation uncertainty without requiring the computation of large-dimensional inverses of near-to-singularity covariance matrices. The basic methodology is extended to general nonlinear multivariate time series models. Simulations show that the proposed test presents higher power than the existing ones for models commonly employed in empirical macroeconomics and empirical finance. Finally, the test is applied to the classical bivariate VAR model for GNP (gross national product) and unemployment of Blanchard and Quah (1989) and Evans (1989). Online supplementary material includes proofs and additional details. 相似文献
19.
Huang (2010) proposed an optional randomized response model using a linear combination scrambling which is a generalization of the multiplicative scrambling of Eichhorn and Hayre (1983) and the additive scrambling of Gupta et al. (2006, 2010). In this article, we discuss two main issues. (1) Can the Huang (2010) model be improved further by using a two-stage approach?; (2) Does the linear combination scrambling provide any benefit over the additive scrambling of Gupta et al. (2010)? We will note that the answer to the first question is “yes” but the answer to the second question is “no.” 相似文献
20.
Recently, the topic of extreme value under random censoring has been considered. Different estimators for the index have been proposed (see Beirlant et al., 2007). All of them are constructed as the classical estimators (without censoring) divided by the proportion of non censored observations above a certain threshold. Their asymptotic normality was established by Einmahl et al. (2008). An alternative approach consists of using the Peaks-Over-Threshold method (Balkema and de Haan, 1974; Smith, 1987) and to adapt the likelihood to the context of censoring. This leads to ML-estimators whose asymptotic properties are still unknown. The aim of this article is to propose one-step approximations, based on the Newton-Raphson algorithm. Based on a small simulation study, the one-step estimators are shown to be close approximations to the ML-estimators. Also, the asymptotic normality of the one-step estimators has been established, whereas in case of the ML-estimators it is still an open problem. The proof of our result, whose approach is new in the Peaks-Over-Threshold context, is in the spirit of Lehmann's theory (1991). 相似文献