Comments on the special issue of communications in statistics (vol.a8, no. 10) concerned with weather modification experiments

As stated by the Editors of the Special Issue. It was complied with reference to two of my statements; that much of the current weather modification literature is slanted and unreliable. and(2) that progress in the building of a reliable weather modification technology requires an interdisciplinary study of as many completed cloud seeding experiments as possible. The material published in the Special Issue relates to two completed experiments, the Tasmania and the Israeli experiments. It is shown that a realistic appraisal of a completed experiment requires a prolonged effort, including an examination of quite a few relevant publications and, on occasion, Some numerical work on published raw data. It appears that an interdisciplinary reanalysis of the Tasmania experiment can contribute to the development of a reliable cloud seeding technology.     

Krishnaiah,P.R. and C.R. Rao (eds):Sampling. Handbook of Statistics,vol. 6

In a recent paper Yager (1988) introduced a special type of aggregation operators which he called OWA-operators and applied it to multicriteria decisionmaking. In our paper we give a more general definition of such operators and investigate in some detail the structural properties of them. In particular we introduce a well motivated ordering relation on weight systems which is different but compatible with Yager's degree of “orness”. Our results have immediate applications to the theory of generalized quantifiers as also discussed by Yager. Details concerning this topic will appear in a future paper.     

Designing ChSP-4(c1, c2) plans

In this paper, the notion of average total inspection (ATI) is introduced to ChSP-4(c1,c2) sampling plans. Procedures have been developed for the construction and selection of ChSP-4(c1, c2 plans, minimizing ATI at a given process average, while protection to the consumer is given in terms of the (i) average outgoing quality limit and (ii) limiting quality level.A wide range of c1 and c2 values are considered for developing tables which cover almost all practical situations. The procedure described is similar to that of Dodge and Romig.     

2009 New England Technical Services Librarians (NETSL) Spring Conference: Working the Cataloging Landscape: Fishing,Mining, and Harvesting

Abstract

Rachel Fleming and Kristin Calvert of Western Carolina University discuss their study of interlibrary loan borrowing requests in the three years surrounding a journal cancellation project. Noting that the impact of such a cancellation on interlibrary loan has not been studied since the 1990s, they examine numerous facets of requests for cancelled and non-cancelled journals, including request per journal, year of article requested, and request history for newly cancelled journals. Though journal cancellations resulted in a 2 percent increase in interlibrary loan requests, this number proved so small that Calvert and Fleming judged that their cancellations caused no undue effects.     

Periodic integer-valued GARCH(1, 1) model

This article deals with some probabilistic and statistical properties of a periodic integer-valued GARCH(1,1) model. Necessary and sufficient conditions for the periodical stationary, both in mean and second order, are established. The closed-forms of the mean and the second moment are, under these conditions, obtained. The condition of the existence of higher moment orders and their explicit formula in terms of the parameters are established. The autocovariance structure is studied, while providing the closed-form of the periodic autocorrelation function. The Yule–Walker and the likelihood estimations of the underlying parameters are obtained. A simulation study and an application on real dataset are provided.     

An empirical study on technical analysis: GARCH (1, 1) model

One of the deficits of the common Bollinger band is that it fails to consider the fat tails/leptokurtosis often exists in financial time series. An adjusted Bollinger band generated by rolling GARCH regression method is proposed in this study. The performance of the adjusted Bollinger band strategy on EUR, GBP, JPY, and AUD vs. USD foreign exchange trading is evaluated. Results show that in general, the adjusted Bollinger band performs better than the traditional one in terms of success ratios, net successes, and profit. In addition, no matter there is transaction cost or not, only adjusted Bollinger strategies are recommended for investors. Adjusted Bollinger band strategies with MA 5 or 10 are recommended for EUR, GBP, and JPY. Adjusted Bollinger strategy with MA 20 is the recommended strategies for AUD.     

Binomial AR(1) processes: moments,cumulants, and estimation

The modelling and analysis of count-data time series are areas of emerging interest with various applications in practice. We consider the particular case of the binomial AR(1) model, which is well suited for describing binomial counts with a first-order autoregressive serial dependence structure. We derive explicit expressions for the joint (central) moments and cumulants up to order 4. Then, we apply these results for expressing moments and asymptotic distribution of the squared difference estimator as an alternative to the sample autocovariance. We also analyse the asymptotic distribution of the conditional least-squares estimators of the parameters of the binomial AR(1) model. The finite-sample performance of these estimators is investigated in a simulation study, and we apply them to real data about computerized workstations.