A moment-based empirical likelihood ratio test for exponentiality using the probability integral transformation

ABSTRACT

A simple and efficient goodness-of-fit test for exponentiality is developed by exploiting the characterization of the exponential distribution using the probability integral transformation. We adopted the empirical likelihood methodology in constructing the test statistic. The proposed test statistic has a chi-square limiting distribution. For small to moderate sample sizes Monte-Carlo simulations revealed that our proposed tests are much more superior under increasing failure rate (IFR) and bathtub decreasing-increasing failure rate (BFR) alternatives. Real data examples were used to demonstrate the robustness and applicability of our proposed tests in practice.     

Recent tests of exponentiality against IFR alternatives: a survey

Testing of various classes of life distributions has been a subject of investigation for more than four decades. In this study, we restrict ourselves to the problem of testing exponentiality (which essentially means no aging) against positive aging, which is captured by the class of increasing failure rate alternatives. Recent tests are discussed and compared. The empirical size of the tests is obtained by simulation. Power computations, using simulations, are done for each test procedure. These comparisons are done both for small and large sample sizes. Suggestions are made regarding the choice of the test when a particular alternative is suspected.     

Tests for exponentiality against NBUE alternatives: a Monte Carlo comparison

Testing of various classes of life distributions has been addressed in the literature for more than 45 years. In this paper, we consider the problem of testing exponentiality (which essentially implies no ageing) against positive ageing which is captured by the fairly large class of new better than used in expectation (NBUE) distributions. These tests of exponentiality against NBUE alternatives are discussed and compared. The empirical size of the tests is obtained by simulations. Power comparisons for different popular alternatives are done using Monte Carlo simulations. These comparisons are made for both small and large sample sizes. The paper concludes with a discussion in which suggestions are made regarding the choices of the test when a particular alternative is suspected.     

Tests of Fit for Exponentiality based on the Empirical Laplace Transform

The Laplace transform \psi(t)=E[{\rm exp}(-tX)] of a random variable X with exponential density u exp( m u x ), x S 0, satisfies the equation (\lambda+t)\psi(t)-\lambda=0 , t S 0. We study the behavior of a class of consistent tests for exponentiality based on a suitably weighted integral of [({\hat\lambda}_n+t)\psi_n(t)-{\hat\lambda}_n]^2 , where {\hat\lambda}_n is the maximum-likelihood estimate of u , and é n is the empirical Laplace transform, each based on an i.i.d. sample X 1 , …, X n . As the decay of the weight function tends to infinity, the test statistic approaches the square of the first nonzero component of Neyman's smooth test for exponentiality. The new tests are compared with other omnibus tests for exponentiality.     

Tests of non-monotonic stochastic aging notions in reliability theory

Testing of various classes of life distributions has been a subject of investigation for more than four decades. In this study we restrict ourselves to the problem of testing exponentiality against non-monotonic aging notions. We model non-monotonic aging using the notions of bathtub failure rate, increasing and then decreasing mean residual life and new worse then better than used in expectation classes. The different tests of exponentiality against these alternatives are discussed in detail.     

Testing for new is better than used in expectation

A class of tests which are usually believed to be the tests of exponentiality vs. increasing failure rate (IFR) alternatives are shown to be consistent against a class of NBUE alternatives - a much larger class than IFR. Moreover a comparison is made of the Bahadur efficiency of the total time on test statistic W with the Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic D. It is found that the D-test has larger exact slope at least favorable IFR distributions which are close to the exponential and also at pure NBUE distributions close to the exponential than does the W-test statistic, whereas the reverse is the case at Weibull (8), 6 > 1.     

Quantile based tests for exponentiality against DMRQ and NBUE alternatives

Quantile-based reliability analysis has received much attention recently. We propose new quantile-based tests for exponentiality against decreasing mean residual quantile function (DMRQ) and new better than used in expectation (NBUE) classes of alternatives. The exact null distribution of the test statistic is derived when the alternative class is DMRQ. The asymptotic properties of both the test statistics are studied. The performance of the proposed tests with other existing tests in the literature is evaluated through simulation study. Finally, we illustrate our test procedure using real data sets.     

Empirical power study of a multi-sample test of exponentiality based on spacings

We present the results of an empirical power study of a new multi-sample test of exponentiality due to (1980)and show that this test is on the whole considerably more powerful than the other prominent tests considered by Dyer and Harbin (1981).     

Two sets of isotones for comparing tests of exponentiality

Isotones   are a deterministic graphical device introduced by Mudholkar et al. [1991. A graphical procedure for comparing goodness-of-fit tests. J. Roy. Statist. Soc. B 53, 221–232], in the context of comparing some tests of normality. An isotone of a test is a contour of p$p$ values of the test applied to “ideal samples”, called profiles, from a two-shape-parameter family representing the null and the alternative distributions of the parameter space. The isotone is an adaptation of Tukey's sensitivity curves, a generalization of Prescott's stylized sensitivity contours, and an alternative to the isodynes   of Stephens. The purpose of this paper is two fold. One is to show that the isotones can provide useful qualitative information regarding the behavior of the tests of distributional assumptions other than normality. The other is to show that the qualitative conclusions remain the same from one two-parameter family of alternatives to another. Towards this end we construct and interpret the isotones of some tests of the composite hypothesis of exponentiality, using the profiles of two Weibull extensions, the generalized Weibull and the exponentiated Weibull families, which allow IFR, DFR, as well as unimodal and bathtub failure rate alternatives. Thus, as a by-product of the study, it is seen that a test due to Csörg? et al. [1975. Application of characterizations in the area of goodness-of-fit. In: Patil, G.P., Kotz, S., Ord, J.K. (Eds.), Statistical Distributions in Scientific Work, vol. 2. Reidel, Boston, pp. 79–90], and Gnedenko's Q(r)$Q(r)$ test [1969. Mathematical Methods of Reliability Theory. Academic Press, New York], are appropriate for detecting monotone failure rate alternatives, whereas a bivariate F$F$ test due to Lin and Mudholkar [1980. A test of exponentiality based on the bivariate F$F$ distribution. Technometrics 22, 79–82] and their entropy test [1984. On two applications of characterization theorems to goodness-of-fit. Colloq. Math. Soc. Janos Bolyai 45, 395–414] can detect all alternatives, but are especially suitable for nonmonotone failure rate alternatives.     

A new test for decreasing mean residual lifetimes

The mean residual life of a non negative random variable X with a finite mean is defined by M(t) = E[X ? t|X > t] for t ? 0. One model of aging is the decreasing mean residual life (DMRL): M is decreasing (non increasing) in time. It vastly generalizes the more stringent model of increasing failure rate (IFR). The exponential distribution lies at the boundary of both of these classes. There is a large literature on testing exponentiality against DMRL alternatives which are all of the integral type. Because most parametric families of DMRL distributions are IFR, their relative merits have been compared only at some IFR alternatives. We introduce a new Kolmogorov–Smirnov type sup-test and derive its asymptotic properties. We compare the powers of this test with some integral tests by simulations using a class of DMRL, but not IFR alternatives, as well as some popular IFR alternatives. The results show that the sup-test is much more powerful than the integral tests in all cases.     

Tests for exponentiality against new better than old in expectation and new better than some used in expectation alternatives

We present statistical procedures for testing exponentiality againt New Better than Old in Expectation (NBOE) and New Better than Some Used in Expectation (NBSUE) alternatives. The test statistics devised for the purpose are U-Statistics and hence asymptotically normally distributed. Pitman's asymptotic relative efficiency results have been obtained and Monte Carlo study presented to compare power of the test proposed with the other tests.     

A modified test for testing exponentiality using transformed data

In this article, we present a test for testing uniformity. Based on the test, we provide a test for testing exponentiality. Empirical critical values for both the tests are computed. Both the tests are compared with the tests proposed by Noughabi and Arghami [H. Alizadeh Noughabi, and N.R. Arghami, Testing exponentiality using transformed data, J. Statist. Comput. Simul. 81 (4) (2011), pp. 511–516] using simulation experiments for a wide class of alternatives. The tests possess attractive power properties.     

A test for exponentiatity against hnbue alternatives

Neyman's asymptotically most powerful test in the class of al1 similar tests for testing exponentiality against a parametric class of Makeham alternatives is shown to be consistent for the much wider class of harmonic new better than used in expectation distributions.     

Moments inequalities of aging families of distributions with hypotheses testing applications

Nonparametric families of aging distributions have been the subject of investigation for more than three decades. Both probabilistic and statistical properties of these distributions were studied for such families as “increasing failure rate”, “new better than used”, “new better than used in expectation”, and “harmonic new better than used in expectation”. In the present work, moments inequalities are derived for the above-mentioned four families that demonstrate that if the mean life is finite for any of them then all higher-order moments exist. Next, based on these inequalities, new testing procedures for exponentiality against any one of the above classes are introduced and studied showing that they are simpler than most earlier ones and hold high relative efficiency for some commonly used alternatives.     

Comments on “Testing for NBUL using goodness of fit approach with applications” (Statistical Papers (2010) 51: 27–40, DOI 10.1007/s00362-007-0113-0)

We comment on a new testing procedure for testing exponentiality against NBUL alternatives. We show that the proposed test is inappropriate and point out the subtle flaw in the argument. The other deficiencies in the paper are also highlighted.     

Testing exponentiality based on characterizations of the exponential distribution

In this paper, we first present two characterizations of the exponential distribution and next introduce three exact goodness-of-fit test for exponentiality. By simulation, the powers of the proposed tests under various alternatives are compared with the existing tests.     

A review of tests for exponentiality with Monte Carlo comparisons

In this paper, 91 different tests for exponentiality are reviewed. Some of the tests are universally consistent while others are against some special classes of life distributions. Power performances of 40 of these different tests for exponentiality of datasets are compared through extensive Monte Carlo simulations. The comparisons are conducted for different sample sizes of 10, 25, 50 and 100 for different groups of distributions according to the shape of their hazard functions at 5 percent level of significance. Also, the techniques are applied to two real-world datasets and a measure of power is employed for the comparison of the tests. The results show that some tests which are very good under one group of alternative distributions are not so under another group. Also, some tests maintained relatively high power over all the groups of alternative distributions studied while some others maintained poor power performances over all the groups of alternative distributions. Again, the result obtained from real-world datasets agree completely with those of the simulation studies.KEYWORDS: Classes of life distributions, empirical power of a test, exponentiality, goodness-of-fit test, Monte Carlo simulationSubject Classifications: 62E10, 62E20, 62F03     

A Test for Constant Hazard Against a Change-Point Alternative

In this article, we consider the change-point hazard rate model which arises quite commonly in mechanical or biological systems, which experience a high hazard rate early in their lifetime due to infant mortality and then a constant or steady hazard rate after the threshold time. We first derive the corresponding mean residual life function (MRLF) and observe that the MRLF is initially increasing and then constant. Here, we derive a test statistic for exponentiality against Increasing Initially then Constant Mean Residual Life (ICMRL). We also derive the asymptotic distribution of the test statistic and compare the power of the test with other existing tests such as likelihood ratio, Weibull, and Log gamma tests considered in the literature. The test performs quite well as compared to other alternatives studied.     

Exponentiality test based on alpha-divergence and gamma-divergence

In the present paper, we use the already defined alpha-divergence and gamma-divergence for constructing some goodness of fit tests for exponentiality. These divergence measures are very robust with respect to outliers. Since the existence of outliers among statistical data can be lead to misleading results, therefore utilizing these divergence measures can be of importance. In order to construct test statistics, two estimators are used for alpha-divergence and gamma-divergence. In the first one, we consider the alpha-divergence and gamma-divergence of the equilibrium distribution function, which is well defined on the empirical distribution function (EDF) and is proposed as an EDF-based goodness of fit test statistic. The second one is an estimator in manner of Vasicek entropy estimator. Simulation results indicate that in comparison with the other tests statistics, our mentioned test statistics almost in most of the cases have higher power. Finally, two examples containing outliers illustrate the importance and use of the proposed tests.     

A Selection Procedure for Selecting the Least Increasing Failure Rate Average Distribution

For k independent absolutely continuous increasing failure rate average (IFRA) life distributions F_i, i = 1, 2, …, k, Link (1989 Link, W.A. (1989). Testing for exponentiality against monotone failure rate average alternatives. Commun. Statist. Theor. Meth. 18(8): 3009–3017.[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) considered a measure of departure of against monotone failure rate average alternatives. In this paper, we use the measure defined by Link for detection of IFRA-ness of life distribution F_i. A two-stage selection procedure to select the least IFRA distribution is proposed. This selection procedure is based on a U-statistic which is an estimator of the measure and can be implemented even when the IFRA life distributions belong to different families. The applications of this procedure are discussed for some well known distributions.